Comparative biology of different plant pathogens to estimate effects of climate change on crop diseases in Europe

European Journal of Plant Pathology

Volumn 133, Issue 1, 2012, Pages 315-331

  West, Jon S ^a   Townsend, James A ^a   Stevens, Mark ^a,b   Fitt, Bruce D L ^a,c  

^a ROTHAMSTED RESEARCH   (United Kingdom)

^b Broom's Barn Research Centre   (United Kingdom)

^c UNIVERSITY OF HERTFORDSHIRE   (United Kingdom)

Author keywords

Climate change adaptation; CO 2 emissions; Epidemics; Food insecurity; Invasive species; Plant pathogens

Indexed keywords

AGRICULTURAL EMISSION; CARBON DIOXIDE; CLIMATE CHANGE; COMPARATIVE STUDY; CROP YIELD; DICOTYLEDON; DISEASE CONTROL; DISEASE SEVERITY; ECOTYPE; ENVIRONMENTAL FACTOR; EPIDEMIC; FOOD SECURITY; FUNGAL DISEASE; GREENHOUSE GAS; GROWTH RATE; INVASIVE SPECIES; PATHOGEN; PHYTOPLASMA; SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT;

UNITED KINGDOM;

BACTERIA (MICROORGANISMS); BRASSICA NAPUS; FUSARIUM; PHOMA; TRITICUM AESTIVUM;

EID: 84859102667     PISSN: 09291873     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s10658-011-9932-x     Document Type: Review

References (75)

1. Anderson, P. K., Cunningham, A. A., Patel, N. G., Morales, F. J., Epstein, P. R., & Daszak, P. (2004). Emerging infectious diseases of plants: pathogen pollution, climate change and agrotechnology drivers. Trends in Ecology & Evolution, 19, 535-544.
2. Angus, W. J., Fenwick, P. M. (2008). Using genetic resistance to combat pest and disease threats R& D Conference 'Arable Cropping in a Changing Climate', 23-24 January 2008, Belton Woods, Lincolnshire, P21-27.
3. Anonymous (2006). Foresight. Infectious diseases: Preparing for the future. London: Office of Science & Innovation.
4. Anonymous (2007) IPCC fourth assessment report: Climate change 2007 http://www. ipcc. ch/publications_and_data/ar4/wg2/en/ch12s12-3. html#12-3-1.
5. Bancal, M.-O., Gate, P. (2011). Advantages and vulnerabilities of agricultural crops faced with climate change. In N. Brisson, F. Levrault (Eds.) Climate change, agriculture and forests in France: simulations of the impacts on the main species: The Green Book of the CLIMATOR project 2007-2010 part C (The Crops) (p 336). ADEME.
6. Barnes, A. P., Wreford, A., Butterworth, M. H., Semenov, M. A., Moran, D., Evans, N., & Fitt, B. D. L. (2010). Adaptation to increasing severity of phoma stem canker on winter oilseed rape in the UK under climate change. Journal of Agricultural Science, 148, 683-694.
7. Beddington, J. (2010). Food security: contributions from science to a new and greener revolution. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B, 365, 61-71.
8. Berry, P. M., Kindred, D. R., & Paveley, N. D. (2008). Quantifying the effects of fungicides and disease resistance on greenhouse gas emissions associated with wheat production. Plant Pathology, 57, 1000-1008.
9. Bertaccini, A., Vorácková, Z., Vibio, M., Fránová, J., Navrátil, M., Špak, J., & Nebesárová, J. (1998). Comparison of phytoplasmas infecting winter oilseed rape in the Czech Republic with Italian Brassica phytoplasmas and their relationship to the aster yellows group. Plant Pathology, 47, 317-324.
10. Bettarini, I., Vaccari, F. P., & Miglietta, F. (1998). Elevated CO2 concentrations and stomatal density-observations from 17 plant species growing in a CO2 spring in central Italy. Global Change Biology, 4, 17-22.
11. Boonekamp, P. (2011). Plant diseases ignored in climate change debate. Public Service Review. European Science and Technology 10, (in press).
12. Brisson, N., Gary, C., Justes, E., Roche, R., Mary, B., Ripoch, D., Zimmer, D., Sierra, J., Betuzzi, P., Burger, P., Bussière, F., Cabidoche, Y. M., Cellier, P., Debaeke, P., Gaudillère, J. P., Hénault, C., Maraux, F., Seguin, B., & Sinoquet, H. (2003). An overview of the crop model STICS. European Journal of Agronomy, 18, 309-332.
13. Brown, J. K. M., & Hovmøller, M. S. (2002). Aerial dispersal of pathogens on the global and continental scales and its impact on plant disease. Science, 297, 537-541.
14. Busby, J. R. (1991). BIOCLIM-a bioclimate analysis and prediction system. Plant Protection Quarterly, 6, 8-9.
15. Butterworth, M. H., Semenov, M. A., Barnes, A., Moran, D., West, J. S., & Fitt, B. D. L. (2010). North-south divide; contrasting impacts of climate change on crop yields in Scotland and England. Journal of the Royal Society, Interface, 7, 123-130.
16. Carlton, R. R., West, J. S., Smith, P., Fitt, B. D. L. (2012). A comparison of GHG emissions from UK field crop production under selected arable systems with reference to disease control. European Journal of Plant Pathology, (this issue).
17. 2 under a changing climate? New Phytologist, 159, 733-742.
18. Chakraborty, S., Murray, G. M., Magarey, P. A., Yonow, T., O'Brien, R., Croft, B. J., Barbetti, M. J., Sivasithamparam, K., Old, K. M., Dudzinski, M. J., Sutherst, R. W., Penrose, L. J., Archer, C., & Emmett, R. W. (1998). Potential impact of climate change on plant diseases of economic signi®cance to Australia. Australasian Plant Pathology, 27, 15-35.
19. Clarke, J., Wynn, S., Twining, S., Berry, P., Cook, S., Ellis, S., Gladders, P. (2008). HGCA research review No. 70 pesticide availability for cereals and oilseeds following revision of Directive 91/414/EEC; effects of losses and new research priorities; www. hgca. com.
20. Coakley, S. M., Scherm, H., & Chakraborty, S. (1999). Climate change and plant disease management. Annual Review of Phytopathology, 37, 399-426.
21. Cools, H. J., & Fraaije, B. A. (2008). Are azole fungicides losing ground against Septoria wheat disease? Resistance mechanisms in Mycosphaerella graminicola. Pest Management Science, 64, 681-684.
22. Davis, M. B., Shaw, R. G., & Etterson, J. R. (2005). Evolutionary responses to changing climate. Ecology, 86, 1704-1714.
23. Eastburn, D. M., McElrone, A. J., & Bilgin, D. D. (2011). Influence of atmospheric and climatic change on host-pathogen interactions. Plant Pathology, 60, 54-69.
24. Evans, N., Baierl, A., Semenov, M. A., Gladders, P., & Fitt, B. D. L. (2008). Range and severity of a plant disease increased by global warming. Journal of the Royal Society, Interface, 5, 525-531.
25. Evans, N., Butterworth, M. H., Baierl, A., Semenov, M. A., West, J. S., Barnes, A., Moran, D., & Fitt, B. D. L. (2010). The impact of climate change on disease constraints on production of oilseed rape. Food Security, 2, 143-156.
26. Fernandes, F. R., de Albuquerque, L. C., Giordano, L. D. B., Boiteux, L. S., de Avila, A. C., & Inoue-Nagata, A. K. (2008). Diversity and prevalence of Brazilian bipartite begomovirus species associated to tomatoes. Virus Genes, 36, 251-258.
27. Fitt, B. D. L., Fraaije, B. A., Chandramohan, P., & Shaw, M. W. (2011). Impacts of changing air composition on severity of arable crop disease epidemics. Plant Pathology, 60, 44-53.
28. Flood, J. (2010). The importance of plant health to food security. Food Security, 2, 215-231.
29. Garrett, K. A., Dendy, S. P., Frank, E. E., Rouse, M. N., & Travers, S. E. (2006). Climate change effects on plant disease: genomes to ecosystems. Annual Review of Phytopathology, 44, 489-509.
30. Gladders, P., Paveley, N. D., Barrie, I. A., Hardwick, N. V., Hims, M. J., Langton, S., & Taylor, M. C. (2001). Agronomic and meteorological factors affecting the severity of leaf blotch caused by Mycosphaerella graminicola in commercial wheat crops in England. Annals of Applied Biology, 138, 301-311.
31. Gouache, D., Roche, R., Pieri P., Bancal, M.-O. (2011). Evolution of some pathosystems on wheat and vines, section B5. In N. Brisson, F. Levrault (Eds.) Climate change, agriculture and forests in France: simulations of the impacts on the main species: The Green Book of the CLIMATOR project 2007-2010 part C (The Crops) (p 336). ADEME.
32. Goudriaan, J., & Zadoks, J. C. (1995). Global climate change: modelling the potential responses of agro-ecosystems with special reference to crop protection. Environmental Pollution, 87, 215-224.
33. Gregory, P. J. (2008). Mitigating climate change: energy, carbon and nitrogen on the farm R& D Conference 'Arable Cropping in a Changing Climate', 23-24 January 2008, Belton Woods, Lincolnshire, P12-20.
34. Gregory, P. J., Johnson, S. N., Newton, A. C., & Ingram, J. S. I. (2009). Integrating pests and pathogens into the climate change/food security debate. Journal of Experimental Botany, 60, 2827-2838.
35. Harrington, R., Stork, N. E. (1995). Insects in a changing environment: 17th Symposium of the Royal Entomological Society, 7-10 September 1993 at Rothamsted Experimental Station, Harpenden. pp 535.
36. Harvell, C. D., Mitchell, C. E., Ward, J. R., Altizer, S., Dobson, A. P., Ostfeld, R. S., & Samuel, M. D. (2002). Climate warming and disease risks for terrestrial and marine biota. Science, 296, 2158-2162.
37. Hughes, D. J., West, J. S., Atkins, S. D., Gladders, P., Jeger, M. J., & Fitt, B. D. L. (2011). Effects of disease control by fungicides on greenhouse gas emissions by UK arable crop production. Pest Management Science. doi: 10. 1002/ps. 2151.
38. Jamieson, P. D., & Semenov, M. A. (2000). Modelling nitrogen uptake and redistribution in wheat. Field Crops Research, 68, 21-29.
39. Jamieson, P. D., Semenov, M. A., Brooking, I. R., & Francis, G. S. (1998). Sirius: a mechanistic model of wheat response to environmental variation. European Journal of Agronomy, 8, 161-179.
40. Kauserud, H., Heegaard, E., Semenov, M. A., Boddy, L., Halvorsen, R., Stige, L. C., Sparks, T. H., Gange, A. C., & Stenseth, N. C. (2010). Climate change and spring-fruiting fungi. Proceedings of the Royal Society Biological Sciences., 277, 1169-1177.
41. Kopf, S., Ha-Duong, M., & Hallegatte, S. (2008). Using maps of city analogues to display and interpret climate change scenarios and their uncertainty. Natural Hazards Earth System Science, 8, 905-918.
42. Lovell, D. J., Hunter, T., Powers, S. J., Parker, S. R., & van den Bosch, F. (2004). Effect of temperature on latent period of septoria leaf blotch on winter wheat under outdoor conditions. Plant Pathology, 53, 170-181.
43. Luck, J., Spackman, M., Freeman, A., Trebicki, P., Griffiths, W., Finlay, K., Chakraborty, S. (2011). Climate change and diseases of food crops. Plant Pathology 60, 113-121.
44. Madgwick, J. W., West, J. S., White, R. P., Semenov, M. A., Townsend, J. A., Turner, J. A., & Fitt, B. D. L. (2011). Impacts of climate change on wheat anthesis and fusarium ear blight in the UK. European Journal of Plant Pathology, 130, 117-131.
45. Magarey, R. D., Fowler, G. A., Borchert, D. M., Sutton, T. B., Colunga-Garcia, M., & Simpson, J. A. (2007). NAPPFAST: an internet system for the weather-based mapping of plant pathogens. Plant Disease, 91, 336-345.
46. Mahmuti, M., West, J. S., Watts, J., Gladders, P., & Fitt, B. D. L. (2009). Controlling crop disease contributes to both food security and climate change mitigation. International Journal of Agricultural Sustainability, 7, 189-202.
47. Maliogka, V. I., Tsialtas, J. T., Papantoniou, A., Efthimiou, K., & Katis, N. I. (2009). First report of a phytoplasma associated with an oilseed rape disease in Greece. Plant Pathology, 58, 792.
48. 3), and ultraviolet-B (UV-B) radiation on plant diseases. Environmental Pollution, 88, 219-245.
49. McDonald, B. A., & Linde, C. (2002). Pathogen population genetics, evolutionary potential, and durable resistance. Annual Review of Phytopathology, 40, 349-379.
50. Milus, E. A., Kristensen, K., & Hovmøller, M. S. (2009). Evidence for increased aggressiveness in a recent widespread strain of Puccinia striiformis f. sp. tritici causing stripe rust of wheat. Phytopathology, 99, 89-94.
51. Oerke, E. C. (2006). Crop losses to pests. Journal of Agricultural Science, 144, 31-43.
52. Parry, D. W., Jenkinson, P., & McLeod, L. (1995). Fusarium ear blight (scab) in small-grain cereals-a review. Plant Pathology, 44, 207-238.
53. Paveley, N., Kindred, D., Berry, P., Spink, J. (2008). Can disease management reduce greenhouse gas emissions? R& D Conference 'Arable Cropping in a Changing Climate', 23-24 January 2008, Belton Woods, Lincolnshire, P38-6.
54. Perryman, S. A. M., Gladders, P., & Fitt, B. D. L. (2009). Occurrence and effects of pasmo (Mycosphaerella linicola) on linseed in the UK. Annals of Applied Biology, 154, 19-32.
55. Pietravalle, S., Shaw, M. W., Parker, S. R., & van den Bosch, F. (2003). Modeling of relationships between weather and Septoria tritici epidemics on winter wheat: a critical approach. Phytopathology, 93, 1329-1339.
56. Roche, R., Bancal, M. O., Gagnaire, N., Huber, L. (2008). Potential impact of climate change on brown wheat rust: a preliminary study based on biophysical modelling of infection events and plant-pathogen interactions. Aspects of Applied Biology 88: Effects of Climate Change on Plants: Implications for Agriculture, pp 135-142.
57. Sansford, C. E., Baker, R. H. A., Brennan, J. P., Ewert, F., Gioli, B., Inman, A., Kinsella, A., Magnus, H. A., Miglietta, F., Murray, G. M., Porta-Puglia, A., Porter, J. R., Rafoss, T., Riccioni, L., & Thorne, F. (2008). The new Pest Risk Analysis for Tilletia indica, the cause of Karnal bunt of wheat, continues to support the quarantine status of the pathogen in Europe. Plant Pathology, 57, 603-611.
58. Schmidhuber, J., & Tubiello, F. N. (2007). Global food security under climate change. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 104, 19703-19708.
59. Semenov, M. A. (2009). Impacts of climate change on wheat in England and Wales. Journal of the Royal Society, Interface, 6, 343-350.
60. Semenov, M. A., & Stratonovitch, P. (2010). The use of multi-model ensembles from global climate models for impact assessments of climate change. Climate Research, 41, 1-14.
61. Shaw, M. W., & Osborne, T. M. (2011). The geographic distribution of plant pathogens in response to climate change. Plant Pathology, 60, 31-43.
62. Shaw, M. W., Bearchell, S. J., Fitt, B. D. L., & Fraaije, B. A. (2008). Long-term relationships between environment and abundance in wheat of Phaeosphaeria nodorum and Mycosphaerella graminicola. New Phytologist, 177, 229-238.
63. Smith, I. M., Dunez, J., Lelliott, R. A., Phillips, D. H., & Archer, S. A. (1988). European handbook of plant diseases. Oxford: Blackwell.
64. Stern, N. (2007). The economics of climate change: The stern review. UK: Cambridge University Press.
65. Stukenbrock, E. H., & McDonald, B. A. (2008). The origins of plant pathogens in agro-ecosystems. Annual Review of Phytopathology, 46, 75-100.
66. Sutherst, R. W., & Maywald, G. F. (1985). A computerised system for matching climates in ecology. Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment, 13, 281-299.
67. te Beest, D. E., Paveley, N. D., Shaw, M. W., & van den Bosch, F. (2008). Disease-weather relationships for powdery mildew and yellow rust on winter wheat. Phytopathology, 98, 609-617.
68. te Beest, D. E., Shaw, M. W., Pietravalle, S., & van den Bosch, F. (2009). A predictive model for early-warning of Septoria leaf blotch on winter wheat. European Journal of Plant Pathology, 124, 413-425.
69. Turner, J. A. (2008). Tracking changes in the importance and distribution of diseases under climate change. R& D Conference 'Arable Cropping in a Changing Climate', 23-24 January 2008, Belton Woods, Lincolnshire, P68-77.
70. van den Berg, F., & van den Bosch, F. (2007). The elasticity of the epidemic growth rate to observed weather patterns with an application to yellow rust. Phytopathology, 97, 1512-1518.
71. Vereijssen, J., Schneider, J. H. M., & Jeger, M. J. (2007). Supervised control of Cercospora leaf spot in sugar beet. Crop Protection, 26, 19-28.
72. Walker, P. A., & Cocks, K. D. (1991). HABITAT: a procedure for modelling a disjoint environmental envelope for a plant or animal species. Global Ecology and Biogeography Letters, 1, 108-118.
73. West, J. S., Holdgate, S., Townsend, J. A., Edwards, S. G., Jennings, P., Fitt, B. D. L. (2011). Impact of climate change on severity of fusarium ear blight on wheat in the UK. (In press) doi: 10. 1016/j. funeco. 2011. 03. 003.
74. Willis, J. C., Bohan, D. A., Choi, Y. H., Conrad, K. F., & Semenov, M. A. (2006). Use of an individual-based model to forecast the effect of climate change on the dynamics, abundance and geographical range of the pest slug Deroceras reticulatum in the UK. Global Change Biology, 12, 1643-1657.
75. Zhu, Y., Qian, W. Q., Hua, J. (2010). Temperature modulates plant defense responses through NB-LRR proteins. PLoS Pathogens, Pages: e1000844.