New Probabilistic forecast models for the prediction of tropical cyclone rapid intensification

Weather and Forecasting

Volumn 26, Issue 5, 2011, Pages 677-689

  Rozoff, Christopher M ^a   Kossin, James P ^a,b  

^a UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN MADISON   (United States)

^b NOAA NATIONAL CLIMATIC DATA CENTER   (United States)

Author keywords

Bayesian methods; Probability forecasts; Satellite observations; Tropical cyclones

Indexed keywords

AXISYMMETRY; BAYESIAN FRAMEWORKS; BAYESIAN METHODS; BAYESIAN PROBABILISTIC MODELS; CROSS VALIDATION; DATA SETS; DYNAMIC ASPECTS; EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC; INDIVIDUAL MODELS; INTENSITY CHANGE; LINEAR DISCRIMINANT ANALYSIS; LOGISTIC REGRESSIONS; NORTH ATLANTIC; OCEAN BASINS; OPTIMAL PREDICTOR; PREDICTION OF TROPICAL CYCLONE; PROBABILISTIC FORECASTS; PROBABILISTIC PREDICTION; PROBABILITY FORECASTS; RAPID INTENSIFICATION; SATELLITE OBSERVATIONS; SKILL SCORE; STATISTICAL HURRICANE INTENSITY PREDICTION SCHEME; TROPICAL CYCLONE; VERTICAL WIND SHEAR;

BAYESIAN NETWORKS; CLIMATOLOGY; DISCRIMINANT ANALYSIS; FORECASTING; HURRICANES; OCEANOGRAPHY; OPTIMIZATION; REGRESSION ANALYSIS; SATELLITES; SHIP TESTING; SHIPS; STATISTICAL TESTS; STORMS; TROPICS;

SHIP MOCKUPS;

BAYESIAN ANALYSIS; CLIMATOLOGY; ENSEMBLE FORECASTING; HURRICANE EVENT; MODEL VALIDATION; NUMERICAL MODEL; OBSERVATIONAL METHOD; OCEAN BASIN; PROBABILITY; REGRESSION ANALYSIS; SATELLITE IMAGERY; TROPICAL CYCLONE; WEATHER FORECASTING;

ATLANTIC OCEAN; ATLANTIC OCEAN (NORTH); PACIFIC OCEAN; PACIFIC OCEAN (NORTH);

EID: 81855161304     PISSN: 08828156     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1175/WAF-D-10-05059.1     Document Type: Article

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