Prediction of wind power generation and power ramp rate with time series analysis

Proceedings of 2011 3rd International Conference on Awareness Science and Technology, iCAST 2011

Volumn , Issue , 2011, Pages 512-515

  Hwang, Mi Yeong ^a   Jin, Cheng Hao ^a   Lee, Yang Koo ^a   Kim, Kwang Deuk ^b   Shin, Jung Hoon ^c   Ryu, Keun Ho ^a  

^a Chungbuk National University   (South Korea)

^b Korea Institute of Energy Research (KIER)   (South Korea)

^c Chonbuk National University   (South Korea)

Author keywords

ARIMA; exponential smoothing method; power ramp rate; univariate time series model; wind power generation

Indexed keywords

ARIMA; COMPARISON RESULT; ENVIRONMENTAL POLLUTIONS; EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING METHOD; FORECASTING ERROR; MEAN ABSOLUTE ERROR; PREDICTION ACCURACY; PREDICTION METHODS; RAMP EVENTS; RAMP RATES; RENEWABLE ENERGIES; ROOT MEAN SQUARE ERRORS; UNIVARIATE TIME SERIES; WEATHER CHANGE; WIND DATA;

ELECTRIC POWER GENERATION; FOSSIL FUELS; GREENHOUSE GASES; MEAN SQUARE ERROR; TECHNOLOGY; TIME SERIES ANALYSIS; WIND POWER;

FORECASTING;

EID: 84863342292     PISSN: None     EISSN: None     Source Type: Conference Proceeding    
DOI: 10.1109/ICAwST.2011.6163182     Document Type: Conference Paper

References (12)

1. Sey-Yoon Kim and Sung-Ho Kim, "Comparative study on the performance of various wind speed predictors," KIISS, pp. 21-24, April 2011.
2. KOREA INSTITUTE OF ENERGY RESEARCH (KIER), http://210.98.3.184/kier/02- energyInfo/wind-contr-in.aspx
3. KOREA INSTITUTE OF ENERGY RESEARCH (KIER), http://www.kier.re.kr/
4. Seong-Jun Kim and In-Yong Seo, "A Study on Statistical Forecasting of Wind Power Using Wavelet Decompositions," KIISS, pp. 151-154, April 2011.
5. Keun-Suk Song, Hye-Suk Lee, "A Study on a Comparison of Error Magnitude Accuracies Among International Tourism Demand Forecasting Models," KTRA, pp. 83-111, July 2006.
6. Haiyang Zheng and Andrew Kusiak, "Prediction of Wind Farm Power ramp rates: A Data-Mining Approach," JSEE, vol. 131, August 2009.
7. C. Ferreira, J. Gama, L. Matias, A. Botterud and J. Wang, "A Survey on Wind Power Ramp Forecasting," Argonne National Laboratory(ANL), pp. 1-40, December 2010.
8. Lee, Choong-Ki and Song, Hak-Jun, "Selecting Most Appropriate Time Series Forecasting Model," KTRA, pp. 289-311, December 2007.
9. Hyeongjin No, "Statistical analysis of multivariate analysis," Hyosan publishing company, pp. 628-629, 2007.
10. http://terms.naver.com/entry.nhn?docId=18040
11. "Time series analysis technique," Urban Engineering, pp.4-6.
12. Kim Hyun-Goo, Lee Yeong-Seup, Jang Mun-Seok, Kyong Nam-Ho, "Study on Development of a Forecasting Model of Wind Power Generation for Walryong Site," KSES, pp.24-34, June 2006.