메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 45, Issue 4, 2010, Pages 1011-1023

Estimating volatility persistence in oil prices under structural breaks

Author keywords

G1; GARCH; ICSS algorithm; Oil; Structural breaks; Volatility

Indexed keywords


EID: 84857124199     PISSN: 07328516     EISSN: 15406288     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1111/j.1540-6288.2010.00283.x     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (64)

References (36)
  • 2
    • 0005880209 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Answering the skeptics: Yes, standard volatility models do provide accurate forecasts
    • Andersen, T.G., and T. Bollerslev., 1998. Answering the skeptics: Yes, standard volatility models do provide accurate forecasts, International Economic Review 39, 885-905.
    • (1998) International Economic Review , vol.39 , pp. 885-905
    • Andersen, T.G.1    Bollerslev, T.2
  • 4
    • 0036405104 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Detecting multiple breaks in financial market volatility dynamics
    • Andreou, E., and E. Ghysels., 2002. Detecting multiple breaks in financial market volatility dynamics, Journal of Applied Econometrics 17, 579-600.
    • (2002) Journal of Applied Econometrics , vol.17 , pp. 579-600
    • Andreou, E.1    Ghysels, E.2
  • 5
    • 26844499204 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modelling structural breaks, long memory and stock market volatility: An overview
    • Banerjee, A., and G. Urga., 2005. Modelling structural breaks, long memory and stock market volatility: An overview, Journal of Econometrics 129, 1-34.
    • (2005) Journal of Econometrics , vol.129 , pp. 1-34
    • Banerjee, A.1    Urga, G.2
  • 6
    • 84995453303 scopus 로고
    • Irreversibility, uncertainty, and cyclical investment
    • Bernanke, B.S., 1983. Irreversibility, uncertainty, and cyclical investment, Quarterly Journal of Economics 98, 85-106.
    • (1983) Quarterly Journal of Economics , vol.98 , pp. 85-106
    • Bernanke, B.S.1
  • 7
    • 42449156579 scopus 로고
    • Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity
    • Bollerslev, T., 1986. Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity, Journal of Econometrics 31, 307-327.
    • (1986) Journal of Econometrics , vol.31 , pp. 307-327
    • Bollerslev, T.1
  • 8
    • 70349218800 scopus 로고
    • Quasi-maximum likelihood estimation and inference in dynamic models with time-varying covariances
    • Bollerslev, T., and J.M. Wooldridge., 1992. Quasi-maximum likelihood estimation and inference in dynamic models with time-varying covariances, Econometric Reviews 11, 143-172.
    • (1992) Econometric Reviews , vol.11 , pp. 143-172
    • Bollerslev, T.1    Wooldridge, J.M.2
  • 9
    • 0038630919 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Estimating oil price ‘value at risk’ using the historical simulation approach
    • Cabedo, J.D., and I. Moya., 2003. Estimating oil price ‘value at risk’ using the historical simulation approach, Energy Economics 25, 239-253.
    • (2003) Energy Economics , vol.25 , pp. 239-253
    • Cabedo, J.D.1    Moya, I.2
  • 11
    • 0002567184 scopus 로고
    • The GARCH option pricing model
    • Duan, J.C., 1995. The GARCH option pricing model, Mathematical Finance 5, 13-32.
    • (1995) Mathematical Finance , vol.5 , pp. 13-32
    • Duan, J.C.1
  • 12
    • 0000051984 scopus 로고
    • Autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity with estimates of the variance of the U. K. Inflation
    • Engle, R., 1982. Autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity with estimates of the variance of the U. K. Inflation, Econometrica 50, 987-1008.
    • (1982) Econometrica , vol.50 , pp. 987-1008
    • Engle, R.1
  • 13
    • 0030510350 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Oil price volatility and the macroeconomy
    • Ferderer, J., 1996. Oil price volatility and the macroeconomy, Journal of Macroeconomics 18, 1-26.
    • (1996) Journal of Macroeconomics , vol.18 , pp. 1-26
    • Ferderer, J.1
  • 14
    • 0742306194 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Basis variations and regime shifts in the oil futures market
    • Fong, W.M., and K.H. See., 2003. Basis variations and regime shifts in the oil futures market, European Journal of Finance 9, 499-513.
    • (2003) European Journal of Finance , vol.9 , pp. 499-513
    • Fong, W.M.1    See, K.H.2
  • 15
    • 55149120480 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • WTI crude oil futures in portfolio diversification: The time-to-maturity effect
    • Geman, H., and C. Kharoubi., 2008. WTI crude oil futures in portfolio diversification: The time-to-maturity effect, Journal of Banking and Finance 32, 2553-2559.
    • (2008) Journal of Banking and Finance , vol.32 , pp. 2553-2559
    • Geman, H.1    Kharoubi, C.2
  • 16
    • 0030242133 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modelling the conditional distribution of interest rates as a regime switching process
    • Gray, S.F., 1996. Modelling the conditional distribution of interest rates as a regime switching process, Journal of Financial Economics 42, 27-62.
    • (1996) Journal of Financial Economics , vol.42 , pp. 27-62
    • Gray, S.F.1
  • 19
    • 23044461367 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Neglecting parameter changes in GARCH models
    • Hillebrand, E., 2005. Neglecting parameter changes in GARCH models, Journal of Econometrics 129, 121-138.
    • (2005) Journal of Econometrics , vol.129 , pp. 121-138
    • Hillebrand, E.1
  • 20
    • 33749848531 scopus 로고
    • Use of cumulative sums of squares for retrospective detection of changes of variance
    • Inclan, C., and G.C. Tiao., 1994. Use of cumulative sums of squares for retrospective detection of changes of variance, Journal of the American Statistical Association 89, 913-923.
    • (1994) Journal of the American Statistical Association , vol.89 , pp. 913-923
    • Inclan, C.1    Tiao, G.C.2
  • 21
    • 0039607955 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Oil and the stock markets
    • Jones, C.M., and G. Kaul., 1996. Oil and the stock markets, Journal of Finance 51, 463-491.
    • (1996) Journal of Finance , vol.51 , pp. 463-491
    • Jones, C.M.1    Kaul, G.2
  • 23
    • 2142767309 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A quantitative analysis of oil-price shocks, systematic monetary policy, and economic downturns
    • Leduc, S., and K. Sill., 2004. A quantitative analysis of oil-price shocks, systematic monetary policy, and economic downturns, Journal of Monetary Economics 51, 781-808.
    • (2004) Journal of Monetary Economics , vol.51 , pp. 781-808
    • Leduc, S.1    Sill, K.2
  • 24
    • 0035541830 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The CUSUM of squares test for scaled changes in infinite order moving average processes
    • Lee, S., and S. Park., 2001. The CUSUM of squares test for scaled changes in infinite order moving average processes, Scandinavian Journal of Statistics 28, 625-644.
    • (2001) Scandinavian Journal of Statistics , vol.28 , pp. 625-644
    • Lee, S.1    Park, S.2
  • 25
    • 68649084200 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Volatility transmission between oil prices and equity sector returns
    • Malik, F., and B. Ewing., 2009. Volatility transmission between oil prices and equity sector returns, International Review of Financial Analysis 18, 95-100.
    • (2009) International Review of Financial Analysis , vol.18 , pp. 95-100
    • Malik, F.1    Ewing, B.2
  • 26
    • 34447528942 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Shock and volatility transmission in the oil, US and gulf equity markets
    • Malik, F., and S. Hammoudeh., 2007. Shock and volatility transmission in the oil, US and gulf equity markets, International Review of Economics and Finance 16, 357-368.
    • (2007) International Review of Economics and Finance , vol.16 , pp. 357-368
    • Malik, F.1    Hammoudeh, S.2
  • 27
    • 12144287086 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Nonstationarities in financial time series, the long-range dependence, and the IGARCH effects
    • Mikosch, T., and C. Starica., 2004. Nonstationarities in financial time series, the long-range dependence, and the IGARCH effects, Review of Economics and Statistics 86, 378-390.
    • (2004) Review of Economics and Statistics , vol.86 , pp. 378-390
    • Mikosch, T.1    Starica, C.2
  • 28
    • 33645159494 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Volatility in natural gas and oil markets
    • Pindyck, R.S., 2004. Volatility in natural gas and oil markets, Journal of Energy and Development 30, 1-19.
    • (2004) Journal of Energy and Development , vol.30 , pp. 1-19
    • Pindyck, R.S.1
  • 29
    • 0000441798 scopus 로고
    • The persistence of volatility and stock market fluctuations
    • Poterba, J.M., and L. Summers., 1986. The persistence of volatility and stock market fluctuations, American Economic Review 76, 1143-1151.
    • (1986) American Economic Review , vol.76 , pp. 1143-1151
    • Poterba, J.M.1    Summers, L.2
  • 30
    • 48849086452 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Structural breaks and GARCH models of exchange rate volatility
    • Rapach, D.E., and J.K. Strauss., 2008. Structural breaks and GARCH models of exchange rate volatility, Journal of Applied Econometrics 23, 65-90.
    • (2008) Journal of Applied Econometrics , vol.23 , pp. 65-90
    • Rapach, D.E.1    Strauss, J.K.2
  • 31
    • 0032702341 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Oil price shocks and stock market activity
    • Sadorsky, P., 1999. Oil price shocks and stock market activity, Energy Economics 21, 449-469.
    • (1999) Energy Economics , vol.21 , pp. 449-469
    • Sadorsky, P.1
  • 32
    • 33745662678 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modeling and forecasting petroleum futures volatility
    • Sadorsky, P., 2006. Modeling and forecasting petroleum futures volatility, Energy Economics 28, 467-488.
    • (2006) Energy Economics , vol.28 , pp. 467-488
    • Sadorsky, P.1
  • 33
    • 26844573655 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Testing for change in the unconditional variance of financial time series
    • Sanso, A., V. Arrago., and J.L. Carrion., 2004. Testing for change in the unconditional variance of financial time series, Revista de Economia Financiera 4, 32-53.
    • (2004) Revista de Economia Financiera , vol.4 , pp. 32-53
    • Sanso, A.1    Arrago, V.2    Carrion, J.L.3
  • 36


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.