메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 82-83, Issue , 2012, Pages 104-114

Climate change impacts on extreme precipitation in Morocco

Author keywords

Climate change; Extreme events; GEV; Non stationary models; RCM

Indexed keywords

CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT; CONTROL PERIODS; EUROPEAN PROJECT; EXTREME EVENTS; EXTREME PRECIPITATION; EXTREME QUANTILES; FUTURE PROJECTIONS; GENERALIZED EXTREME VALUE; GEV; MODEL CONVERGENCE; MODEL OUTPUTS; MODEL PERFORMANCE; MULTI-MODEL ENSEMBLE; NON-STATIONARY MODEL; NORTH AFRICAN COUNTRIES; OBSERVATION PERIOD; PRECIPITATION EXTREMES; PROJECTION PERIOD; RCM; REGIONAL CLIMATE MODELS; RETURN PERIODS; SCALING FACTORS; SEASONAL CYCLE; WEIGHTING SCHEME; WINTER NORTH ATLANTIC OSCILLATION; WINTER SEASONS;

EID: 84855805102     PISSN: 09218181     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2011.12.002     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (148)

References (53)
  • 1
    • 51749092642 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Atmospheric warming and the amplification of precipitation extremes
    • Allan R.P., Soden B.J. Atmospheric warming and the amplification of precipitation extremes. Science 2008, 321:1481-1483.
    • (2008) Science , vol.321 , pp. 1481-1483
    • Allan, R.P.1    Soden, B.J.2
  • 3
    • 63649139497 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Dry and wet periods in the northwestern Maghreb for present day and future climate conditions
    • Born K., Fink A.H., Paeth H. Dry and wet periods in the northwestern Maghreb for present day and future climate conditions. Meteorologische Zeitschrift 2008, 17(5):533-551.
    • (2008) Meteorologische Zeitschrift , vol.17 , Issue.5 , pp. 533-551
    • Born, K.1    Fink, A.H.2    Paeth, H.3
  • 4
    • 84856408951 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Variabilité et gestion des eaux de surface au Maroc
    • Bouaicha R., Benabdelfadel A. Variabilité et gestion des eaux de surface au Maroc. Sécheresse 2010, 21:1-5.
    • (2010) Sécheresse , vol.21 , pp. 1-5
    • Bouaicha, R.1    Benabdelfadel, A.2
  • 8
    • 0001326681 scopus 로고
    • The Kolmogorov-Smirnov, Cramér-von Mises tests
    • Darling D.A. The Kolmogorov-Smirnov, Cramér-von Mises tests. Annals of Mathematical Statistics 1957, 28:823-838. 10.1214/aoms/1177706788.
    • (1957) Annals of Mathematical Statistics , vol.28 , pp. 823-838
    • Darling, D.A.1
  • 9
    • 78650403193 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Weighted frequency distributions express modelling uncertainties in the ENSEMBLES regional climate experiments
    • Déqué M., Somot S. Weighted frequency distributions express modelling uncertainties in the ENSEMBLES regional climate experiments. Climate Research 2010, 44:195-209.
    • (2010) Climate Research , vol.44 , pp. 195-209
    • Déqué, M.1    Somot, S.2
  • 10
    • 84857440242 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The spread amongst ENSEMBLES regional scenarios: regional climate models, driving general circulation models and interannual variability
    • Déqué M., Somot S., Sanchez-Gomez E., Goodess C.M., Jacob D., Lenderink G., Christensen O.B. The spread amongst ENSEMBLES regional scenarios: regional climate models, driving general circulation models and interannual variability. Climate Dynamics 2011, 10.1007/s00382-011-1053-x.
    • (2011) Climate Dynamics
    • Déqué, M.1    Somot, S.2    Sanchez-Gomez, E.3    Goodess, C.M.4    Jacob, D.5    Lenderink, G.6    Christensen, O.B.7
  • 13
    • 67349092457 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Numerical simulation of the probability distribution function of precipitation over Morocco
    • Driouech F., Déqué M., Mokssit A. Numerical simulation of the probability distribution function of precipitation over Morocco. Climate Dynamics 2009, 32:1055-1063.
    • (2009) Climate Dynamics , vol.32 , pp. 1055-1063
    • Driouech, F.1    Déqué, M.2    Mokssit, A.3
  • 14
    • 84855323898 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Weather regimes - Moroccan precipitation link in a regional climate change simulation
    • Driouech F., Déqué M., Sanchez-gomez E. Weather regimes - Moroccan precipitation link in a regional climate change simulation. Global and Planetary Change 2010, 72:1-10.
    • (2010) Global and Planetary Change , vol.72 , pp. 1-10
    • Driouech, F.1    Déqué, M.2    Sanchez-gomez, E.3
  • 16
    • 34247577201 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Generalized maximum likelihood estimators for the nonstationary generalized extreme value model
    • El Adlouni S., Ouarda T.B.M.J., Zhang X., Roy R., Bobée B. Generalized maximum likelihood estimators for the nonstationary generalized extreme value model. Water Resources Research 2007, 43. 10.1029/2005WR004545.
    • (2007) Water Resources Research , vol.43
    • El Adlouni, S.1    Ouarda, T.B.M.J.2    Zhang, X.3    Roy, R.4    Bobée, B.5
  • 17
    • 0032426818 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Towards the seasonal prediction of Moroccan precipitation and its implications for water resources management
    • IAHS Publ, Water Resources Variability in Africa During the XX Century
    • El Hamly M., Sebbari R. Towards the seasonal prediction of Moroccan precipitation and its implications for water resources management. Proceeding of the Abidjan 98 Conference 1998, 252:79-87. IAHS Publ.
    • (1998) Proceeding of the Abidjan 98 Conference , vol.252 , pp. 79-87
    • El Hamly, M.1    Sebbari, R.2
  • 18
    • 65649094446 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Multi-model ensemble estimates of climate change impacts on UK seasonal precipitation extremes
    • Fowler H.J., Ekström M. Multi-model ensemble estimates of climate change impacts on UK seasonal precipitation extremes. International Journal of Climatology 2009, 29:385-416.
    • (2009) International Journal of Climatology , vol.29 , pp. 385-416
    • Fowler, H.J.1    Ekström, M.2
  • 20
    • 35348933854 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Linking climate change modelling to impacts studies: recent advances in downscaling techniques for hydrological modelling
    • Fowler H.J., Blenkinsop S., Tebaldi C. Linking climate change modelling to impacts studies: recent advances in downscaling techniques for hydrological modelling. International Journal of Climatology 2007, 27:1547-1578.
    • (2007) International Journal of Climatology , vol.27 , pp. 1547-1578
    • Fowler, H.J.1    Blenkinsop, S.2    Tebaldi, C.3
  • 21
    • 33646415341 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Future change of precipitation extremes in Europe: intercomparison of scenarios from regional climate models
    • Frei C., Schöll R., Fukutome S., Schmidli J., Vidale P.L. Future change of precipitation extremes in Europe: intercomparison of scenarios from regional climate models. Journal of Geophysical Research 2006, 111. 10.1029/2005JD005965.
    • (2006) Journal of Geophysical Research , vol.111
    • Frei, C.1    Schöll, R.2    Fukutome, S.3    Schmidli, J.4    Vidale, P.L.5
  • 22
    • 33645838405 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Projected changes in mean and extreme precipitation over the Mediterranean region from a high resolution double nested RCM simulation
    • Gao X., Pal J.S., Giorgi F. Projected changes in mean and extreme precipitation over the Mediterranean region from a high resolution double nested RCM simulation. Geophysical Research Letters 2006, 33. 10.1029/2005GL024954.
    • (2006) Geophysical Research Letters , vol.33
    • Gao, X.1    Pal, J.S.2    Giorgi, F.3
  • 23
    • 51449087133 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate change projections for the Mediterranean region
    • Giorgi F., Lionello P. Climate change projections for the Mediterranean region. Global and Planetary Change 2008, 63:90-104.
    • (2008) Global and Planetary Change , vol.63 , pp. 90-104
    • Giorgi, F.1    Lionello, P.2
  • 24
    • 0348044464 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Probability of regional climate change based on the Reliability Ensemble Averaging (REA) method
    • Giorgi F., Mearns L.O. Probability of regional climate change based on the Reliability Ensemble Averaging (REA) method. Geophysical Research Letters 2003, 30. 10.1029/2003GLO17130.
    • (2003) Geophysical Research Letters , vol.30
    • Giorgi, F.1    Mearns, L.O.2
  • 26
    • 78249245775 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evaluation of the mean and extreme precipitation regimes from the ENSEMBLES regional climate multimodel simulations over Spain
    • Herrera S., Fita L., Fernández J., Gutiérrez J.M. Evaluation of the mean and extreme precipitation regimes from the ENSEMBLES regional climate multimodel simulations over Spain. Journal of Geophysical Research 2010, 115. 10.1029/2010JD013936.
    • (2010) Journal of Geophysical Research , vol.115
    • Herrera, S.1    Fita, L.2    Fernández, J.3    Gutiérrez, J.M.4
  • 27
    • 84856470385 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • accepted for publication. Statistical and dynamical downscaling assessments of precipitation extremes in the Mediterranean area. Meteorologische Zeitschrift.
    • Hertig, E., Paxian, A., Vogt, G., Seubert, S., Paeth, H., Jacobeit, J., accepted for publication. Statistical and dynamical downscaling assessments of precipitation extremes in the Mediterranean area. Meteorologische Zeitschrift.
    • Hertig, E.1    Paxian, A.2    Vogt, G.3    Seubert, S.4    Paeth, H.5    Jacobeit, J.6
  • 28
    • 36248967688 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Downscaling of current and future rainfall climatologies for southern Morocco. Part I: Downscaling method and current climatology
    • Huebener H., Kerschgens M. Downscaling of current and future rainfall climatologies for southern Morocco. Part I: Downscaling method and current climatology. International Journal of Climatology 2007, 27:1763-1774.
    • (2007) International Journal of Climatology , vol.27 , pp. 1763-1774
    • Huebener, H.1    Kerschgens, M.2
  • 29
    • 34347205578 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Downscaling of current and future rainfall climatologies for southern Morocco. Part II: Climate change signals
    • Huebener H., Kerschgens M. Downscaling of current and future rainfall climatologies for southern Morocco. Part II: Climate change signals. International Journal of Climatology 2007, 27:1065-1073.
    • (2007) International Journal of Climatology , vol.27 , pp. 1065-1073
    • Huebener, H.1    Kerschgens, M.2
  • 30
    • 84904261422 scopus 로고
    • The frequency distribution of the annual maximum (or minimum) of meteorological elements
    • Jenkinson A.F. The frequency distribution of the annual maximum (or minimum) of meteorological elements. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 1955, 81:158-171.
    • (1955) Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society , vol.81 , pp. 158-171
    • Jenkinson, A.F.1
  • 32
    • 33749161832 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Frequency analysis of a sequence of dependent and/or non-stationary hydro-meteorological observations: a review
    • Khaliq M.N., Ouarda T.B.M.J., Ondo J.-C., Gachon P., Bobée B. Frequency analysis of a sequence of dependent and/or non-stationary hydro-meteorological observations: a review. Journal of Hydrology 2006, 329:534-552.
    • (2006) Journal of Hydrology , vol.329 , pp. 534-552
    • Khaliq, M.N.1    Ouarda, T.B.M.J.2    Ondo, J.-C.3    Gachon, P.4    Bobée, B.5
  • 33
    • 0034319040 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Changes in the extremes in an ensemble of transient climate simulations with a coupled atmosphere-ocean GCM
    • Kharin V.V., Zwiers F.W. Changes in the extremes in an ensemble of transient climate simulations with a coupled atmosphere-ocean GCM. Journal of Climate 2000, 13(21):3760-3788.
    • (2000) Journal of Climate , vol.13 , Issue.21 , pp. 3760-3788
    • Kharin, V.V.1    Zwiers, F.W.2
  • 34
    • 34247640720 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Changes in temperature and precipitation extremes in the IPCC ensemble of global coupled model simulations
    • Kharin V.V., Zwiers F.W., Zhang X., Hegerl G. Changes in temperature and precipitation extremes in the IPCC ensemble of global coupled model simulations. Journal of Climate 2007, 20(8):1419-1444.
    • (2007) Journal of Climate , vol.20 , Issue.8 , pp. 1419-1444
    • Kharin, V.V.1    Zwiers, F.W.2    Zhang, X.3    Hegerl, G.4
  • 35
    • 0142005333 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Long-term precipitation variability in Morocco and the link to the large-scale circulation in recent and future climates
    • Knippertz P., Christoph M., Speth P. Long-term precipitation variability in Morocco and the link to the large-scale circulation in recent and future climates. Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics 2003, 83:67-88.
    • (2003) Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics , vol.83 , pp. 67-88
    • Knippertz, P.1    Christoph, M.2    Speth, P.3
  • 37
    • 77955093831 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Coverage probability of bootstrap confidence intervals in heavy-tailed frequency models, with application to precipitation data
    • Kyselý J. Coverage probability of bootstrap confidence intervals in heavy-tailed frequency models, with application to precipitation data. Theoretical and Applied Climatology 2010, 101:345-361.
    • (2010) Theoretical and Applied Climatology , vol.101 , pp. 345-361
    • Kyselý, J.1
  • 38
    • 62249123242 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate-change effects on extreme precipitation in central Europe: uncertainties of scenarios based on regional climate models
    • Kyselý J., Beranová R. Climate-change effects on extreme precipitation in central Europe: uncertainties of scenarios based on regional climate models. Theoretical and Applied Climatology 2009, 95:361-374.
    • (2009) Theoretical and Applied Climatology , vol.95 , pp. 361-374
    • Kyselý, J.1    Beranová, R.2
  • 39
    • 6344219899 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Cramer-von Mises and Anderson-Darling goodness of fit tests for extreme value distributions with unknown parameters
    • Laio F. Cramer-von Mises and Anderson-Darling goodness of fit tests for extreme value distributions with unknown parameters. Water Resources Research 2004, 40. 10.1029/2004WR003204.
    • (2004) Water Resources Research , vol.40
    • Laio, F.1
  • 41
    • 0033370874 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Wet and dry monthly anomalies across the Mediterranean basin and their relationship with circulation, 1860-1990
    • Maheras P., Xoplaki E., Kutiel H. Wet and dry monthly anomalies across the Mediterranean basin and their relationship with circulation, 1860-1990. Theoretical and Applied Climatology 1999, 64:189-199.
    • (1999) Theoretical and Applied Climatology , vol.64 , pp. 189-199
    • Maheras, P.1    Xoplaki, E.2    Kutiel, H.3
  • 42
    • 0000570668 scopus 로고
    • Nonparametric tests against trend
    • Mann H.B. Nonparametric tests against trend. Econometrica 1945, 3:245-259.
    • (1945) Econometrica , vol.3 , pp. 245-259
    • Mann, H.B.1
  • 43
    • 0034019933 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Generalized maximum likelihood GEV quantile estimators for hydrologic data
    • Martins E.S., Stedinger J.R. Generalized maximum likelihood GEV quantile estimators for hydrologic data. Water Resources Research 2000, 36:737-744.
    • (2000) Water Resources Research , vol.36 , pp. 737-744
    • Martins, E.S.1    Stedinger, J.R.2
  • 44
    • 34648846197 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evaluation of the AR4 climate models' simulated daily maximum temperature, minimum temperature, and precipitation over Australia using probability density functions
    • Perkins S.E., Pitman A.J., Holbrook N.J., McAneney J. Evaluation of the AR4 climate models' simulated daily maximum temperature, minimum temperature, and precipitation over Australia using probability density functions. Journal of Climate 2007, 20:4356-4376.
    • (2007) Journal of Climate , vol.20 , pp. 4356-4376
    • Perkins, S.E.1    Pitman, A.J.2    Holbrook, N.J.3    McAneney, J.4
  • 45
    • 79956135179 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Comparison of past and future Mediterranean high and low extremes of precipitation and river flow projected using different statistical downscaling methods
    • Quintana-Segui P., Habets F., Martin E. Comparison of past and future Mediterranean high and low extremes of precipitation and river flow projected using different statistical downscaling methods. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences 2011, 11:1411-1432.
    • (2011) Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences , vol.11 , pp. 1411-1432
    • Quintana-Segui, P.1    Habets, F.2    Martin, E.3
  • 46
    • 70349249491 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate projections: past performance no guarantee of future skill?
    • Reifen C., Toumi R. Climate projections: past performance no guarantee of future skill?. Geophysical Research Letters 2009, 36. 10.1029/2009GL038082.
    • (2009) Geophysical Research Letters , vol.36
    • Reifen, C.1    Toumi, R.2
  • 47
    • 9944247702 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Future climate extreme events in the Mediterranean simulated by a regional climate model: a first approach
    • Sánchez E., Gallardo L.C., Gaertner M.A., Arribas A., Castro M. Future climate extreme events in the Mediterranean simulated by a regional climate model: a first approach. Global and Planetary Change 2004, 44:163-180.
    • (2004) Global and Planetary Change , vol.44 , pp. 163-180
    • Sánchez, E.1    Gallardo, L.C.2    Gaertner, M.A.3    Arribas, A.4    Castro, M.5
  • 48
    • 72049118707 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Future changes in the Mediterranean water budget projected by an ensemble of regional climate models
    • Sanchez-Gomez E., Somot S., Mariotti A. Future changes in the Mediterranean water budget projected by an ensemble of regional climate models. Geophysical Research Letters 2009, 36. 10.1029/2009GL040120.
    • (2009) Geophysical Research Letters , vol.36
    • Sanchez-Gomez, E.1    Somot, S.2    Mariotti, A.3
  • 53
    • 2442677561 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Monte Carlo experiments on the detection of trends in extreme values
    • Zhang X., Zweirs F.W., Li G. Monte Carlo experiments on the detection of trends in extreme values. Journal of Climate 2004, 17:1945-1952.
    • (2004) Journal of Climate , vol.17 , pp. 1945-1952
    • Zhang, X.1    Zweirs, F.W.2    Li, G.3


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.