메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 26, Issue 6, 2011, Pages 868-884

Application of the WRF hybrid ETKF-3DVAR data assimilation system for hurricane track forecasts

Author keywords

Data assimilation; Ensembles; Forecasting; Hurricanes

Indexed keywords

DATA ASSIMILATION; DATA ASSIMILATION METHODS; DATA ASSIMILATION SYSTEMS; ENSEMBLES; ERROR COVARIANCES; GULF OF MEXICO; HYBRID METHOD; OPERATIONAL FORECASTS; PILOT STUDIES; ROOT-MEAN SQUARE ERRORS; STATIC BACKGROUND; VARIATIONAL DATA ASSIMILATION; WEATHER RESEARCH AND FORECASTING MODELS;

EID: 84863137220     PISSN: 08828156     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1175/WAF-D-10-05058.1     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (70)

References (49)
  • 2
    • 79955145811 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Adaptive ensemble covariance localization in ensemble4D-VAR state estimation
    • Bishop, C. H., and D. Hodyss, 2011: Adaptive ensemble covariance localization in ensemble4D-VAR state estimation. Mon. Wea. Rev., 139, 1241-1255.
    • (2011) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.139 , pp. 1241-1255
    • Bishop, C.H.1    Hodyss, D.2
  • 3
    • 0035270690 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Adaptive sampling with the ensemble transform Kalman filter. Part I: Theoretical aspects
    • Bishop, C. H., B. J. Etherton, and S. J. Majumdar, 2001: Adaptive sampling with the ensemble transform Kalman filter. Part I: Theoretical aspects. Mon. Wea. Rev., 129, 420-436.
    • (2001) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.129 , pp. 420-436
    • Bishop, C.H.1    Etherton, B.J.2    Majumdar, S.J.3
  • 4
    • 69549083390 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The local ETKF and SKEB: Upgrades to the MOGREPS short-range ensemble prediction system
    • Bowler, N. E., A. Arribas, S. E. Beare, K. R. Mylne, and G. J. Shutts, 2009: The local ETKF and SKEB: Upgrades to the MOGREPS short-range ensemble prediction system. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 135, 767-776.
    • (2009) Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc. , vol.135 , pp. 767-776
    • Bowler, N.E.1    Arribas, A.2    Beare, S.E.3    Mylne, K.R.4    Shutts, G.J.5
  • 5
    • 81355132011 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An examination of model track forecast errors for Hurricane Ike (2008) in the Gulf of Mexico
    • Brennan, M. J., and S. J. Majumdar, 2011: An examination of model track forecast errors for Hurricane Ike (2008) in the Gulf of Mexico. Wea. Forecasting, 26, 848-867.
    • (2011) Wea. Forecasting , vol.26 , pp. 848-867
    • Brennan, M.J.1    Majumdar, S.J.2
  • 6
    • 24944560859 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ensemble-derived stationary and flowdependent background-error covariances: Evaluation in a quasi-operational NWP setting
    • Buehner, M., 2005: Ensemble-derived stationary and flowdependent background-error covariances: Evaluation in a quasi-operational NWP setting. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 131, 1013-1043.
    • (2005) Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc. , vol.131 , pp. 1013-1043
    • Buehner, M.1
  • 7
    • 77955575343 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Intercomparison of variational data assimilation and the ensemble Kalman filter for global deterministic NWP. Part I: Description and single-observation experiments
    • Buehner, M., P. L. Houtekamer, C. Charette, H. L. Mitchell, and B. He, 2010a: Intercomparison of variational data assimilation and the ensemble Kalman filter for global deterministic NWP. Part I: Description and single-observation experiments. Mon. Wea. Rev., 138, 1550-1566.
    • (2010) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.138 , pp. 1550-1566
    • Buehner, M.1    Houtekamer, P.L.2    Charette, C.3    Mitchell, H.L.4    He, B.5
  • 8
    • 77953851971 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Intercomparison of variational data assimilation and the ensemble Kalman filter for global deterministic NWP. Part II: One-month experiments with real observations
    • Buehner, M., P. L. Houtekamer, C. Charette, H. L. Mitchell, and B. He, 2010b: Intercomparison of variational data assimilation and the ensemble Kalman filter for global deterministic NWP. Part II: One-month experiments with real observations. Mon. Wea. Rev., 138, 1567-1586.
    • (2010) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.138 , pp. 1567-1586
    • Buehner, M.1    Houtekamer, P.L.2    Charette, C.3    Mitchell, H.L.4    He, B.5
  • 9
    • 77953226947 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Vertical covariance localization for satellite radiances in ensemble Kalman filters
    • Campbell, W. F., C. H. Bishop, and D. Hodyss, 2010: Vertical covariance localization for satellite radiances in ensemble Kalman filters. Mon. Wea. Rev., 138, 282-290.
    • (2010) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.138 , pp. 282-290
    • Campbell, W.F.1    Bishop, C.H.2    Hodyss, D.3
  • 10
    • 0020220528 scopus 로고
    • Tropical cyclone movement and surrounding flow relationships
    • Chan, J. C. L., andW.M. Gray, 1982: Tropical cyclone movement and surrounding flow relationships. Mon. Wea. Rev., 110, 1354-1374.
    • (1982) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.110 , pp. 1354-1374
    • Chan, J.C.L.1    Gray, W.M.2
  • 11
    • 0024921060 scopus 로고
    • Numerical study of convection observed during the Winter Monsoon Experiment using a mesoscale twodimensional model
    • Dudhia, J., 1989: Numerical study of convection observed during the Winter Monsoon Experiment using a mesoscale twodimensional model. J. Atmos. Sci., 46, 3077-3107.
    • (1989) J. Atmos. Sci. , vol.46 , pp. 3077-3107
    • Dudhia, J.1
  • 12
    • 2442692579 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Resilience of hybrid ensemble/3DVAR analysis schemes to model error and ensemble covariance error
    • Etherton, B., and C. H. Bishop, 2004: Resilience of hybrid ensemble/3DVAR analysis schemes to model error and ensemble covariance error. Mon. Wea. Rev., 132, 1065-1080.
    • (2004) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.132 , pp. 1065-1080
    • Etherton, B.1    Bishop, C.H.2
  • 13
    • 79954476754 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The U. S. Air Force Weather Agency's mesoscale ensemble: Scientific description and performance results
    • Hacker, J. P., and Coauthors, 2011: The U.S. Air Force Weather Agency's mesoscale ensemble: Scientific description and performance results. Tellus, 63, 625-641.
    • (2011) Tellus , vol.63 , pp. 625-641
    • Hacker, J.P.1
  • 14
    • 84927058641 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ensemble based atmospheric data assimilation
    • R. Hagedorn and T. N. Palmer, Eds., Cambridge University Press
    • Hamill, T. M., 2006: Ensemble based atmospheric data assimilation. Predictability of Weather and Climate, R. Hagedorn and T. N. Palmer, Eds., Cambridge University Press, 124-156.
    • (2006) Predictability of Weather and Climate , pp. 124-156
    • Hamill, T.M.1
  • 15
    • 0033792589 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A hybrid ensemble Kalman filter-3D variational analysis scheme
    • Hamill, T. M., and C. Snyder, 2000: A hybrid ensemble Kalman filter-3D variational analysis scheme. Mon. Wea. Rev., 128, 2905-2919.
    • (2000) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.128 , pp. 2905-2919
    • Hamill, T.M.1    Snyder, C.2
  • 16
    • 0035506430 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Distance-dependent filtering of background error covariance estimates in an ensemble Kalman filter
    • Hamill, T. M., J. S. Whitaker, and C. Snyder, 2001: Distance-dependent filtering of background error covariance estimates in an ensemble Kalman filter. Mon. Wea. Rev., 129, 2776-2790.
    • (2001) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.129 , pp. 2776-2790
    • Hamill, T.M.1    Whitaker, J.S.2    Snyder, C.3
  • 17
    • 78650977787 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Global ensemble predictions of 2009's tropical cyclones initialized with an ensemble Kalman filter
    • Hamill, T. M., J. S. Whitaker, M. Fiorino, and S. J. Benjamin, 2011: Global ensemble predictions of 2009's tropical cyclones initialized with an ensemble Kalman filter. Mon. Wea. Rev., 139, 668-688.
    • (2011) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.139 , pp. 668-688
    • Hamill, T.M.1    Whitaker, J.S.2    Fiorino, M.3    Benjamin, S.J.4
  • 18
    • 1842587750 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A revised approach to ice microphysical processes for the bulk parameterization of clouds and precipitation
    • Hong, S.-Y., J. Dudhia, and S.-H. Chen, 2004: A revised approach to ice microphysical processes for the bulk parameterization of clouds and precipitation. Mon. Wea. Rev., 132, 103-120.
    • (2004) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.132 , pp. 103-120
    • Hong, S.-Y.1    Dudhia, J.2    Chen, S.-H.3
  • 19
    • 33749016495 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A new vertical diffusion package with an explicit treatment of entrainment processes
    • Hong, S.-Y., Y. Noh, and J. Dudhia, 2006:Anew vertical diffusion package with an explicit treatment of entrainment processes. Mon.Wea. Rev., 134, 2318-2341.
    • (2006) Mon.Wea. Rev. , vol.134 , pp. 2318-2341
    • Hong, S.-Y.1    Noh, Y.2    Dudhia, J.3
  • 20
    • 0025592294 scopus 로고
    • A one-dimensional entraining detraining plume model and its application in convective parameterization
    • Kain, J. S., and J. M. Fritsch, 1990: A one-dimensional entraining detraining plume model and its application in convective parameterization. J. Atmos. Sci., 47, 2784-2802.
    • (1990) J. Atmos. Sci. , vol.47 , pp. 2784-2802
    • Kain, J.S.1    Fritsch, J.M.2
  • 21
    • 0001498534 scopus 로고
    • Improvements in the GFDL Hurricane Prediction System
    • Kurihara, Y. M., A. Bender, R. E. Tuleya, and R. J. Ross, 1995: Improvements in the GFDL Hurricane Prediction System. Mon. Wea. Rev., 123, 2791-2801.
    • (1995) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.123 , pp. 2791-2801
    • Kurihara, Y.M.1    Bender, A.2    Tuleya, R.E.3    Ross, R.J.4
  • 22
    • 68949111683 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Improved hurricane track and intensity forecast using single field-of-view advanced IR sounding measurements
    • doi:10.1029/2009GL038285
    • Li, J., and H. Liu, 2009: Improved hurricane track and intensity forecast using single field-of-view advanced IR sounding measurements. Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L11813, doi:10.1029/2009GL038285.
    • (2009) Geophys. Res. Lett. , vol.36
    • Li, J.1    Liu, H.2
  • 25
    • 0347709927 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The potential of the ensemble Kalman filter for NWP-A comparison with 4D-VAR
    • Lorenc, A. C., 2003: The potential of the ensemble Kalman filter for NWP-A comparison with 4D-VAR. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 129, 3183-3203.
    • (2003) Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc. , vol.129 , pp. 3183-3203
    • Lorenc, A.C.1
  • 26
    • 0036566322 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Adaptive sampling with the ensemble transform Kalman filter. Part II: Field programimplementation
    • Majumdar, S. J., C. H. Bishop, and B. J. Etherton, 2002: Adaptive sampling with the ensemble transform Kalman filter. Part II: Field programimplementation. Mon. Wea. Rev., 130, 1356-1369.
    • (2002) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.130 , pp. 1356-1369
    • Majumdar, S.J.1    Bishop, C.H.2    Etherton, B.J.3
  • 27
    • 57149138884 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Tests of an ensemble Kalman filter for mesoscale and regional-scale data assimilation. Part IV: Comparison with 3DVAR in a month-long experiment
    • Meng, Z., and F. Zhang, 2008: Tests of an ensemble Kalman filter for mesoscale and regional-scale data assimilation. Part IV: Comparison with 3DVAR in a month-long experiment. Mon. Wea. Rev., 136, 3671-3682.
    • (2008) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.136 , pp. 3671-3682
    • Meng, Z.1    Zhang, F.2
  • 28
    • 0000453046 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Radiative transfer for inhomogeneous atmosphere: RRTM, a validated correlated-k model for the longwave
    • Mlawer, E. J., S. J. Taubman, P. D. Brown, M. J. Iacono, and S. A. Clough, 1997: Radiative transfer for inhomogeneous atmosphere: RRTM, a validated correlated-k model for the longwave. J. Geophys. Res., 102, 16 663-16 682.
    • (1997) J. Geophys. Res. , vol.102 , pp. 16663-16682
    • Mlawer, E.J.1    Taubman, S.J.2    Brown, P.D.3    Iacono, M.J.4    Clough, S.A.5
  • 29
    • 0031862088 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Singular vectors, metrics, and adaptive observations
    • Palmer, T. N., R. Gelaro, J. Barkmeijer, and R. Buizza, 1998: Singular vectors, metrics, and adaptive observations. J. Atmos. Sci., 55, 633-653.
    • (1998) J. Atmos. Sci. , vol.55 , pp. 633-653
    • Palmer, T.N.1    Gelaro, R.2    Barkmeijer, J.3    Buizza, R.4
  • 31
    • 0027799298 scopus 로고
    • A hurricane beta-drift law
    • Smith, R. B., 1993: A hurricane beta-drift law. J. Atmos. Sci., 50, 3213-3215.
    • (1993) J. Atmos. Sci. , vol.50 , pp. 3213-3215
    • Smith, R.B.1
  • 32
    • 78650979599 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Performance of a mesoscale ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) during the NOAA High-Resolution Hurricane Test
    • Torn, R. D., 2011: Performance of a mesoscale ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) during the NOAA High-Resolution Hurricane Test. Mon. Wea. Rev., 138, 4375-4392.
    • (2011) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.138 , pp. 4375-4392
    • Torn, R.D.1
  • 33
    • 70350765261 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ensemble data assimilation applied to RAINEX observations of Hurricane Katrina (2005)
    • Torn, R. D., and G. J. Hakim, 2009: Ensemble data assimilation applied to RAINEX observations of Hurricane Katrina (2005). Mon. Wea. Rev., 137, 2817-2829.
    • (2009) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.137 , pp. 2817-2829
    • Torn, R.D.1    Hakim, G.J.2
  • 34
    • 33748999011 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Boundary conditions for limitedarea ensemble Kalman filters
    • Torn, R. D., G. J. Hakim, and C. Snyder, 2006: Boundary conditions for limitedarea ensemble Kalman filters. Mon. Wea. Rev., 134, 2490-2502.
    • (2006) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.134 , pp. 2490-2502
    • Torn, R.D.1    Hakim, G.J.2    Snyder, C.3
  • 35
    • 77958457237 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Incorporating ensemble covariance in the Gridpoint Statistical Interpolation (GSI) variational minimization: A mathematical framework
    • Wang, X., 2010: Incorporating ensemble covariance in the Gridpoint Statistical Interpolation (GSI) variational minimization: A mathematical framework. Mon. Wea. Rev., 138, 2990-2995.
    • (2010) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.138 , pp. 2990-2995
    • Wang, X.1
  • 36
    • 0037980372 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A comparison of breeding and ensemble transform Kalman filter ensemble forecast schemes
    • Wang, X., and C. H. Bishop, 2003: A comparison of breeding and ensemble transform Kalman filter ensemble forecast schemes. J. Atmos. Sci., 60, 1140-1158.
    • (2003) J. Atmos. Sci. , vol.60 , pp. 1140-1158
    • Wang, X.1    Bishop, C.H.2
  • 37
    • 3943069649 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Which is better, an ensemble of positive-negative pairs or a centered spherical simplex ensemble?
    • Wang, X., C. H. Bishop, and S. J. Julier, 2004: Which is better, an ensemble of positive-negative pairs or a centered spherical simplex ensemble? Mon. Wea. Rev., 132, 1590-1605.
    • (2004) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.132 , pp. 1590-1605
    • Wang, X.1    Bishop, C.H.2    Julier, S.J.3
  • 38
    • 34047222707 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A comparison of hybrid ensemble transform Kalman filter-OI and ensemble square-root filter analysis schemes
    • Wang, X., T. M. Hamill, J. S. Whitaker, and C. H. Bishop, 2007a: A comparison of hybrid ensemble transform Kalman filter-OI and ensemble square-root filter analysis schemes. Mon. Wea. Rev., 135, 1055-1076.
    • (2007) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.135 , pp. 1055-1076
    • Wang, X.1    Hamill, T.M.2    Whitaker, J.S.3    Bishop, C.H.4
  • 39
    • 33846680583 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • On the theoretical equivalence of differently proposed ensemble/-3DVar hybrid analysis schemes
    • Wang, X., C. Snyder, and T. M. Hamill, 2007b: On the theoretical equivalence of differently proposed ensemble/-3DVar hybrid analysis schemes. Mon. Wea. Rev., 135, 222-227.
    • (2007) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.135 , pp. 222-227
    • Wang, X.1    Snyder, C.2    Hamill, T.M.3
  • 40
    • 62749149846 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A hybrid ETKF-3DVARdata assimilation scheme for theWRFmodel. Part I: Observing system simulation experiment
    • Wang, X., D. Barker, C. Snyder, and T. M. Hamill, 2008a: A hybrid ETKF-3DVARdata assimilation scheme for theWRFmodel. Part I: Observing system simulation experiment. Mon. Wea. Rev., 136, 5116-5131.
    • (2008) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.136 , pp. 5116-5131
    • Wang, X.1    Barker, D.2    Snyder, C.3    Hamill, T.M.4
  • 41
    • 64149125046 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A hybrid ETKF-3DVAR data assimilation scheme for the WRF model. Part II: Real observation experiments
    • Wang, X., D. Barker, C. Snyder, and T. M. Hamill, 2008b: A hybrid ETKF-3DVAR data assimilation scheme for the WRF model. Part II: Real observation experiments. Mon. Wea. Rev., 136, 5132-5147.
    • (2008) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.136 , pp. 5132-5147
    • Wang, X.1    Barker, D.2    Snyder, C.3    Hamill, T.M.4
  • 42
    • 70449129495 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A comparison of the hybrid and EnSRF analysis schemes in the presence of model error due to unresolved scales
    • Wang, X., T. M. Hamill, J. S. Whitaker, and C. H. Bishop, 2009: A comparison of the hybrid and EnSRF analysis schemes in the presence of model error due to unresolved scales. Mon. Wea. Rev., 137, 3219-3232.
    • (2009) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.137 , pp. 3219-3232
    • Wang, X.1    Hamill, T.M.2    Whitaker, J.S.3    Bishop, C.H.4
  • 43
    • 0036646009 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ensemble data assimilation without perturbed observations
    • Whitaker, J. S., and T. M. Hamill, 2002: Ensemble data assimilation without perturbed observations. Mon. Wea. Rev., 130, 1913-1924.
    • (2002) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.130 , pp. 1913-1924
    • Whitaker, J.S.1    Hamill, T.M.2
  • 44
    • 44449095043 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ensemble data assimilation with the NCEP Global Forecast System
    • Whitaker, J. S., T. M. Hamill, X. Wei, Y. Song, and Z. Toth, 2008: Ensemble data assimilation with the NCEP Global Forecast System. Mon. Wea. Rev., 136, 463-482.
    • (2008) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.136 , pp. 463-482
    • Whitaker, J.S.1    Hamill, T.M.2    Wei, X.3    Song, Y.4    Toth, Z.5
  • 45
    • 67549131078 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evaluations of BDA scheme using the Advanced Research WRF (ARW) model
    • Xiao, Q., L. Chen, and X. Zhang, 2009a: Evaluations of BDA scheme using the Advanced Research WRF (ARW) model. J. Appl. Meteor. Climatol., 48, 680-689.
    • (2009) J. Appl. Meteor. Climatol. , vol.48 , pp. 680-689
    • Xiao, Q.1    Chen, L.2    Zhang, X.3
  • 46
    • 70350772498 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Experiments of hurricane initialization with airborne Doppler radar data for the Advanced Research HurricaneWRF (AHW)model
    • Xiao, Q., X. Zhang, C. Davis, J. Tuttle, G. Holland, and P. J. Fitzpatrick, 2009b: Experiments of hurricane initialization with airborne Doppler radar data for the Advanced Research HurricaneWRF (AHW)model.Mon. Wea. Rev., 137, 2758-2777.
    • (2009) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.137 , pp. 2758-2777
    • Xiao, Q.1    Zhang, X.2    Davis, C.3    Tuttle, J.4    Holland, G.5    Fitzpatrick, P.J.6
  • 47
    • 68249160487 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Cloud-resolving hurricane initialization and prediction through assimilation of Doppler radar observations with an ensemble Kalman filter
    • Zhang, F., Z. Weng, Z. Meng, J. A. Sippel, and C. H. Bishop, 2009: Cloud-resolving hurricane initialization and prediction through assimilation of Doppler radar observations with an ensemble Kalman filter.Mon. Wea. Rev., 137, 2105-2125.
    • (2009) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.137 , pp. 2105-2125
    • Zhang, F.1    Weng, Z.2    Meng, Z.3    Sippel, J.A.4    Bishop, C.H.5
  • 48
    • 0034103484 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Studies on the initialization and simulation of a mature hurricane using a variational bogus data assimilation scheme
    • Zou, X., and Q. Xiao, 2000: Studies on the initialization and simulation of a mature hurricane using a variational bogus data assimilation scheme. J. Atmos. Sci., 57, 836-860.
    • (2000) J. Atmos. Sci. , vol.57 , pp. 836-860
    • Zou, X.1    Xiao, Q.2
  • 49
    • 24944523803 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Maximum likelihood ensemble filter: Theoretical aspects
    • Zupanski, M., 2005: Maximum likelihood ensemble filter: Theoretical aspects. Mon. Wea. Rev., 133, 1710-1726.
    • (2005) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.133 , pp. 1710-1726
    • Zupanski, M.1


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.