Long-term temperature and precipitation trends at the Coweeta Hydrologic Laboratory, Otto, North Carolina, USA

Hydrology Research

Volumn 43, Issue 6, 2012, Pages 890-901

  Laseter, Stephanie H ^a   Ford, Chelcy R ^a   Vose, James M ^a   Swift, Lloyd W ^a  

^a USDA FOREST SERVICE   (United States)

Author keywords

Climate; Long term; Precipitation; Quantile regression; Temperature; Time series

Indexed keywords

AIR TEMPERATURE; CLIMATE; DROUGHT SEVERITY; FOREST CLIMATE; FOREST HEALTH; GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGES; LONG-TERM; MONITORING NETWORK; NORTH CAROLINA , USA; PRECIPITATION DATA; PRECIPITATION DISTRIBUTION; PRECIPITATION TRENDS; QUANTILE REGRESSION; TEMPORAL VARIATION;

CLIMATE CHANGE; FORESTRY; PRECIPITATION (CHEMICAL); TEMPERATURE; TIME SERIES;

ATMOSPHERIC TEMPERATURE;

AIR TEMPERATURE; CLIMATE CONDITIONS; DROUGHT; EXTREME EVENT; FOREST COVER; GLOBAL CLIMATE; LONG-TERM CHANGE; PRECIPITATION (CLIMATOLOGY); REGIONAL CLIMATE; REGRESSION ANALYSIS; TEMPERATURE PROFILE; TEMPORAL VARIATION; TIME SERIES; TREND ANALYSIS;

CLIMATES; NORTH CAROLINA; PRECIPITATION; PYROMETRY; REGRESSION ANALYSIS; TEMPERATURE; TIME SERIES ANALYSIS;

NORTH CAROLINA; OTTO; UNITED STATES;

EID: 84858334225     PISSN: 00291277     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.2166/nh.2012.067     Document Type: Article

References (48)

1. Allen, M. R. & Ingram, W. J. 2002 Constraints on future changes in climate and the hydrologic cycle. Nature 419, 224-232.
2. Angert, A., Biraud, S., Bonfils, C., Henning, C. C., Buermann, W., Pinzon, J., Tucker, C. J. & Fung, I. 2005 Drier summers cancel out the CO2 uptake enhancement induced by warmer springs. Proc. Natl. Acad. Set 102, 10823-10827. (Pubitemid 41105950)
3. Burke, E. J., Brown, S. J. & Christidis, N. 2006 Modeling the recent evolution of global drought and projections for the twenty-first century with the Hadley Centre Climate Model. J. Hydrometeorol. 7, 1113-1125. (Pubitemid 44734317)
4. Burnham, K. P. & Anderson, D. R. 2002 Model Selection and Multimodel Inference: A Practical Information-Theoretic Approach. Springer-Verlag, New York.
5. Bush, S. E., Pataki, D. E., Hultine, K. R., West, A. G., Sperry, J. S. & Ehleringer, J. 2008 Wood anatomy constrains stomatal responses to atmospheric vapor pressure deficit in irrigated, urban trees. Oecologia 156, 13-20.
6. Cade, B. S. & Noon, B. R. 2003 A gentle introduction to quantile regression for ecologists. Front. Ecol. Environ. 1, 412-420.
7. Clinton, B. D., Boring, L. R. & Swank, W. T. 1993 Canopy gap characteristics and drought influences in oak forests of the Coweeta Basin. Ecology 74, 1551-1558.
8. Critchfield, H. J. 1966 General Climatology. Prentice Hall, Englewood Cliffs, New Jersey, USA.
9. Czikowsky, M. J. & Fitzjarrald, D. R. 2004 Evidence of seasonal changes in evapotranspiration in eastern US hydrological records. J. Hydrometeorol. 5, 974-988. (Pubitemid 39565677)
10. Dai, A., Karl, T. R., Sun, B. & Trenberth, K. E. 2006 Recent trends in cloudiness over the United States, a tale of monitoring inadequacies. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 87, 597-606. (Pubitemid 43811065)
11. Douglass, J. E. & Hoover, M. D. 1988 Introduction and site description. In: Ecological Studies, Vol. 66: Forest Hydrology and Ecology at Coweeta (W. T. Swank & D. A. Crossley, eds). Springer-Verlag, New York, pp. 17-31.
12. Easterling, D. R., Meehl, G. A., Parmesan, C., Changnon, S. A., Karl, T. R & Mearns, L. O.2000 Climate extremes: observations, modeling, and impacts. Science 289,2068-2074.
13. Elliott, K. J. & Hewitt, D. 1997 Forest species diversity in upper elevation hardwood forests in the southern Appalachian Mountains. Castanea 62, 32-42. (Pubitemid 127539653)
14. Elliott, K. J. & Swank, W. T. 2008 Long-Term changes in forest composition and diversity following early logging (1919-1923) and the decline of American chestnut (Castanea dentata). Plant Ecol. 197, 155-172.
15. Ford, C. R., Goranson, C. E., Mitchell, R. J., Will, R. E. & Teskey, R. O. 2005 Modeling canopy transpiration using time series analysis: a case study illustrating the effect of soil moisture deficit on Pinus taeda. Agric. Forest Meteorol. 130, 163-175. (Pubitemid 40817332)
16. Ford, C. R., Hubbard, R. M. & Vose, J. M. 2010 Quantifying structural and physiological controls on canopy transpiration of planted pine and hardwood stand species in the southern Appalachians. Ecohydrology 4, 183-195.
17. Ford, C. R., Laseter, S. H., Swank, W. T. & Vose, J. M. On Can forest management be used to sustain water-based ecosystem services in the face of climate change? Ecol. Appl. 21,2049-2067.
18. Groisman, P. Y., Knight, R. W., Karl, T. R., Easterling, D. R., Sun, B. & Lawrimore, J. H. 2004 Contemporary changes of the hydrological cycle over the contiguous United States: trends derived from in situ observations. J. Hydrometeorol. 5, 64-85. (Pubitemid 38381926)
19. Hertzler, R. A. 1936 History of the Coweeta Experimental Forest. Unpublished report on file at Coweeta Hydrologic Laboratory.
20. Huntington, T. G. 2006 Evidence for intensification of the global water cycle: review and synthesis. J. Hydrol. 319, 83-95. (Pubitemid 43204331)
21. Hursh, C. R. & Haasis, F. W. 1931 Effects of 1925 summer drought on southern Appalachian hardwoods. Ecology 12, 380-386.
22. IPCC 2007 Contribution of working groups I, II and III to the fourth assessment report of the Intergovernmental panel on climate change. In: Climate Change 2007: Synthesis Report, Core Writing Team (R. K. Pachuari & A. Reisinger, eds). Geneva, Switzerland, pp. 104.
23. Johnson, J. B. & Omland, K. S. 2004 Model selection in ecology and evolution. Trends Ecol. Evol. 19, 101-108. (Pubitemid 38105895)
24. Karl, T. R. & Knight, R. W. 1998 Secular trends of precipitation amount, frequency, and intensity in the USA. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 79, 231-241. (Pubitemid 128485437)
25. Karl, T. R., Knight, R. W. & Plummer, N. 1995 Trends in high-frequency climate variability in the twentieth century. Nature 377, 217-220. (Pubitemid 26440705)
26. Kloeppel, B. D., Clinton, B. D., Vose, J. M. & Cooper, A. R. 2003 Drought impacts on tree growth and mortality of southern Appalachian forests. In: Climate Variability and Ecosystem Response at Long-Term Ecological Research Sites (D. Greenland, D. G. Goodin & R. C. Smith, eds). Oxford University Press, New York, NY, pp. 43-55.
27. Lindenmayer, D. B., Likens, G. E., Krebs, C. J. & Hobbs, R. J. 2010 Improved probability of detection of ecological 'surprises'. Proc. Natl. Acad. Set 107, 21957-21962.
28. Lins, H. & Slack, J. R. 1999 Streamflow trends in the United States. Geophys. Res. Lett. 26, 227-230.
29. McMahon, S. M., Parker, G. G. & Miller, D. R. 2010 Evidence for a recent increase in forest growth. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. 107, 3611-3615.
30. McNulty, S. G. & Swank, W. T. 1995 Wood d13C as a measure of annual basal area growth and soil water stress in a Pinus strobus forest. Ecology 76, 1581-1586.
31. Moran, M. S., Peters, D. P. C., McClaran, M. P., Nichols, M. H. & Adams, M. B. 2008 Long-Term data collection at USDA experimental sites for studies of ecohydrology. Ecohydrology 1, 377-393.
32. Nemani, R. R., Keeling, C. D., Hashimoto, H., Jolly, W. M., Piper, S. C., Tucker, C. J., Myneni, R. B. & Running, S. W. 2003 Climate-driven increases in global terrestrial net primary production from 1982 to 1999. Science 300, 1560-1563. (Pubitemid 36682885)
33. Nuckolls, A., Wurzburger, N., Ford, C. R., Hendrick, R. L., Vose, J. M. & Kloeppel, B. D. 2009 Hemlock declines rapidly with hemlock woolly adelgid infestation: impacts on the carbon cycle of Southern Appalachian forests. Ecosystems 12, 179-190.
34. Peterson, T. C. & Baringer, M. O. 2009 State of the climate in 2008. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 90, S1-S196.
35. Philipona, R., Behrens, K. & Ruckstuhl, C. 2009 How declining aerosols and rising greenhouse gases forced rapid warming in Europe since the 1980s. Geophys. Res. Lett. 36, L02806.
36. Portmann, R. W., Solomon, S. & Hegerl, G. C. 2009 Spatial and seasonal patterns in climate change, temperatures, and precipitation across the United States. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. 106, 7324-7329.
37. Riedel, M.S. 2006a North Atlantic oscillation influences on climate variability in the Southern Appalachians. 8th Interdisciplinary Solutions for Watershed Sustainability. Joint Federal Interagency, Reno, NV.
38. Riedel, M.S. 2006b Atmospheric/oceanic influence on climate in the Southern Appalachians. In: Proceedings of the Secondary Interagency Conference on Research in the Watersheds. USDA SRS, Otto, NC, pp. 7.
39. Salzer, M. W., Hughes, M. K., Bunn, A. G. & Kipfmueller, K. F. 2009 Recent unprecedented tree-ring growth in bristlecone pine at the highest elevations and possible causes. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. 106, 20348-20353.
40. Solomon, S., Plattner, G., Knutti, R. & Friedlingstein, P. 2009 Irreversible climate change due to carbon dioxide emissions. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. 106, 1704-1709.
41. Streets, D. G., Wu, Y. & Chin, M. 2006 Two-decadal aerosol trends as a likely explanation of the global dimming/brightening transition. Geophys. Res. Lett. 33, L15806.
42. Swank, W. T. & Crossley, D. A. 1988 Introduction and site description. In: Ecological Studies, Vol. 66: Forest Hydrology and Ecology at Coweeta (W. T. Swank & D. A. Crossley, eds). Springer-Verlag, New York, pp. 3-16.
43. Swift, L. W., Cunningham, G. B. & Douglass, J. E. 1988 Climate and hydrology. In: Ecological Studies, Vol. 66: Forest Hydrology and Ecology at Coweeta (W. T. Swank & D. A. Crossley, eds). Springer-Verlag, New York, pp. 35-55.
44. Trewartha, G. T. 1954 An Introduction to Climate. Mc-Graw Hill, New York, USA.
45. Vose, J. M. & Swank, W.T. 1994 Effects of long-Term drought on the hydrology and growth of a white-pine plantation in the southern Appalachians. For. Ecol. Manage. 64, 25-39.
46. Wild, M. 2009 Global dimming and brightening: a review. J. Geophys. Res. 114, D00D16.
47. Williams, J. W. & Jackson, S. T. 2007 Novel climates, no-Analog communities, and ecological surprises. Front. Ecol. Environ. 5, 475-482. (Pubitemid 350071683)
48. Williams, J. W., Jackson, S. T. & Kutzbach, J. E. 2007 Projected distributions of novel and disappearing climates by 2100 AD. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. 104, 5738-5742. (Pubitemid 47175604)