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0012436951
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Creating markets for new vaccines-part I: rationale
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Jaffe AB, Lerner J, Stern S, editors, Cambridge (MA): MIT Press
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Kremer M. Creating markets for new vaccines-part I: rationale. In: Jaffe AB, Lerner J, Stern S, editors. Innovation policy and the economy. Vol. 1. Cambridge (MA): MIT Press; 2001. p. 35-72.
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Innovation policy and the economy
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Kremer, M.1
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84855711959
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To access the Appendix, click on the Appendix link in the box to the right of the article online
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To access the Appendix, click on the Appendix link in the box to the right of the article online.
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3
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20044386968
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Washington (DC): Center for Global Development; 2005 [cited 2011 May 13]. (Report of the Center Advance Market Commitment Working Group). Available from
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Levine R, Kremer M, Albright A. Making markets for vaccines: ideas to action [Internet]. Washington (DC): Center for Global Development; 2005 [cited 2011 May 13]. (Report of the Center Advance Market Commitment Working Group). Available from: http://www.cgdev.org/doc/books/vaccine/MakingMarkets-complete.pdf.
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Making markets for vaccines: ideas to action [Internet]
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Levine, R.1
Kremer, M.2
Albright, A.3
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4
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69949111769
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Burden of disease caused by Streptococcus pneumoniae in children younger than 5 years: global estimates
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O'Brien KL, Wolfson L, Watt JP, Henkle E, Deloria-Knoll M, McCall N, et al. Burden of disease caused by Streptococcus pneumoniae in children younger than 5 years: global estimates. Lancet. 2009;374(9693): 893-902.
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O'Brien, K.L.1
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Watt, J.P.3
Henkle, E.4
Deloria-Knoll, M.5
McCall, N.6
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84855665973
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We computed the proportion of deaths in countries eligible for GAVI's assistance from country-level data from World Health Organization. Geneva: WHO; [last updated 2011 Feb 7; cited 2011 May 13]. Available from
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We computed the proportion of deaths in countries eligible for GAVI's assistance from country-level data from World Health Organization. Estimated Hib and pneumococcal deaths for children under 5 years of age [Internet]. Geneva: WHO; 2011 [last updated 2011 Feb 7; cited 2011 May 13]. Available from: http://www.who.int/immunization_monitoring/burden/Pneumo_hib_estimates/en/index2.html
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GlaxoSmithKline [Internet]. London: GSK. Press release, World Health Organization grants prequalification for global use to GSK's 10-valent Synflorix™ vaccine; Nov 6 [cited 2011 May 13]. Available from
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GlaxoSmithKline [Internet]. London: GSK. Press release, World Health Organization grants prequalification for global use to GSK's 10-valent Synflorix™ vaccine; 2009 Nov 6 [cited 2011 May 13]. Available from: http://www.gsk.com/media/pressreleases/2009/2009_pressrelease_10126.htm
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Wyeth [Internet]. Collegeville (PA): Wyeth. Press release, Wyeth submits marketing application to FDA for its 13-valent vaccine for the prevention of pneumococcal disease in infants and toddlers; Mar 31 [cited 2011 July 13]. Available from
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Wyeth [Internet]. Collegeville (PA): Wyeth. Press release, Wyeth submits marketing application to FDA for its 13-valent vaccine for the prevention of pneumococcal disease in infants and toddlers; 2009 Mar 31 [cited 2011 July 13]. Available from: http://phx.corporate-ir.net/phoenix.zhtml?c=78193&p=irol-newsArticle&ID=1271479&highlight=
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84855711955
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A more detailed model and calibrations are provided in Kremer M, Levin J, Snyder C. Paper presented at: International Industrial Organization Conference; Apr 4; Boston, MA
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A more detailed model and calibrations are provided in Kremer M, Levin J, Snyder C. Designing advanced market commitments for new vaccines. Paper presented at: International Industrial Organization Conference; 2009 Apr 4; Boston, MA.
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(2009)
Designing advanced market commitments for new vaccines
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10
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84855714505
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Accounting for mortality benefits and some reduction in hospitalizations, vaccination with PCV-7 would have a cost-effectiveness ratio of $80 per disability-adjusted life-year, a standard measure of health benefits, assuming Gambian efficacy rates held across countries eligible for GAVI assistance. The assumed cost per dose was around $5.62 (adding the $5 price and the sixty-two-cent midpoint of the range of administration costs considered by the study)
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Accounting for mortality benefits and some reduction in hospitalizations, vaccination with PCV-7 would have a cost-effectiveness ratio of $80 per disability-adjusted life-year, a standard measure of health benefits, assuming Gambian efficacy rates held across countries eligible for GAVI assistance. The assumed cost per dose was around $5.62 (adding the $5 price and the sixty-two-cent midpoint of the range of administration costs considered by the study).
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11
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33846630415
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Costeffectiveness of pneumococcal conjugate vaccination in the prevention of child mortality: an international economic analysis
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See Sinha A, Levine O, Knoll MD, Muhib F, Lieu TA. Costeffectiveness of pneumococcal conjugate vaccination in the prevention of child mortality: an international economic analysis. Lancet. 2007; 369(9559):389-96.
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Sinha, A.1
Levine, O.2
Knoll, M.D.3
Muhib, F.4
Lieu, T.A.5
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12
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0003731907
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To arrive at our final estimate of an $8.50 health benefit from a dose of the vaccine, two additional steps are needed, described in this note and in Note 12. First, if a vaccine that costs $5.62 generates a $80 per disabilityadjusted life-year cost-effectiveness ratio, as the study in Note 10 found, then a vaccine generating a $100 per disability-adjusted life-year costeffectiveness ratio must therefore cost $7.03. We can interpret the $7.03 as a donor's willingness to pay for the vaccine because this costeffectiveness ratio is the threshold for highly cost-effective health interventions. See World Health Organization. Geneva: WHO
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To arrive at our final estimate of an $8.50 health benefit from a dose of the vaccine, two additional steps are needed, described in this note and in Note 12. First, if a vaccine that costs $5.62 generates a $80 per disabilityadjusted life-year cost-effectiveness ratio, as the study in Note 10 found, then a vaccine generating a $100 per disability-adjusted life-year costeffectiveness ratio must therefore cost $7.03. We can interpret the $7.03 as a donor's willingness to pay for the vaccine because this costeffectiveness ratio is the threshold for highly cost-effective health interventions. See World Health Organization. World health report 2002: reducing risks, promoting healthy life. Geneva: WHO; 2002.
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(2002)
World health report 2002: reducing risks, promoting healthy life
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13
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84855714507
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We scaled up the $7.03 willingness to pay by 1.2 times, to account for the greater coverage of PCV-13 relative to PCV-9 in countries eligible for GAVI assistance. Geneva: GAVI Alliance; Oct 18 [cited 2011 Jul 18]
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We scaled up the $7.03 willingness to pay by 1.2 times, to account for the greater coverage of PCV-13 relative to PCV-9 in countries eligible for GAVI assistance. The 1.2 coverage ratio is based on computations from GAVI Alliance, PneumoADIP. Pneumococcal global serotype project: summary report of stage 1/version 1 analysis [Internet]. Geneva: GAVI Alliance; 2007 Oct 18 [cited 2011 Jul 18]. Available from: http://www.preventpneumo.org/pdf/GSP_Summary_for_SAGE_Nov6-8_2007_Oct_19-07.pdf
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The 1.2 coverage ratio is based on computations from GAVI Alliance, PneumoADIP. Pneumococcal global serotype project: summary report of stage 1/version 1 analysis [Internet]
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see, For a theoretical analysis of optimal contracts when firms have private cost information, Cambridge (MA): MIT Press
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For a theoretical analysis applied to vaccines
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Incentivizing innovation: adding to the tool kit
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Lerner J, Stern S, editors. Chicago (IL): University of Chicago Press
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Kremer M, Williams H. Incentivizing innovation: adding to the tool kit. In Lerner J, Stern S, editors. Innovation policy and the economy. Vol. 10. Chicago (IL): University of Chicago Press; 2010. p. 1-17.
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