메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 1, Issue 1, 2011, Pages 1-5

Natural Human Mobility Patterns and Spatial Spread of Infectious Diseases

Author keywords

Complex Systems; Interdisciplinary Physics; Statistical Physics

Indexed keywords

DESTINATION LOCATION; DIFFUSIVE SYSTEM; DYNAMICAL FEATURES; DYNAMICAL PROCESS; EFFECTIVE FORCES; EPIDEMIC SPREAD; HUMAN MOBILITY; INDIVIDUAL MOBILITY; INFECTION MODELS; INFECTIOUS DISEASE; INTERDISCIPLINARY PHYSICS; METAPOPULATIONS; NATURAL FEATURES; NETWORK TOPOLOGY; POPULATION ECOLOGY; REACTION DIFFUSION; STATISTICAL PHYSICS; SYSTEMATIC ANALYSIS;

EID: 83655195346     PISSN: None     EISSN: 21603308     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1103/PhysRevX.1.011001     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (339)

References (28)
  • 1
    • 67249138142 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Pandemic Potential of a Strain of Influenza A (H1N1):
    • C. Fraser et al., Pandemic Potential of a Strain of Influenza A (H1N1): Early Findings, Science 324, 1557 (2009).
    • (2009) Early Findings Science , vol.324 , pp. 1557
    • Fraser, C.1
  • 3
    • 38649141794 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predictability and Epidemic Pathways in Global Outbreaks of Infectious Diseases: The SARS Case Study
    • V. Colizza, A. Barrat, and M. Barthelemy et al., Predictability and Epidemic Pathways in Global Outbreaks of Infectious Diseases: The SARS Case Study, BMC Med. 5, 34 (2007).
    • (2007) BMC Med. , vol.5 , pp. 34
    • Colizza, V.1    Barrat, A.2    Barthelemy, M.3
  • 4
    • 70350687996 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Seasonal Transmission Potential and Activity Peaks of the New Influenza A(H1N1): A Monte Carlo Likelihood Analysis Based on Human Mobility
    • D. Balcan, H. Hu, and B. Goncalves et al., Seasonal Transmission Potential and Activity Peaks of the New Influenza A(H1N1): A Monte Carlo Likelihood Analysis Based on Human Mobility, BMC Med. 7, 45 (2009).
    • (2009) BMC Med. , vol.7 , pp. 45
    • Balcan, D.1    Hu, H.2    Goncalves, B.3
  • 5
    • 77956419343 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modeling the Spatial Spread of Infectious Diseases: The GLobal Epidemic and Mobility Computational Model
    • D. Balcan, B. Goncalves, and H. Hu et al., Modeling the Spatial Spread of Infectious Diseases: The GLobal Epidemic and Mobility Computational Model,J. Comp. Sci. 1, 132 (2010).
    • (2010) J. Comp. Sci. , vol.1 , pp. 132
    • Balcan, D.1    Goncalves, B.2    Hu, H.3
  • 6
    • 76049115282 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Multiscale Mobility Networks and the Spatial Spreading of Infectious Diseases
    • D. Balcan, V. Colizza, and B. Goncalves et al., Multiscale Mobility Networks and the Spatial Spreading of Infectious Diseases, Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U.S.A.
    • (2009) Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U.S.A. , vol.106 , pp. 21484
    • Balcan, D.1    Colizza, V.2    Goncalves, B.3
  • 7
    • 34249883600 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Large-Scale Spatial-Transmission Models of Infectious Disease
    • S. Riley, Large-Scale Spatial-Transmission Models of Infectious Disease, Science 316, 1298 (2007).
    • (2007) Science , vol.316 , pp. 1298
    • Riley, S.1
  • 8
    • 0003677583 scopus 로고
    • Infectious Diseases of Humans
    • Oxford University Press New York
    • R. M. Anderson and R. M. May, Infectious Diseases of Humans (Oxford University Press, New York, 1991).
    • (1991)
    • Anderson, R.M.1    May, R.M.2
  • 9
    • 84865122743 scopus 로고
    • Study of the Diffusion Equation with Growth of the Quantity of Matter and its Application to a Biology Problem, Bull. de l'univ. d'état áMoscou, Sér. internat.
    • sect. A 1, 1 (1937), reprinted in Dynamics of Curved Fronts, edited by P. Pelcéand A. Libchaber (Academic Press, San Diego
    • A. Kolmogorov, I. Petrovsky, and N. Piscounov, Study of the Diffusion Equation with Growth of the Quantity of Matter and its Application to a Biology Problem, Bull. de l'univ. d'état áMoscou, Sér. internat., sect. A 1, 1 (1937), reprinted in Dynamics of Curved Fronts, edited by P. Pelcéand A. Libchaber (Academic Press, San Diego, 1988).
    • (1988)
    • Kolmogorov, A.1    Petrovsky, I.2    Piscounov, N.3
  • 10
    • 0000268135 scopus 로고
    • The Wave of Advance of Advantageous Genes
    • R. A. Fisher, The Wave of Advance of Advantageous Genes, Ann. Eugenics 7, 355 (1937).
    • (1937) Ann. Eugenics , vol.7 , pp. 355
    • Fisher, R.A.1
  • 11
    • 0001552196 scopus 로고
    • The Deterministic Model of a Simple Epidemic for More than One Community
    • S. Rushton and A. J. Mautner, The Deterministic Model of a Simple Epidemic for More than One Community, Biometrika 42, 126 (1955).
    • (1955) Biometrika , vol.42 , pp. 126
    • Rushton, S.1    Mautner, A.J.2
  • 12
    • 3042645187 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Spatial Heterogeneity and the Persistence of the Infectious Diseases
    • T. J. Hagernaas, C. A. Donnelly, and N. M. Ferguson, Spatial Heterogeneity and the Persistence of the Infectious Diseases, J. Theor. Biol. 229, 349 (2004).
    • (2004) J. Theor. Biol. , vol.229 , pp. 349
    • Hagernaas, T.J.1    Donnelly, C.A.2    Ferguson, N.M.3
  • 13
    • 0022394032 scopus 로고
    • A Mathematical Model for the Global Spread of Influenza
    • L. A. Rvachev and I. M. Longini, A Mathematical Model for the Global Spread of Influenza, Math. Biosci. 75, 3 (1985).
    • (1985) Math. Biosci. , vol.75 , pp. 3
    • Rvachev, L.A.1    Longini, I.M.2
  • 14
    • 34047175259 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Reaction-Diffusion Processes and Metapopulation Models in Heterogeneous Networks
    • V. Collizza, R. Pastor-Satorras, and A. Vespignani, Reaction-Diffusion Processes and Metapopulation Models in Heterogeneous Networks, Nature Phys. 3, 276 (2007).
    • (2007) Nature Phys. , vol.3 , pp. 276
    • Collizza, V.1    Pastor-Satorras, R.2    Vespignani, A.3
  • 15
    • 67749145794 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predicting the Behavior of Techno-Social Systems
    • A. Vespignani, Predicting the Behavior of Techno-Social Systems, Science 325, 425 (2009).
    • (2009) Science , vol.325 , pp. 425
    • Vespignani, A.1
  • 18
    • 77149139158 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Limits of Predictability in Human Mobility
    • C. Song, Z. Qu, N. Blumm, and A.-L. Barabási, Limits of Predictability in Human Mobility, Science 327, 1018 (2010).
    • (2010) Science , vol.327 , pp. 1018
    • Song, C.1    Qu, Z.2    Blumm, N.3    Barabási, A.-L.4
  • 19
    • 77957566436 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modelling the Scaling Properties of Human Mobility
    • C. Song, T. Koren, and P. Wang et al., Modelling the Scaling Properties of Human Mobility, Nature Phys. 6, 818 (2010).
    • (2010) Nature Phys. , vol.6 , pp. 818
    • Song, C.1    Koren, T.2    Wang, P.3
  • 20
    • 0028989477 scopus 로고
    • A Structured Epidemic Model Incorporating Geographic Mobility Among Regions
    • L. Sattenspiel and K. Dietz, A Structured Epidemic Model Incorporating Geographic Mobility Among Regions, Math. Biosci. 128, 71 (1995).
    • (1995) Math. Biosci. , vol.128 , pp. 71
    • Sattenspiel, L.1    Dietz, K.2
  • 21
    • 0036168704 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Estimating Spatial Coupling in Epidemiological Systems: A Mechanistic Approach
    • M. J. Keeling and P. Rohani, Estimating Spatial Coupling in Epidemiological Systems: A Mechanistic Approach, Ecol. Lett. 5, 20 (2002).
    • (2002) Ecol. Lett. , vol.5 , pp. 20
    • Keeling, M.J.1    Rohani, P.2
  • 23
    • 33947194769 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Accelerating Random Walks by Disorder
    • V.V. Belik and D. Brockmann, Accelerating Random Walks by Disorder, New J. Phys. 9, 54
    • (2007) New J. Phys. , vol.9 , pp. 54
    • Belik, V.V.1    Brockmann, D.2
  • 24
    • 35148817863 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Invasion Threshold in Heterogeneous Metapopulation Networks
    • V. Colizza and A. Vespignani, Invasion Threshold in Heterogeneous Metapopulation Networks, Phys. Rev. Lett. 99, 148701 (2007).
    • (2007) Phys. Rev. Lett. , vol.99 , pp. 148701
    • Colizza, V.1    Vespignani, A.2
  • 25
    • 23844436610 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Strategies for Containing an Emerging Influenza Pandemic in Southeast Asia
    • N. M. Ferguson, D. A. Cummings, and C. Fraser et al., Strategies for Containing an Emerging Influenza Pandemic in Southeast Asia, Nature (London) 437, 209 (2005).
    • (2005) Nature (London) , vol.437 , pp. 209
    • Ferguson, N.M.1    Cummings, D.A.2    Fraser, C.3
  • 26
    • 84865130429 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • We assume here that individuals return to their base location k before traveling somewhere else. The initial model defined by Eq. (5) allows us to explore more general mobility patterns by relaxing this assumption. However, as long as the individual rates !k nm are dominated by the dynamics that incorporate a base location, propagation speeds do not deviate significantly from the model we investigate here.
    • We assume here that individuals return to their base location k before traveling somewhere else. The initial model defined by Eq. (5) allows us to explore more general mobility patterns by relaxing this assumption. However, as long as the individual rates !k nm are dominated by the dynamics that incorporate a base location, propagation speeds do not deviate significantly from the model we investigate here.


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.