메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 31, Issue 3, 2012, Pages 657-672

Determinants of sovereign yield spreads in the Eurozone: A Bayesian approach

Author keywords

Bayesian Model Averaging; Default risk in EMU countries; Sovereign bond yield spreads

Indexed keywords


EID: 84857456505     PISSN: 02615606     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2011.10.010     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (99)

References (45)
  • 2
    • 31044440197 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Fiscal Discipline and the Cost of Public Debt Service: Some Estimates for OECD Countries
    • ECB working paper No. 411.
    • Ardagna, S., Caselli, F., Lane, T., 2004. Fiscal Discipline and the Cost of Public Debt Service: Some Estimates for OECD Countries. ECB working paper No. 411.
    • (2004)
    • Ardagna, S.1    Caselli, F.2    Lane, T.3
  • 3
    • 0040748369 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • How does U.S. monetary policy influence sovereign bond spreads in emerging markets?
    • Arora V., Cerisola M. How does U.S. monetary policy influence sovereign bond spreads in emerging markets?. IMF-Staff Papers 2001, 48:474-498.
    • (2001) IMF-Staff Papers , vol.48 , pp. 474-498
    • Arora, V.1    Cerisola, M.2
  • 4
    • 0036335816 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Stock return predictability and model uncertainty
    • Avramov D. Stock return predictability and model uncertainty. Journal of Financial Economics 2002, 64(3):423-458.
    • (2002) Journal of Financial Economics , vol.64 , Issue.3 , pp. 423-458
    • Avramov, D.1
  • 5
    • 78650592305 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Is It (Still) Mostly Fiscal? Determinants of Sovereign Spreads in Emerging Markets
    • IMF Working Papers08/259, International Monetary Fund.
    • Baldacci, E., Gupta, S., Mati, A., 2008. Is It (Still) Mostly Fiscal? Determinants of Sovereign Spreads in Emerging Markets. IMF Working Papers08/259, International Monetary Fund.
    • (2008)
    • Baldacci, E.1    Gupta, S.2    Mati, A.3
  • 6
    • 21244478429 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Sovereign Risk Premiums in the European Government Bond Market
    • University of Mannheim Discussion Paper.
    • Bernoth, K., von Hagen, J., Schuknecht, L., 2006. Sovereign Risk Premiums in the European Government Bond Market. University of Mannheim Discussion Paper.
    • (2006)
    • Bernoth, K.1    von Hagen, J.2    Schuknecht, L.3
  • 7
    • 84857454429 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Sovereign Bond Yield Spreads
    • A Time Varying Coefficient Approach, DIW Discussion Paper.
    • Bernoth, K., Erdogan, B., 2010. Sovereign Bond Yield Spreads. A Time Varying Coefficient Approach, DIW Discussion Paper.
    • (2010)
    • Bernoth, K.1    Erdogan, B.2
  • 8
    • 0002481622 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Determinants and impact of sovereign credit ratings
    • Cantor R., Packer F. Determinants and impact of sovereign credit ratings. FRBNY Economic Policy Review 1996, 2:37-54.
    • (1996) FRBNY Economic Policy Review , vol.2 , pp. 37-54
    • Cantor, R.1    Packer, F.2
  • 10
    • 0344685284 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Stock return predictability: a Bayesian model selection perspective
    • Cremers K.J.M. Stock return predictability: a Bayesian model selection perspective. The Review of Financial Studies 2002, 15(4):1223-1249.
    • (2002) The Review of Financial Studies , vol.15 , Issue.4 , pp. 1223-1249
    • Cremers, K.J.M.1
  • 11
    • 34447331348 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Global Monetary Conditions versus Country-specific Factors in the Determination of Emerging Market Debt Spreads
    • The World BankPolicy Research Working Paper Series 3626.
    • Dailami, M., Masson, P.R., Padou, J.J., 2005. Global Monetary Conditions versus Country-specific Factors in the Determination of Emerging Market Debt Spreads. The World BankPolicy Research Working Paper Series 3626.
    • (2005)
    • Dailami, M.1    Masson, P.R.2    Padou, J.J.3
  • 12
    • 0004196750 scopus 로고
    • The 'burden of debt' and the national income
    • Domar E. The 'burden of debt' and the national income. American Economic Review 1944, 34:798-827.
    • (1944) American Economic Review , vol.34 , pp. 798-827
    • Domar, E.1
  • 13
    • 0004196750 scopus 로고
    • The effect of foreign investment on the balance of payments
    • Domar E. The effect of foreign investment on the balance of payments. American Economic Review 1950, 40:805-826.
    • (1950) American Economic Review , vol.40 , pp. 805-826
    • Domar, E.1
  • 16
    • 38249039955 scopus 로고
    • The pricing of bonds and bank loans in international markets
    • Edwards S. The pricing of bonds and bank loans in international markets. European Economic Review 1986, 30:565-589.
    • (1986) European Economic Review , vol.30 , pp. 565-589
    • Edwards, S.1
  • 17
    • 0003619954 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • What Explains Changing Spreads on Emerging Market Debt: Fundamentals or Market Sentiment?
    • NBER Working Paper 6408.
    • Eichengreen, B., Mody, A., 1998. What Explains Changing Spreads on Emerging Market Debt: Fundamentals or Market Sentiment? NBER Working Paper 6408.
    • (1998)
    • Eichengreen, B.1    Mody, A.2
  • 18
    • 34250380517 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Unraveling the fortunes of the fortunate: an Iterative Bayesian Model (IBMA) approach
    • Eicher T., Papageorgiou C., Roehn O. Unraveling the fortunes of the fortunate: an Iterative Bayesian Model (IBMA) approach. Journal of Macroeconomics 2007, 29:494-514.
    • (2007) Journal of Macroeconomics , vol.29 , pp. 494-514
    • Eicher, T.1    Papageorgiou, C.2    Roehn, O.3
  • 19
    • 84856868927 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Liquidity Premia in German Government Bonds
    • European Central Bank Working Paper 1081.
    • Ejsing, J.W., Sihvonen, J., 2009. Liquidity Premia in German Government Bonds. European Central Bank Working Paper 1081.
    • (2009)
    • Ejsing, J.W.1    Sihvonen, J.2
  • 20
    • 18044404766 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Benchmark priors for Bayesian model averaging
    • Fernandez C., Ley E., Steel M. Benchmark priors for Bayesian model averaging. Journal of Econometrics 2001, 100:381-427.
    • (2001) Journal of Econometrics , vol.100 , pp. 381-427
    • Fernandez, C.1    Ley, E.2    Steel, M.3
  • 22
    • 0042806427 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The Economic Effects of Long-term Fiscal Discipline
    • Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center Discussion Paper.
    • Gale, W. G., Orszag, P., 2002. The Economic Effects of Long-term Fiscal Discipline. Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center Discussion Paper.
    • (2002)
    • Gale, W.G.1    Orszag, P.2
  • 24
    • 0009314775 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bayesian model selection
    • Wiley, New York, S. Kotz, C. Read, D.L. Banks (Eds.)
    • George E. Bayesian model selection. Encyclopaedia of Statistical Sciences Update 1999, vol. 3:39-46. Wiley, New York. S. Kotz, C. Read, D.L. Banks (Eds.).
    • (1999) Encyclopaedia of Statistical Sciences Update , vol.3 , pp. 39-46
    • George, E.1
  • 25
    • 34248586189 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Examining the robustness of the inflation and growth relationship
    • Hineline D. Examining the robustness of the inflation and growth relationship. Southern Economic Journal 2007, 73:1020-1037.
    • (2007) Southern Economic Journal , vol.73 , pp. 1020-1037
    • Hineline, D.1
  • 26
    • 77951249446 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Determinants of sovereign risk: macroeconomic fundamentals and the pricing of sovereign debt
    • Hilscher J., Nosbusch Y. Determinants of sovereign risk: macroeconomic fundamentals and the pricing of sovereign debt. Review of Finance 2010, 14:235-262.
    • (2010) Review of Finance , vol.14 , pp. 235-262
    • Hilscher, J.1    Nosbusch, Y.2
  • 27
    • 0004130905 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The Evolution and Determinants of Emerging Market Credit Spreads in the 1990s
    • BIS Working Paper 68.
    • Kamin, S., von Kleist, K., 1999. The Evolution and Determinants of Emerging Market Credit Spreads in the 1990s. BIS Working Paper 68.
    • (1999)
    • Kamin, S.1    von Kleist, K.2
  • 29
    • 41549163370 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Re-examining the consumption-wealth relationship: the role of model uncertainty
    • Koop G., Potter S., Strachan R. Re-examining the consumption-wealth relationship: the role of model uncertainty. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking 2008, 40:341-367.
    • (2008) Journal of Money, Credit and Banking , vol.40 , pp. 341-367
    • Koop, G.1    Potter, S.2    Strachan, R.3
  • 30
    • 36849005472 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Pricing the commonality across alternative measures of liquidity
    • Korajczyk R., Sadka R. Pricing the commonality across alternative measures of liquidity. Journal of Financial Economics 2008, 87:45-72.
    • (2008) Journal of Financial Economics , vol.87 , pp. 45-72
    • Korajczyk, R.1    Sadka, R.2
  • 32
    • 0005048988 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Credit risks and European government bond markets: a panel data econometric analysis
    • Lemmen J., Goodhart C. Credit risks and European government bond markets: a panel data econometric analysis. Eastern Economic Journal 1999, 25:77-107.
    • (1999) Eastern Economic Journal , vol.25 , pp. 77-107
    • Lemmen, J.1    Goodhart, C.2
  • 34
    • 67651187310 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Market discipline, financial integration and fiscal rules: what drives spreads in the Euro area government bond market?
    • European Central Bank Working Paper 745.
    • Manganelli, S., Wolswijk, G., 2007. Market discipline, financial integration and fiscal rules: what drives spreads in the Euro area government bond market?. European Central Bank Working Paper 745.
    • (2007)
    • Manganelli, S.1    Wolswijk, G.2
  • 35
    • 51449116552 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Rough and lonely road to prosperity: a re-examination of the sources of growth in Africa using Bayesian Model Averaging
    • Masanjala W., Papageorgiou C. Rough and lonely road to prosperity: a re-examination of the sources of growth in Africa using Bayesian Model Averaging. Journal of Applied Econometrics 2008, 23:671-682.
    • (2008) Journal of Applied Econometrics , vol.23 , pp. 671-682
    • Masanjala, W.1    Papageorgiou, C.2
  • 36
    • 38649106422 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Monetary Policy with a wider information set: a Bayesian Model Averaging approach
    • Milani F. Monetary Policy with a wider information set: a Bayesian Model Averaging approach. Scottish Journal of Political Economy 2008, 55:1-30.
    • (2008) Scottish Journal of Political Economy , vol.55 , pp. 1-30
    • Milani, F.1
  • 37
    • 0003741268 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Determinants of Emerging Market Bond Spread: Do Economic Fundamentals Matter?
    • World Bank Policy Research Working Paper 1899.
    • Min, H., 1998. Determinants of Emerging Market Bond Spread: Do Economic Fundamentals Matter?. World Bank Policy Research Working Paper 1899.
    • (1998)
    • Min, H.1
  • 38
    • 0002018096 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • State fiscal institutions and the U.S. municipal bond market
    • University of Chicago Press, Chicago, K. Poterba, J. von Hagen (Eds.)
    • Poterba J., Rueben K. State fiscal institutions and the U.S. municipal bond market. Fiscal Institutions and Fiscal Performance 1999, University of Chicago Press, Chicago. K. Poterba, J. von Hagen (Eds.).
    • (1999) Fiscal Institutions and Fiscal Performance
    • Poterba, J.1    Rueben, K.2
  • 39
    • 33847387126 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Determinants Oftspread and Creditworthiness for Emerging Market Debt: a Panel Data Study
    • Banco de la Republica de Colombia - Borradores de Economia 295.
    • Rowland, P., Torres J., 2004. Determinants Oftspread and Creditworthiness for Emerging Market Debt: a Panel Data Study. Banco de la Republica de Colombia - Borradores de Economia 295.
    • (2004)
    • Rowland, P.1    Torres, J.2
  • 40
    • 0347683794 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • I just ran two million regressions
    • Sala-i-Martin X. I just ran two million regressions. American Economic Review 1997, 87:178-183.
    • (1997) American Economic Review , vol.87 , pp. 178-183
    • Sala-i-Martin, X.1
  • 41
    • 21244440478 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Determinants of long-term growth: a Bayesian averaging of classical estimates (BACE) approach
    • Sala-i-Martin X., Doppelhofer G., Miller R. Determinants of long-term growth: a Bayesian averaging of classical estimates (BACE) approach. American Economic Review 2004, 94:814-835.
    • (2004) American Economic Review , vol.94 , pp. 814-835
    • Sala-i-Martin, X.1    Doppelhofer, G.2    Miller, R.3
  • 43
    • 79955088262 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Government risk premiums in the EU revisited - the Impact of the Financial Crisis
    • ECB Working Paper Series No. 1152.
    • Schuknecht L., von Hagen, J., Wolswijk, G., 2010. Government risk premiums in the EU revisited - the Impact of the Financial Crisis. ECB Working Paper Series No. 1152.
    • (2010)
    • Schuknecht, L.1    von Hagen, J.2    Wolswijk, G.3
  • 45
    • 0002817906 scopus 로고
    • On assessing prior distributions and Bayesian regression analysis with g-prior distributions
    • North-Holland, Amsterdam, P.K. Goel, A. Zellner (Eds.)
    • Zellner A. On assessing prior distributions and Bayesian regression analysis with g-prior distributions. Bayesian Inference and Decision Techniques:Essays in Honour of Bruno de Finetti 1986, 233-243. North-Holland, Amsterdam. P.K. Goel, A. Zellner (Eds.).
    • (1986) Bayesian Inference and Decision Techniques:Essays in Honour of Bruno de Finetti , pp. 233-243
    • Zellner, A.1


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.