Methodological framework of the PESETA project on the impacts of climate change in Europe

Climatic Change

Volumn 112, Issue 1, 2012, Pages 7-28

  Christensen, Ole B ^a   Goodess, Clare M ^b   Ciscar, Juan Carlos ^c  

^a DANISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE   (Denmark)

^b UNIVERSITY OF EAST ANGLIA   (United Kingdom)

^c JOINT RESEARCH CENTRE   (Italy)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

CLIMATE CHANGE SCENARIOS; CLIMATE SCENARIOS; COASTAL SYSTEMS; ECONOMIC VALUATION; HIGH RESOLUTION; HUMAN HEALTH; INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT; METHODOLOGICAL FRAMEWORKS; MULTI-DISCIPLINARY; SOURCES OF UNCERTAINTY;

EXTRATERRESTRIAL ATMOSPHERES; PLANETARY SURFACE ANALYSIS;

CLIMATE CHANGE;

CLIMATE CHANGE; CLIMATE EFFECT; COASTAL ZONE; ECONOMIC IMPACT; PUBLIC HEALTH; RESEARCH WORK; UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS;

EUROPE;

EID: 84859268424     PISSN: 01650009     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s10584-011-0337-9     Document Type: Article

References (43)

1. Amelung B, Moreno A (2011) Costing the impact of climate change on tourism in Europe: results from the PESETA project. Climatic Change.
2. Beniston M, Stephenson DB, Christensen OB, Ferro CAT, Frei C, Goyette S, Halsnaes K, Holt T, Jylhä K, Koffi B, Palutikof JP, Schöll R, Semmler T, Woth K (2007) Future extreme events in European climate: an exploration of regional climate model projections. Clim Chang 81: 71-95.
3. Bosello F, Nicholls R, Richards J, Roson R, Tol RSJ (2011) Economic impacts of climate change in Europe: sea-level rise. Climatic Change.
4. Carter TR (2007) Assessing the adaptive capacity of the Finnish environment and society under a changing climate: FINADAPT, Finnish Environment, 1/2007, 76.
5. Carter TR, Jones RN, Lu X, Bhadwal S, Conde C, Mearns LO, O'Neill BC, Rounsevell MDA, Zurek MB (2007) New assessment methods and the characterisation of future conditions. In: Parry ML, Canziani OF, Palutikof JP, van der Linden PJ, Hanson CE (eds) Climate change 2007: impacts, adaptation and vulnerability. Contribution of working group II to the fourth assessment report of the intergovernmental panel on climate change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp 133-171.
6. Christensen JH, Christensen OB (2007) A summary of the PRUDENCE model projections of changes in European climate by the end of this century. Clim Chang 81: 7-30.
7. Christensen JH, Carter TR, Rummukainen M (2007) Evaluating the performance and utility of regional climate models: the PRUDENCE project. Clim Chang 81: 1-6.
8. Ciscar JC, Szabó L, van Regemorter D, Soria A (2011) The integration of PESETA sectoral economic impacts into GEM-E3 Europe: methodology and results. Climatic Change.
9. Darwin RF, Tol RSJ (2001) Estimates of the economic effects of sea level rise. Environ Resour Econ 19: 113-129.
10. Déqué M, Rowell DP, Lüthi D, Giorgi F, Christensen JH, Rockel B, Jacob D, Kjellström E, de Castro M, van den Hurk B (2007) An intercomparison of regional climate simulations for Europe: assessing uncertainties in model projections. Clim Chang 81: 53-70.
11. Dessai S, Hulme M (2004) Does climate adaptation policy need probabilities? Clim Pol 4: 107-128.
12. European Commission (2009) White paper "adapting to climate change: towards a European framework for action", COM(2009) 147 final.
13. Feyen L, Dankers R, Bódis, K, Salamon P, Barredo JI (2011) Climate warming and future flood risk in Europe. Climatic Change.
14. Fronzek S, Carter TR (2007) Assessing uncertainties in climate change impacts on resource potential for Europe based on projections from RCMs and GCMs. Clim Chang 81: 357-371.
15. Hayhoe K, Cayan D, Field CB, Peter FC, Maurer EP, Miller NL, Moser SC, Schneider SH, Cahill KN, Cleland EE, Dale L, Drapek R, Hanemann RM, Kalkstein LS, Lenihan J, Lunch CK, Neilson RP, Sheridan SC, Verville JH (2004) Emissions pathways, climate change, and impacts on California. Proc Natl Acad Sci 101: 12422-12427.
16. Hinkel J, Klein RJT (2006) Integrating knowledge for assessing coastal vulnerability to climate change. In: McFadden L, Penning-Rowsell EC (eds) Managing coastal vulnerability: an integrated approach. Elsevier Science.
17. Hitz S, Smith J (2004) Estimating global impacts from climate change. Glob Environ Chang 14: 201-218.
18. Iglesias A, Garrote L, Quiroga, M, Moneo M (2011) A regional comparison of the effects of climate change on agriculture in Europe. Climatic Change.
19. IPCC (2001) In: Houghton JT, Ding Y, Griggs DJ, Noguer M, van der Linden PJ, Dai X, Maskell K, Johnson CA (eds) Climate change 2001: the scientific basis-contribution of working group I to the third assessment report of the intergovernmental panel on climate change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA.
20. IPCC (2007) In: Solomon S, Qin D, Manning M, Marquis M, Averyt K, Tignor MMB, Miller HL Jr, Chen Z (eds) Climate change 2007: the physical science basis-contribution of working group I to the fourth assessment report of the intergovernmental panel on climate change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA.
21. Jacob D, 18 others (2007) An inter-comparison of regional climate models for Europe: model performance in present-day climate. Climatic Change 81: 31-52.
22. Jorgenson DW, Goettle RJ, Hurd BH, Smith JS (2004) U. S. market consequences of climate change, Pew Center on Global Climate Change.
23. Kjellström E, Giorgi F (2010) Introduction to special issue. Clim Res 44: 117-119. doi: 10. 3354/cr00976.
24. Kjellström E, Bärring L, Gollvik S, Hansson U, Jones C, Samuelsson P, Rummukainen M, Ullerstig A, Willén U, Wyser K (2005) A 140-year simulation of European climate with the new version of the Rossby Centre regional atmospheric climate model (RCA3). SMHI report No. 108. Available as http://www. smhi. se/publikationer/a-140-year-simulation-of-european-climate-with-the-new-version-of-77the-rossby-centre-regional-atmospheric-climate-model-rca3-1. 2107.
25. Kjellström E, Bärring L, Jacob D, Jones R, Lenderink G, Schär C (2007) Modelling daily temperature extremes: recent climate and future changes over Europe. Clim Chang 81: 249-265.
26. Levina E, Tirpak D (2006) Adaptation to climate change: key terms. (CON/ENV/EPOC/IEA/SLT(2006)1), OECD.
27. Mearns LO, Giorgi F, Whetton P, Pabon D, Hulme M, Lal M (2003) Guidelines for use of climate scenarios developed from regional climate model experiments, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Task Group on Data and Scenario Support for Impacts and Climate Analysis (TGICA). Available from: http://www. ipcc-data. org/guidelines/dgm_no1_v1_10-2003. pdf.
28. Mendelsohn R, Neumann JE (1999) The impact of climate change on the United States economy, Cambridge Univ. Press.
29. Menne B, Ebi KL (eds) (2006) Climate change and adaptation strategies for human health. WHO (Europe).
30. Nakicenovic N, 27 others (2000) Emissions scenarios, a special report of working group III of the intergovernmental panel on climate change. Cambridge, United Kingdom: Cambridge University Press.
31. Nordhaus W (2007) Critical assumptions in the stern review on climate change. Science 317: 201-202.
32. Ruth M, Donaghy K, Kishen P (2006) Regional climate change and variability. Impacts and Responses, Edward Elgar.
33. Schmidli J, Goodess CM, Frei C, Haylock MR, Hundecha Y, Ribalaygua J, Schmith T (2007) Statistical and dynamical downscaling of precipitation: an evaluation and comparison of scenarios for the European Alps. J Geophys Res 112: D04105. doi: 10. 1029/2005JD007026.
34. Schröter D, et al. (2005) Ecosystem service supply and vulnerability to global change in Europe. Science 310 25 November 2005.
35. Shoven JB, Whalley YJ (1992) Applying general equilibrium, Cambridge University Press.
36. Stern N, Taylor C (2007) Climate change: risk, ethics, and the Stern review. Science 317: 203-204.
37. TGICA (2007) General guidelines on the use of scenario data for climate impact and adaptation assessment. Version 2, June 2007, Task Group on Data and Scenario Support for Impact and Climate Assessment, available at http://www. ipcc-data. org/guidelines/TGICA_guidance_sdciaa_v2_final. pdf.
38. Tol RSJ (2005) The DIVA model: socio-economic scenarios, impacts and adaptation, and world heritage, available at http://diva. demis. nl/files/folders/downloads/entry25. aspx.
39. van der Linden P, Mitchell JFB (eds) (2009) ENSEMBLES: climate change and its impacts: summary of research and results from the ENSEMBLES project. Met Office Hadley Centre, Fitzroy Road, Exeter EX1 3PB, UK. p 160.
40. van Regemorter D (2005) GEM-E3. Computable General equilibrium model for studying economy-energy-environment interactions for Europe and the world, available at http://www. gem-e3. net/download/GEMmodel. pdf.
41. van Vuuren D, O'Neill BC (2006) The consistency of IPCC's SRES scenarios to 1990-2000 trends and recent projections. Clim Chang 75(1-2): 9-46.
42. Watkiss P, Hunt A (2011) Projection of economic impacts of climate change in sectors of europe based on bottom up analysis: human health. Climatic Change.
43. Wilby RL, Charles SP, Zorita E, Timbal B, Whetton P, Mearns LO (2004) Guidelines for use of climate scenarios developed from statistical downscaling methods, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Task Group on Data and Scenario Support for Impacts and Climate Analysis (TGICA), available at http://ipcc-ddc. cru. uea. ac. uk/guidelines/StatDown_Guide. pdf.