메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 164, Issue , 2012, Pages 71-81

Evaluation of the impact of climatic trends and variability in rice-wheat system productivity using Cropping System Model DSSAT over the Indo-Gangetic Plains of India

Author keywords

Climatic variability; Cropping system; Decision support system; Potential yield; Sensitivity analysis; Simulated yield

Indexed keywords

CLIMATE VARIATION; CROP YIELD; CROPPING PRACTICE; DECISION MAKING; FOOD SECURITY; GROWING SEASON; NUMERICAL MODEL; POPULATION GROWTH; RICE; SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS; URBANIZATION; WHEAT;

EID: 84862303575     PISSN: 01681923     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.agrformet.2012.05.008     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (43)

References (57)
  • 1
    • 0004077494 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Long-term soil fertility experiments in rice-wheat cropping systems
    • Rice-Wheat Consortium Research Series 6, New Delhi, India.
    • Abrol, I.P., Bronson, K.F., Duxbury, J.M., Gupta, R.K., 2000. Long-term soil fertility experiments in rice-wheat cropping systems. Rice-Wheat Consortium Research Series 6, New Delhi, India.
    • (2000)
    • Abrol, I.P.1    Bronson, K.F.2    Duxbury, J.M.3    Gupta, R.K.4
  • 2
    • 0028979103 scopus 로고
    • A reassessment of the economic effects of global climate change on US agriculture
    • Adams R.M., Flemming R.A., Chang C.C., Mc Carl B.A., Rosenzweig C. A reassessment of the economic effects of global climate change on US agriculture. Clim. Change 1995, 30:147-167.
    • (1995) Clim. Change , vol.30 , pp. 147-167
    • Adams, R.M.1    Flemming, R.A.2    Chang, C.C.3    Mc Carl, B.A.4    Rosenzweig, C.5
  • 3
    • 85004662236 scopus 로고
    • Effect of probable increase in carbon dioxide and temperature on productivity of wheat in India
    • Aggarwal P.K., Sinha S.K. Effect of probable increase in carbon dioxide and temperature on productivity of wheat in India. J. Agric. Meteorol. 1993, 48:811-814.
    • (1993) J. Agric. Meteorol. , vol.48 , pp. 811-814
    • Aggarwal, P.K.1    Sinha, S.K.2
  • 4
    • 0028087086 scopus 로고
    • Analysing the limitations set by climatic factors genotype, water and nitrogen availability on productivity of wheat. II. Climatically potential yields and optimal management strategies
    • Aggarwal P.K., Kalra N. Analysing the limitations set by climatic factors genotype, water and nitrogen availability on productivity of wheat. II. Climatically potential yields and optimal management strategies. Field Crops Res. 1994, 38:93-103.
    • (1994) Field Crops Res. , vol.38 , pp. 93-103
    • Aggarwal, P.K.1    Kalra, N.2
  • 7
    • 0036172572 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate change and rice yields in diverse agro-environments of India. II. Effect of uncertainties in scenarios and crop models on impact assessment
    • Aggarwal P.K., Mall R.K. Climate change and rice yields in diverse agro-environments of India. II. Effect of uncertainties in scenarios and crop models on impact assessment. Clim. Change 2002, 52:331-343.
    • (2002) Clim. Change , vol.52 , pp. 331-343
    • Aggarwal, P.K.1    Mall, R.K.2
  • 8
    • 30444437701 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Impact of climate change on Indian Agriculture
    • Aggarwal P.K. Impact of climate change on Indian Agriculture. J. Plant Biol. 2003, 30:189-198.
    • (2003) J. Plant Biol. , vol.30 , pp. 189-198
    • Aggarwal, P.K.1
  • 9
    • 0034665678 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The impact of climatic variability and change on crop yield in Bulgaria
    • Alexandrov V.A., Hoogenboom G. The impact of climatic variability and change on crop yield in Bulgaria. Agric. For. Meteorol. 2000, 104(4):315-327.
    • (2000) Agric. For. Meteorol. , vol.104 , Issue.4 , pp. 315-327
    • Alexandrov, V.A.1    Hoogenboom, G.2
  • 10
    • 0036157090 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Trends of yield and soil nutrient status in a long-term rice-wheat experiment in the Indo-Gangetic Plains of India
    • Bhandari A.L., Ladha J.K., Pathak H., Padre A.T., Dawe D., Gupta R.K. Trends of yield and soil nutrient status in a long-term rice-wheat experiment in the Indo-Gangetic Plains of India. Soil Sci. Soc. Am. J. 2002, 66:162-170.
    • (2002) Soil Sci. Soc. Am. J. , vol.66 , pp. 162-170
    • Bhandari, A.L.1    Ladha, J.K.2    Pathak, H.3    Padre, A.T.4    Dawe, D.5    Gupta, R.K.6
  • 13
    • 0034073891 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Variations of temperature and precipitation in Italy from 1866 to 1995
    • Brunetti M., Maugeri M., Nanni T. Variations of temperature and precipitation in Italy from 1866 to 1995. Theor. Appl. Climatol 2000, 65:165-174.
    • (2000) Theor. Appl. Climatol , vol.65 , pp. 165-174
    • Brunetti, M.1    Maugeri, M.2    Nanni, T.3
  • 14
    • 18544367774 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Simulation of crop yields using ERA-40: limits to skill and non-stationarity in weather-yield relationships
    • Challinor A.J., Wheeler T.R., Slingo J.M., Craufurd P.Q., Grimes D.I.F. Simulation of crop yields using ERA-40: limits to skill and non-stationarity in weather-yield relationships. J. Appl. Climatol. 2005, 44:515-531.
    • (2005) J. Appl. Climatol. , vol.44 , pp. 515-531
    • Challinor, A.J.1    Wheeler, T.R.2    Slingo, J.M.3    Craufurd, P.Q.4    Grimes, D.I.F.5
  • 15
    • 0141761189 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Toward a combined seasonal weather and crop productivity forecasting system: determination of the working spatial scale
    • Challinor A.J., Slingo J.M., Wheeler T.R., Craufurd P.Q., Crimes D.I.F. Toward a combined seasonal weather and crop productivity forecasting system: determination of the working spatial scale. J. Appl. Meteorol. 2003, 42:175-192.
    • (2003) J. Appl. Meteorol. , vol.42 , pp. 175-192
    • Challinor, A.J.1    Slingo, J.M.2    Wheeler, T.R.3    Craufurd, P.Q.4    Crimes, D.I.F.5
  • 16
    • 84863208675 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • TREND: trend/change detection software manual, , CRC for Catchment Hydrology 29.
    • Chiew, F., Sirivardena, L., 2005. TREND: trend/change detection software manual, , CRC for Catchment Hydrology 29. http://www.toolkit.net.au/trend.
    • (2005)
    • Chiew, F.1    Sirivardena, L.2
  • 17
    • 0004302201 scopus 로고
    • Council on Soil Testing and Plant Analysis, Athens, GA, CSTPA
    • CSTPA Handbook on Reference Methods for Soil Testing 1974, Council on Soil Testing and Plant Analysis, Athens, GA.
    • (1974) Handbook on Reference Methods for Soil Testing
  • 18
    • 0000934681 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Improving the validation of model-simulated crop yield response to climate change: an application to the EPIC model
    • Easterling W.E., Chen X., Hays C., Brandle J.R., Zhang H. Improving the validation of model-simulated crop yield response to climate change: an application to the EPIC model. Clim. Res. 1996, 6:263-273.
    • (1996) Clim. Res. , vol.6 , pp. 263-273
    • Easterling, W.E.1    Chen, X.2    Hays, C.3    Brandle, J.R.4    Zhang, H.5
  • 20
    • 79959629705 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An indirect method for forecasting the annual food production of India
    • Gopinathan C.K. An indirect method for forecasting the annual food production of India. Curr. Sci. 2000, 79(1):23-24.
    • (2000) Curr. Sci. , vol.79 , Issue.1 , pp. 23-24
    • Gopinathan, C.K.1
  • 21
  • 22
    • 0003723634 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Meeting South Asia's future food requirements from rice-wheat cropping systems: priority issues facing researchers in the post Green Revolution era
    • NRG Paper 96-01. CIMMYT, Mexico.
    • Hobbs, P.R., Morris, M.L., 1996. Meeting South Asia's future food requirements from rice-wheat cropping systems: priority issues facing researchers in the post Green Revolution era. NRG Paper 96-01. CIMMYT, Mexico.
    • (1996)
    • Hobbs, P.R.1    Morris, M.L.2
  • 24
    • 84863184335 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Productivity, water use efficiency and hydrology of wheat on beds and flats in Punjab, India. CSIRO Land and Water Technical Report 03/04.
    • Humphreys, E., Thaman, S., Prashar, A., Gajri, P.R., Dhillon, S.S., Yadvinder-Singh, Nayyar, A., Timsina, J., Bijay-Singh, 2004. Productivity, water use efficiency and hydrology of wheat on beds and flats in Punjab, India. CSIRO Land and Water Technical Report 03/04.
    • (2004)
    • Humphreys, E.1    Thaman, S.2    Prashar, A.3    Gajri, P.R.4    Dhillon, S.S.5    Yadvinder-Singh Nayyar, A.6    Timsina, J.B.-S.7
  • 25
    • 0013123366 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climatic change and its impact on crop productivity in Punjab, India
    • Hundal S.S., Kaur P. Climatic change and its impact on crop productivity in Punjab, India. Climatic Variability and Agriculture 1996, pp. 377-393.
    • (1996) Climatic Variability and Agriculture , pp. 377-393
    • Hundal, S.S.1    Kaur, P.2
  • 26
    • 84863184340 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Prediction of potential productivity of rice in Punjab, India under synthetic climate change scenarios. In: modeling for crop-climate-soil-pest system and its applications in sustainable crop production
    • Hundal S.S., Kaur P., Dhaliwal L.K. Prediction of potential productivity of rice in Punjab, India under synthetic climate change scenarios. In: modeling for crop-climate-soil-pest system and its applications in sustainable crop production. Jiangsu Acad. Agric. Sci. 1998, 172-178.
    • (1998) Jiangsu Acad. Agric. Sci. , pp. 172-178
    • Hundal, S.S.1    Kaur, P.2    Dhaliwal, L.K.3
  • 27
    • 4344610993 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evaluation of agronomic practices for rice using computer model, CERES-Rice
    • Hundal S.S., Kaur P. Evaluation of agronomic practices for rice using computer model, CERES-Rice. Oryza 1999, 36.
    • (1999) Oryza , vol.36
    • Hundal, S.S.1    Kaur, P.2
  • 31
    • 84863184339 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Soil-climatic database for crop planning in India. NBSS Publ.53, NBSS&LUP, Nagpur.
    • Mandal, C., Mandal, D.K., Srinivas, C.V., Sehgal, J., Velayutham, M., 1999. Soil-climatic database for crop planning in India. NBSS Publ.53, NBSS&LUP, Nagpur.
    • (1999)
    • Mandal, C.1    Mandal, D.K.2    Srinivas, C.V.3    Sehgal, J.4    Velayutham, M.5
  • 34
    • 0004306987 scopus 로고
    • Estimation of available phosphorous in soils by extraction with sodium bicarbonate
    • USDA Circular No. 939, Washington, DC.
    • Olsen, S.R., Cole, C.V., Watanabe, F.S., Dean, L.A., 1954. Estimation of available phosphorous in soils by extraction with sodium bicarbonate. USDA Circular No. 939, Washington, DC.
    • (1954)
    • Olsen, S.R.1    Cole, C.V.2    Watanabe, F.S.3    Dean, L.A.4
  • 36
    • 0036019031 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Emission of nitrous oxide from soil in rice-wheat systems of Indo-Gangetic Plains of India
    • Pathak H., Bhatia A., Jain M.C., Kumar S., Singh S., Kumar U. Emission of nitrous oxide from soil in rice-wheat systems of Indo-Gangetic Plains of India. J. Environ. Monit. Assess. 2002, 77(2):163-178.
    • (2002) J. Environ. Monit. Assess. , vol.77 , Issue.2 , pp. 163-178
    • Pathak, H.1    Bhatia, A.2    Jain, M.C.3    Kumar, S.4    Singh, S.5    Kumar, U.6
  • 38
    • 31544467783 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Rice-wheat cropping systems in the Indo-Gangetic plains: policy redirections for sustainable resource use
    • Rice-Wheat Consortium Paper Series 5 RWC, Delhi, India.
    • Pingali, P.L., Shah, M., 1999. Rice-wheat cropping systems in the Indo-Gangetic plains: policy redirections for sustainable resource use. Sustaining rice-wheat production systems: socio-economic and policy issues. Rice-Wheat Consortium Paper Series 5 RWC, Delhi, India.
    • (1999) Sustaining rice-wheat production systems: socio-economic and policy issues.
    • Pingali, P.L.1    Shah, M.2
  • 39
    • 76449120700 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate change over India as revealed by critical extreme temperature analysis
    • Rao G.S.P., Murty M.K., Joshi U.R. Climate change over India as revealed by critical extreme temperature analysis. Mausam 2005, 56:601-608.
    • (2005) Mausam , vol.56 , pp. 601-608
    • Rao, G.S.P.1    Murty, M.K.2    Joshi, U.R.3
  • 40
    • 0028181936 scopus 로고
    • Potential impact of climate change on world food supply
    • Rosenweig C., Parry M.L. Potential impact of climate change on world food supply. Nature 1994, 367:133-138.
    • (1994) Nature , vol.367 , pp. 133-138
    • Rosenweig, C.1    Parry, M.L.2
  • 42
    • 0006835521 scopus 로고
    • The Z-index as a variable for crop yield estimation
    • Sakamoto C.M. The Z-index as a variable for crop yield estimation. Agric. Meteorol. 1978, 19:305-314.
    • (1978) Agric. Meteorol. , vol.19 , pp. 305-314
    • Sakamoto, C.M.1
  • 43
    • 0031860022 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Optimum transplanting dates for rice in Kerala India. Determined using both CERESv3.0 and ClimProb
    • Saseendran S.A., Hubbard K.G., Singh K.K., Mendiratta N., Rathore L.S., Singh S.V. Optimum transplanting dates for rice in Kerala India. Determined using both CERESv3.0 and ClimProb. Agron. J. 1998, 90:185-190.
    • (1998) Agron. J. , vol.90 , pp. 185-190
    • Saseendran, S.A.1    Hubbard, K.G.2    Singh, K.K.3    Mendiratta, N.4    Rathore, L.S.5    Singh, S.V.6
  • 45
    • 0033950948 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Effects of climate change on rice production in the tropical humid climate of Kerala, India
    • Saseendran S.A., Singh K.K., Rathore L.S., Singh S.V., Sinha S.K. Effects of climate change on rice production in the tropical humid climate of Kerala, India. Clim. Change 2000, 44:495-514.
    • (2000) Clim. Change , vol.44 , pp. 495-514
    • Saseendran, S.A.1    Singh, K.K.2    Rathore, L.S.3    Singh, S.V.4    Sinha, S.K.5
  • 46
    • 0032878866 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Trend analysis for monthly precipitation over the Iberian Peninsula for the period 1921-1995
    • Serrano A., Mateos V.L., Garcia J.A. Trend analysis for monthly precipitation over the Iberian Peninsula for the period 1921-1995. Phys. Chem. Earth 1999, 24:85-90.
    • (1999) Phys. Chem. Earth , vol.24 , pp. 85-90
    • Serrano, A.1    Mateos, V.L.2    Garcia, J.A.3
  • 47
    • 84863184338 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Use of simulation modelling to assess potential yield in the RW systems in different climatic environments: progress report
    • Sherchand K. Use of simulation modelling to assess potential yield in the RW systems in different climatic environments: progress report. Proceedings of the RW Research End of Project Workshop 1998.
    • (1998) Proceedings of the RW Research End of Project Workshop
    • Sherchand, K.1
  • 48
    • 0043027937 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Is there any change in extreme events like heavy rainfall?
    • Sinha Ray K.C., Srivastava A.K. Is there any change in extreme events like heavy rainfall?. Curr. Sci. 2000, 79(2):155-158.
    • (2000) Curr. Sci. , vol.79 , Issue.2 , pp. 155-158
    • Sinha Ray, K.C.1    Srivastava, A.K.2
  • 49
    • 0002256473 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Effect of long-term rice-wheat cropping sequence on yield and soil properties in reclaimed sodic soils
    • RWC Research Series 6, New Delhi.
    • Singh, K.N., Swarup, A., 2000. Effect of long-term rice-wheat cropping sequence on yield and soil properties in reclaimed sodic soils. In: Long-term Soil Fertility Experiments in Rice-Wheat Cropping Systems. RWC Research Series 6, New Delhi.
    • (2000) In: Long-term Soil Fertility Experiments in Rice-Wheat Cropping Systems.
    • Singh, K.N.1    Swarup, A.2
  • 50
    • 0033662571 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Environmental consequences of agricultural development: a case study from the Green Revolution state of Haryana, India
    • Singh R.B. Environmental consequences of agricultural development: a case study from the Green Revolution state of Haryana, India. Agric. Ecosyst. Environ. 2000, 82:97-103.
    • (2000) Agric. Ecosyst. Environ. , vol.82 , pp. 97-103
    • Singh, R.B.1
  • 51
    • 0026958316 scopus 로고
    • Using crop models for sustainability and environmental quality assessment
    • Singh U., Thornton P.K. Using crop models for sustainability and environmental quality assessment. Outlook Agric. 1992, 21:209-218.
    • (1992) Outlook Agric. , vol.21 , pp. 209-218
    • Singh, U.1    Thornton, P.K.2
  • 52
    • 80051898004 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Trend detection in rainfall and evaluation of standardized precipitation index as a drought assessment index for rice-wheat productivity over IGR in India
    • Subash N., Ram Mohan H.S. Trend detection in rainfall and evaluation of standardized precipitation index as a drought assessment index for rice-wheat productivity over IGR in India. Int. J. Climatol. 2010, 31(11):1694-1709.
    • (2010) Int. J. Climatol. , vol.31 , Issue.11 , pp. 1694-1709
    • Subash, N.1    Ram Mohan, H.S.2
  • 53
    • 79951810389 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An investigation into observational characteristics of rainfall temperature in Central Northeast India-a historical perspective 1889-2008
    • Subash N., Sikka A.K., Ram Mohan H.S. An investigation into observational characteristics of rainfall temperature in Central Northeast India-a historical perspective 1889-2008. Theor. Appl. Climatol. 2010, 103:305-319.
    • (2010) Theor. Appl. Climatol. , vol.103 , pp. 305-319
    • Subash, N.1    Sikka, A.K.2    Ram Mohan, H.S.3
  • 54
    • 0000610645 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Addressing sustainability of RW systems: analysis of long-term experimentation and simulation
    • Kluwer Academic Publishers, Dordrecht, The Netherlands
    • timsina J., Singh U., Singh Y. Addressing sustainability of RW systems: analysis of long-term experimentation and simulation. Application of Systems Approaches at the Field Level 1996, Kluwer Academic Publishers, Dordrecht, The Netherlands.
    • (1996) Application of Systems Approaches at the Field Level
    • timsina, J.1    Singh, U.2    Singh, Y.3
  • 55
    • 84863220161 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modelling and simulation of rice, wheat and maize crops for selected sites and the potential effects of climate change on their productivity in Nepal. Consultancy Report submitted to Ministry of Agriculture, Harihar Bhawan, Kathmandu, Nepal.
    • Timsina, J., Adhikari, B., Ganesh, K.C., 1997. Modelling and simulation of rice, wheat and maize crops for selected sites and the potential effects of climate change on their productivity in Nepal. Consultancy Report submitted to Ministry of Agriculture, Harihar Bhawan, Kathmandu, Nepal.
    • (1997)
    • Timsina, J.1    Adhikari, B.2    Ganesh, K.C.3
  • 56
    • 0031803488 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Cultivar, nitrogen and moisture effects on a RW sequence: experimentation and simulation
    • Timsina J., Singh U., Badaruddin M., Meisner C. Cultivar, nitrogen and moisture effects on a RW sequence: experimentation and simulation. Agron. J. 1998, 90:119-130.
    • (1998) Agron. J. , vol.90 , pp. 119-130
    • Timsina, J.1    Singh, U.2    Badaruddin, M.3    Meisner, C.4
  • 57
    • 84929047274 scopus 로고
    • Estimation of soil organic carbon by the chromic acid titration method
    • Walkley A., Black I.A. Estimation of soil organic carbon by the chromic acid titration method. Soil Sci. 1934, 37:29-38.
    • (1934) Soil Sci. , vol.37 , pp. 29-38
    • Walkley, A.1    Black, I.A.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.