Tropical transition of a Mediterranean storm by jet crossing

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society

Volumn 138, Issue 664, 2012, Pages 596-611

  Chaboureau, Jean Pierre ^a   Pantillon, Florian ^a   Lambert, Dominique ^a   Richard, Evelyne ^a   Claud, Chantal ^b  

^a UNIVERSITÉ DE TOULOUSE   (France)

^b ECOLE POLYTECHNIQUE   (France)

Author keywords

Jet crossing; Mediterranean storm; Mesoscale modelling; Tropical transition

Indexed keywords

CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY; DIFFERENT SCALE; ECHELLE; EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS; EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION; IN-SITU; INITIAL CONDITIONS; LEAD TIME; LOW RESOLUTION; MESOSCALE MODEL; MESOSCALE MODELLING; SATELLITE OBSERVATIONS; STATIC STABILITY; TROPICAL STORMS; TROPICAL TRANSITION; UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH;

TROPICS; WEATHER FORECASTING;

STORMS;

AIRCRAFT; ATMOSPHERIC MODELING; MESOSCALE METEOROLOGY; TROPICAL CYCLONE; TROPOSPHERE; WEATHER FORECASTING;

ITALY;

EID: 84859153178     PISSN: 00359009     EISSN: 1477870X     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1002/qj.960     Document Type: Article

References (49)

1. Anwender D, Harr PA, Jones SC. 2008. Predictability associated with the downstream impacts of the extratropical transition of tropical cyclones: case studies. Mon. Weather Rev. 136: 3226-3247.
2. Argence S, Lambert D, Richard E, Chaboureau JP, Söhne N. 2008. Impact of initial conditions uncertainties on the predictability of heavy rainfall in the Mediterranean: a case study. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 134: 1775-1788.
3. Argence S, Lambert D, Richard E, Chaboureau JP, Arbogast P, Maynard K. 2009. Improving the numerical prediction of a cyclone in the Mediterranean by local potential vorticity modifications. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 135: 865-879.
4. Bechtold P, Bazile E, Guichard F, Mascart P, Richard E. 2001. A mass flux convection scheme for regional and global models. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 127: 869-886.
5. Campins J, Jansà A, Genovés A. 2006. Three-dimensional structure of western Mediterranean cyclones. Int. J. Climatol. 26: 323-343.
6. Chaboureau JP, Bechtold P. 2002. A simple cloud parameterization derived from cloud resolving model data: diagnostic and prognostic applications. J. Atmos. Sci. 59: 2362-2372.
7. Chaboureau JP, Bechtold P. 2005. Statistical representation of clouds in a regional model and the impact on the diurnal cycle of convection during tropical convection, cirrus and nitrogen oxides (TROCCINOX). J. Geophys. Res. 110: D17103, DOI: 10.1029/ 2004 JD005645.
8. Chaboureau JP, Claud C. 2006. Satellite-based climatology of Mediterranean cloud systems and their association with large-scale circulation. J. Geophys. Res. 111: D01102, DOI: 10.1029/2005 JD006460.
9. Chaboureau JP, Pinty JP. 2006. Validation of a cirrus parameterization with Meteosat Second Generation observations. Geophys. Res. Lett. 33: L03815, DOI: 10.1029/2005GL024725.
10. Chaboureau JP, Söhne N, Pinty JP, Meirold-Mautner I, Defer E, Prigent C, Pardo JR, Mech M, Crewell S. 2008. A midlatitude cloud database validated with satellite observations. J. Appl. Meteorol. Climatol. 47: 1337-1353.
11. Clark H, Chaboureau JP. 2010. Uncertainties in short-term forecasts of a Mediterranean heavy precipitation event: assessment with satellite observations. J. Geophys. Res. 115: D22213, DOI: 10.1029/2010 JD014388.
12. Claud C, Alahmmoud B, Funatsu BM, Chaboureau JP. 2010. Mediterranean hurricanes: large-scale environment and convective and precipitating areas from satellite microwave observations. Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. 10: 2199-2213.
13. Conte D, Miglietta MM, Levizzani V. 2011. Analysis of instability indices during the development of a Mediterranean tropical-like cyclone using MSG-SEVIRI products and the LAPS model. Atmos. Res. 101: 264-279.
14. Cuxart J, Bougeault P, Redelsperger JL. 2000. A turbulence scheme allowing for mesoscale and large-eddy simulations. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 126: 1-30.
15. Davies-Jones R. 1991. The frontogenetical forcing of secondary circulations. Part I: The duality and generalization of the Q vector. J. Atmos. Sci. 48: 497-509.
16. Davis CA, Bosart LF. 2004. The TT problem. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 85: 1657-1662.
17. Davolio S, Miglietta MM, Moscatello A, Pacifico F, Buzzi A, Rotunno R. 2009. Numerical forecast and analysis of a tropical-like cyclone in the Ionian Sea. Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. 9: 551-562.
18. Fita L, Romero R, Luque A, Emanuel K, Ramis C. 2007. Analysis of the environments of seven Mediterranean tropical-like storms using an axisymmetric, nonhydrostatic, cloud resolving model. Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. 7: 41-56.
19. Funatsu BM, Claud C, Chaboureau JP. 2007. Potential of Advanced Microwave Sounding Unit to identify precipitating systems and associated upper-level features in the Mediterranean region: case studies. J. Geophys. Res. 112: D17113, DOI: 10.1029/2006JD008297.
20. Funatsu BM, Claud C, Chaboureau JP. 2009. Comparison between the large-scale environment of moderate and intense precipitating systems in the Mediterranean region. Mon. Weather Rev. 137: 3933-3959.
21. Gregory D, Morcrette JJ, Jakob C, Beljaars AM, Stockdale T. 2000. Revision of convection, radiation and cloud schemes in the ECMWF model. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 126: 1685-1710.
22. Harr PA, Anwender D, Jones SC. 2008. Predictability associated with the downstream impacts of the extratropical transition of tropical cyclones: methodology and a case study of Typhoon Nabi (2005). Mon. Weather Rev. 136: 3205-3225.
23. Hart RE. 2003. A cyclone phase space derived from thermal wind and thermal asymmetry. Mon. Weather Rev. 131: 585-616.
24. Homar V, Romero R, Stensrud D, Ramis C, Alonso S. 2003. Numerical diagnosis of a small, quasi-tropical cyclone over the western Mediterranean: dynamical vs. boundary factors. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 129: 1469-1490.
25. Jones SC, Harr PA, Abraham J, Bosart LF, Bowyer PJ, Evans JL, Hanley DE, Hanstrum BN, Hart RE, Lalaurette F, Sinclair MR, Smith RK, Thorncroft C. 2003. The extratropical transition of tropical cyclones: forecast challenges, current understanding, and future directions. Weather Forecast. 18: 1052-1092.
26. Lafore JP, Stein J, Asencio N, Bougeault P, Ducrocq V, Duron J, Fischer C, Héreil P, Mascart P, Masson V, Pinty JP, Redelsperger JL, Richard E, Vilà-Guerau de Arellano J. 1998. The Meso-NH Atmospheric Simulation System. Part I: Adiabatic formulation and control simulations. Scientific objectives and experimental design. Ann. Geophys. 16: 90-109.
27. Lagouvardos K, Kotroni V, Nickovic S, Jovic D, Kallos G. 1999. Observations and model simulations of a winter sub-synoptic vortex over the central Mediterranean. Meteorol. Appl. 6: 371-383.
28. Lagouvardos K, Kotroni V, Defer E. 2007. The 21-22 January 2004 explosive cyclogenesis over the Aegean Sea: observations and model analysis. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 133: 1519-1531.
29. Laviola S, Miglietta MM, Levizzani V. 2011. Satellite and numerical model investigation of two mesoscale convective systems over central Mediterranean. J. Hydrometeorol. 12: 634-649.
30. Mallet I, Cammas JP, Mascart P, Bechtold P. 1999. Effects of cloud diabatic heating on the early development of the FASTEX IOP17 cyclone. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 125: 3439-3467.
31. McTaggart-Cowan R, Galarneau RJ Jr, Bosart LF, Milbrandt JA. 2010. Development and tropical transition of an Alpine lee cyclone. Part I: Case analysis and evaluation of numerical guidance. Mon. Weather Rev. 138: 2281-2307.
32. Meirold-Mautner I, Prigent C, Defer E, Pardo JR, Chaboureau JP, Pinty JP, Mech M, Crewell S. 2007. Radiative transfer simulations using mesoscale cloud model outputs: comparisons with passive microwave and infrared satellite observations for mid-latitudes. J. Atmos. Sci. 64: 1550-1568.
33. Miglietta MM, Moscatello A, Conte D, Mannarini G, Lacorata G, Rotunno R. 2011. Numerical analysis of a Mediterranean 'hurricane' over south-eastern Italy: sensitivity experiments to sea surface temperature. Atmos. Res. 101: 412-426.
34. Mlawer EJ, Taubman SJ, Brown PD, Iacono MJ, Clough SA. 1997. Radiative transfer for inhomogeneous atmospheres: RRTM, a validated correlated-k model for the longwave. J. Geophys. Res. 102D: 16663-16682.
35. Moscatello A, Miglietta MM, Rotunno R. 2008a. Numerical analysis of a Mediterranean 'hurricane' over southeastern Italy. Mon. Weather Rev. 136: 4373-4397.
36. Moscatello A, Miglietta MM, Rotunno R. 2008b. Observational analysis of a Mediterranean 'hurricane' over southeastern Italy. Weather 63: 306-311.
37. Noilhan J, Planton S. 1989. A simple parameterization of land surface processes for meteorological models. Mon. Weather Rev. 117: 536-549.
38. Pantillon F, Mascart P, Chaboureau JP, Lac C, Escobar J, Duron J. 2011. Seamless MESO-NH modeling over very large grids. C. R. Mecanique 339: 136-140.
39. Pinty JP, Jabouille P. 1998. A mixed-phase cloud parameterization for use in a mesoscale non-hydrostatic model: simulations of a squall line and of orographic precipitations. In Conference on Cloud Physics. American Meteorological Society: Everett, WA; 217-220.
40. Pyle ME, Keyser D, Bosart LF. 2004. Diagnostic study of jet streaks: kinematic signatures and relationship to coherent tropopause disturbances. Mon. Weather Rev. 132: 297-319.
41. Pytharoulis I, Craig GC, Ballard S. 2000. The hurricane-like Mediterranean cyclone of January 1995. Meteorol. Appl. 7: 261-279.
42. Reale O, Atlas R. 2001. Tropical cyclone-like vortices in the extratropics: observational evidence and synoptic analysis. Weather Forecast. 16: 7-34.
43. Riemer M, Jones SC. 2010. Downstream impact of tropical cyclones on a developing baroclinic wave in idealized scenarios of extratropical transition. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 136: 617-637.
44. Riemer M, Jones SC, Davis CA. 2008. The impact of extratropical transition on the downstream flow: An idealized modelling study with a straight jet. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 134: 69-91.
45. Sanders F, Gyakum JR. 1980. Synoptic-dynamic climatology of the 'bomb'. Mon. Weather Rev. 108: 1589-1606.
46. Söhne N, Chaboureau JP, Guichard F. 2008. Verification of cloud cover forecast with satellite observation over West Africa. Mon. Weather Rev. 136: 4421-4434.
47. Stein J, Richard E, Lafore JP, Pinty JP, Asencio N, Cosma S. 2000. High-resolution non-hydrostatic simulations of flash-flood episodes with grid-nesting and ice-phase parameterization. Meteorol. Atmos. Phys. 72: 203-221.
48. Uccellini LW. 1986. The possible influence of upstream upper-level baroclinic processes on the development of the QE II storm. Mon. Weather Rev. 114: 1019-1027.
49. Wernli H, Dirren S, Liniger MA, Zillig M. 2002. Dynamical aspects of the life cycle of the winter storm 'Lothar' (24-26 December 1999). Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 128: 405-429.