메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 8, Issue 1, 2012, Pages 49-74

Analysing financial contagion and asymmetric market dependence with volatility indices via copulas

Author keywords

Asymmetric dependence; Dynamic mixed copula; Financial contagion; Financial crisis; Volatility index

Indexed keywords


EID: 84856232883     PISSN: 16142446     EISSN: 16142454     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s10436-011-0181-y     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (70)

References (56)
  • 1
    • 38649133859 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Implied volatility term structure linkages between VDAX, VSMI and VSTOXX volatility indices
    • Äijö J.: Implied volatility term structure linkages between VDAX, VSMI and VSTOXX volatility indices. Glob Finance J 18, 290-302 (2008).
    • (2008) Glob Finance J , vol.18 , pp. 290-302
    • Äijö, J.1
  • 2
    • 0036183763 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Information and volatility linkage under external shocks - evidence from dually listed australian stocks
    • Alaganar V., Bhar R.: Information and volatility linkage under external shocks - evidence from dually listed australian stocks. Int Rev Finance Anal 11, 59-71 (2002).
    • (2002) Int Rev Finance Anal , vol.11 , pp. 59-71
    • Alaganar, V.1    Bhar, R.2
  • 3
    • 77649109711 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Asymmetric dependence patterns in financial time series
    • Ammann M., Süss S.: Asymmetric dependence patterns in financial time series. Eur J Finance 15, 703-719 (2009).
    • (2009) Eur J Finance , vol.15 , pp. 703-719
    • Ammann, M.1    Süss, S.2
  • 4
    • 22544468534 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A new class of multivariate skew densities, with application to generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity models
    • Bauwens L., Laurent S.: A new class of multivariate skew densities, with application to generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity models. J Bus Econ Stat 23, 346-354 (2005).
    • (2005) J Bus Econ Stat , vol.23 , pp. 346-354
    • Bauwens, L.1    Laurent, S.2
  • 5
    • 41949105957 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The extreme-value dependence of asia-pacific equity markets
    • Bekiros S., Gerogoutsos D.: The extreme-value dependence of asia-pacific equity markets. J Multinat Finance Manag 18, 197-208 (2008).
    • (2008) J Multinat Finance Manag , vol.18 , pp. 197-208
    • Bekiros, S.1    Gerogoutsos, D.2
  • 6
    • 33645934274 scopus 로고
    • Structure and performance: global interdependence of stock markets around the crash of October 1987
    • Bertero E., Mayer C.: Structure and performance: global interdependence of stock markets around the crash of October 1987. Eur Econ Rev 34, 1155-1180 (1990).
    • (1990) Eur Econ Rev , vol.34 , pp. 1155-1180
    • Bertero, E.1    Mayer, C.2
  • 7
    • 0012676386 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Forecasting S&P 100 volatility: the incremental information content of implied volatilities and high-frequency index returns
    • Blair B., Poon S., Taylor S.: Forecasting S& P 100 volatility: the incremental information content of implied volatilities and high-frequency index returns. J Econometr 105, 5-26 (2001).
    • (2001) J Econometr , vol.105 , pp. 5-26
    • Blair, B.1    Poon, S.2    Taylor, S.3
  • 8
    • 0001023182 scopus 로고
    • Modelling the coherence in short-run nominal exchange rates: a multivariate generalized arch model
    • Bollerslev T.: Modelling the coherence in short-run nominal exchange rates: a multivariate generalized arch model. Rev Econ Stat 72, 498-505 (1990).
    • (1990) Rev Econ Stat , vol.72 , pp. 498-505
    • Bollerslev, T.1
  • 9
  • 12
    • 77951896899 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Time-varying volatility in the foreign exchange market: new evidence on its persistence and on currency spillovers
    • Chowdhury I., Sarno L.: Time-varying volatility in the foreign exchange market: new evidence on its persistence and on currency spillovers. J Bus Finance Account 31, 759-793 (2004).
    • (2004) J Bus Finance Account , vol.31 , pp. 759-793
    • Chowdhury, I.1    Sarno, L.2
  • 14
    • 85008848771 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Empirical properties of asset returns: stylized facts and statistical issues
    • Cont R.: Empirical properties of asset returns: stylized facts and statistical issues. Quant Finance 1, 223-236 (2001).
    • (2001) Quant Finance , vol.1 , pp. 223-236
    • Cont, R.1
  • 15
    • 0347623647 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evaluating density forecasts with applications to financial risk management
    • Diebold F., Gunther T., Tay A.: Evaluating density forecasts with applications to financial risk management. Int Econ Rev 39, 863-883 (1998).
    • (1998) Int Econ Rev , vol.39 , pp. 863-883
    • Diebold, F.1    Gunther, T.2    Tay, A.3
  • 17
    • 84978597670 scopus 로고
    • Predicting stock market volatility: a new measure
    • Fleming J., Ostdiek B., Whaley R.: Predicting stock market volatility: a new measure. J Future Mark 15, 265-302 (1995).
    • (1995) J Future Mark , vol.15 , pp. 265-302
    • Fleming, J.1    Ostdiek, B.2    Whaley, R.3
  • 18
    • 0003350474 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • No contagion, only interdependence: measuring stock markets comovements
    • Forbes K., Rigobon R.: No contagion, only interdependence: measuring stock markets comovements. J Finance 57, 2223-2261 (2002).
    • (2002) J Finance , vol.57 , pp. 2223-2261
    • Forbes, K.1    Rigobon, R.2
  • 19
    • 23444460051 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Estimating the tail-dependence coefficient: properties and pitfalls
    • Frahm G., Junker M., Schmidt R.: Estimating the tail-dependence coefficient: properties and pitfalls. Insur Math Econ 37, 80-100 (2005).
    • (2005) Insur Math Econ , vol.37 , pp. 80-100
    • Frahm, G.1    Junker, M.2    Schmidt, R.3
  • 20
    • 27744590681 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Effects of electronic trading on the hang seng index futures market
    • Fung J., Lien D., Tse Y., Tse Y.: Effects of electronic trading on the hang seng index futures market. Int Rev Econ Finance 14, 415-425 (2005).
    • (2005) Int Rev Econ Finance , vol.14 , pp. 415-425
    • Fung, J.1    Lien, D.2    Tse, Y.3    Tse, Y.4
  • 21
    • 63449084564 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Goodness-of-fit tests for copulas: a review and a power study
    • Genest C., Remillard B., Beaudoin D.: Goodness-of-fit tests for copulas: a review and a power study. Insur Math Econ 44, 199-213 (2009).
    • (2009) Insur Math Econ , vol.44 , pp. 199-213
    • Genest, C.1    Remillard, B.2    Beaudoin, D.3
  • 22
    • 33947608208 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Implied volatility indexes and daily value at risk models
    • Giot P.: Implied volatility indexes and daily value at risk models. J Deriv 12, 54-64 (2005).
    • (2005) J Deriv , vol.12 , pp. 54-64
    • Giot, P.1
  • 23
    • 0001619086 scopus 로고
    • Autoregressive conditional density estimation
    • Hansen B.: Autoregressive conditional density estimation. Int Econ Rev 35, 705-730 (1994).
    • (1994) Int Econ Rev , vol.35 , pp. 705-730
    • Hansen, B.1
  • 24
    • 77951006337 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Dependence structures in chinese and us financial markets: a time-varying conditional copula approach
    • Hu J.: Dependence structures in chinese and us financial markets: a time-varying conditional copula approach. Appl Finance Econ 20, 561-583 (2010).
    • (2010) Appl Finance Econ , vol.20 , pp. 561-583
    • Hu, J.1
  • 25
    • 33745096550 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Dependence patterns across financial markets: a mixed copula approach
    • Hu L.: Dependence patterns across financial markets: a mixed copula approach. Appl Finance Econ 16, 717-729 (2006).
    • (2006) Appl Finance Econ , vol.16 , pp. 717-729
    • Hu, L.1
  • 27
    • 18644380797 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Asymptotic efficiency of the two-stage estimation method for copula-based models
    • Joe H.: Asymptotic efficiency of the two-stage estimation method for copula-based models. J Multivar Anal 94, 401-419 (2005).
    • (2005) J Multivar Anal , vol.94 , pp. 401-419
    • Joe, H.1
  • 28
    • 33748437206 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The Copula-GARCH model of conditional dependencies: an international stock market application
    • Jondeau E., Rockinger M.: The Copula-GARCH model of conditional dependencies: an international stock market application. J Int Money Finance 25, 827-853 (2006).
    • (2006) J Int Money Finance , vol.25 , pp. 827-853
    • Jondeau, E.1    Rockinger, M.2
  • 29
    • 38249029764 scopus 로고
    • Stability and forecasting of the comovement measures of international stock market returns
    • Kaplanis E.: Stability and forecasting of the comovement measures of international stock market returns. J Int Money Finance 7, 63-75 (1988).
    • (1988) J Int Money Finance , vol.7 , pp. 63-75
    • Kaplanis, E.1
  • 30
    • 0001836499 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The relationship between the monetary regime and output volatility: a multivariate garch-m model of the japanese experience, 1919-1996
    • Kim J.: The relationship between the monetary regime and output volatility: a multivariate garch-m model of the japanese experience, 1919-1996. Jpn World Econ 12, 49-69 (2000).
    • (2000) Jpn World Econ , vol.12 , pp. 49-69
    • Kim, J.1
  • 31
    • 0003151378 scopus 로고
    • Transmission of volatility between stock markets
    • King M., Wadhwani S.: Transmission of volatility between stock markets. Rev Finance Stud 3, 5-33 (1990).
    • (1990) Rev Finance Stud , vol.3 , pp. 5-33
    • King, M.1    Wadhwani, S.2
  • 32
    • 0001486314 scopus 로고
    • Evolution in dynamic linkages across daily national stock indexes
    • Koch P., Koch T.: Evolution in dynamic linkages across daily national stock indexes. J Int Money Finance 10, 231-251 (1991).
    • (1991) J Int Money Finance , vol.10 , pp. 231-251
    • Koch, P.1    Koch, T.2
  • 33
    • 0032356260 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modeling asymmetric comovements of asset returns
    • Kroner K., Ng V.: Modeling asymmetric comovements of asset returns. Rev Finance Stud 11, 817-844 (1998).
    • (1998) Rev Finance Stud , vol.11 , pp. 817-844
    • Kroner, K.1    Ng, V.2
  • 34
    • 67650718206 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Cross-dynamics of volatility term structures implied by foreign exchange options
    • Krylova E., Nikkinen J., Vähämaa S.: Cross-dynamics of volatility term structures implied by foreign exchange options. J Econ Bus 61, 355-375 (2009).
    • (2009) J Econ Bus , vol.61 , pp. 355-375
    • Krylova, E.1    Nikkinen, J.2    Vähämaa, S.3
  • 35
    • 0009662024 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Extreme correlation of international equity markets
    • Longin F., Solnik B.: Extreme correlation of international equity markets. J Finance 56, 649-676 (2001).
    • (2001) J Finance , vol.56 , pp. 649-676
    • Longin, F.1    Solnik, B.2
  • 37
    • 6344256821 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The fear and exuberance from implied volatility of S&P 100 index options
    • Low C.: The fear and exuberance from implied volatility of S& P 100 index options. J Bus 77, 527-546 (2004).
    • (2004) J Bus , vol.77 , pp. 527-546
    • Low, C.1
  • 39
    • 2942635490 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • International transmission of uncertainty implicit in stock index option prices
    • Nikkinen J., Sahlstrom P.: International transmission of uncertainty implicit in stock index option prices. Glob Finance J 15, 1-15 (2004).
    • (2004) Glob Finance J , vol.15 , pp. 1-15
    • Nikkinen, J.1    Sahlstrom, P.2
  • 40
    • 84856211028 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Vine copulas with asymmetric tail dependence and applications to financial return data
    • (in press)
    • Nikoloulopoulos, A., Joe, H., Li, H.: Vine copulas with asymmetric tail dependence and applications to financial return data. Comp Stat Data An (2010, in press).
    • (2010) Comp Stat Data An
    • Nikoloulopoulos, A.1    Joe, H.2    Li, H.3
  • 41
    • 38349077499 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Amplification and asymmetry in crashes and frenzies
    • Ozsoylev H.: Amplification and asymmetry in crashes and frenzies. Ann Finance 4, 157-181 (2008).
    • (2008) Ann Finance , vol.4 , pp. 157-181
    • Ozsoylev, H.1
  • 42
    • 33645716201 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modelling asymmetric exchange rate dependence
    • Patton A.: Modelling asymmetric exchange rate dependence. Int Econ Rev 47, 527-556 (2006).
    • (2006) Int Econ Rev , vol.47 , pp. 527-556
    • Patton, A.1
  • 43
    • 33645673938 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Estimation of multivariate models for time series of possibly different lengths
    • Patton A.: Estimation of multivariate models for time series of possibly different lengths. J Appl Econom 21, 147-173 (2006).
    • (2006) J Appl Econom , vol.21 , pp. 147-173
    • Patton, A.1
  • 44
    • 33644560366 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Regime switching for dynamic correlations
    • Pelletier D.: Regime switching for dynamic correlations. J Econometr 131, 445-473 (2006).
    • (2006) J Econometr , vol.131 , pp. 445-473
    • Pelletier, D.1
  • 45
    • 24144452871 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Informational asymmetries and a multiplier effect on price correlation and trading
    • Pinheiro M.: Informational asymmetries and a multiplier effect on price correlation and trading. Ann Finance 1, 395-421 (2005).
    • (2005) Ann Finance , vol.1 , pp. 395-421
    • Pinheiro, M.1
  • 46
    • 0344547293 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Forecasting volatility in financial markets: a review
    • Poon S., Granger C.: Forecasting volatility in financial markets: a review. J Econ Lit 41, 478-539 (2003).
    • (2003) J Econ Lit , vol.41 , pp. 478-539
    • Poon, S.1    Granger, C.2
  • 47
    • 3543039316 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Extreme value dependence in financial markets: diagnostics, models, and financial implications
    • Poon S., Rockinger M., Tawn J.: Extreme value dependence in financial markets: diagnostics, models, and financial implications. Rev Finance Stud 17, 581-610 (2004).
    • (2004) Rev Finance Stud , vol.17 , pp. 581-610
    • Poon, S.1    Rockinger, M.2    Tawn, J.3
  • 48
    • 0005153824 scopus 로고
    • Portfolio diversification and the inter-temporal stability of international stock indices
    • Ratner M.: Portfolio diversification and the inter-temporal stability of international stock indices. Glob Finance J 3, 67-77 (1992).
    • (1992) Glob Finance J , vol.3 , pp. 67-77
    • Ratner, M.1
  • 49
    • 0141907829 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • On the measurement of the international propagation of shocks: is the transmission stable?
    • Rigobon R.: On the measurement of the international propagation of shocks: is the transmission stable?. J Int Econ 61, 261-283 (2003).
    • (2003) J Int Econ , vol.61 , pp. 261-283
    • Rigobon, R.1
  • 50
    • 34247183283 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Measuring financial contagion: a copula approach
    • Rodriguez J.: Measuring financial contagion: a copula approach. J Emp Finance 14, 401-423 (2007).
    • (2007) J Emp Finance , vol.14 , pp. 401-423
    • Rodriguez, J.1
  • 51
    • 9144261680 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The greek implied volatility index: construction and properties
    • Skiadopoulos G.: The greek implied volatility index: construction and properties. Appl Finance Econ 14, 1187-1196 (2004).
    • (2004) Appl Finance Econ , vol.14 , pp. 1187-1196
    • Skiadopoulos, G.1
  • 52
    • 0000795592 scopus 로고
    • Fonctions de répartition à n dimensions et leurs marges
    • Sklar A.: Fonctions de répartition à n dimensions et leurs marges. Publ Inst Stat 8, 229-231 (1959).
    • (1959) Publ Inst Stat , vol.8 , pp. 229-231
    • Sklar, A.1
  • 54
    • 0142077144 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Residual based diagnostics for conditional heteroscedasticity models
    • Tse Y.: Residual based diagnostics for conditional heteroscedasticity models. Econometr J 5, 358-373 (2002).
    • (2002) Econometr J , vol.5 , pp. 358-373
    • Tse, Y.1
  • 55
    • 4344689277 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Local and spillover shocks in implied market volatility: evidence for the U.S. and germany
    • Wagner N., Szimayer A.: Local and spillover shocks in implied market volatility: evidence for the U. S. and germany. Res Int Bus Finance 18, 237-251 (2004).
    • (2004) Res Int Bus Finance , vol.18 , pp. 237-251
    • Wagner, N.1    Szimayer, A.2
  • 56
    • 60349101954 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Estimation of dynamic asymmetric tail dependences: an empirical study on asian developed futures markets
    • Xu Q., Li X.: Estimation of dynamic asymmetric tail dependences: an empirical study on asian developed futures markets. Appl Fin Econ 19, 273-290 (2009).
    • (2009) Appl Fin Econ , vol.19 , pp. 273-290
    • Xu, Q.1    Li, X.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.