Assessment of uncertainty in long-term mass balances for acidification assessments: A MAGIC model exercise

Ambio

Volumn 40, Issue 8, 2011, Pages 891-905

  Kohler S J ^a   Zetterberg, T ^a,b   Futter, M N ^a   Flster, J ^a   Lofgren S ^a  

^a SWEDISH UNIVERSITY OF AGRICULTURAL SCIENCES   (Sweden)

^b IVL SWEDISH ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH INSTITUTE   (Sweden)

Author keywords

Acidification; Aluminum; Base cations; MAGIC; Modeling; Weathering

Indexed keywords

ALUMINUM; GROUND WATER; SODIUM; SULFATE;

ACIDIFICATION; ADSORPTION; ALUMINUM; BIOLOGICAL UPTAKE; CATION; CHEMICAL MASS BALANCE; CHEMICAL WEATHERING; ENVIRONMENTAL STRESS; FORESTED CATCHMENT; ION EXCHANGE; NEUTRALIZATION; NUMERICAL MODEL; PH; SATURATION; SOIL CHEMISTRY; SOIL NUTRIENT; SOLUBILITY; SULFATE; UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS;

ARTICLE; CALIBRATION; ENVIRONMENTAL MONITORING; METABOLISM; PH; SOIL; THEORETICAL MODEL; TREE; WEATHER;

ALUMINUM; CALIBRATION; ENVIRONMENTAL MONITORING; GROUNDWATER; HYDROGEN-ION CONCENTRATION; MODELS, THEORETICAL; SODIUM; SOIL; SULFATES; TREES; WEATHER;

SWEDEN;

EID: 84856044617     PISSN: 00447447     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s13280-011-0208-7     Document Type: Article

References (54)

1. Aherne, J., R.C. Helliwell, A. Lilly, R.C. Ferrier, and A. Jenkins. 2007. Simulation of soil and surface water acidification: divergence between one box and two-box models? Applied Geochemisty 22: 1167-1173. (Pubitemid 46863482)
2. Akselsson, C., O. Westling, H. Sverdrup, and P. Gundersen. 2007. Nutrient and carbon budgets in forest soils as decision support in sustainable forest management. Forest Ecology and Management 238: 167-174. (Pubitemid 46038623)
3. Anon. 2008. Historic deposition data for the EMAP 50*50 km Grid. Coordination Centre for Effects, Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, Bilthoven, The Netherlands.
4. Bastviken, D., P. Sandén, T. Svensson, C. Sta°hlberg, M. Magounakis, and G. Oberg. 2006. Chloride-retention and release in a boreal forest soil: effects of soil water residence time and nitrogen and chloride loads. Environmental Science and Technology 40: 2977-2982. (Pubitemid 43673301)
5. Berner, R.A. 1967. Comparative dissolution characteristics of carbonate minerals in the presence and absence of aqueous magnesium ions. American Journal of Science 265: 45-70.
6. Cosby, B.J., G.M. Hornberger, J.N. Galloway, and R.F. Wright. 1985a. Modeling the effects of acid deposition-assessment of a lumped parameter model of soil-water and streamwater chemistry. Water Resources Research 21: 51-63.
7. Cosby, B.J., R.F. Wright, and E. Gjessing. 1985b. An acidification model (MAGIC) with organic acids evaluated using whole-catchment manipulations in Norway. Journal of Hydrology 170: 101-122.
8. Cosby, B.J., R.C, Ferrier, A. Jenkins, and R.F. Wright. 2001. Modelling the effects of acid deposition: refinements, adjustments and inclusion of nitrogen dynamics in the MAGIC model. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 5: 499-517. (Pubitemid 33105616)
9. Ferm, M., and H. Hultberg. 1995. Method to estimate atmospheric deposition of base cations in coniferous throughfall. Water, Air, and Soil pollution 85: 229-2234.
10. Ferm, M., and H. Hultberg. 1999. Dry deposition and internal circulation of nitrogen, sulphur and base cations to a conifer forest. Atmospheric Environment 33: 4421-4430. (Pubitemid 29341507)
11. Fölster, J., C. Andrén, K. Bishop, I. Buffam, N. Cory, W. Goedkoop, K. Holmgren, R. Johnson, et al. 2007. A novel environmental quality criterion for acidification in Swedish lakes-an application of studies on the relationship between biota and water chemistry. Water, Air, and Soil pollution 7: 331-338. (Pubitemid 46675950)
12. Forsius, M., M. Alveteg, A. Jenkins, M. Johansson, S. Kleemola, A. Lükewille, M. Posch, H. Sverdrup, et al. 1998. MAGIC, SAFE and SMART model application at integrated monitoring site: effects of emission reduction scenarios. Water, Air, and Soil pollution 105: 21-30. (Pubitemid 28361704)
13. Granat, L. 1988. Luft-och nederbördskemiska stationsnätet inom PMK. Rapport fra°n verksamheten 1988. Rapport no 3649. Stockholm (in Swedish, English summary).
14. Grimvall, A. 2004. FLOWNORM 2.0-A visual basic program for computing riverine loads of substances and extracting anthropogenic signals from time series of load data. Linköping: Department of Mathematics, Linköping University.
15. Hellsten, S., and O. Westling. 2006. Forsurande och overgodande nedfall i skog. Delprogram Krondropp inom programomradet luft. Sakrapport 2006-06-01 for naturvardsverket, IVL, Goteborg (in Swedish, English summary).
16. Hodson, M.E., and S.J. Langan. 1999. Considerations of uncertainty in setting critical loads of acidity of soils: the role of weathering rete determination. Environmental Pollution 106: 73-81. (Pubitemid 29255845)
17. Hruska, J., S. Kohler, H. Laudon, and K. Bishop. 2003. Is a universal model of organic acidity possible: Comparison of acid/base properties of dissolved organic carbon in the boreal and temperate zones. Environmental Sciences & Technology 37: 1726-1730. (Pubitemid 36534746)
18. Jenkins, A., T. Larssen, F. Moldan, J. Hruska, P. Kram, and S. Kleemola. 2003. Dynamic modelling at integrating monitoring sites-model tested against observations and uncertainty. Helsinki: Finnish Environment Institute.
19. Grandin, U. 2011a. Epiphytic algae and lichen cover in boreal forests-a long-term study along a N and S deposition gradient in Sweden. AMBIO. doi:10.1007/s13280-011-0205-x.
20. Grandin, U. 2011b. Understorey vegetation stability and dynamics in unmanaged boreal forests along a deposition gradient in Sweden. AMBIO. doi:10.1007/s13280-011-0206-9.
21. Klaminder, J., R.W. Lucas, M.N. Futter, K.H. Bishop, S.J. Kohler, G. Egnell, and H. Laudon. 2011. Silicate mineral weathering rate estimates: are they precise enough to be useful when predicting the recovery of nutrient pools after harvesting? Forest Ecology and Management 261: 1-9.
22. Kram, P., K. Bishop, and F. Moldan. 2001. Modeling long-term streamwater chemistry in the Berg catchment, southwestern Sweden. Paper presented at the Nordic hydrological conference (Uppsala, Sweden, June 2000), vol. 32, 249-264.
23. Kohler, S.J., F. Dufaud, and E.H. Oelkers. 2003. An experimental study of Illite dissolution kinetics as a function of pH from 1.4 to 12.4 and temperature from 5 to 50°C. Geochimica et Cosmo-chimica Acta 67: 3583-3594. (Pubitemid 37256997)
24. Laudon, H, J. Hruska, S. Kohler, and P. Kram. 2005. Retrospective analyses and future predictions of snowmelt-induced acidification: example from a heavily impacted stream in the Czech republic. Environmental Science and Technology 39:3197-3202. (Pubitemid 40645288)
25. Lind, B.B., and L. Lundin. 1990. Saturated hydrological conductivity Scandinavian tills. Nordic Hydrology 21: 107-118.
26. Lofgren, S., L. Bringmark, M. Aastrup, H. Hultberg, K. Kindbom, and H. Kvarnas. 2001. Sulphur balances and dynamics in three forested catchments in Sweden. Water, Air, and Soil pollution 130: 632-636.
27. Lofgren, S., and N. Cory. 2010. Groundwater Al dynamics in boreal hillslopes at three integrated monitoring sites along a sulphur deposition gradient in Sweden. Journal of Hydrology 380: 289-297.
28. Lofgren, S., M. Aastrup, L. Bringmark, H. Hultberg, L. Lewin-Pihlblad, L. Lundin, GP. Karlsson, and B. Thunholm. 2011. Recovery of soil water, groundwater and streamwater from acidification at the Swedish Integrated Monitoring catchments. AMBIO. doi:10.1007/s13280-011-0207-8.
29. Lovblad, G, C. Persson, and E. Roos. 2000. Deposition of base cations in Sweden. Swedish Environmental Protection Agence report 5119, Stockholm.
30. MAGIC library 2010. http://www.ivl.se/tjanster/datavardskap/magic biblioteket/magicbiblioteket/ingaendesjoarochvattendrag.4.7df4 c4e812d2da6a416800077587.htm. Retrieved 20 Oct 2010
31. Martinson, L., M. Alveteg, and P. Warfvinge. 2003. Parameterization and evaluation of sulfate adsorption in dynamic soil chemistry model. Environmental Pollution 124: 119-125. (Pubitemid 36401504)
32. Moldan, F., V. Kronnas, A. Wilander, E. Karltun, and B.J. Cosby. 2004. Modelling acidification and recovery of Swedish lakes. Water, Air, and Soil Pollution, Focus 4: 139-160. (Pubitemid 39138321)
33. Monteith, D.T., J.L. Stoddard, C.D. Evans, H.A. de Wit, M. Forsius, T. Hogasen, A. Wilander, B.L. Skjelkvale, et al. 2007. Dissolved organic carbon trends resulting from changes in atmospheric deposition chemistry. Nature 450: 537-540. (Pubitemid 350190248)
34. Mörth, C.M., P. Torssander, and H. Kusakabe. 1999. Sulfur isotope values in a forested catchment over four years: Evidence for oxidation and reduction processes. Biogeochemistry 44: 51-71. (Pubitemid 29079653)
35. Mosello, R., M. Amoriello, T. Amoriello, S. Arisci, A. Carcano, N. Clarke, J. Derome, K. Derome, et al. 2005. Validation of chemical analysis of atmospheric deposition in forested European sites. Journal of Limnology 64: 93-102. (Pubitemid 43216534)
36. Oelkers, E.H. 2001. General kinetic description of multioxide silicate minerals and glass dissolution. Geochimica et Cosmochimica Acta 65: 3703-3719. (Pubitemid 33109684)
37. Parkhurst, D. 1998. PHREEQC (Version2)-A computer program for speciation, batch reaction, one-dimensional transport and inverse geochemical calculations. http://wwwbrr.cr.usgs.gov/projects/GWC-coupled/phreeqc/index.html.
38. Persson, C., M. Ferm, and O. Westling. 2004. Förbättrad mätning och beräkning av belastningen av försurande och övergödande luftföroreningar. Specialprojekt pa° uppdrag av Naturva°rdsver-kets miljöövervakningsenhet, SMHI och IVL. Göteborg (in Swedish).
39. Rhode, A. 2003. Flow paths of waters in Swedish forests. Kungliga Skogs-och Lantbruksakademiens Tidskrift 142: 23-29.
40. Schott, J., R.A. Berner, and E.L. Sjoberg. 1981. Mechanism of pyroxene and amphibole weathering-I. Experimental studies of iron free minerals. Geochimica et Cosmochimica Acta 45: 2123-2135.
41. Sjöstedt, C.S., J.P. Gustafsson, and S.J. Köhler. 2010. Chemical equilibrium modeling of organic acid, pH, aluminum, and iron in Swedish surface waters. Environmental Science and Technology 44: 8587-8593.
42. Sverdrup, H. U. Johnson & Felming. 1942. The Oceans. In Handbook of chemistry and physics, ed. R.C. Weast. Cleveland: Prentice Hall.
43. Sverdrup, H. 2009. Chemical weathering of soil minerals and the role of biological processes. Fungal Biology Reviews 23: 94-100.
44. Thimonier, A., M. Schmitt, P. Waldner, and P. Schleppi. 2008. Seasonality of the Na/Cl ratio in precipitation and implications of canopy leaching in validating chemical analyses of through-fall samples. Atmospheric Environment 42: 9106-9117.
45. 2, alkali and earth alkali cations and chloride. In Effects of accumulation of air pollutants in Forest Ecosystems, ed. B. Ulrich and J. Pankrath, 13. Boston: Reidel.
46. Viers, J., B. Dupre, J.-J. Braun, R. Freydier, S. Greenberg, J. Ngoupayou, and L. Nkamdjou. 2001. Evidence for non-conservative behavior of chlorine in humid tropical environment. Aquatic Geochemistry 7: 127-154. (Pubitemid 32863527)
47. Whitehead, P.G., B. Reynolds, M. Hornung, C. Neal, J. Cosby, and P. Paricos. 1988. Modeling long-term stream acidification trends in upland Wales at Plynlimon. Hydrological Processes 2: 357-368. (Pubitemid 19299559)
48. Whitfield, C.J., S.A. Watmough, S.A. Aherne, and P.J. Dillion. 2006. A comparison of weathering rates for acid-sensitive catchments in Nova Scotia, Canada and their impact on critical load calculations. Geoderma 136: 899-911. (Pubitemid 44792100)
49. Whitfield, C.J., J. Aherne, P.J. Dillon, and S.A. Watmough. 2007. Modelling acidification, recovery and target loads for headwater catchments in Nova Scotia, Canada. Hydrology and Earth Systems Sciences 11: 951-963. (Pubitemid 46374724)
50. Whitfield, C.J., J. Aherne, B.J. Cosby, and S.A. Watmough. 2011. Modelling boreal lake catchment response to anthropogenic acid deposition. Journal of Limnology 69(suppl. 1): 135-146.
51. Wieland, E., B. Wehrli, and W. Stumm. 1988. The coordination chemistry of weathering: III. A potential generalization on dissolution rated of minerals. Geochimica et Cosmochimica Acta 52: 1969-1981.
52. Wright, R.F., B.J. Cosby, R.C. Ferrier, A. Jenkins, A.J. Bulger, and R. Harriman. 1994. Changes in acidification of lochs in Galloway, Southwestern Scotland, 1979-1988: the Magic model used to evaluate the role of afforestation, calculate critical loads, and predict fish status. Journal of Hydrology 161: 257-285. (Pubitemid 2135392)
53. Wright, R.F., and B.J. Cosby. 2003. Future recovery of acidified lakes in southern Norway predicted by the MAGIC model. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 7: 467-483. (Pubitemid 38211537)
54. Wright, R.F., and B.J. Cosby. 2004. Recovery of acidified mountain lakes in Norway as predicted by the MAGIC model. Journal of Limnology 63: 101-110. (Pubitemid 39033382)