Towards the integration of spread and economic impacts of biological invasions in a landscape of learning and imitating agents

Ecological Economics

Volumn 76, Issue , 2012, Pages 95-103

  Carrasco, L Roman ^a,b,c   Cook, David ^d,e   Baker, Richard ^c   MacLeod, Alan ^c   Knight, Jon D ^b   Mumford, John D ^b  

^a NATIONAL UNIVERSITY OF SINGAPORE   (Singapore)

^b IMPERIAL COLLEGE LONDON   (United Kingdom)

^c FOOD AND ENVIRONMENT RESEARCH AGENCY   (United Kingdom)

^d CSIRO   (Australia)

^e Australia Cooperative Research Centre for National Plant Biosecurity   (Australia)

Author keywords

Biosecurity; Buffer zone; Computational economics; Diabrotica virgifera virgifera; Invasive alien species; Pest risk analysis

Indexed keywords

BEETLE; BIOSAFETY; BUFFER ZONE; ECONOMIC IMPACT; ENVIRONMENTAL ECONOMICS; INVASIVE SPECIES; LAND MANAGEMENT; LEARNING; STOCHASTICITY;

UNITED KINGDOM;

DIABROTICA VIRGIFERA VIRGIFERA;

EID: 84858338637     PISSN: 09218009     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2012.02.009     Document Type: Article

References (70)

1. Acquaye A.K.A., Alston M.J., Hyunok M.L., Sumner A.D. Economic consequences of invasive species policies in the presence of commodity programs: theory and application to citrus canker. Review of Agricultural Economics 2005, 27:498.
2. ADAS Economic assessment of the rotational measures within the EC control measures against Diabrotica virgifera in UK maize crops. ADAS for Defra PHD, March 2004 2004, 29pp.
3. Albers H.J., Fischer C., Sanchirico J.N. Invasive species management in a spatially heterogeneous world: effects of uniform policies. Resource and Energy Economics 2010, 32:483-499.
4. Anonymous Commission decision of 24 October 2003 on emergency measures to prevent the spread within the Community of Diabrotica virgifera Le Conte. Official Journal of the European Union 2003, 2003D0766:1-6.
5. Baker R., Cannon R.A.Y., Bartlett P., Barker I.A.N. Novel strategies for assessing and managing the risks posed by invasive alien species to global crop production and biodiversity. Annals of Applied Biology 2005, 146:177-191.
6. Barbier E.B. A note on the economics of biological invasions. Ecological Economics 2001, 39:197-202.
7. Becu N., Perez P., Walker A., Barreteau O., Page C.L. Agent based simulation of a small catchment water management in northern Thailand: description of the CATCHSCAPE model. Ecological Modelling 2003, 170:319-331.
8. Berger T. Agent-based spatial models applied to agriculture: a simulation tool for technology diffusion, resource use changes and policy analysis. Agricultural Economics 2001, 25:245-260.
9. Bossenbroek J.M., Johnson L.E., Peters B., Lodge D.M. Forecasting the expansion of zebra mussels in the United States. Conservation Biology 2007, 21:800-810.
10. Bousquet F., Le Page C. Multi-agent simulations and ecosystem management: a review. Ecological Modelling 2004, 176:313-332.
11. Brenner T., Tesfatsion L., Judd K.L. Agent learning representation: advice on modelling economic learning. Handbook of Computational Economics 2006, 895-947. Elsevier.
12. Breukers A., Mourits M., van der Werf W., Lansink A.O. Costs and benefits of controlling quarantine diseases: a bio-economic modeling approach. Agricultural Economics 2008, 38:137-149.
13. Burnett K.M., D'Evelyn S., Kaiser B.A., Nantamanasikarn P., Roumasset J.A. Beyond the lamppost: optimal prevention and control of the Brown Tree Snake in Hawaii. Ecological Economics 2008, 67:66-74.
14. Cacho O.J., Hester S.M. Deriving efficient frontiers for effort allocation in the management of invasive species*. The Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics 2011, 55:72-89.
15. Cacho O.J., Wise R.M., Hester S.M., Sinden J.A. Bioeconomic modeling for control of weeds in natural environments. Ecological Economics 2008, 65:559-568.
16. Cacho O.J., Spring D., Hester S., Mac Nally R. Allocating surveillance effort in the management of invasive species: a spatially-explicit model. Environmental Modelling and Software 2010, 25:444-454.
17. Carrasco L.R., Baker R., MacLeod A., Knight J.D., Mumford J.D. Optimal and robust control of invasive alien species spreading in homogeneous landscapes. Journal of the Royal Society, Interface 2010, 7:529-540.
18. Carrasco L.R., Mumford J.D., MacLeod A., Harwood T., Grabenweger G., Leach A.W., Knight J.D., Baker R.H.A. Unveiling human-assisted dispersal mechanisms in invasive alien insects: integration of spatial stochastic simulation and phenology models. Ecological Modelling 2010, 221:2068-2075.
19. Carrasco L.R., Mumford J.D., MacLeod A., Knight J.D., Baker R.H.A. Comprehensive bioeconomic modelling of multiple harmful non-indigenous species. Ecological Economics 2010, 69:1303-1312.
20. Coats S.A., Tollefson J.J., Mutchmor J.A. Study of migratory flight in the western corn-rootworm (Coleoptera, Chrysomelidae). Environmental Entomology 1986, 15:620-625.
21. Cook D.C. Benefit cost analysis of an import access request. Food Policy 2008, 33:277-285.
22. Cook D.C., Fraser R.W. Exploring the regional implications of interstate quarantine policies in Western Australia. Food Policy 2002, 27:143-157.
23. Cook D.C., Fraser R.W. Trade and invasive species risk mitigation: reconciling WTO compliance with maximising the gains from trade. Food Policy 2008, 33:176-184.
24. Dehnen-Schmutz K., Touza J., Perrings C., Williamson M. A century of the ornamental plant trade and its impact on invasion success. Diversity and Distributions 2007, 13:527-534.
25. Eiswerth M.E., Johnson W.S. Managing nonindigenous invasive species: insights from dynamic analysis. Environmental and Resource Economics 2002, 23:319-342.
26. Epanchin-Niell R.S., Hastings A. Controlling established invaders: integrating economics and spread dynamics to determine optimal management. Ecology Letters 2010, 13:528-541.
27. Epanchin-Niell R.S., Hufford M.B., Aslan C.E., Sexton J.P., Port J.D., Waring T.M. Controlling invasive species in complex social landscapes. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment 2010, 8:210-216.
28. Eshel I., Samuelson L., Shaked A. Altruists, egoists, and hooligans in a local interaction model. The American Economic Review 1998, 88:157-179.
29. Eyre D.P., Cannon R.J.C., Cheek S., MacLeod A., Baker R.H.A. Surveying for Diabrotica virgifera virgifera (Coleoptera: Chrysomelidae) in England & Wales, 2003-2006. Aspects of Applied Biology 2007, 83:141-145.
30. FAO Pest Risk Analysis for quarantine pests including analysis of environmental risks and living modified organisms, ISPM. 11 2004, FAO, Rome.
31. Gavloski J.E., Whitfield G.H., Ellis C.R. Effect of larvae of western corn rootworm and of mechanical root pruning on sap flow and growth of corn. Journal of Economic Entomology 1992, 85:1434-1441.
32. Gotts N.M., Polhill J.G., Law A.N.R. Agent-based simulation in the study of social dilemmas. Artificial Intelligence Review 2003, 19:3-92.
33. Grimm V., Berger U., DeAngelis D.L., Polhill J.G., Giske J., Railsback S.F. The ODD protocol: a review and first update. Ecological Modelling 2010, 221:2760-2768.
34. Grimsrud K.M., Chermak J.M., Hansen J., Thacher J.A., Krause K. A two-agent dynamic model with an invasive weed diffusion externality: an application to Yellow Starthistle (Centaurea solstitialis L.) in New Mexico. Journal of Environmental Management 2008, 89:322-335.
35. Heikkila J., Peltola J. Analysis of the Colorado potato beetle protection system in Finland. Agricultural Economics 2004, 31:343-352.
36. Herrnstein R.J., Prelec D. Melioration - a theory of distributed choice. The Journal of Economic Perspectives 1991, 5:137-156.
37. Higgins S.I., Turpie J.K., Costanza R., Cowling R.M., Le Maitre D.C., Marais C., Midgley G.F. An ecological economic simulation model of mountain fynbos ecosystems: dynamics, valuation and management. Ecological Economics 1997, 22:155-169.
38. Holmes T.P., Aukema J.E., Von Holle B., Liebhold A., Sills E. Economic impacts of invasive species in forests. Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences 2009, 1162:18-38.
39. Horan R.D., Perrings C., Lupi F., Bulte E.H. Biological pollution prevention strategies under ignorance: the case of invasive species. American Journal of Agricultural Economics 2002, 84:1303-1310.
40. Hulme M., Jenkins G.J., Lu X., Turnperry J.R., Mitchell T.D., Jones R.G., Lowe J., Murphy J.M., Hassell D., Boorman P., McDonald R., Hill S. Climate change scenarios for the United Kingdom: the UKCIP02 scientific report. Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, School of Environmental Sciences 2002, University of East Anglia, Norwich UK.
41. Janssen M.A., Ostrom E., Judd L.T.a.K.L. Governing social-ecological systems. Handbook of Computational Economics 2006, 1465-1509. Elsevier.
42. Jepsen M.R., Leisz S., Rasmussen K., Jakobsen J., MØller-Jensen L., Christiansen L. Agent-based modelling of shifting cultivation field patterns, Vietnam. International Journal of Geographical Information Science 2006, 20:1067-1085.
43. MacLeod A., Baker R.H.A., Cannon R.J.C. Costs and benefits of European Community (EC) measures against an invasive alien species: current and future impacts of Diabrotica virgifera virgifera in England & Wales, 2005 BCPC SYMPOSIUM PROCEEDINGS NO.81. Plant Protection and Plant Health in Europe: Introduction and Spread of Invasive Species 2005.
44. MacLeod A., Pautasso M., Jeger M., Haines-Young R. Evolution of the international regulation of plant pests and challenges for future plant health. Food Security 2010, 2:49-70.
45. Mathevet R., Bousquet F., Le Page C., Antona M. Agent-based simulations of interactions between duck population, farming decisions and leasing of hunting rights in the Camargue (Southern France). Ecological Modelling 2003, 165:107-126.
46. Matthews R. The People and Landscape Model (PALM): towards full integration of human decision-making and biophysical simulation models. Ecological Modelling 2006, 194:329-343.
47. Nolan J., Parker D., Van Kooten G.C., Berger T. An overview of computational modeling in agricultural and resource economics. Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue canadienne d'agroeconomie 2009, 57:417-429.
48. North M.J., Collier N.T., Vos J.R. Experiences creating three implementations of the repast agent modeling toolkit. ACM Transactions on Modeling and Computer Simulation 2006, 16:1-25.
49. Paarlberg P.L., Lee J.G., Seitzinger A.H. Measuring welfare effects of an FMD outbreak in the United States. Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics 2003, 35:53-65.
50. Parker D.C., Meretsky V. Measuring pattern outcomes in an agent-based model of edge-effect externalities using spatial metrics. Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment 2004, 101:233-250.
51. Perrings C. Mitigation and adaptation strategies for the control of biological invasions. Ecological Economics 2005, 52:315-325.
52. Perrings C., Williamson M., Barbier E.B., Delfino D., Dalmazzone S., Shogren J., Simmons P., Watkinson A. Biological invasion risks and the public good: an economic perspective. Conservation Ecology 2002, 6.
53. Pimentel D., Lach L., Zuniga R., Morrison D. Environmental and economic costs of nonindigenous species in the United States. Bioscience 2000, 50:53-65.
54. Polasky S. A model of prevention, detection and control for invasive species. Bioinvasions & Globalization. Ecology, Economics, Management, and Policy 2010, Oxford University Press, New York. C. Perrings, H.A. Mooney, M. Williamson (Eds.).
55. Rebaudo F., Crespo-Pérez V., Silvain J.F., Dangles O. Agent-based modeling of human-induced spread of invasive species in agricultural landscapes: insights from the potato moth in Ecuador. Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation 2011, 14:7.
56. Rout T.M., Moore J.L., Possingham H.P., McCarthy M.A. Allocating biosecurity resources between preventing, detecting, and eradicating island invasions. Ecological Economics 2011, 71:54-62.
57. Rumiati R.I., Bekkering H. To imitate or not to imitate? How the brain can do it, that is the question!. Brain and Cognition 2003, 53:479-482.
58. Sadler R.J., Florec V., White B., Dominiak B.C. Calibrating a Jump-Diffusion Model of an Endemic Invasive: Metamodels, Statistics and Qfly. 19th International Congress on Modelling and Simulation, Perth, Australia, 12-16 December 2011 2011.
59. Sanchirico J., Albers H., Fischer C., Coleman C. Spatial management of invasive species: pathways and policy options. Environmental and Resource Economics 2010, 45:517-535.
60. Schreinemachers P., Potchanasin C., Berger T., Roygrong S. Agent-based modeling for ex ante assessment of tree crop innovations: litchis in northern Thailand. Agricultural Economics 2010, 41:519-536.
61. Sharov A.A., Liebhold A.M. Bioeconomics of managing the spread of exotic pest species with barrier zones. Ecological Applications 1998, 8:833-845.
62. Stanaway M., Mengersen K., Reeves R. Hierarchical Bayesian modelling of early detection surveillance for plant pest invasions. Environmental and Ecological Statistics 2010, 1-23.
63. Sun J.F. The Evaluation of Impacts of Colonization of Zebra Mussels on the Recreational Demand in Lake Erie. Proceedings of The Fourth International Zebra Mussel Conference, Madison, Wisconsin, March 1994 1994.
64. Szalai M., Papp Komáromi J., Bažok R., Igrc Barčić J., Kiss J., Toepfer S. Generational growth rate estimates of Diabrotica virgifera virgifera populations (Coleoptera: Chrysomelidae). Journal of Pest Science 2011, 84:133-142.
65. Vilà M., Basnou C., Pyšek P., Josefsson M., Genovesi P., Gollasch S., Nentwig W., Olenin S., Roques A., Roy D., Hulme P.E. How well do we understand the impacts of alien species on ecosystem services? A pan-European, cross-taxa assessment. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment 2010, 8:135-144.
66. Waage J.K., Woodhall J.W., Bishop S.J., Smith J.J., Jones D.R., Spence N.J. Patterns of plant pest introductions in Europe and Africa. Agricultural Systems 2008, 99:1-5.
67. Weinberger S. Social science: web of war. Nature 2011, 471:566-568.
68. Weinberger S. Spies to use Twitter as crystal ball. Nature 2011, 478:301.
69. Wittwer G., McKirdy S., Wilson R. Regional economic impacts of a plant disease incursion using a general equilibrium approach. The Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics 2005, 49:75-89.
70. Yemshanov D., McKenney D.W., de Groot P., Haugen D., Sidders D., Joss B. A bioeconomic approach to assess the impact of an alien invasive insect on timber supply and harvesting: a case study with Sirex noctilio in eastern Canada. Canadian Journal of Forest Research 2008, 39:154-168.