메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 414-415, Issue , 2012, Pages 341-353

Evaluation of medium-range runoff forecasts for a 50km 2 watershed

Author keywords

Forecast verification; Reservoir control; Runoff forecast; Small catchments

Indexed keywords

ANTICIPATORY CONTROL; ENSEMBLE PREDICTION SYSTEMS; EVENT DETECTION; FALSE ALARMS; H-BASED; HEADWATER CATCHMENT; HYDROLOGICAL FORECAST; HYDROLOGICAL MODELING; HYDROLOGICAL MODELS; LEAD TIME; NUMERICAL WEATHER PREDICTION; PRECIPITATION FORECAST; QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATION; RUNOFF FORECAST; SINGLE-VALUE; SMALL CATCHMENT; SNOW MELT; WEATHER SERVICES;

EID: 84855207598     PISSN: 00221694     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2011.11.005     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (13)

References (37)
  • 1
    • 2642658367 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Generating precipitation time series using simulated annealing
    • Bárdossy A. Generating precipitation time series using simulated annealing. Water Resour. Res. 1998, 34(7):1737-1744.
    • (1998) Water Resour. Res. , vol.34 , Issue.7 , pp. 1737-1744
    • Bárdossy, A.1
  • 2
    • 75749117172 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • How crucial is it to account for the antecedent moisture conditions in flood forecasting? Comparison of event-based and continuous approaches on 178 catchments
    • Berthet L., Andréassian V., Perrin C., Javelle P. How crucial is it to account for the antecedent moisture conditions in flood forecasting? Comparison of event-based and continuous approaches on 178 catchments. Hydrol. Earth. Syst. Sci. 2009, 13:819-831.
    • (2009) Hydrol. Earth. Syst. Sci. , vol.13 , pp. 819-831
    • Berthet, L.1    Andréassian, V.2    Perrin, C.3    Javelle, P.4
  • 3
    • 0030417468 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Expanded downscaling for generating local weather scenarios
    • Bürger G. Expanded downscaling for generating local weather scenarios. Climate Res. 1996, 7:111-128.
    • (1996) Climate Res. , vol.7 , pp. 111-128
    • Bürger, G.1
  • 4
    • 77951835381 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Dynamically vs. empirically downscaled medium-range precipitation forecasts
    • Bürger G. Dynamically vs. empirically downscaled medium-range precipitation forecasts. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 2009, 13:1649-1658.
    • (2009) Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. , vol.13 , pp. 1649-1658
    • Bürger, G.1
  • 5
    • 72149110312 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Early flood warnings from empirical (expanded) downscaling of the full ECMWF ensemble prediction system
    • Bürger G., Reusser D., Kneis D. Early flood warnings from empirical (expanded) downscaling of the full ECMWF ensemble prediction system. Water Resour. Res. 2009, 45:W10443.
    • (2009) Water Resour. Res. , vol.45
    • Bürger, G.1    Reusser, D.2    Kneis, D.3
  • 6
    • 69349101904 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ensemble flood forecasting: a review
    • Cloke H.L., Pappenberger F. Ensemble flood forecasting: a review. J. Hydrol. 2009, 375:613-626.
    • (2009) J. Hydrol. , vol.375 , pp. 613-626
    • Cloke, H.L.1    Pappenberger, F.2
  • 7
    • 33748878810 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A meteo-hydrological forecasting chain: performance of the downscaling and rainfall-runoff steps in a small catchment
    • Deidda R., Badas M.G., Seoni A., Piga E. A meteo-hydrological forecasting chain: performance of the downscaling and rainfall-runoff steps in a small catchment. Adv. Geosci. 2006, 7:361-369.
    • (2006) Adv. Geosci. , vol.7 , pp. 361-369
    • Deidda, R.1    Badas, M.G.2    Seoni, A.3    Piga, E.4
  • 8
    • 41249086936 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Combination of different types of ensembles for the adaptive simulation of probabilistic flood forecasts: hindcasts for the Mulde 2002 extreme event
    • Dietrich J., Trepte S., Wang Y., Schumann A.H., Voß F., Hesser F.B., Denhard M. Combination of different types of ensembles for the adaptive simulation of probabilistic flood forecasts: hindcasts for the Mulde 2002 extreme event. Nonlin. Process. Geophys. 2008, 15:275-286.
    • (2008) Nonlin. Process. Geophys. , vol.15 , pp. 275-286
    • Dietrich, J.1    Trepte, S.2    Wang, Y.3    Schumann, A.H.4    Voß, F.5    Hesser, F.B.6    Denhard, M.7
  • 9
    • 84855195227 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A Description of the Nonhydrostatic Regional Model LM. Part I: Dynamics and Numerics. Tech. Rep., Consortium for Small-Scale Modelling (COSMO).
    • Doms, G., Schättler, U., 2002. A Description of the Nonhydrostatic Regional Model LM. Part I: Dynamics and Numerics. Tech. Rep., Consortium for Small-Scale Modelling (COSMO). http://www.cosmo-model.org/content/model/documentation/core.
    • (2002)
    • Doms, G.1    Schättler, U.2
  • 10
    • 65849159044 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Radar-based flood forecasting in small catchments, exemplified by the Goldersbach catchment, Germany
    • Ehret U., Götzinger J., Bárdossy A., Pegram G.G.S. Radar-based flood forecasting in small catchments, exemplified by the Goldersbach catchment, Germany. Int. J. River Basin Manage. 2008, 6(4):323-329.
    • (2008) Int. J. River Basin Manage. , vol.6 , Issue.4 , pp. 323-329
    • Ehret, U.1    Götzinger, J.2    Bárdossy, A.3    Pegram, G.G.S.4
  • 11
    • 0001737050 scopus 로고
    • The use of model output statistics (MOS) in objective weather forecasting
    • Glahn H.R., Lowry D.A. The use of model output statistics (MOS) in objective weather forecasting. J. Appl. Meteor. 1972, 11:1203-1211.
    • (1972) J. Appl. Meteor. , vol.11 , pp. 1203-1211
    • Glahn, H.R.1    Lowry, D.A.2
  • 12
    • 0034871797 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Cascade-based disaggregation of continuous rainfall time series: the influence of climate
    • Güntner A., Olsson J., Calver A., Gannon B. Cascade-based disaggregation of continuous rainfall time series: the influence of climate. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 2001, 5(2):145-164.
    • (2001) Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. , vol.5 , Issue.2 , pp. 145-164
    • Güntner, A.1    Olsson, J.2    Calver, A.3    Gannon, B.4
  • 13
    • 79959481562 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Benchmarking quantitative precipitation estimation by conceptual rainfall-runoff modeling
    • Heistermann M., Kneis D. Benchmarking quantitative precipitation estimation by conceptual rainfall-runoff modeling. Water Resour. Res. 2011, 47:W06514.
    • (2011) Water Resour. Res. , vol.47
    • Heistermann, M.1    Kneis, D.2
  • 14
    • 0034292468 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Decomposition of the continuous ranked probability score for ensemble prediction systems
    • Hersbach H. Decomposition of the continuous ranked probability score for ensemble prediction systems. Weather Forecast. 2000, 15:559-570.
    • (2000) Weather Forecast. , vol.15 , pp. 559-570
    • Hersbach, H.1
  • 15
    • 69349094256 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evaluation of a probabilistic hydrometeorological forecast system
    • Jaun S., Ahrens B. Evaluation of a probabilistic hydrometeorological forecast system. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 2009, 13:1031-1043.
    • (2009) Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. , vol.13 , pp. 1031-1043
    • Jaun, S.1    Ahrens, B.2
  • 16
    • 0042487355 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Forecast Verification
    • Wiley, I.T. Jolliffe, D.B. Stephenson (Eds.)
    • Forecast Verification. A Practitioner's Guide in Atmospheric Science 2003, Wiley. I.T. Jolliffe, D.B. Stephenson (Eds.).
    • (2003) A Practitioner's Guide in Atmospheric Science
  • 17
    • 68149084620 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bewertung der Güte einer Radar-basierten Niederschlagsschätzung am Beispiel eines kleinen Einzugsgebiets (Quality assessment of radar-based precipitation estimates with the example of a small catchment; in German)
    • Kneis D., Heistermann M. Bewertung der Güte einer Radar-basierten Niederschlagsschätzung am Beispiel eines kleinen Einzugsgebiets (Quality assessment of radar-based precipitation estimates with the example of a small catchment; in German). Hydrologie und Wasserbewirtschaftung 2009, 53(3):160-171.
    • (2009) Hydrologie und Wasserbewirtschaftung , vol.53 , Issue.3 , pp. 160-171
    • Kneis, D.1    Heistermann, M.2
  • 18
    • 27644479328 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Precipitation forecasts and their uncertainty as input into hydrological models
    • Kobold M., SuŠeli K. Precipitation forecasts and their uncertainty as input into hydrological models. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 2005, 9(4):322-332.
    • (2005) Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. , vol.9 , Issue.4 , pp. 322-332
    • Kobold, M.1    Sušeli, K.2
  • 19
    • 0032853041 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bayesian theory of probabilistic forecasting via deterministic hydrologic model
    • Krzysztofowic R. Bayesian theory of probabilistic forecasting via deterministic hydrologic model. Water Resour. Res. 1999, 35(9):2739-2750.
    • (1999) Water Resour. Res. , vol.35 , Issue.9 , pp. 2739-2750
    • Krzysztofowic, R.1
  • 20
    • 84855195228 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • LfUG. Ereignisanalyse - Hochwasser August 2002 in den Osterzgebirgsflüssen (Analysis of the August 2002 Flood event in the Eastern Erzgebirge Mountain Range; in German). Report, Saxon State Agency of Environment and Geology.
    • LfUG, 2004. Ereignisanalyse - Hochwasser August 2002 in den Osterzgebirgsflüssen (Analysis of the August 2002 Flood event in the Eastern Erzgebirge Mountain Range; in German). Report, Saxon State Agency of Environment and Geology.
    • (2004)
  • 21
    • 33646183053 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Einsatz von Wasserhaushaltsmodellen zur kontinuierlichen Abflussvorhersage in Baden-Württemberg (Continuous forecasting of runoff for the state of Baden-Württemberg using hydrological catchment models; in German)
    • Luce A., Haag I., Bremicker M. Einsatz von Wasserhaushaltsmodellen zur kontinuierlichen Abflussvorhersage in Baden-Württemberg (Continuous forecasting of runoff for the state of Baden-Württemberg using hydrological catchment models; in German). Hydrologie und wasserbewirtschaftung 2006, 50(2):58-66.
    • (2006) Hydrologie und wasserbewirtschaftung , vol.50 , Issue.2 , pp. 58-66
    • Luce, A.1    Haag, I.2    Bremicker, M.3
  • 22
    • 84855193326 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • (Eds.). The Water Balance Model LARSIM - Design, Content and Application, of Freiburger Schriften zur Hydrologie. University of Freiburg, Institute of Hydrology.
    • Ludwig, K., Bremicker, M. (Eds.), 2006. The Water Balance Model LARSIM - Design, Content and Application, vol. 22 of Freiburger Schriften zur Hydrologie. University of Freiburg, Institute of Hydrology.
    • (2006) , vol.22
    • Ludwig, K.1    Bremicker, M.2
  • 23
    • 22744434587 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The COSMO-LEPS mesoscale ensemble system: validation of the methodology and verification
    • Marsigli C., Boccanera F., Montani A., Paccagnella T. The COSMO-LEPS mesoscale ensemble system: validation of the methodology and verification. Nonlin. Proc. Geophys. 2005, 12:527-536.
    • (2005) Nonlin. Proc. Geophys. , vol.12 , pp. 527-536
    • Marsigli, C.1    Boccanera, F.2    Montani, A.3    Paccagnella, T.4
  • 25
    • 84855193327 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • NCAR. Verification: Forecast Verification Utilities. R Package Version 1.31. NCAR Research Application Program.
    • NCAR, 2010. Verification: Forecast Verification Utilities. R Package Version 1.31. NCAR Research Application Program.
    • (2010)
  • 26
    • 84855196249 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The ensemble prediction system (EPS). In: User Guide to ECMWF Forecast Products, European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecast Meteorological Bulletin M3.2, Version 4.0.
    • Persson, A., Grazzini, F., 2007. The ensemble prediction system (EPS). In: User Guide to ECMWF Forecast Products, European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecast Meteorological Bulletin M3.2, Version 4.0, pp. 51-57.
    • (2007) , pp. 51-57
    • Persson, A.1    Grazzini, F.2
  • 27
    • 40249097574 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Verification of operational quantitative discharge forecast (QDF) for a regional warning system - the AMPHORE case studies in the upper Po River
    • Rabuffetti D., Ravazzani G., Corbari C., Mancini M. Verification of operational quantitative discharge forecast (QDF) for a regional warning system - the AMPHORE case studies in the upper Po River. Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. 2008, 8:161-173.
    • (2008) Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. , vol.8 , pp. 161-173
    • Rabuffetti, D.1    Ravazzani, G.2    Corbari, C.3    Mancini, M.4
  • 28
    • 0031436317 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Validation and intercomparison of different updating procedures for real-time forecasting
    • Refsgaard J.C. Validation and intercomparison of different updating procedures for real-time forecasting. Nord. Hydrol. 1997, 28:65-84.
    • (1997) Nord. Hydrol. , vol.28 , pp. 65-84
    • Refsgaard, J.C.1
  • 29
    • 33846376777 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Skill and relative economic value of medium-range hydrological ensemble predictions
    • Roulin E. Skill and relative economic value of medium-range hydrological ensemble predictions. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 2007, 11:725-737.
    • (2007) Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. , vol.11 , pp. 725-737
    • Roulin, E.1
  • 30
    • 84855193323 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Preliminary evaluation and verification of the pre-operational COSMO-DE ensemble prediction system
    • In: EMS Annual Meeting Abstracts. EMS2011-186.
    • Theis, S., Buchhold, M., Gebhardt, C., Peralta, C., Ben Bouallègue, Z., 2011. Preliminary evaluation and verification of the pre-operational COSMO-DE ensemble prediction system. In: EMS Annual Meeting Abstracts, vol. 8, EMS2011-186.
    • (2011) , vol.8
    • Theis, S.1    Buchhold, M.2    Gebhardt, C.3    Peralta, C.4    Ben Bouallègue, Z.5
  • 32
    • 7244232811 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Role and treatment of uncertainty in real-time flood forecasting
    • Todini E. Role and treatment of uncertainty in real-time flood forecasting. Hydrol. Process. 2004, 18:2743-2746.
    • (2004) Hydrol. Process. , vol.18 , pp. 2743-2746
    • Todini, E.1
  • 33
    • 69249221496 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Understanding the value of radar rainfall nowcast in flood forecasting and warning in flashy catchments
    • Werner M., Cranston M. Understanding the value of radar rainfall nowcast in flood forecasting and warning in flashy catchments. Meteorol. Appl. 2009, 16:41-55.
    • (2009) Meteorol. Appl. , vol.16 , pp. 41-55
    • Werner, M.1    Cranston, M.2
  • 34
    • 0036552212 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Description and evaluation of a hydrometeorological forecast system for mountainous watersheds
    • Westrick K.J., Storck P., Mass C.F. Description and evaluation of a hydrometeorological forecast system for mountainous watersheds. Weather Forecast. 2002, 17:250-262.
    • (2002) Weather Forecast. , vol.17 , pp. 250-262
    • Westrick, K.J.1    Storck, P.2    Mass, C.F.3
  • 36
    • 0002180578 scopus 로고
    • Flood routing with variable travel time or variable storage coefficients
    • Williams J.R. Flood routing with variable travel time or variable storage coefficients. Trans. ASAE 1969, 12(1):100-103.
    • (1969) Trans. ASAE , vol.12 , Issue.1 , pp. 100-103
    • Williams, J.R.1
  • 37
    • 0019246584 scopus 로고
    • The Xinanjiang model. In: Hydrological Forecasting, Proceedings of the Oxford Symposium. IAHS-AISH Publ. IAHS Press, Wallingford, UK.
    • Zhao, R.-J., Zuang, Y.-L., Fang, L.-R., Liu, X.-R., Zhang, Q.-S., 1980. The Xinanjiang model. In: Hydrological Forecasting, Proceedings of the Oxford Symposium. IAHS-AISH Publ., vol. 129, IAHS Press, Wallingford, UK, pp. 351-356.
    • (1980) , vol.129 , pp. 351-356
    • Zhao, R.-J.1    Zuang, Y.-L.2    Fang, L.-R.3    Liu, X.-R.4    Zhang, Q.-S.5


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.