Potential predictability of large-scale atmospheric processes

Izvestiya - Atmospheric and Ocean Physics

Volumn 40, Issue 5, 2004, Pages 513-519

  Dymnikov, V P ^a  

^a INSTITUTE OF NUMERICAL MATHEMATICS   (Russian Federation)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ATMOSPHERIC DYNAMICS; FORECASTING METHOD; PREDICTION; TRAJECTORY;

EID: 8144229631     PISSN: 00014338     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: None     Document Type: Article

References (12)

1. V. Dymnikov and A. N. Filatov, Principles of Mathematical Climate Theory (VINITI, Moscow, 1994) [in Russian].
2. E. C. Zeeman, "Stability of Dynamical Systems," Non-linearity, No. 1, 115-155 (1988).
3. V. I. Klyatskin,Stochastic Equations through the Eyes of a Physicist (Fizmatlit, Moscow, 2001) [in Russian].
4. A. I. Noarov, "Sufficient Condition for the Existence of a Stationary Solution to the Fokker-Planck Equation," Zh. Vych. Mat. Mat. Fiz., No. 5, 587-598 (1997).
5. T. Schneider and S. M. A. Griddies, "Conceptual Framework for Predictability Studies," J. Clim. 12, 3133-3155 (1999).
6. V. P. Dymnikov, "Relationship between the Empirical Orthogonal Components of the Fields of Meteorological Elements and the Eigenfunctions of Dynamic Operators," Izv. Akad. Nauk SSSR, Fiz. Atmos. Okeana 21 (7), 675-683 (1988).
7. S. K. Godunov, Current Aspects of Linear Algebra (Nauchnaya Kniga, Novosibirsk, 1997) [in Russian].
8. A. S. Gritsoun, G. Branstator, and V. Dymnikov, "Construction of the Linear Response Operator of an Atmospheric General Circulation Model to Small External Forcing," Russ. J. Num. Anal. Mat. Model. 17, 399-416 (2002).
9. J. A. Renwick and J. M. Wallace, "Predictable Anomaly Patterns and Forecast Skill of Northern Hemisphere Wintertime 500-mb Height Fields," Mon. Weather Rev. 123, 2114-2131 (1995).
10. L. V. Rukhovets, H. M. van den Dool, and A. G. Barnston, "Most Predictable Structures in Medium-Range Hydrodynamic Forecasts: Principal Component and Singular Decomposition Approaches," Izv. Akad. Nauk, Fiz. Atmos. Okeana 34, 517-527 (1998) [Izv., Atmos. Ocean. Phys. 34, 465-474 (1998)].
11. V. P. Dymnikov, "Predictability of Climatic Changes," Izv. Akad. Nauk, Fiz. Atmos. Okeana 34, 741-751 (1998) [Izv., Atmos. Ocean. Phys. 34, 665-674 (1998)].
12. V. P. Dymnikov and A. S. Gritsoun, "Climate Model Attractors: Chaos, Quasi-Regularity and Sensitivity to Small Perturbation of External Forcing," Nonlinear Proc. Geophys., No. 8, 201-209 (2001).