Climate change effects on water-dependent ecosystems in south-western Australia

Journal of Hydrology

Volumn 434-435, Issue , 2012, Pages 95-109

  Barron, O ^a   Silberstein, R ^a   Ali, R ^a   Donohue, R ^b   McFarlane, D J ^a   Davies, P ^a   Hodgson, G ^a   Smart, N ^a   Donn, M ^a  

^a CSIRO   (Australia)

^b Department of Water ^*  (Australia)

Author keywords

Climate change; Ecological significant flow; Groundwater dependent ecosystem; Surface water dependent ecosystems

Indexed keywords

AUSTRALIA; CHANGING CLIMATE; CLIMATE PROJECTION; ECOLOGICAL IMPACTS; ECOLOGICAL SIGNIFICANT FLOW; ECOLOGICAL WATER REQUIREMENTS; FLOW REGIMES; FUTURE CLIMATE; GLOBAL CLIMATE MODEL; GROUNDWATER ABSTRACTION; GROUNDWATER MODELS; RAINFALL RUNOFF; RIVER CATCHMENT; RIVER FLOW; SUBSTANTIAL REDUCTION; TERRESTRIAL VEGETATION;

CATCHMENTS; CLIMATE CHANGE; CLIMATE MODELS; ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT; GLOBAL WARMING; GROUNDWATER; RIVERS; RUNOFF; VEGETATION; WATER MANAGEMENT;

ECOSYSTEMS;

CATCHMENT; CLIMATE CHANGE; CLIMATE EFFECT; CLIMATE MODELING; CLIMATE PREDICTION; ECOLOGICAL IMPACT; ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT; FLOW PATTERN; GROUNDWATER; GROUNDWATER ABSTRACTION; HYDROLOGICAL MODELING; PHENOLOGY; RAINFALL-RUNOFF MODELING; RIVER BASIN; RIVER FLOW; SURFACE WATER; WATER AVAILABILITY; WATER MANAGEMENT; WATER PLANNING; WATER RESOURCE;

AUSTRALIA;

EID: 84859101655     PISSN: 00221694     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2012.02.028     Document Type: Article

References (65)

1. Acreman M.C., Blake J.R., Booker D.J., Harding R.J., Reynard N., Mountford J.O., Stratford C.J. A simple framework for evaluating regional wetland ecohydrological response to climate change with case studies from Great Britain. Ecohydrology 2009, 2(1):1-17.
2. Ali, R., McFarlane, D.J., Varma, S., Dawes, W., Emelyanova, I., Hodgson, G., 2012. Potential climate change on groundwater resources of south-western Australia. J. Hydrol., this issue.
3. Assani A.A., Quessy J.F., Mesfioui M., Matteau M. An example of application: the ecological " natural flow regime" paradigm in hydroclimatology. Adv. Water Resour. 2010, 33(5):537-545.
4. Atkins K.E., Travis J.M.J. Local adaptation and the evolution of species' ranges under climate change. J. Theor. Biol. 2010, 266(3):449-457.
5. Bates, B.C., Hughes, G., 2009. Adaptation measures for metropolitan water supply for Perth, Western Australia. In: Ludwig, F., Kabat, P., van Schaik, H., van der Valk, M. (Eds.), Climate Change Adaptation in the Water Sector. Earthscan, pp. 187-204.
6. Bates B.C., Hope P., Ryan B., Smith I., Charles S. Key findings from the Indian Ocean Climate Initiative and their impact on policy development in Australia. Climat. Change 2008, 89(3-4):334-339.
7. Bernaldez F.G., Benayas J.M.R., Levassor C., Peco B. Landscape ecology of uncultivated lowlands in central spain. Landscape Ecol. 1989, 3:3-18.
8. Candela L., von Igel W., Javier Elorza F., Aronica G. Impact assessment of combined climate and management scenarios on groundwater resources and associated wetland (Majorca, Spain). J. Hydrol. 2009, 376(3-4):510-527.
9. Charles, S.P., Silberstein, R., Teng, J., Fu, G., Hodgson, G., Gabrovsek, C., Crute, J., Chiew, F.H.S., Smith, I.N., Kirono, D.G.C., Bathols, J.M., Li, L.T., Yang, A., Donohue, R.J., Marvanek, S.P., McVicar, T.R., Van Niel, T.G., Cai, W., 2010. Climate analyses for south-west Western Australia. A Report to the Australian Government from the CSIRO South-West Western Australia Sustainable Yields Project.
10. Chiew F.H.S., Teng J., Vaze J., Post D.A., Perraud J.M., Kirono D.G.C., Viney N.R. Estimating climate change impact on runoff across southeast Australia: method, results, and implications of the modeling method. Water Resour. Res. 2009, 45.
11. Chmielewski F.M., Muller A., Kuchler W. Possible impacts of climate change on natural vegetation in Saxony (Germany). Int. J. Biometeorol. 2005, 50(2):96-104.
12. Colson-Proch C., Morales A., Hervant F., Konecny L., Moulin C., Douady C.J. First cellular approach of the effects of global warming on groundwater organisms: a study of the HSP70 gene expression. Cell Stress Chaperon. 2010, 15(3):259-270.
13. Conlan, K., Wade, T., Ormerod, S., Lane, S., Durance, I., Yu, D., 2007. Using science to create a better place: preparing for climate change impacts on freshwater ecosystems (PRINCE). Preparing for climate change impacts on freshwater ecosystems (PRINCE): xii + 91 pp.
14. Cooper D.J., Sanderson J.S., Stannard D.I., Groeneveld D.P. Effects of long-term water table drawdown on evapotranspiration and vegetation in an arid region phreatophyte community. J. Hydrol. 2006, 325(1-4):21-34.
15. Crosbie, R.S., Dawes, W.R., Charles, S.P., Mpelasoka, F., Aryal, S., Barron, O.V., Summerell, G.K., 2011. The selection of GCMs, downscaling methods and hydrological models for impact studies on recharge. Geophys. Res. Lett. 38, L11406, 5 pp. doi: . doi:10.1029/2011GL047657.
16. CSIRO, 2009a. Surface water yields in south-west Western Australia. A Report to the Australian Government from the CSIRO South-West Western Australia Sustainable Yields Project. CSIRO Water for a Healthy Country Flagship, Australia, 194p. <>. http://www.csiro.au/partnerships/SWSY.
17. CSIRO, 2009b. Groundwater yields in south-west Western Australia. A Report to the Australian Government from the CSIRO South-West Western Australia Sustainable Yields Project. CSIRO Water for a Healthy Country Flagship, Australia, 358p. <>. http://www.csiro.au/partnerships/SWSY.
18. CSIRO, 2009c. Water yields and demands in south-west Western Australia. A Report to the Australian Government from the CSIRO South-West Western Australia Sustainable Yields Project. CSIRO Water for a Healthy Country Flagship, Australia, 306p. <>. http://www.csiro.au/partnerships/SWSY.
19. Dawson T.P., Berry P.M., Kampa E. Climate change impacts on freshwater wetland habitats. J. Nat. Conserv. (Jena) 2003, 11(1):25-30.
20. Donohue, R., Green, A., Bennett, K., Pauli, N., Lynas, J., Storey, A., 2009a. Ecological Water Requirements of the Brunswick River. Department of Water, Government of Western Australia, Environmental Water Report No. 7.
21. Donohue, R., Green, A., Pauli, N., Storey A., Lynas, J., Bennett, K., 2009b. Ecological Water Requirements of Cowaramup Brook. Department of Water, Government of Western Australia, Environmental Water Report No. 10.
22. Donohue, R., Moulden, B., Bennett, K., Green, A., 2009c. Ecological Water Requirements for Lefroy Brook. Department of Water, Government of Western Australia, Environmental Water Report No. 6.
23. DoW Gnangara Sustainability Strategy 2008, Department of Water, Perth, Western Australia.
24. Eamus D., Froend R. Groundwater-dependent ecosystems: the where, what and why of GDEs. Aust. J. Bot. 2006, 54:91-96.
25. Elmore A.J., Mustard J.F., Manning S.J. Regional patterns of plants community response to changes in water: Owens Valley, California. Ecol. Appl. 2003, 13(2):443-460.
26. Fowler H.J., Blenkinsop S., Tebaldi C. Linking climate change modelling to impacts studies: recent advances in downscaling techniques for hydrological modelling. Int. J. Climatol. 2007, 27(12):1547-1578.
27. Froend, R., Loomes, R., 2004. Approach to the determination of ecological water requirements of groundwater dependent ecosystems in Western Australia (No. CEM-2004-12). Centre for Ecosystem Management, Edith Cowan University, Joondalup, Western Australia.
28. Froend R., Sommer B. Phreatophytic vegetation response to climatic and abstraction-induced groundwater drawdown: examples of long-term spatial and temporal variability in community response. Ecol. Eng. 2010, 36(9):1191-1200.
29. Goderniaux P., Brouyere S., Fowler H.J., Blenkinsop S., Therrien R., Orban P., Dassargues A. Large scale surface-subsurface hydrological model to assess climate change impacts on groundwater reserves. J. Hydrol. 2009, 373(1-2):122-138.
30. Green, A., Donohue, R., Storey, A., Lynas, J., Pauli, N., 2011. Ecological Water Requirements of Margaret River. Department of Water, Government of Western Australia, Environmental Water Report No. 11.
31. Hamilton S.K. Biogeochemical implications of climate change for tropical rivers and floodplains. Hydrobiologia 2010, 657(1):19-35.
32. Hatton T., Evans R. Dependence of Australian ecosystems on groundwater. Water Resour. Res. 1998, 25:40-43.
33. Horwitz P., Bradshaw D., Hopper S., Davies P., Froend R.H., Bradshaw F. Hydrological change escalates risk of ecosystem stress in Australia's threatened biodiversity hotspot. R. Soc. West. Australia, J. 2008, 91(1):1-11.
34. IPCC, 2007. Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group 1 to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK.
35. Jump A.S., Cavin L., Hunter P.D. Monitoring and managing responses to climate change at the retreating range edge of forest trees. J. Environ. Monitor. 2010, 12(10):1791-1798.
36. Mantua N., Tohver I., Hamlet A. Climate change impacts on streamflow extremes and summertime stream temperature and their possible consequences for freshwater salmon habitat in Washington State. Climat. Change 2010, 102(1-2):187-223.
37. Maraun, D., Wetterhall, F., Ireson, A.M., Chandler, R.E., Kendon, E.J., Widmann, M., Brienen, S., Rust, H.W., Sauter, T., Themessl, M., Venema, V.K.C., Chun, K.P., Goodess, C.M., Jones, R.G., Onof, C.J., Vrac, M., Thiele-Eich, I., 2010. Precipitation downscaling under climate change. Recent developments to bridge the gap between dynamical models and the end user. Rev. Geophys. 48, RG3003. doi: . doi:10.1029/2009RG000314.
38. Mata-González, R., McLendon, T., Martin, D.W., Trlica, M.J., Pearce, R.A., 2011. Vegetation as affected by groundwater depth and microtopography in a shallow aquifer area of the Great Basin. Ecohydrology. doi: . doi:10.1002/eco.196.
39. Mileham L., Taylor R.G., Todd M., Tindimugaya C., Thompson J. The impact of climate change on groundwater recharge and runoff in a humid, equatorial catchment: sensitivity of projections to rainfall intensity. Hydrol. Sci. J. 2009, 54(4):727-738.
40. Moore M.V., Pace M.L., Mather J.R., Murdoch P.S., Howarth R.W., Folt C.L., Chen C.Y., Hemond H.F., Flebbe P.A., Driscoll C.T. Potential effects of climate change on freshwater ecosystems of the New England/Mid-Atlantic Region. Hydrol. Process. 1997, 11(8):925-947.
41. Mpelasoka F.S., Chiew F.H.S. Influence of rainfall scenario construction methods on runoff projections. J. Hydrometeorol. 2009, 10(5):1168-1183.
42. Mulholland P.J., Best G.R., Coutant C.C., Hornberger G.M., Meyer J.L., Robinson P.J., Stenberg J.R., Turner R.E., VeraHerrera F., Wetzel R.G. Effects of climate change on freshwater ecosystems of the south-eastern United States and the Gulf Coast of Mexico. Hydrol. Process. 1997, 11(8):949-970.
43. Muñoz-Reinoso J.C. Vegetation changes and groundwater abstraction in SW Doñana, Spain. J. Hydrol. 2001, 242(3-4):197-209.
44. Murray B., Hose G., Eamus D., Licari D. Valuation of groundwater-dependent ecosystems: a functional methodology incorporating ecosystem services. Aust. J. Bot. 2006, 54:221-229.
45. Ng G.H.C., McLaughlin D., Entekhabi D., Scanlon B.R. Probabilistic analysis of the effects of climate change on groundwater recharge. Water Resour. Res. 2010, 46:7502-7503.
46. Power A.G. Ecosystem services and agriculture: tradeoffs and synergies. Philos. Trans. R. Soc. B - Biol. Sci. 2010, 365(1554):2959-2971.
47. Scibek J., Allen D.M., Cannon A.J., Whitfield P.H. Groundwater-surface water interaction under scenarios of climate change using a high-resolution transient groundwater model. J. Hydrol. 2007, 333(2-4):165-181.
48. Silberstein, R.P., Aryal, S.K., Durrant, J., Pearcey, M., Charles, S., Braccia, M., Boniecka, L., Hodgson, G., Bari, M., McFarlane, D.J., 2012. Climate change and runoff in south-western Australia. J. Hydrol., this issue.
49. Stromberg J.C., Lite S.J., Dixon M.D. Effects of stream flow patterns on riperian vegetation of semiarid river: imprications for a changing climate. River Res. Appl. 2010, 26(6):712-729.
50. Thieme M.L., Lehner B., Abell R., Matthews J. Exposure of Africa's freshwater biodiversity to a changing climate. Conserv. Lett. 2010, 3(5):324-331.
51. Thompson J.R., Gavin H., Refsgaard A., Refstrup Sørenson H., Gowing D.J. Modelling the hydrological impacts of climate change on UK lowland wet grassland. Wetlands Ecol. Manage. 2009, 17:503-523. 10.1007/s11273-008-9127-1.
52. van Roosmalen L., Sonnenborg T.O., Jensen K.H. Impact of climate and land use change on the hydrology of a large-scale agricultural catchment. Water Resour. Res. 2009, 45:W00A15.
53. Verboom J., Schippers P., Cormont A., Sterk M., Vos C.C., Opdam P.F.M. Population dynamics under increasing environmental variability: implications of climate change for ecological network design criteria. Landscape Ecol. 2010, 25(8):1289-1298.
54. Walter H., Breckle S.-W. Ecological Systems of the Geobiosphere. 1: Ecological Principles in Global Perspective 1985, Springer-Verlag, Berlin.
55. Water Corporation Integrated Water Supply Scheme, Security Through Diversity, 2005-2050: An Overview 2005, Water Corporation, Perth, Western Australia.
56. Water Corporation, 2008. Water Forever: Options for our Water Future. <>. http://www.thinking50.com.au/files/Water_Forever_-_Options_for_Our_Water_Future.pdf.
57. Wattendorf P., Niederberger J., Ehrmann O., Konold W. Consequences of climate change on the water balance of fen peatlands in Baden-Wuerttemberg. Hydrol. Wasserbewirtsch. 2010, 54(5):293-303.
58. Wenger S.J., Luce C.H., Hamlet A.F., Isaak D.J., Neville H.M. Macroscale hydrologic modeling of ecologically relevant flow metrics. Water Resour. Res. 2010, 46:9.
59. Wilby, R.L., Charles, S.P., Zorita, E., Timbal, B., Whetton, P., Mearns, L.O., 2004. Guidelines for the use of climate scenarios developed from statistical downscaling methods. Supporting Material for the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. <>. http://www.ipcc-data.org/guidelines/dgm_no2_v1_09_2004.pdf.
60. Winter T.C. The vulnerability of wetlands to climate change: a hydrological landscape perspective. J. Am. Water Resour. Assoc. 2000, 36:305-311.
61. Woodward G., Perkins D.M., Brown L.E. Climate change and freshwater ecosystems: impacts across multiple levels of organization. Philos. Trans. R. Soc. B - Biol. Sci. 2010, 365(1549):2093-2106.
62. WRC, 2000. Environmental Water Provisions Policy for Western Australia, Statewide Policy No. 5. Waters and Rivers Commission, Government of Western Australia.
63. WRM, 2008. Ecological Water Requirements of Chapman Brook. Unpublished Report by Wetlands Research and Management to the Department of Water, Perth, Western Australia.
64. Zhang, L., Dawes, W., 1998. WAVES - An integrated energy and water balance model. Technical Report No. 31/98, CSIRO Land and Water.
65. Zhu Y., Wua Y., Drake S. A survey: obstacles and strategies for the development of ground-water resources in arid inland river basins of western China. J. Arid Environ. 2004, 59:351-367.