메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 6, Issue 1, 2012, Pages 1-28

The demographic transition: Causes and consequences

Author keywords

Demographic transition; Fertility; Gender gap; Human capital; Mortality; Unified growth theory

Indexed keywords


EID: 84855242044     PISSN: 18632505     EISSN: 18632513     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s11698-011-0062-7     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (227)

References (63)
  • 1
    • 77957901811 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Multiple experiments for the causal link between the quantity and quality of children
    • Angrist JD, Lavy V, Schlosser A (2010) Multiple experiments for the causal link between the quantity and quality of children. J Labor Econ 28(4): 773-824.
    • (2010) J Labor Econ , vol.28 , Issue.4 , pp. 773-824
    • Angrist, J.D.1    Lavy, V.2    Schlosser, A.3
  • 2
    • 0000936652 scopus 로고
    • An economic analysis of fertility
    • G. S. Becker (Ed.), Princeton: Princeton University Press
    • Becker GS (1960) An economic analysis of fertility. In: Becker GS (eds) Demographic and economic change in developed countries. Princeton University Press, Princeton, pp 209-231.
    • (1960) Demographic and Economic Change in Developed Countries , pp. 209-231
    • Becker, G.S.1
  • 4
    • 0001133512 scopus 로고
    • On the interaction between the quantity and quality of children
    • Becker GS, Lewis HG (1973) On the interaction between the quantity and quality of children. J Polit Econ 81(2, Part II): S279-S288.
    • (1973) J Polit Econ , vol.81 , Issue.2 PART II
    • Becker, G.S.1    Lewis, H.G.2
  • 5
    • 84936402024 scopus 로고
    • Human capital, fertility, and economic growth
    • Becker GS, Murphy KM, Tamura R (1990) Human capital, fertility, and economic growth. J Polit Econ 98(5): S12-S37.
    • (1990) J Polit Econ , vol.98 , Issue.5
    • Becker, G.S.1    Murphy, K.M.2    Tamura, R.3
  • 7
    • 67650151365 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Was weber wrong? A human capital theory of protestant economic history
    • Becker SO, Woessmann L (2009) Was weber wrong? A human capital theory of protestant economic history. Q J Econ 124(2): 531-596.
    • (2009) Q J Econ , vol.124 , Issue.2 , pp. 531-596
    • Becker, S.O.1    Woessmann, L.2
  • 8
    • 20444381009 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The more the merrier? The effect of family size and birth order on children's education
    • Black SE, Devereux PJ, Salvanes KG (2005) The more the merrier? The effect of family size and birth order on children's education. Q J Econ 120(2): 669-700.
    • (2005) Q J Econ , vol.120 , Issue.2 , pp. 669-700
    • Black, S.E.1    Devereux, P.J.2    Salvanes, K.G.3
  • 9
    • 69949135306 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Chronic disease burden and the interaction of education, fertility, and growth
    • Bleakley H, Lange F (2009) Chronic disease burden and the interaction of education, fertility, and growth. Rev Econ Stat 91(1): 52-65.
    • (2009) Rev Econ Stat , vol.91 , Issue.1 , pp. 52-65
    • Bleakley, H.1    Lange, F.2
  • 10
    • 0036815216 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Mortality, fertility, and saving in a Malthusian economy
    • Boldrin M, Jones LE (2002) Mortality, fertility, and saving in a Malthusian economy. Rev Econ Dyn 5(4): 775-814.
    • (2002) Rev Econ Dyn , vol.5 , Issue.4 , pp. 775-814
    • Boldrin, M.1    Jones, L.E.2
  • 11
    • 30444437607 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Jewish occupational selection: education, restrictions, or minorities?
    • Botticini M, Eckstein Z (2005) Jewish occupational selection: education, restrictions, or minorities? J Econ Hist 65(4): 922-948.
    • (2005) J Econ Hist , vol.65 , Issue.4 , pp. 922-948
    • Botticini, M.1    Eckstein, Z.2
  • 12
    • 34447504632 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Regions and time in the European fertility transition: problems in the Princeton project's statistical methodology
    • Brown JC, Guinnane TW (2007) Regions and time in the European fertility transition: problems in the Princeton project's statistical methodology. Econ Hist Rev 60(3): 574-595.
    • (2007) Econ Hist Rev , vol.60 , Issue.3 , pp. 574-595
    • Brown, J.C.1    Guinnane, T.W.2
  • 13
    • 0000985232 scopus 로고
    • Toward a restatement of demographic transition theory
    • Caldwell JC (1976) Toward a restatement of demographic transition theory. Popul Dev Rev 2(3-4): 321-366.
    • (1976) Popul Dev Rev , vol.2 , Issue.3-4 , pp. 321-366
    • Caldwell, J.C.1
  • 16
    • 4344617968 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Accounting for fertility decline during the transition to growth
    • Doepke M (2004) Accounting for fertility decline during the transition to growth. J Econ Growth 9(3): 347-383.
    • (2004) J Econ Growth , vol.9 , Issue.3 , pp. 347-383
    • Doepke, M.1
  • 17
    • 26044439706 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Child mortality and fertility decline: does the Barro-Becker model fit the facts?
    • Doepke M (2005) Child mortality and fertility decline: does the Barro-Becker model fit the facts? J Popul Econ 18(2): 337-366.
    • (2005) J Popul Econ , vol.18 , Issue.2 , pp. 337-366
    • Doepke, M.1
  • 18
    • 0000203458 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A quantitative analysis of Swedish fertility dynamics: 1751-1990
    • Eckstein Z, Mira P, Wolpin K (1999) A quantitative analysis of Swedish fertility dynamics: 1751-1990. Rev Econ Dyn 2(1): 137-165.
    • (1999) Rev Econ Dyn , vol.2 , Issue.1 , pp. 137-165
    • Eckstein, Z.1    Mira, P.2    Wolpin, K.3
  • 19
    • 0011884166 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Was Malthus right?
    • Working paper, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania
    • Fernández-Villaverde J (2001) Was Malthus right? Economic growth and population dynamics. Working paper, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
    • (2001) Economic growth and population dynamics
    • Fernández-Villaverde, J.1
  • 21
    • 0000231078 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Does trade cause growth?
    • Frankel JA, Romer D (1999) Does trade cause growth? Am Econ Rev 89(3): 379-399.
    • (1999) Am Econ Rev , vol.89 , Issue.3 , pp. 379-399
    • Frankel, J.A.1    Romer, D.2
  • 23
    • 71549172003 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The 2008 Lawrence R. Klein lecture-comparative economic development: insights from unified growth theory
    • Galor O (2010) The 2008 Lawrence R. Klein lecture-comparative economic development: insights from unified growth theory. Int Econ Rev 51(1): 1-44.
    • (2010) Int Econ Rev , vol.51 , Issue.1 , pp. 1-44
    • Galor, O.1
  • 25
    • 0036867083 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Natural selection and the origin of rconomic growth
    • Galor O, Moav O (2002) Natural selection and the origin of rconomic growth. Q J Econ 117(4): 1133-1191.
    • (2002) Q J Econ , vol.117 , Issue.4 , pp. 1133-1191
    • Galor, O.1    Moav, O.2
  • 26
    • 7444263628 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • From physical to human capital accumulation: inequality and the process of development
    • Galor O, Moav O (2004) From physical to human capital accumulation: inequality and the process of development. Rev Econ Stud 71(4): 1001-1026.
    • (2004) Rev Econ Stud , vol.71 , Issue.4 , pp. 1001-1026
    • Galor, O.1    Moav, O.2
  • 27
    • 33744551231 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Trade and the great divergence: the family connection
    • Galor O, Mountford A (2006) Trade and the great divergence: the family connection. Am Econ Rev 96(2): 299-303.
    • (2006) Am Econ Rev , vol.96 , Issue.2 , pp. 299-303
    • Galor, O.1    Mountford, A.2
  • 28
    • 50249149906 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Trading population for productivity: theory and evidence
    • Galor O, Mountford A (2008) Trading population for productivity: theory and evidence. Rev Econ Stud 75(4): 1143-1179.
    • (2008) Rev Econ Stud , vol.75 , Issue.4 , pp. 1143-1179
    • Galor, O.1    Mountford, A.2
  • 29
    • 0030449033 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The gender gap, fertility, and growth
    • Galor O, Weil DN (1996) The gender gap, fertility, and growth. Am Econ Rev 86(3): 374-387.
    • (1996) Am Econ Rev , vol.86 , Issue.3 , pp. 374-387
    • Galor, O.1    Weil, D.N.2
  • 30
    • 0000132908 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • From Malthusian stagnation to modern growth
    • Galor O, Weil DN (1999) From Malthusian stagnation to modern growth. Am Econ Rev 89(2): 150-154.
    • (1999) Am Econ Rev , vol.89 , Issue.2 , pp. 150-154
    • Galor, O.1    Weil, D.N.2
  • 31
    • 0000443465 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Population, technology, and growth: from Malthusian stagnation to the demographic transition and beyond
    • Galor O, Weil DN (2000) Population, technology, and growth: from Malthusian stagnation to the demographic transition and beyond. Am Econ Rev 90(4): 806-828.
    • (2000) Am Econ Rev , vol.90 , Issue.4 , pp. 806-828
    • Galor, O.1    Weil, D.N.2
  • 33
    • 0042420146 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The US demographic transition
    • Greenwood J, Seshadri A (2002) The US demographic transition. Am Econ Rev 92(2): 153-159.
    • (2002) Am Econ Rev , vol.92 , Issue.2 , pp. 153-159
    • Greenwood, J.1    Seshadri, A.2
  • 35
    • 0028665930 scopus 로고
    • What do we know about the timing of fertility transitions in Europe?
    • Guinnane TW, Okun BS, Trussell J (1994) What do we know about the timing of fertility transitions in Europe? Demography 31(1): 1-20.
    • (1994) Demography , vol.31 , Issue.1 , pp. 1-20
    • Guinnane, T.W.1    Okun, B.S.2    Trussell, J.3
  • 36
    • 84935440532 scopus 로고
    • The trade-off between child quantity and quality
    • Hanushek EA (1992) The trade-off between child quantity and quality. J Polit Econ 100(1): 84-117.
    • (1992) J Polit Econ , vol.100 , Issue.1 , pp. 84-117
    • Hanushek, E.A.1
  • 37
    • 71549161752 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Longevity and lifetime labor supply: evidence and implications
    • Hazan M (2009) Longevity and lifetime labor supply: evidence and implications. Econometrica 77(6): 1829-1863.
    • (2009) Econometrica , vol.77 , Issue.6 , pp. 1829-1863
    • Hazan, M.1
  • 38
    • 33845355612 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Does longevity cause growth? A theoretical critique
    • Hazan M, Zoabi H (2006) Does longevity cause growth? A theoretical critique. J Econ Growth 11(4): 363-376.
    • (2006) J Econ Growth , vol.11 , Issue.4 , pp. 363-376
    • Hazan, M.1    Zoabi, H.2
  • 39
    • 0025509334 scopus 로고
    • The relationship between wages and income and the timing and spacing of births: evidence from Swedish longitudinal data
    • Heckman JJ, Walker JR (1990) The relationship between wages and income and the timing and spacing of births: evidence from Swedish longitudinal data. Econometrica 58(6): 1411-1441.
    • (1990) Econometrica , vol.58 , Issue.6 , pp. 1411-1441
    • Heckman, J.J.1    Walker, J.R.2
  • 44
    • 0040515863 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Does the mortality decline promote economic growth?
    • Kalemli-Ozcan S (2002) Does the mortality decline promote economic growth?. J Econ Growth 7(4): 411-439.
    • (2002) J Econ Growth , vol.7 , Issue.4 , pp. 411-439
    • Kalemli-Ozcan, S.1
  • 46
    • 4344656568 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Gender equality and long-run growth
    • Lagerlöf N-P (2003) Gender equality and long-run growth. J Econ Growth 8(4): 403-426.
    • (2003) J Econ Growth , vol.8 , Issue.4 , pp. 403-426
    • Lagerlöf, N.-P.1
  • 47
    • 76649143067 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evidence on the demographic transition
    • Lehr CS (2009) Evidence on the demographic transition. Rev Econ Stat 91(4): 871-887.
    • (2009) Rev Econ Stat , vol.91 , Issue.4 , pp. 871-887
    • Lehr, C.S.1
  • 48
    • 44449090908 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The quantity-quality trade-off of children in a developing country: identification using Chinese twins
    • Li H, Zhang J, Zhu Y (2008) The quantity-quality trade-off of children in a developing country: identification using Chinese twins. Demography 45(1): 223-243.
    • (2008) Demography , vol.45 , Issue.1 , pp. 223-243
    • Li, H.1    Zhang, J.2    Zhu, Y.3
  • 50
    • 78149390121 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The west and the rest in the world economy: 1000-2030
    • Maddison A (2008) The west and the rest in the world economy: 1000-2030. World Econ 9(4): 75-99.
    • (2008) World Econ , vol.9 , Issue.4 , pp. 75-99
    • Maddison, A.1
  • 53
    • 0001206563 scopus 로고
    • Peasants, procreation, and pensions
    • Neher PA (1971) Peasants, procreation, and pensions. Am Econ Rev 61(3): 380-389.
    • (1971) Am Econ Rev , vol.61 , Issue.3 , pp. 380-389
    • Neher, P.A.1
  • 55
    • 4644227378 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The demographic transition revisited as a global process
    • Reher DS (2004) The demographic transition revisited as a global process. Popul Space Place 10: 19-42.
    • (2004) Popul Space Place , vol.10 , pp. 19-42
    • Reher, D.S.1
  • 56
    • 0018848109 scopus 로고
    • Testing the quantity-quality fertility model: the use of twins as a natural experiment
    • Rosenzweig MR, Wolpin KI (1980) Testing the quantity-quality fertility model: the use of twins as a natural experiment. Econometrica 48(1): 227-240.
    • (1980) Econometrica , vol.48 , Issue.1 , pp. 227-240
    • Rosenzweig, M.R.1    Wolpin, K.I.2
  • 57
    • 67549084574 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Do population control policies induce more human capital investment? Twins, birth weight and china's "one-child" policy
    • Rosenzweig MR, Zhang J (2009) Do population control policies induce more human capital investment? Twins, birth weight and china's "one-child" policy. Rev Econ Stud 76(3): 1149-1174.
    • (2009) Rev Econ Stud , vol.76 , Issue.3 , pp. 1149-1174
    • Rosenzweig, M.R.1    Zhang, J.2
  • 58
    • 0022168614 scopus 로고
    • Changing world prices, women's wages, and the fertility transition: Sweden, 1860-1910
    • Schultz TP (1985) Changing world prices, women's wages, and the fertility transition: Sweden, 1860-1910. J Polit Econ 93(6): 1126-1154.
    • (1985) J Polit Econ , vol.93 , Issue.6 , pp. 1126-1154
    • Schultz, T.P.1
  • 59
    • 77956728160 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Demand for children in low income countries
    • Schultz TP (1997) Demand for children in low income countries. Handb Popul Fam Econ 1: 349-430.
    • (1997) Handb Popul Fam Econ , vol.1 , pp. 349-430
    • Schultz, T.P.1
  • 63
    • 20444394440 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The gift of the dying: the tragedy of AIDS and the welfare of future African generations*
    • Young A (2005) The gift of the dying: the tragedy of AIDS and the welfare of future African generations*. Q J Econ 120(2): 423-466.
    • (2005) Q J Econ , vol.120 , Issue.2 , pp. 423-466
    • Young, A.1


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.