Sensitivity of streamflow to rainfall and temperature in south-eastern Australia during the Millennium drought

MODSIM 2011 - 19th International Congress on Modelling and Simulation - Sustaining Our Future: Understanding and Living with Uncertainty

Volumn , Issue , 2011, Pages 3636-3642

  Potter, N J ^a   Petheram, C ^a   Zhang, L ^a  

^a CSIRO   (Australia)

Author keywords

Drought; South eastern Australia; Streamflow sensitivity

Indexed keywords

20TH CENTURY; AIR TEMPERATURE; ANNUAL RAINFALL; AUSTRALIA; CATCHMENT AREA; CHI-SQUARED TEST; HISTORICAL RECORDS; LARGE REGIONS; MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE; MURRAY-DARLING BASIN; RAINFALL CHARACTERISTICS; RESIDUAL TEMPERATURE; SEASONALITY; SPATIAL COHERENCE; WEIGHTED AVERAGES; WORLD WAR II;

DROUGHT; ELASTICITY; ESTIMATION; FORESTRY; GROUNDWATER; MILITARY OPERATIONS; RAIN; RUNOFF; STREAM FLOW; UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS;

CATCHMENTS;

EID: 84863356968     PISSN: None     EISSN: None     Source Type: Conference Proceeding    
DOI: None     Document Type: Conference Paper

References (22)

1. Arora, V.K. (2002), The use of the aridity index to assess climate change effect on annual runoff. J. Hydrol., 265, 164-177.
2. Budyko, M.I. (1974), Climate and Life, Academic Press, New York, USA.
3. Burnash, R.J.C., R.L. Ferral and R.A. McGuire (1973), A generalized streamflow simulation system -conceptual modelling for digital computers, National Weather Service, U.S. Department of Commerce, Washington D.C.
4. Cai, W. and T. Cowan (2008a), Dynamics of late autumn rainfall reduction over southeastern Australia. Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L09708, doi:10.1029/2008GL033727.
5. Cai, W. and T. Cowan (2008b), Evidence of impacts from rising temperature on inflows to the Murray-Darling Basin. Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L07701, doi:10.1029/2008GL033390.
6. Chiew, F.H.S. (2006), Estimation of rainfall elasticity of streamflow in Australia. Hydrol. Sci. J., 51, 613-625.
7. Collins, S. (1991), Prediction Techniques for Box-Cox Regression Models, Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 9, 267-277.
8. CSIRO (2008), Water availability in the Murray-Darling Basin. A report to the Australian Government from the CSIRO Murray-Darling Basin Sustainable Yields Project. CSIRO, Australia. 67pp.
9. Frederiksen, C.S., J.S. Frederiksen, J.M. Sisson, S.L. Osbrough (2011), Changes and Projections in Australian Winter Rainfall and Circulation: Anthropogenic Forcing and Internal Variability, International Journal of Climate Change: Impacts and Responses, 2, 143-162.
10. Jeffrey, S.J., J.O. Carter, K.B. Moodie, A.R. Beswick (2001), Using spatial interpolation to construct a comprehensive archive of Australian climate data. Environ. Modell. Software, 16, 309-330.
11. Kiem, A.S. and D.C. Verdon-Kidd (2010), Towards understanding hydroclimatic change in Victoria, Australia-preliminary insights into the "Big Dry". Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 14, 433-445, doi:10.5194/hess-14- 433-2010.
12. Miller, D.M. (1984), Reducing Transformation Bias in Curve Fitting, The American Statistician, 38, 124-126.
13. Myers, R.H. (1990), Classical and Modern Regression with Applications, 2nd ed., Duxbury, Pacific Grove, USA.
14. Nicholls, N. (2004), The changing nature of Australian droughts. Clim. Change, 63, 323-336.
15. Petheram, C., N. J. Potter, J. Vaze, F.H.S. Chiew, L. Zhang (2011), Towards a conceptual understanding of changes in the rainfall-runoff relationship during the recent drought in south-eastern Australia. MODSIM 2011, 12-16 December 2011.
16. Potter, N.J., F.H.S. Chiew, A.J. Frost, R. Srikanthan, T.A. McMahon, M.C. Peel, and J.M. Austin (2008), Characterisation of recent rainfall and runoff in the Murray-Darling Basin. A report to the Australian Government from the CSIRO Murray-Darling Basin Sustainable Yields Project, 40pp., CSIRO, Australia, available at http://www.csiro.au/resources/RecentRainfallAndRunoffMDBSY.html.
17. Potter, N.J. and F.H.S. Chiew (2009), Statistical characterisation and attribution of recent rainfall and runoff in the Murray-Darling Basin, in 18th World IMACS / MODSIM Congress, Cairns, Australia 13-17 July 2009, pp.2812-2818.
18. Potter, N.J., F.H.S. Chiew, and A.J. Frost (2010), An assessment of the severity of recent reductions in rainfall and runoff in the Murray-Darling Basin. J. Hydrol., 381, 52-64, doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2009.11.025.
19. Potter, N.J. and F.H.S. Chiew (2011, in press), An investigation into changes in climate characteristics causing the recent very low runoff in the southern Murray-Darling Basin using rainfall-runoff models. Water Resour. Res., 47, doi:10.1029/2010WR010333.
20. Sankarasubramanian, A., R.M. Vogel, and J.F. Limbrunner (2001), Climate elasticity of streamflow in the United States. Water Resour. Res., 37, 1771-1781.
21. Vogel, R.M., I. Wilson, and C. Daly (1999), Regional regression models of annual streamflow for the United States. Journal of Irrigation and Drainage Engineering, 125, 148-157.
22. Yu, J., G. Fu, W. Cai, and T. Cowan (2010), Impacts of precipitation and temperature changes on annual streamflow in the Murray-Darling Basin. Water International, 35, 313-323, doi:10.1080/02508060.2010.484907