Age-structured dynamic, stochastic and mechanistic simulation model of Salmonella Dublin infection within dairy herds

Preventive Veterinary Medicine

Volumn 105, Issue 1-2, 2012, Pages 59-74

  Nielsen, Liza Rosenbaum ^a   Kudahl, Anne Braad ^b   Østergaard, Søren ^b  

^a UNIVERSITY OF COPENHAGEN   (Denmark)

^b AARHUS UNIVERSITY   (Denmark)

Author keywords

Cattle; Dairy herd; Salmonella Dublin; Simulation model; Transmission

Indexed keywords

AGE; ANIMAL; ANIMAL DISEASE; ANIMAL HUSBANDRY; ANIMAL SALMONELLOSIS; ARTICLE; BIOLOGICAL MODEL; CATTLE; CATTLE DISEASE; COMPUTER SIMULATION; DAIRYING; DISEASE TRANSMISSION; FEMALE; HETEROZYGOTE; INCIDENCE; MICROBIOLOGY; MONTE CARLO METHOD; PHYSIOLOGY; POPULATION DENSITY; POPULATION DYNAMICS; REPRODUCTION; SALMONELLA ENTERICA; SEASON; STATISTICS; TIME;

AGE FACTORS; ANIMAL HUSBANDRY; ANIMALS; CARRIER STATE; CATTLE; CATTLE DISEASES; COMPUTER SIMULATION; DAIRYING; FEMALE; INCIDENCE; MODELS, BIOLOGICAL; MONTE CARLO METHOD; POPULATION DENSITY; POPULATION DYNAMICS; REPRODUCTION; SALMONELLA ENTERICA; SALMONELLA INFECTIONS, ANIMAL; SEASONS; STOCHASTIC PROCESSES; TIME FACTORS;

ANIMALIA; BOS; SALMONELLA ENTERICA SUBSP. ENTERICA SEROVAR DUBLIN;

EID: 84860247726     PISSN: 01675877     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2012.02.005     Document Type: Article

References (54)

1. Abbey H. An examination of Reed-Frost theory of epidemics. Hum. Biol. 1952, 24:201-233.
2. Carrique-Mas J.J., Willmington J.A., Papadopoulou C., Watson E.N., Davies R.H. Salmonella infection in cattle in Great Britain, 2003 to 2008. Vet. Rec. 2010, 167:560-565.
3. Chambers P.G., Lysons R.J. The inhibitory effect of bovine rumen fluid on Salmonella typhimurium. Res. Vet. Sci. 1979, 26:273-276.
4. Chapagain P.P., van Kessel J., Karns J., Wolfgang D., Hovingh E., Nelen K., Schukken Y.H., Gröhn Y.T. A mathematical model of the dynamics of Salmonella Cerro infection in a US dairy herd. Epidemiol. Infect. 2007, 136:263-272.
5. De Jong H. Salmonellosis in calves - the effect of dose rate and other factors on transmission. N. Z. Vet. J. 1965, 13:59-64.
6. Hardman P.M., Wathes C.M., Wray C. Transmission of salmonellae among calves penned individually. Vet. Rec. 1991, 129:327-329.
7. Helms M., Vastrup P., Gerner-Smidt P., Mølbak K. Short and long term mortality associated with foodborne bacterial gastrointestinal infections: registry based study. Br. Med. J. 2003, 326:357-361.
8. House J.K., Smith B.P., Dilling G.W., Roden L.D. Enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay for serologic detection of Salmonella dublin carriers on a large dairy. Am. J. Vet. Res. 1993, 54:1391-1399.
9. Jensen A.M., Kjeldsen A.M., Alban L. Sanering for Salmonella Dublin i 6 malkekvægsbesætninger. En case-undersøgelse. Dan. Veterinærtidsskr. 2004, 87:26-36.
10. Jordan D., Nielsen L.R., Warnick L.D. Modelling a national programme for the control of foodborne pathogens in livestock: the case of Salmonella Dublin in the Danish cattle industry. Epidemiol. Infect. 2008, 136:1521-1536.
11. Kudahl A.B., Østergaard S., Sørensen J.T., Nielsen S.S. A stochastic model simulating paratuberculosis in a dairy herd. Prev. Vet. Med. 2007, 78:97-117.
12. Lanzas C., Brien S., Ivanek R., Lo Y., Chapagain P.P., Ray K.A., Ayscue P., Warnick L.D., Grohn Y.T. The effect of heterogeneous infectious period and contagiousness on the dynamics of Salmonella transmission in dairy cattle. Epidemiol. Infect. 2008, 136:1496-1510.
13. Maguire H., Cowden J., Jacob M., Rowe B., Roberts D., Bruce J., Mitchell E. An outbreak of Salmonella dublin infection in England and Wales associated with a soft unpasteurized cows' milk cheese. Epidemiol. Infect. 1992, 109:389-396.
14. Mattila T., Frost A.J., O'Boyle D. The growth of salmonella in rumen fluid from cattle at slaughter. Epidemiol. Infect. 1988, 101:337-345.
15. McLaren I.M., Wray C. Epidemiology of Salmonella typhimurium infection in calves: persistence of salmonellae on calf units. Vet. Rec. 1991, 29:461-462.
16. Mizuno T., McLennan M., Trott D. Intramuscular vaccination of young calves with a Salmonella Dublin metabolic-drift mutant provides superior protection to oral delivery. Vet. Res. 2008, 39:26.
17. Morisse J.P., Cotte J.P. Evaluation of some risks factors in bovine salmonellosis. Vet. Res. 1994, 25:185-191.
18. Nazer A.H.K., Osborne A.D. Experimental Salmonella Dublin infection in Calves. Br. Vet. J. 1977, 133:388-398.
19. Nielsen, L.R., 2003. Salmonella Dublin in dairy cattle: use of diagnostic tests for investigation of risk factors and infection dynamics. PhD thesis. The Royal Veterinary and Agricultural University, pp. 1-219.
20. Nielsen L.R., Baggesen D.L., Aabo S., Moos M.K., Rattenborg E. Prevalence and risk factors for Salmonella in veal calves at Danish cattle abattoirs. Epidemiol. Infect. 2011, 139:1075-1080.
21. Nielsen L.R., Rattenborg E. Active surveillance and control programme for salmonella Dublin in cattle: alternatives to acceptance of endemic infection with poor control options. Epidemiologie & Santé Animale Proceedings of the International Conference on Animal Health Surveillance (ICAHS) 2011, 210-212.
22. Nielsen L.R., Toft N., Ersbøll A.K. Evaluation of an indirect serum ELISA and a bacteriological faecal culture test for diagnosis of Salmonella serotype Dublin in cattle using latent class models. J. Appl. Microbiol. 2004, 96:311-319.
23. Nielsen L.R., van den Borne B., van Schaik G. Salmonella Dublin infection in young dairy calves: transmission parameters estimated from field data and an SIR-model. Prev. Vet. Med. 2007, 79:46-58.
24. Nielsen L.R., Warnick L.D., Greiner M. Risk factors for changing test classification in the Danish surveillance program for Salmonella in dairy herds. J. Dairy Sci. 2007, 90:2815-2825.
25. Nielsen L.R., Nielsen S.S. A structured approach to control of Salmonella Dublin in 10 Danish dairy herds based on risk scoring and test-and-manage procedures. Food Res. Int. 2012, 45:1158-1165.
26. Nielsen T.D., Nielsen L.R., Toft N., Houe H. Association between bulk-tank milk Salmonella antibody level and high calf mortality in Danish dairy herds. J. Dairy Sci. 2010, 93:304-310.
27. Østergaard S., Chagunda M.G.G., Friggens N.C., Bennedsgaard T.W., Klaas I.C. A stochastic model simulating pathogen-specific mastitis control in a dairy herd. J. Dairy Sci. 2005, 88:4243-4257.
28. Østergaard S., Sørensen J.T., Kristensen A.R. A stochastic model simulating the feeding-health-production complex in a dairy herd. J. Dairy Sci. 2000, 83:721-733.
29. Peters A.R. An estimation of the economic-impact of an outbreak of Salmonella-Dublin in a calf rearing unit. Vet. Rec. 1985, 117:667-668.
30. Reeves A., Salman M.A., Hill A.E. Approaches for evaluating veterinary epidemiological models: verification, validation and limitations. Rev. Sci. Tech. 2011, 30:499-512.
31. Richardson A., Watson W.A. A contribution to the epidemiology of Salmonella Dublin infection in cattle. Br. Vet. J. 1971, 127:173-182.
32. Robertsson J.A. Humoral antibody responses to experimental and spontaneous Salmonella infections in cattle measured by ELISA. Zentralbl. Veterinarmed. B 1984, 31:367-380.
33. Segall T., Lindberg A.A. Experimental oral Salmonella dublin infection in calves: a bacteriological and pathological study. J. Vet. Med. B. 1991, 38:169-184.
34. Silva D.G., Silva P.R.L., Fagliari J.J., ávila F.A., Alessi A.C., Oliveira R.G. Avaliação clínica da infecção experimental de bezerros com Salmonella Dublin. Arq. Bras. Med. Vet. Zoo. 2008, 60:251-255.
35. Smith B.P., Dilling G.W., Roden L.D., Stocker B.-A.D. Vaccination of calves with orally administered aromatic-dependent Salmonella dublin. Am. J. Vet. Res. 1993, 54:1249-1255.
36. Smith B.P., Oliver D.G., Singh P., Dilling G., Marvin P.A., Ram B.P., Jang L.S., Sharkov N., Orsborn J.S. Detection of Salmonella dublin mammary gland infection in carrier cows, using an ELISA for antibody in milk or serum. Am. J. Vet. Res. 1989, 50:1352-1360.
37. Sojka W.J., Thomson P.D., Hudson E.B. Excretion of Salmonella dublin by adult bovine carriers. Br. Vet. J. 1974, 130:482-488.
38. Steinbach G., Koch H., Meyer H., Klaus C. Influence of prior infection on the dynamics of bacterial counts in calves experimentally infected with Salmonella dublin. Vet. Microbiol. 1996, 48:199-206.
39. Steinbach G., Methner U., Koch H., Meyer H. Intercurrent infections as a cause for the development of Salmonella carriers. Proceedings of the International Symposium Salmonella and Salmonellosis Ploufragan 1997, 255-260.
40. Taylor R.J. A further assessment of the potential hazard for calves allowed to graze pasture contaminated with Salmonella Dublin in slurry. Br. Vet. J. 1973, 129:354-358.
41. Taylor R.J., Burrows M.R. The survival of Escherichia coli and Salmonella Dublin in slurry on pasture and the infectivity of S. Dublin for grazing calves. Br. Vet. J. 1971, 127:536-542.
42. van Schaik G., Klinkenberg D., Veling J., Stegeman J.A. Transmission of Salmonella in dairy herds quantified in the endemic situation. Vet. Res. 2007, 38:861-869.
43. van Schaik G., Schukken Y.H., Nielen M., Dijkhuizen A.A., Barkema H.W., Benedictus G. Probability of and risk factors for introduction of infectious diseases into Dutch SPF dairy farms: a cohort study. Prev. Vet. Med. 2002, 54:279-289.
44. Veling, J., 2004. Diagnosis and control of Salmonella Dublin infections on Dutch dairy farms. PhD thesis. Animal Health Service, Deventer, The Netherlands, pp. 1-173.
45. Veling J., Barkema H.W., van der Schans J., van Zijderveld F., Verhoeff J. Herd-level diagnosis for Salmonella enterica subsp. enterica Serovar Dublin infection in bovine dairy herds. Prev. Vet. Med. 2002, 53:31-42.
46. Veling J., van Zijderveld F.G., Zijderveld-van Bemmel A.M., Barkema H.W., Schukken Y.H. Evaluation of three newly developed enzyme-linked immunosorbent assays and two agglutination tests for detecting Salmonella enterica subsp. enterica Serovar Dublin infections in dairy cattle. J. Clin. Microbiol. 2000, 38:4402-4407.
47. Visser S.C., Veling J., Dijkhuizen A.A., Huirne R.B.M. Economic losses due to Salmonella dublin in dairy cattle. Proceedings of the Dutch/Danish Symposium on Animal Health and Management Economics 1997, 143-151. A.R. Kristensen (Ed.).
48. Warnick L.D., Kanistanon K., McDonough P.L., Power L. Effect of previous antimicrobial treatment on fecal shedding of Salmonella enterica subsp. enterica serogroup B in New York dairy herds with recent clinical salmonellosis. Prev. Vet. Med. 2003, 56:285-297.
49. Weber M.F., van Schaik G., Veling J. Control of Salmonella Spp. in dairy herds: effect of a culling-strategy for carriers. Proceedings of the 12th Symposium of the International Society for Veterinary Epidemiology and Economics (ISVEE) 2009, 289.
50. Wray C., Davies R.H. Salmonella infections in cattle. Salmonella in Domestic Animals 2000, 169-190. CABI Publishing, New York, NY. C. Wray, A. Wray (Eds.).
51. Wray C., Sojka W.J. Salmonella dublin infection of calves: use of small doses to simulate natural infection on the farm. J. Hyg. 1981, 87:501-509.
52. Wray C., Wadsworth Q.C., Richards D.W., Morgan J.H. A three-year study of Salmonella Dublin infection in a closed dairy herd. Vet. Rec. 1989, 124:532-535.
53. Xiao Y., Bowers R.G., Clancy D., French N.P. Understanding the dynamics of Salmonella infections in dairy herds: a modelling approach. J. Theor. Biol. 2005, 233:159-175.
54. Xiao Y., Bowers R.G., Clancy D., French N.P. Dynamics of infection with multiple transmission mechanisms in unmanaged/managed animal populations. Theor. Popul. Biol. 2007, 71:408-423.