Sensitivity in the overland reintensification of Tropical Cyclone Erin (2007) to near-surface soil moisture characteristics

Monthly Weather Review

Volumn 139, Issue 12, 2011, Pages 3848-3870

  Evans, Clark ^a,d   Schumacher, Russ S ^b,e   Galarneau Jr , Thomas J ^c  

^a NATIONAL CENTER FOR ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH   (United States)

^b TEXAS A AND M UNIVERSITY   (United States)

^c STATE UNIVERSITY OF NEW YORK   (United States)

^d UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN MILWAUKEE   (United States)

^e Engineering Research Center and Hydraulics Laboratory   (United States)

Author keywords

Mesoscale models; Rainfall; Sensitivity studies; Soil moisture; Tropical cyclones

Indexed keywords

ADVANCED RESEARCHES; BOUNDARY LAYER MIXING; LATENT HEAT RELEASE; MESOSCALE MODEL; MOISTURE CONDITIONS; NEAR-SURFACE; NORTH ATLANTIC; SENSITIVITY STUDIES; SIGNAL CONTRIBUTION; SOIL CONDITIONS; SURFACE VORTICES; TROPICAL CYCLONE; WEATHER RESEARCH AND FORECASTING MODELS;

BOUNDARY LAYERS; COMPUTER SIMULATION; HURRICANES; MOISTURE DETERMINATION; SOIL MOISTURE; STORMS; TROPICS; VORTEX FLOW; WEATHER FORECASTING;

RAIN;

BOUNDARY LAYER; LATENT HEAT FLUX; MESOSCALE METEOROLOGY; NUMERICAL MODEL; OVERLAND FLOW; PRECIPITATION INTENSITY; SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS; SOIL MOISTURE; TROPICAL CYCLONE EVENT; VORTEX;

GREAT PLAINS;

EID: 84855803203     PISSN: 00270644     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1175/2011MWR3593.1     Document Type: Article

References (47)

1. Arndt, D. S., J. B. Basara, R. A. McPherson, B. G. Illston, G. D. McManus, and D. B. Demko, 2009: Observations of the overland reintensification of Tropical Storm Erin (2007). Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 90, 1079-1093.
2. Bassill, N. P., and M. C. Morgan, 2006: The overland reintensification of Tropical Storm Danny (1997). Preprints, 27th Conf. on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, Monterey, CA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 6A.6. [Available online at http://ams.confex.com/ams/pdfpapers/108676.pdf.]
3. Bosart, L. F., andG.M. Lackmann, 1995: Postlandfall tropical cyclone reintensification in aweakly baroclinic environment:Acase study of Hurricane David (1979). Mon. Wea. Rev., 123, 3268-3291.
4. Brennan, M. J., R. D. Knabb, M. Mainelli, and T. B. Kimberlain, 2009: Atlantic hurricane season of 2007. Mon. Wea. Rev., 137, 4061-4088.
5. Chen, F., and J. Dudhia, 2001: Coupling an advanced land-surface/ hydrology model with the Penn State-NCAR MM5 modeling system. Part I: Model description and implementation. Mon. Wea. Rev., 129, 569-585.
6. Chen, S.-H., and W.-Y. Sun, 2002: A one-dimensional time dependent cloud model. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 80, 99-118.
7. Davis, C. A., and S. B. Trier, 2007: Mesoscale convective vortices observed during BAMEX. Part I: Kinematic and thermodynamic structure. Mon. Wea. Rev., 135, 2029-2049.
8. Davis, C. A., and T. J. Galarneau Jr., 2009: The vertical structure of mesoscale convective vortices. J. Atmos. Sci., 66, 686-704.
9. Davis, C. A. Coauthors, 2008: Prediction of landfalling hurricanes with the Advanced Hurricane WRF model. Mon. Wea. Rev., 136, 1990-2005.
10. Done, J., C. A. Davis, and M. Weisman, 2004: The next generation of NWP: Explicit forecasts of convection using the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model. Atmos. Sci. Lett., 5, 110-117.
11. Dudhia, J., 1989: Numerical study of convection observed during the winter monsoon experiment using a mesoscale twodimensional model. J. Atmos. Sci., 46, 3077-3107.
12. Eliassen, A., 1951: Slow thermally or frictionally controlled meridional circulation in a circular vortex. Astrophys. Norv., 5, 19-60.
13. Emanuel, K., cited 2008: Non-baroclinic inland rejuvenation of tropical cyclones. [Available online at http://www.meteo.mcgill.ca/cyclone/lib/exe/fetch.php?id5start&cache5cache&media5wed2030.ppt.]
14. Emanuel, K., J. Callaghan, and P. Otto, 2008: A hypothesis for the redevelopment of warm core cyclones over northern Australia. Mon. Wea. Rev., 136, 3863-3872.
15. Environmental Modeling Center, 2003: The GFS Atmospheric Model. NCEP Office Note 442, 14 pp.
16. Fang, J., and F. Zhang, 2010: Initial development and genesis of Hurricane Dolly (2008). J. Atmos. Sci., 67, 655-672.
17. Fritsch, J. M., J. D. Murphy, and J. S. Kain, 1994: Warm core vortex amplification over land. J. Atmos. Sci., 51, 1780-1807.
18. Galarneau, T. J., Jr., L. F. Bosart, and R. S. Schumacher, 2010: Predecessor rain events ahead of tropical cyclones. Mon. Wea. Rev., 138, 3272-3297.
19. Geo4Va, cited 2011: Seasonal temperature cycles. [Available online at http://www.geo4va.vt.edu/A1/A1.htm.]
20. Gray, W. M., 1968: Global view of the origin of tropical disturbances and storms. Mon. Wea. Rev., 96, 669-700.
21. Hanley, D., J. Molinari, and D. Keyser, 2001: A composite study of the interactions between tropical cyclones and uppertropospheric troughs. Mon. Wea. Rev., 129, 2570-2584.
22. Hendricks, E. A., M. T. Montgomery, and C. A. Davis, 2004: The role of "vortical" hot towers in the formation of Tropical Cyclone Diana (1984). J. Atmos. Sci., 61, 1209-1232.
23. Hong, S.-Y., Y. Noh, and J. Dudhia, 2006: A new vertical diffusion package with an explicit treatment of entrainment processes. Mon. Wea. Rev., 134, 2318-2341.
24. Koster, R. D., Z. Guo, R. Yang, P. A. Dirmeyer, K. Mitchell, and M. J. Puma, 2009: On the nature of soil moisture in land surface models. J. Climate, 22, 4322-4335.
25. Menard, R. D., and J. M. Fritsch, 1989: A mesoscale convective complex-generated inertially stable warm core vortex. Mon. Wea. Rev., 117, 1237-1261.
26. Mesinger, F. Coauthors, 2006: North American Regional Reanalysis. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 87, 343-360.
27. Mlawer, E. J., S. J. Taubman, P. D. Brown, M. J. Iacono, and S. A. Clough, 1997: Radiative transfer for inhomogeneous atmosphere: RRTM, a validated correlated-k model for the longwave. J. Geophys. Res., 102 (D14), 16 663-16 682.
28. Monteverdi, J. P., and R. Edwards, 2010: The redevelopment of a warm-core structure in Erin: A case of inland tropical storm formation. Electron. J. Severe Storms Meteor., 5 (6), 1-18.
29. Montgomery, M. T., M. E. Nicholls, T.A. Cram, andA. B. Saunders, 2006: A vortical hot tower route to tropical cyclogenesis. J. Atmos. Sci., 63, 355-386.
30. Montgomery, M. T., V. S. Nguyen, J. Persing, and R. K. Smith, 2009: Do tropical cyclones intensify by WISHE? Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 135, 1697-1714.
31. Ooyama, K., 1971: A theory of parameterization of cumulus convection. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 49, 744-756.
32. Raymond, D. J., and S. Sessions, 2007: Evolution of convection during tropical cyclogenesis. Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, L06811, doi:10.1029/2006GL028607.
33. Rogers, R. F., and J. M. Fritsch, 2001: Surface cyclogenesis from convectively-driven amplification of midlevel mesoscale convective vortices. Mon. Wea. Rev., 129, 605-637.
34. Rotunno, R., and K. Emanuel, 1987: An air-sea interaction theory for tropical cyclones. Part II: Evolutionary study using a nonhydrostatic axisymmetric numerical model. J. Atmos. Sci., 44, 542-561.
35. Santanello, J. A., Jr., M. A. Friedl, and W. P. Kustas, 2005: An empirical investigation of convective planetary boundary layer evolution and its relationship with the land surface. J. Appl. Meteor., 44, 917-932.
36. Schumacher, R. S., and R. H. Johnson, 2009: Quasi-stationary, extreme-rain-producing convective systems associated with midlevel cyclonic circulations. Wea. Forecasting, 24, 555-574.
37. Schumacher, R. S., T. J. Galarneau, and L. F. Bosart, 2011: Distant effects of a recurving tropical cyclone on rainfall in a midlatitude convective system: A high-impact predecessor rain event. Mon. Wea. Rev., 139, 650-667.
38. Shen, W., I. Ginis, and R. E. Tuleya, 2002: A numerical investigation of land surface water on landfalling hurricanes. J. Atmos. Sci., 59, 789-802.
39. Skamarock, W. C., Coauthors, 2008: A description of the Advanced Research WRF version 3. NCAR Tech. Note NCAR/TN-4751STR, 125 pp.
40. Snyder, A., Z. Pu, and C. A. Reynolds, 2011: Impact of stochastic convection on ensemble forecasts of tropical cyclone development. Mon. Wea. Rev., 139, 620-626.
41. Trier, S. B., and C. A. Davis, 2002: Influence of balanced motions on heavy precipitation within a long-lived convectively generated vortex. Mon. Wea. Rev., 130, 877-899.
42. Trier, S. B., C. A. Davis, and J. D. Tuttle, 2000: Long-lived mesoconvective vortices and their environment. Part I: Observations from the central United States during the 1998 warm season. Mon. Wea. Rev., 128, 3376-3395.
43. Trier, S. B., F. Chen, and K. W. Manning, 2004: A study of convection initiation in a mesoscale model using high-resolution land surface initial conditions. Mon. Wea. Rev., 132, 2954-2976.
44. Tuleya, R.E., 1994: Tropical storm development and decay: Sensitivity to surface boundary conditions. Mon. Wea. Rev., 122, 291-304.
45. Weisman, M. L., C. A. Davis, W.Wang, K.W.Manning, and J. B. Klemp, 2008: Experiences with 0-36-h explicit convective forecastswith theWRF-ARWmodel.Wea. Forecasting, 23, 407-437.
46. Yu, C.-K., B. J.-D. Jou, and B. F. Smull, 1999: Formative stage of a long-lived mesoscale vortex observed by airborne Doppler radar. Mon. Wea. Rev., 127, 838-857.
47. Zhang, F., and J. A. Sippel, 2009: Effects of moist convection on hurricane predictability. J. Atmos. Sci., 66, 1944-1961.