Climate projections FAQ

USDA Forest Service - General Technical Report RMRS-GTR

Volumn , Issue 277, 2012, Pages

  Daniels, Amy E ^a   Morrison, James F ^a   Joyce, Linda A ^b   Crookston, Nicholas L ^c   Chen, Shyh Chin ^d   McNulty, Steven G ^a  

^a USDA FOREST SERVICE   (United States)

^b ROCKY MOUNTAIN RESEARCH STATION   (United States)

^c ROCKY MOUNTAIN RESEARCH STATION   (United States)

^d PACIFIC SOUTHWEST RESEARCH STATION   (United States)

Author keywords

Climate change; Climate projections; Downscaling; General circulation models; Vulnerability assessment

Indexed keywords

CLIMATE CHANGE; DATA MANAGEMENT; DECISION MAKING; DOWNSCALING; GENERAL CIRCULATION MODEL; GEOGRAPHICAL REGION; LAND MANAGEMENT; NATURAL RESOURCE; SPATIAL RESOLUTION; UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS; VULNERABILITY;

EID: 84862530434     PISSN: 02775786     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: None     Document Type: Article

References (35)

1. Barsugli, J.; Anderson, C.; Smith, J.B.; Vogel, J.M. 2009. Options for improving climate modeling to assist water utility planning for climate change. Water Utility Climate Alliance. Prepared for the Water Utility Climate Alliance. 145 pp.
2. Benestad, R.E.; Hanssen-Bauer, I.; Deliang, C. 2008. Empirical-statistical downscaling. World Scientific. Singapore.
3. Cai, X.; Wang, D.; Zhu, T.; Ringler, C. 2009. Assessing the regional variability of GCM simulations. Geophysical Research Letters 36: L02706, doi:10.1029/2008GL036443
4. Christensen, J.H.; Hewitson, B.; Busuioc, A.; [and others]. 2007. Chapter 11: Regional climate projections. In: Solomon, S.; Qin, D.; Manning, M; [and others], eds. Climate Change 2007: The physical science basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergrovernmental panel on Climate Change. New York: Cambridge University Press.
5. Colorado Water Conservation Board (CWCB) 2010. Colorado River water availability study. Phase 1, draft report. March 22, 2010. 488 pp.
6. Coulson, D.P.; Joyce, L.A.; Price, D.T.; [and others]. 2010. Climate scenarios for the conterminous United States at the 5 arc minute grid spatial scale using SRES scenarios A1B and A2 and PRISM climatology. Fort Collins, CO: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Research Station.
7. Crookston, N.L.; Rehfeldt, G.E.; Dixon, G.E.; Weiskittel, A.R. 2010. Addressing climate change in the forest vegetation simulator to assess impacts on landscape forest dynamics. Forest Ecology and Management 260: 1198-1211.
8. Fowler, H.; Blenkinsop, S.; Tebaldi, C. 2007. Linking climate change modelling to impacts studies: recent advances in downscaling techniques for hydrological modelling. International Journal of Climatology 27: 1547-1578.
9. Glick, P.; Stein, B.; Edelson, N.A., eds. 2011. Scanning the conservation horizon: a guide to climate change vulnerability assessment. Washington, DC: National Wildlife Federation.
10. Hawkins, E.; Sutton, R. 2009. The potential to narrow uncertainty in regional climate predictions. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 90: 1095-1107.
11. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). 2007a. Climate change 2007: Synthesis report. Contribution of Working Groups I, II, and III to the 4th Assessment Report. [Core Writing Team, Pachauri, R.K.; Resinger, A., eds.]. New York: Cambridge University Press.
12. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). 2007b. Summary for policymakers. In: Climatechange 2007: The physical science basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. [Solomon, S.; Qin, D.; Manning, M.; [and others], eds.]. New York: Cambridge University Press.
13. Klausmeyer, K.R.; Shaw, M.R. 2009. Climate change, habitat loss, protected areas and the climate adaptation potential of species in Mediterranean ecosystems worldwide. PLoS One 4(7): 6392.
14. Knutti, R. 2008. Should we believe model predictions of future climate change? Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A 366: 4647-4664.
15. Knutti, R.; Furrer, R.; Tebaldi, C.; [and others]. 2010. Challenges in combining projections from multiple climate models. Journal of Climate 23: 2739-2758.
16. Le Treut, H.; Somerville, R.; Cubasch, U.; [and others]. 2007: Historical overview of climate change. In: Climate change 2007: The physical science basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. [Solomon, S.; Qin, D.; Manning, M.; [and others], eds.]. New York: Cambridge University Press.
17. Littell, J.S.; Elsner, M.M.; Mauger, G.; [and others]. 2011. Regional climate and hydrologic change in the northern US Rockies and Pacific Northwest: Internally consistent projections of future climate for resource management. Draft Report: January 7, 2011. Spokane, WA: University of Washington, College of the Environment, Climate Impacts Group.
18. Mabey, N.; Gulledge, J.; Finel, B.; Silverthorne, K. 2011. Degrees of risk: defining a risk management framework for climate security. Washington, DC: Third Generation Environmentalism.
19. Manning, M.R.; Edmonds, J.; Emori, S.; [and others]. 2010. Misrepresentation of the IPCC CO2 emissions scenarios. Nature Geoscience 3: 376-377.
20. Mearns, L.O.; Giorgi, F.; Whetton, P.; [and others]. 2003. Guidelines for use of climate scenarios developed from regional climate model experiments. International Panel on Climate Change, Task Group on Scenarios for Climate Impact Assessment, Data Distribution Center.
21. Meehl, G.A.; Stocker, T.F.; Collins, W.D.; [and others]. 2007: Global climate projections. In: Climate change 2007: The physical science basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Solomon, S.; Qin, D.; Manning, M.; [and others], eds.]. New York: Cambridge University Press.
22. Nakicenovic, N.; Alcamo, J.; Davis, G.; [and others]. 2000. Special report on emissions scenarios: A Special Report of Working Group III of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge, U.K: Cambridge University Press. 599 pp.
23. Pennell, C.; Reichler, T. 2011. On the effective number of climate models. Journal of Climate 24: 2358-2367.
24. Peterson, D.L.; Miller, C.I.; Joyce, L.A.; [and others]. 2011. Responding to climate change on National Forests: A guidebook for developing adaptation options. Gen. Tech. Rep. PNW-GTR-855. Portland, OR: USDA Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station. 179 pp.
25. Pierce, D.W.; Barnett, T.P.; Santer, B.D.; Gleckler, P.J. 2009. Selecting global climate models for regional climate change studies. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 106(21): 8441-8446.
26. Pirtle, Z.; Meyer, R.; Hamilton, A. 2010. What does it mean when climate models agree? A case for assessing independence among general circulation models. Environmental Science Policy 13(5): 351-361.
27. Randall, D.A.; Wood, R.A.; Bony, S.; [and othrs]. 2007: Climate models and their evaluation. In: Climate change 2007: The physical science basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Solomon, S.; Qin, D.; Manning, M.; [and others], eds.]. New York: Cambridge University Press.
28. Ray, A.J.; Barsugli, J.; Avery, K. 2008. Climate change in Colorado: A synthesis to support water resources management and adaptation. Boulder, CO: Western Water Assessment.52 pp.
29. Reichler, T.; Kim, J. 2008. How well do coupled models simulate today's climate? BAMS 89:303-311.
30. Savonis, M.J.; Burkett, V.R.; Potter, J.R., eds. 2008. Impacts of climate change and variability on transportation systems and infrastructure: Golf Coast Study, Phase I. Synthesis and Assessment Product (SAP) 4.7. Washington, DC: U.S. Climate Change Science Program; Subcommittee on Global Change Research. 445 p.
31. Schmidli, J.; Goodess, C.M.; Frei, C.; [and others]. 2007. Statistical and dynamical downscaling of precipitation: An evaluation and comparison of scenarios for the European Alps. Journal of Geophysical Research. 112, D04105, doi:10.1029/2005JD007026.
32. Solomon, S.; Plattner, G.; Knutti, R.; Friedlingstein, P. 2009. Irreversible climate change due to carbon dioxide emissions. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 106(6): 1704-1709.
33. U.S. Forest Service. 2011. Navigating the climate change performance scorecard: A guide for national forests and grasslands (version 2, August 2011). Washington, DC: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest service. 104 p.
34. U.S. Forest Service. 2012. Future scenarios: A technical document supporting the Forest Service 2010 RPA Assessment. Gen. Tech. Rep. RMRS-GTR-272. Fort Collins, CO: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Research Station. 34 p.
35. Wilby, R.L.; Charles, S.P.; Zorita, E.; [and others]. 2004. Guidelines for use of climate scenarios developed from statistical downscaling methods. Geneva, Switzerland: Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.