Season length influences breeding range dynamics of trumpeter swans Cygnus buccinator

Wildlife Biology

Volumn 17, Issue 4, 2011, Pages 364-372

  Schmidt, Joshua H ^a,c   Lindberg, Mark S ^a   Johnson, Devin S ^b   Verbyla, David L ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF ALASKA FAIRBANKS   (United States)

^b NOAA EARTH SYSTEM RESEARCH LABORATORY   (United States)

^c NATIONAL PARK SERVICE   (United States)

Author keywords

Alaska; breeding distribution; climate change; Cygnus buccinator; population recovery; range expansion; trumpeter swan

Indexed keywords

ANATIDAE; CYGNUS BUCCINATOR; CYGNUS COLUMBIANUS;

EID: 84859016833     PISSN: 09096396     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.2981/11-003     Document Type: Article

References (44)

1. Anderson M.G., Rhymer J.M. &Rohwer F.C. 1992: Philopatry, dispersal, and the genetic structure of waterfowl populations. - In: Batt B.D., Afton A.D., Anderson M.G., Ankney C.D., Johnson D.H., Kadlec J.A. &Krapu G.L. (Eds.); Ecology and management of breeding waterfowl. University of Minnesota Press Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA, pp. 365-395.
2. Both C. &Visser M.E. 2001: Adjustment to climate change is constrained by arrival date in a long-distance migrant bird. - Nature 411: 296-298. (Pubitemid 32467032)
3. Brooks S. &Gelman A. 1998: General methods for monitoring convergence of iterative simulations. - Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics 7: 434-455. (Pubitemid 128635035)
4. Caithamer D.F. 2001: Trumpeter swan population status, 2000. - Migratory Bird Management U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, Laurel, Maryland, USA, 14 pp.
5. Conant B., Hodges J.I., Groves D.J., Cain S.L. &King J.G. 1996:Anatlas of the distribution of trumpeter swans in Alaska and instructions for the use of an archival system. - Migratory Bird Management U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, Juneau, Alaska, USA, 31 pp.
6. Conant B., Hodges J.I., Groves D.J. &King J.G. 2002: Census of trumpeter swans on Alaskan Nesting Habitats, 1968-2000. - Waterbirds 25: 3-7.
7. Forcey G.M., Linz G.M., Thogmartin W.E. &Bleier W.J. 2007: Influence of land use and climate on wetland breeding birds in the Prairie Pothole region of Canada. - Canadian Journal of Zoology 85: 421-436. (Pubitemid 46877748)
8. Gayet G., Guillemain M., Mesleard F., Fritz H., Vaux V.&Broyer J. 2011: Are mute swans (Cygnus olor) really limiting fishpond use by waterbirds in the Dombes, eastern France. - Journal of Ornithology 152: 45-53.
9. Gelman A., Carlin J.B., Stern H.S. &Rubin D.B. 2004: Bayesian data analysis. - Chapman and Hall/CRC, Boca Raton, Florida, USA, 668 pp.
10. Gelman A. &Rubin D.B. 1992: Inference from iterative simulation using multiple sequences. - Statistical Science 7: 457-511.
11. Hansen H.A., Shepherd P.E.K., King J.G. &Troyer W.A. 1971: The trumpeter swan in Alaska. - Wildlife Monographs 26: 3-83.
12. Hartmann B. &Wendler G. 2005: The significance of the 1976 Pacific climate shift in the climatology of Alaska. - Journal of Climate 18: 4824-4839. (Pubitemid 43051412)
13. Hinzman L.D., Bettez N.D., Bolton W.R., Chapin F.S., III, Dyurgerov M.B., Fastie C.L., Griffith B., Hollister R.D., Hope A., Huntington H.P., Jensen A.M., Jia G.J., Jorgenson T., Kane D.L., Klein D.R., Kofinas G., Lynch A.H., Lloyd A.H., McGuire A.D., Nelson F.E., Oechel W.C., Osterkamp T.E., Racine C.H., Romanovsky V.E., Stone R.S., Stow D.A., Sturm M., Tweedie C.E., Vourlitis G.L., Walker M.D., Walker D.A., Webber P.J., Welker J.M., Winker K.S. &Yoshikawa K. 2005: Evidence and implications of recent climate change in northern Alaska and other arctic regions. - Climatic Change 72: 251-298. (Pubitemid 41551225)
14. Inouye D.W., Barr B., Armitage K.B. &Inouye B.D. 2000: Climate change is affecting altitudinal migrants and hibernating species. - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 97: 1630-1633. (Pubitemid 30118493)
15. Keyser A.R., Kimball J.S., Nemani R.R. &Running S.W. 2000: Simulating the effects of climate change on the carbon balance of North American high-latitude forests. - Global Change Biology 6: 185-195. (Pubitemid 32978784)
16. Klein E., Berg E.E. &Dial R. 2005: Wetland drying and succession across the Kenai Peninsula lowlands, southcentral Alaska. - Canadian Journal of Forest Research 35: 1931-1941. (Pubitemid 43035758)
17. La Sorte F.A. &Thompson F.R., III. 2007: Poleward shifts in winter ranges of North American birds. - Ecology 88: 1803-1812. (Pubitemid 351345200)
18. Lindberg M.S., Sedinger J.S., Derksen D.V. &Rockwell R.F. 1998: Natal and breeding philopatry in a black brant, Branta bernicula nigricans, metapopulation. - Ecology 79: 1893-1904. (Pubitemid 28448018)
19. Link W.A. &Sauer J.R. 2002: A hierarchical analysis of population change with application to cerulean warblers. - Ecology 83: 2832-2840. (Pubitemid 36524711)
20. Magnuson J.J., Robertson D.M., Benson B.J., Wynne R.H., Livingstone D.M., Arai T., Assel R.A., Barry R.G., Card V., Kuusisto E., Granin N.G., Prowse T.D., Stewart K.M. &Vuglinski V.S. 2000: Historical trends in lake and river ice in the Northern Hemisphere. - Science 289: 1743-1746.
21. Mitchell C.D. 1994: Trumpeter swan (Cygnus buccinator) - In: Poole A. &Gill F. (Eds.); The birds of North America, No. 105. The Academy of Natural Sciences, Philadelphia and The American Ornithologists' Union, Washington D.C., USA, pp. 1-24.
22. Møller A.P., Flensted-Jensen E., Klarborg K., Mardal W. &Nielsen J.T. 2010: Climate change affects the duration of the reproductive season in birds. - Journal of Animal Ecology 79: 777-784.
23. Parmesan C. 2006: Ecological and evolutionary responses to recent climate change - Annual Review of Ecology, Evolution, and Systematics 37: 637-669. (Pubitemid 44907632)
24. Parmesan C. 2007: Influences of species, latitudes, and methodologies on estimates of phenological response to global warming. - Global Change Biology 13: 1860-1872. (Pubitemid 47365659)
25. Parmesan C. &Yohe G. 2003: A globally coherent fingerprint of climate change impacts across natural systems. - Nature 421: 37-42. (Pubitemid 36077078)
26. Petrie S.A. &Francis C.M. 2003: Rapid increase in the lower Great Lakes population of feral mute swans: A review and recommendation. - Wildlife Society Bulletin 31: 407-416. (Pubitemid 36854638)
27. Poysa H. &Sorjonen J. 2000: Recolonization of breeding waterfowl communities by the whooper swan: Vacant niches available. - Ecography 23: 342-348. (Pubitemid 30416483)
28. R Development Core Team 2006: R: A language and environment for statistical computing. - R foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria. Available at: Http://www.r-project.org (Last accessed on 22 August 2011).
29. Riordan B., Verbyla D.&McGuire A.D. 2006: Shrinking ponds in subarctic Alaska based on 1950-2002 remotely sensed images. - Journal of Geophysical Research 111: G4002, DOI: 10.1029/2005JG000150. (Pubitemid 47491016)
30. Root T.L., Price J.T., Hall K.R., Schneider S.H., Rosenweig C. &Pounds J.A. 2003: Fingerprints of global warming on wild animals and plants. - Nature 42: 57-60. (Pubitemid 36077083)
31. Royle J.A. &Dorazio R.M. 2008: Hierarchical modeling and inference in ecology: The analysis of data from populations, metapopulations and communities. - Academic Press, London, UK, 444 pp.
32. Sagarin R. &Micheli F. 2001: Climate change in nontraditional data sets. - Science 294: 811. (Pubitemid 33032090)
33. Schmidt J.S., Lindberg M.S., Johnson D.S., Conant B.& King J. 2009a: Evidence of trumpeter swan population growth using Bayesian hierarchical models. - Journal of Wildlife Management 73: 720-727.
34. Schmidt J.S., Lindberg M.S., Johnson D.S. &Schmutz J.A. 2009b: Environmental and human influences on trumpeter swan habitat occupancy in Alaska. - Condor 111: 266-275.
35. Seavy N.E., Dybala K.E. &Snyder M.A. 2008: Climate models and ornithology. - Auk 125: 1-10.
36. Serreze M.C., Walsh J.E., Chapin F.S., III, Osterkamp T., Dyurgerov M., Romanovsky V., Oechel W.C., Morison J., Zhang T. &Barry R.G. 2000: Observational evidence of recent change in the northern highlatitude environment. - Climate Change 46: 159-207. (Pubitemid 30427505)
37. Smol J.P., Wolfe A.P., Birks H.J.B., Douglas M.S.V., Jones V.J., Korhola A., Pienitz R., Ruhland K., Sorvari S., Antoniades D., Brooks S.J., Fallu M., Hughes M., Keatley B.E., Laing T.E., Michelutti N., Nazarova L., Nyman M., Paterson A.M., Perren B., Quinian R., Rautio M., Saulnier-Talbot E., Siitonen S., Solovieva N. &Weckstrom J. 2005: Climate-driven regime shifts in the biological communities of arctic lakes. - Proceedings of the National Academy of Science of the United States of America 102: 4397-4402. (Pubitemid 40397123)
38. Sorenson L.G., Goldberg R., Root T.L. &Anderson M.G. 1998: Potential effects of global warming on waterfowl populations breeding in the northern Great Plains. - Climatic Change 40: 343-369. (Pubitemid 28476507)
39. Spiegelhalter D.J., Best N.G., Carlin B.P. &van der Linde A. 2002: Bayesian measures of model complexity and fit. - Journal of the Royal Statistical Society B 64: 583-639.
40. Spiegelhalter D.J., Thomas A., Best N.G. &Lunn D. 2004: WinBUGS Version 1.4.1. User manual. - Medical Research Council, Biostatistics Unit, Cambridge, UK, 60 pp.
41. Stafford J.M., Wendler G.&Curtis J. 2000: Temperature and precipitation of Alaska: 50 year trend analysis. - Theoretical and Applied Climatology 67: 33-44.
42. Ward D.H., Reed A., Sedinger J.S., Black J.M., Derksen D.V. &Castelli P.M. 2005: North American brant: Effects of changes in habitat and climate on population dynamics. - Global Change Biology 11: 869-880. (Pubitemid 40865252)
43. Wendler G. &Shulski M. 2008: A century of climate change for Fairbanks, Alaska. - Arctic 62: 295-300.
44. Winkler D.W., Dunn P.O. &McCulloch C.E. 2002: Predicting the effects of climate change on avian lifehistory traits. - Proceedings of the National Academy of Science of the United States of America 99: 13595-13599. (Pubitemid 35221317)