Dispersal in a hurry: Bayesian learning from surveillance to establish area freedom from plant pests with early dispersal

MODSIM 2011 - 19th International Congress on Modelling and Simulation - Sustaining Our Future: Understanding and Living with Uncertainty

Volumn , Issue , 2011, Pages 2521-2527

  Low Choy, S ^a,b   Hammond, Nichole ^c   Penrose, Lindsay ^d   Anderson, Chris ^e   Taylor, Sharyn ^d  

^a Cooperative Research Centre for National Plant Biosecurity ^*  (Australia)

^b QUEENSLAND UNIVERSITY OF TECHNOLOGY   (Australia)

^c DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE AND FOOD WESTERN AUSTRALIA   (Australia)

^d Department of Agriculture Forestry and Fisheries ^*  (Australia)

^e NSW DEPARTMENT OF PRIMARY INDUSTRIES   (Australia)

Author keywords

Area freedom; Bayesian statistics; Disease; Dispersal; Plant pests; Surveillance design

Indexed keywords

AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY; AGRICULTURAL SECTOR; AREA FREEDOM; BAYESIAN FRAMEWORKS; BAYESIAN INFERENCE; BAYESIAN LEARNING; BAYESIAN PREDICTIONS; BAYESIAN STATISTICS; BIO-SECURITY; COLONIZATION PROCESS; COMPUTATIONAL OVERHEADS; DETECTABILITY; DISPERSAL; ENVIRONMENTAL HEALTH; EXOTIC PESTS; EXOTIC PLANTS; EXPERT JUDGMENT; EXPERT KNOWLEDGE; EXPLORATORY DATA ANALYSIS; FREELY AVAILABLE SOFTWARE; HIERARCHICAL STRUCTURES; INDIRECT EFFECTS; MULTIPLE SAMPLING; NATURAL CYCLE; PLANT PESTS; POINT ESTIMATE; PRIOR DISTRIBUTION; SPATIO-TEMPORAL DYNAMICS; STATISTICAL FRAMEWORK; STATISTICAL MODELLING; SURVEILLANCE DATA;

BAYESIAN NETWORKS; DATA VISUALIZATION; DESIGN; DISEASES; INFERENCE ENGINES; INTERNATIONAL TRADE; SEPARATION; VISUALIZATION;

MONITORING;

EID: 84858821990     PISSN: None     EISSN: None     Source Type: Conference Proceeding    
DOI: None     Document Type: Conference Paper

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