Native predators reduce harvest of reindeer by Sámi pastoralists

Ecological Applications

Volumn 22, Issue 5, 2012, Pages 1640-1654

  Hobbs, N Thompson ^a   Andrén, Henrik ^b   Persson, Jens ^b   Aronsson, Malin ^b   Chapron, Guillaume ^b  

^a Department of Ecosystem Science and Sustainability   (United States)

^b SWEDISH UNIVERSITY OF AGRICULTURAL SCIENCES   (Sweden)

Author keywords

Bayesian hierarchical model; Brown bear; Density dependence; Lynx; North atlantic oscillation; Population dynamics; Predator prey interactions; Rangifer tarandus; Reindeer management units; S mi pastoralism; Sweden; Wolverine

Indexed keywords

BAYESIAN ANALYSIS; BEAR; DATABASE; DEER; FELID; FOOD WEB; GROWTH RATE; HARVESTING; LIVESTOCK; NATIVE SPECIES; NORTH ATLANTIC OSCILLATION; PASTORALISM; POLICY APPROACH; POPULATION DYNAMICS; PREDATION; PREDATOR-PREY INTERACTION;

SWEDEN;

GULO GULO; LYNX; LYNX LYNX; RANGIFER TARANDUS; URSUS ARCTOS;

EID: 84864140996     PISSN: 10510761     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1890/11-1309.1     Document Type: Article

References (61)

1. Aanes, R., B. E. Sæther, and N. A. Oritsland. 2000. Fluctuations of an introduced population of Svalbard reindeer: the effects of density dependence and climatic variation. Ecography 23:437-443.
2. Andrén, H., J. D. C. Linnell, O. Liberg, P. Ahlqvist, R. Andersen, A. Danell, R. Franzen, T. Kvam, J. Odden, and P. Segerstrom. 2002. Estimating total lynx Lynx lynx population size from censuses of family groups. Wildlife Biology 8:299-306.
3. Andrén, H., J. Persson, J. Mattisson, and A. C. Danell. 2011. Modelling the combined effect of an obligate predator and a facultative predator on a common prey: lynx and wolverine predation on reindeer. Wildlife Biology 17.
4. Andrén, H., L. Svensson, O. Liberg, H. Hensel, N. T. Hobbs, and G. Chapron. 2010. The Swedish lynx population 2009-2010 and forecasts for 2011-2012. Survey Report 2010 4, Swedish Wildlife Damage Center. Grimsö Wildlife Research Station, Department of Ecology, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, Ridderhyttan, Sweden.
5. Bjä rvall, A., R. Franzén, M. Nordqvist, and G. Alunan. 1990. Renar och rovdjur. Technical report. [In Swedish.] Tryckindustri, Solna, Sweden.
6. Bonenfant, C., J. M. Gaillard, T. Coulson, M. Festa-Bianchet, A. Loison, M. Garel, L. E. Loe, P. Blanchard, N. Pettorelli, N. Owen-Smith, J. Du Toit, and P. Duncan. 2009. Empirical evidence of density-dependence in populations of large herbivores. Advances in Ecological Research 41:313-357.
7. Boyd, C., T. M. Brooks, S. H. M. Butchart, G. J. Edgar, G. A. B. da Fonseca, F. Hawkins, M. Hoffmann, W. Sechrest, S. N. Stuart, and P. P. van Dijk. 2008. Spatial scale and the conservation of threatened species. Conservation Letters 1:37-43.
8. Brooks, S. P., and A. Gelman. 1988. Alternative methods for monitoring convergence of iterative simulations. Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics 7:434-455.
9. Brooks, S. P., and A. Gelman. 1997. General methods for monitoring convergence of iterative simulations. Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics 7:434-455.
10. Clark, J. M. 2007. Models for ecological data. Princeton University Press, Princeton, New Jersey, USA.
11. Coulson, T., E. J. Milner-Gulland, and T. Clutton-Brock. 2000. The relative roles of density and climatic variation on population dynamics and fecundity rates in three contrasting ungulate species. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London B 267:1771-1779.
12. Gelman, A., J. B. Carlin, H. S. Stern, and D. B. Rubin. 2004. Bayesian data analysis. Chapman and Hall/CRC, London, UK.
13. Gelman, A., and J. Hill. 2009. Data analysis using regression and multilievel/hierarchical modeling. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK.
14. Gelman, A., and D. B. Rubin. 1995. Avoiding model selection in Bayesian social research. Sociological Methodology 25:165-173.
15. Grøtan, V., B. E. Sæther, S. Engen, E. J. Solberg, J. D. C. Linnell, R. Andersen, H. Broseth, and E. Lund. 2005. Climate causes large-scale spatial synchrony in population fluctuations of a temperate herbivore. Ecology 86:1472-1482.
16. Grøtan, V., B. E. Sæther, F. Filli, and S. Engen. 2008. Effects of climate on population fluctuations of ibex. Global Change Biology 14:218-228.
17. Grumbine, R. E. 1994. What is ecosystem management? Conservation Biology 8:27-38.
18. Hebblewhite, M. 2005. Predation by wolves interacts with the North Pacific Oscillation (NPO) on a Western North American elk population. Journal of Animal Ecology 74:226-233.
19. Heidelberger, P., and P. Welch. 1983. Simulation run length control in the presence of an initial transient. Operations Research 31:1109-1044.
20. Jacobson, A. R., A. Provenzale, A. Von Hardenberg, B. Bassano, and M. Festa-Bianchet. 2004. Climate forcing and density dependence in a mountain ungulate population. Ecology 85:1598-1610.
21. Jorner, U., E. Baer, and Ö . Danell. 1999. Reindeer husbandry in Sweden. Technical report. Swedish Statistical Bureau, Stockholm, Sweden.
22. Kadane, J. B., and N. A. Lazat. 2004. Methods and criteria for model selection. Journal of the American Statistical Association 99:279-209.
23. Kindberg, J., G. Ericsson, and J. E. Swenson. 2009. Monitoring rare or elusive large mammals using effort-corrected voluntary observers. Biological Conservation 142:159-165.
24. Knape, J., and P. de Valpine. 2011. Effects of weather and climate on the dynamics of animal population time series. Proceedings of the Royal Society B 278:985-992.
25. Landa, A. J., R. Tuftø, and J. Persson. 2001. Aktive ynglehi hos jerv som bestandsestimator basert panye data om alder for første yngling. Technical report, [In Norwegian.] NINA notat. Norwegian Institute for Nature Research, Trondheim, Norway.
26. Liddicker, W. Z. 1995. Landscape approaches in mammalian ecology and conservation. University of Minnesota Press, Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA.
27. Link, W. A., and R. J. Barker. 2006. Model weights and the foundations of multimodel inference. Ecology 87:2626-2635.
28. Link, W. A., and R. J. Barker. 2010. Bayesian inference with ecological applications. Academic Press, San Diego, California, USA.
29. Linnell, J. D. C., et al. 2007. Distance rules for minimum counts of Eurasian lynx Lynx lynx family groups under different ecological conditions. Wildlife Biology 13:447-455.
30. Lundqvist, H., L. Norell, and O. Danell. 2009. Relationship between biotic range characteristics and productivity of reindeer husbandry in Sweden. Rangifer 29:1-24.
31. Mattisson, J., H. Andrén, J. Persson, and P. Segerströ m. 2011a. The influence of intraguild interactions on resource use by wolverine and Eurasian lynx. Journal of Mammalogy 92:1321-1330.
32. Mattisson, J., J. Odden, E. B. Nilsen, J. D. C. Linnell, J. Persson, and H. Andrén. 2011b. Factors affecting Eurasian lynx kill rates on semi-domestic reindeer in northern Scandinavia: Can ecological research contribute to the development of a fair compensation system? Biological Conservation 144:3009-3017.
33. McCarthy, M. A. 2007. Bayesian methods for ecology. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK.
34. Melis, C., et al. 2009. Predation has a greater impact in less productive environments: variation in roe deer, Capreolus capreolus, population density across Europe. Global Ecology and Biogeography 18:724-734.
35. Mysterud, A., N. G. Yoccoz, R. Langvatn, N. Pettorelli, and N. C. Stenseth. 2008. Hierarchical path analysis of deer responses to direct and indirect effects of climate in northern forest. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B 363:2359-2368.
36. Mysterud, A., N. G. Yoccoz, N. C. Stenseth, and R. Langvatn. 2000. Relationships between sex ratio, climate and density in red deer: the importance of spatial scale. Journal of Animal Ecology 69:959-974.
37. Naturvardsverket. 1991. Fö rslag till nytt ersä ttningssystem fö r rovdjursdö dade renar. Naturvardsverket Rapport 3899. Technical report. [In Swedish.] Sjö fartsverket, Norrkö ping, Sweden.
38. Nilsson-Dahlströ m, A. 2003. Negotiating wilderness in a cultural landscape: predators and Saami reindeer herding in the Laponian World Heritage Area. Volume 32 of Uppsala studies in cultural anthropology. Uppsala University Library, Uppsala, Sweden.
39. Owen-Smith, N., and M. G. L. Mills. 2006. Manifold interactive influences on the population dynamics of a multispecies ungulate assemblage. Ecological Monographs 76:73-92.
40. Persson, J., and H. Brøseth. 2011. The Scandinavian wolverine population-status and distribution 1996-2010. Technical report, NINA Report 732. Norwegian Institute for Nature Research, Trondheim, Norway.
41. Plummer, M. 2003. JAGS: a program for analysis of Bayesian graphical models using Gibbs sampling. In K. Hornik, F. Leisch, and A. Zeileis, editors. DSC Working Papers, Proceedings of the 3rd International Workshop on Distributed Statistical Computing (DSC 2003), 20-23 March 2003, Technische Universitä t, Wien, Vienna, Austria. http://www. ci.tuwien.ac.at/Conferences/DSC-2003/
42. Plummer, M. 2011a. JAGS version 3.0.0 user manual. http://sourceforge. net/projects/mcmc-jags/files/Manuals/3.x/jags-user-manual.pdf
43. Plummer, M. 2011b. rjags: Bayesian graphical models using MCMC. R package version 3.1.0. http://CRAN.R-project.org/packagerjags
44. Plummer, M., N. Best, K. Cowles, and K. Vines. 2010. coda: Output analysis and diagnostics for MCMC. R package version 0.14-4. http://CRAN.R-project.org/packagecoda
45. Post, E. 2005. Large-scale spatial gradients in herbivore population dynamics. Ecology 86:2320-2328.
46. Post, E., and N. Stenseth. 1999. Climatic variability, plant phenology, and northern ungulates. Ecology 80:1322-1339.
47. R Development Core Team. 2011. R: a language and environment for statistical computing. R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria.
48. Royle, J. A., and R. M. Dorazio. 2008. Hierarchical modeling and inference in ecology: the analysis of data from populations, metapopulations, and communities. Academic Press, London, UK.
49. Schwerdtner, K., and B. Gruber. 2007. A conceptual framework for damage compensation schemes. Biological Conservation 134:354-360.
50. Sillero-Zubiri, C., and M. Laurenson. 2001. Interaction between carnivores and local communities: conflict or coexistence? Pages 282-312 in J. L. Gittleman, S. M. Funk, D. W. Macdonald, and R. Wayne, editors. Carnivore conservation. Cambridge University Press, London, UK.
51. Sinclair, A. R. E. 2003. Mammal population regulation, keystone processes and ecosystem dynamics. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London B 358:1729-1740.
52. Skogland, T. 1990. Density dependence in a fluctuating wild reindeer herd; maternal vs. offspring effects. Oecologia 84:442-450.
53. SOU [Statensoffentliga utredningav]. 1999. A coherent predator policy. SOU [Swedish Government technical report] 1999:146. Information Rosenbad, Regeringskansliet, Stockholm, Sweden. http://www.regeringen.se/sontent/1/c4/26/ 46/ 1928d026.pdf
54. Sunde, P., T. Kvam, J. P. Bolstad, and M. Bronndal. 2000. Foraging of lynxes in a managed boreal-alpine environment. Ecography 23:291-298.
55. Thirgood, W. R. S., and A. Rabinowitz. 2005. The impact of human-widlife conflict on human lives and livelihood. Pages 13-26 in R. Woodroffe, S. Thirgood, and A. Rabinowitz, editors. People and wildlife: Conflict or coexistence? Cambridge University Press, London, UK.
56. Tjernberg, M., and M. Svensson. 2007. Swedish red data book of vertebrates. Technical report, Swedish Species Information Centre, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, Uppsala, Sweden.
57. Tyler, N. J. C., M. C. Forchhammer, and N. A. Oritsland. 2008. Nonlinear effects of climate and density in the dynamics of a fluctuating population of reindeer. Ecology 89:1675-1686.
58. Wabakken, P., A . Aronson, T. Strømseth, H. Sand, E. Maartman, L. Svensson, and I. Kojola. 2009. The wolf in Scandinavia: status report of the 2008-2009 winter. Technical report 4. Hogskilen I Hedmark, Evenstad, Norway.
59. Wang, G. M., N. T. Hobbs, R. B. Boone, A. W. Illius, I. J. Gordon, J. E. Gross, and K. L. Hamlin. 2006. Spatial and temporal variability modify density dependence in populations of large herbivores. Ecology 87:95-102.
60. Wang, G. M., N. Hobbs, S. Twombly, R. Boone, A. Illius, I. Gordon, and J. Gross. 2009. Density dependence in northern ungulates: interactions with prédation and resources. Population Ecology 51:123-132.
61. Weladji, R. B., and O. Holand. 2006. Influences of large-scale climatic variability on reindeer population dynamics: implications for reindeer husbandry in Norway. Climate Research 32:119-127.