On the persisting difficulty of making predictions, especially about the future

Journal of Neurosurgery

Volumn 116, Issue 4, 2012, Pages 866-869

  Macdonald, R Loch ^a,b  

^a ST MICHAEL'S HOSPITAL   (Canada)

^b UNIVERSITY OF TORONTO   (Canada)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

AGE; ANEURYSM; ANEURYSM RUPTURE; COIL EMBOLIZATION; EDITORIAL; FAMILY HISTORY; HUMAN; INTRACRANIAL ANEURYSM; KIDNEY POLYCYSTIC DISEASE; MEDICAL DECISION MAKING; PREDICTION; PREVALENCE; PRIORITY JOURNAL; SEX DIFFERENCE; SUBARACHNOID HEMORRHAGE; SYSTEMATIC REVIEW (TOPIC); UNRUPTURED ANEURYSM; BRAIN ANGIOGRAPHY; COMPUTER ASSISTED DIAGNOSIS; FEMALE; MALE; NOTE; PATHOLOGY; THREE DIMENSIONAL IMAGING; VASCULAR SMOOTH MUSCLE;

ANEURYSM, RUPTURED; CEREBRAL ANGIOGRAPHY; FEMALE; HUMANS; IMAGE INTERPRETATION, COMPUTER-ASSISTED; IMAGING, THREE-DIMENSIONAL; INTRACRANIAL ANEURYSM; MALE; MUSCLE, SMOOTH, VASCULAR;

EID: 84859353764     PISSN: 00223085     EISSN: 19330693     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.3171/2011.9.JNS111393     Document Type: Editorial

References (18)

1. Baharoglu MI, Lauric A, Gao BL, Malek AM: Identification of a dichotomy in morphological predictors of rupture status being sidewall- and bifurcation-type intracranial aneurysms. Clinical article. J Neurosurg [epub ahead of print January 13, 2012. DOI: 10.3171/2011.11.JNS11311]
2. Broderick JP, Brown RD Jr, Sauerbeck L, Hornung R, Huston J III, Woo D, et al: Greater rupture risk for familial as compared to sporadic unruptured intracranial aneurysms. Stroke 40:1952-1957, 2009
3. Huang MC, Baaj AA, Downes K, Youssef AS, Sauvageau E, van Loveren HR, et al: Paradoxical trends in the management of unruptured cerebral aneurysms in the United States: analysis of nationwide database over a 10-year period. Stroke 42:1730-1735, 2011
4. Koffijberg H, Buskens E, Algra A, Wermer MJH, Rinkel GJE: Growth rates of intracranial aneurysms: exploring constancy. J Neurosurg 109:176-185, 2008
5. Lall RR, Eddleman CS, Bendok BR, Batjer HH: Unruptured intracranial aneurysms and the assessment of rupture risk based on anatomical and morphological factors: sifting through the sands of data. Neurosurg Focus 26(5):E2, 2009
6. Lanterna LA, Tredici G, Dimitrov BD, Biroli F: Treatment of unruptured cerebral aneurysms by embolization with guglielmi detachable coils: case-fatality, morbidity, and effectiveness in preventing bleeding - a systematic review of the literature. Neurosurgery 55:767-778, 2004 (Pubitemid 39315025)
7. Lovelock CE, Rinkel GJ, Rothwell PM: Time trends in outcome of subarachnoid hemorrhage: population-based study and systematic review. Neurology 74:1494-1501, 2010
8. Ogilvy CS, Stieg PE, Awad I, Brown RD Jr, Kondziolka D, Rosenwasser R, et al: AHA Scientific Statement: Recommendations for the management of intracranial arteriovenous malformations: a statement for healthcare professionals from a special writing group of the Stroke Council, American Stroke Association. Stroke 32:1458-1471, 2001 (Pubitemid 32530442)
9. Raaymakers TW, Rinkel GJ, Ramos LM: Initial and follow-up screening for aneurysms in families with familial subarachnoid hemorrhage. Neurology 51:1125-1130, 1998 (Pubitemid 28473412)
10. Rahman M, Ogilvy CS, Zipfel GJ, Derdeyn CP, Siddiqui AH, Bulsara KR, et al: Unruptured cerebral aneurysms do not shrink when they rupture: multicenter collaborative aneurysm study group. Neurosurgery 68:155-161, 2011
11. Richardson AE, Jane JA, Payne PM: Assessment of the natural history of anterior communicating aneurysms. J Neurosurg 21:266-274, 1964
12. Richardson AE, Jane JA, Yashon D: Prognostic factors in the untreated course of posterior communicating aneurysms. Arch Neurol 14:172-176, 1966
13. Rinkel GJ: Natural history, epidemiology and screening of unruptured intracranial aneurysms. J Neuroradiol 35:99-103, 2008
14. Stapf C: Endovascular management of unruptured intracranial aneurysms: the dawn of a multidisciplinary treatment paradigm. J Neurol Neurosurg Psychiatry 77:e1, 2006 [Erratum in J Neurol Neurosurg Psychiatry 77:804, 2006]
15. Ventikos Y, Holland EC, Bowker TJ, Watton PN, Kakalis NM, Megahed M, et al: Computational modelling for cerebral aneurysms: risk evaluation and interventional planning. Br J Radiol 82 (Spec No 1):S62-S71, 2009
16. Vlak MH, Algra A, Brandenburg R, Rinkel GJ: Prevalence of unruptured intracranial aneurysms, with emphasis on sex, age, comorbidity, country, and time period: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Lancet Neurol 10:626-636, 2011
17. Wermer MJ, van der Schaaf IC, Algra A, Rinkel GJ: Risk of rupture of unruptured intracranial aneurysms in relation to patient and aneurysm characteristics: an updated meta-analysis. Stroke 38:1404-1410, 2007 (Pubitemid 351664233)
18. Wiebers DO, Whisnant JP, Huston J III, Meissner I, Brown RD Jr, Piepgras DG, et al: Unruptured intracranial aneurysms: natural history, clinical outcome, and risks of surgical and endovascular treatment. Lancet 362:103-110, 2003 (Pubitemid 36831019)