Temporal variation of extreme precipitation events in Lithuania

Oceanologia

Volumn 53, Issue 1-TI, 2011, Pages 259-277

  Rimkus, Egidijus ^a   Kažys, Justas ^a   Bukantis, Arunas ^a   Krotovas, Aleksandras ^a  

^a VILNIUS UNIVERSITY   (Lithuania)

Author keywords

Atmospheric circulation; CCLM model; Heavy precipitation; Regional modeling

Indexed keywords

ATMOSPHERIC CIRCULATION; CLIMATE MODELING; EXTREME EVENT; PRECIPITATION (CLIMATOLOGY); REGIONAL CLIMATE; SPATIAL DISTRIBUTION; SPATIAL VARIATION; TEMPORAL VARIATION; TREND ANALYSIS;

LITHUANIA;

EID: 81355126637     PISSN: 00783234     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.5697/oc.53-1-TI.259     Document Type: Article

References (37)

1. Avotniece Z., Rodinov V., Lizuma L., Briede A., Kļaviņš M., 2010, Trends in the frequency of extreme climate events in Latvia, Baltica, 23 (2), 135-148.
2. Beniston M., Stephenson D.B., Christensen O.B., Ferro C.A.T., Frei C., Goyette S., Halsnaes K., Holt T., Jylhä K., Koffi B., Palutikoff J., Schöll R., Semmler T., Woth K., 2007, Future extreme events in European climate; an exploration of Regional Climate Model projections, Climatic Change, 81, 71-95, doi: 10.1007/s10584-006-9226-z.
3. Bogdanova E.G., Gavrilova S.Yu., Il'in B.M., 2010, Variation in the number of days with heavy precipitation on the territory of Russia for the period of 1936 -2000, Russ. Meteorol. Hydrol., 35 (5), 344-348.
4. Böhm U., Kücken M., Ahrens W., Block A., Hauffe D., Keuler K., Rockel B., Will A., 2006, CLM - the climate version of LM: brief description and long-term applications, COSMO Newsletter No. 6, 225-235.
5. Bukantis A., Valiuškevičiene L., 2005, Dynamics of extreme air temperature and precipitation and determining factors in Lithuania in the 20th century, The Geographical Yearbook, 38 (1), 6-17, (in Lithuanian).
6. Christensen O.B., Christensen J.H., 2004, Intensification of extreme European summer precipitation in a warmer climate, Global Planet. Change, 44 (1-4), 107-117, doi: 10.1016/j.globlacha.2004.06.013.
7. Coles S., 2001, An introduction to statistical modeling of extreme values, Springer, London, 228 pp.
8. Domms G., Schättler U., 2002, A description of the nonhydrostatic regional model LM. Part I: Dynamics and numerics, Offenbach, Deustcher Wetterdienst, 134 pp., [http://www.cosmo-odel.org/content/model/documentation/core/cosmoDyncsNumcs.pdf].
9. Gerstengarbe F.W., Werner P.C., 2005, Katalog der Grosswetterlagen Europas nach Paul Hess und Helmut Brezowski, (1881-2004), Potsdam Inst. Klimafolgenfors., Potsdam, 153 pp.
10. Groisman P.Ya., Karl T.R., Easterling D.R., Knight R.W., Jamason P. F., Hennessy K. J., Suppiah R., Page C.M., Wibig J., Fortuniak K., Razuvaev V.N., Douglas A., Førland E., Zhai P., 1999, Changes in the probability of heavy precipitation: important indicators of climatic change, Climatic Change, 42 (1), 243-283.
11. Groisman P.Ya., Knight R.W., Easterling D.R., Karl T.R., Hegerl G.C., Razuvaev V.N., 2005, Trends in intense precipitation in the climate record, J. Climate, 18 (9), 1343-1367.
12. Hanel M., Buishand T.A., 2009, A non-stationary index-flood model for precipitation extremes in transient RCM runs, Geophys. Res. Abstr., 11, EGU2009-4346.
13. Haylock M.R., Goodess C.M., 2004, Interannual variability of European extreme winter rainfall and links with mean large-scale circulation, Int. J. Climatol., 24 (6), 759-776, doi: 10.1002/joc.1033.
14. Heino R., Bŕazdil R., Førland E., Tuomenvirta H., Alexandersson H., Beniston M., Pfister C., Rebetez M., Rosenhagen G., Rösner S., Wibig J., 1999, Progress in the study of climatic extremes in Northern and Central Europe, Climatic Change, 42, 151-181.
15. IPCC, 2007, Climate change 2007: The physical science basis, Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, S. Solomon, D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K.B. Averyt, M. Tignor & H. L. Miller (eds.), Cambridge Univ. Press, Cambridge, 996 pp.
16. Jutla A., Flores A., Vogel R., Islam S., 2008, On probability distribution of extreme precipitation events, Geophys. Res. Abstr., 10, EGU2008-A-10258.
17. Kotz S., Nadarajah S., 2000, Extreme value distributions: theory and applications, Imper. Coll. Press, London, 185 pp.
18. Kysely J., Picek J., 2007, Probability estimates of heavy precipitation events in a flood-prone central-European region with enhanced influence of Mediterranean cyclones, Adv. Geosci., 12, 43-50.
19. Libiseller C., 2002, A Program for the Computation of Multivariate and Partial Mann-Kendall Test, Linkoeping Univ., Linkoeping, 18 pp.
20. Lizuma L., Briede A., Klavins M., 2010, Long-term changes of precipitation in Latvia, Hydrol. Res., 41 (3-4), 241-252.
21. Lupikasza E., 2010a, Relationships between occurrence of high precipitation and atmospheric circulation in Poland using different classifications of circulation types, Phys. Chem. Earth., 35 (9-12), 448-455, doi: 10.1016/j.pce.2009.11.012.
22. Lupikasza E., 2010b, Spatial and temporal variability of extreme precipitation in Poland in the period 1951-2006, Int. J. Climatol., 30 (7), 991-1007, doi: 10.1002/joc.150.
23. Mätlika O., Post P., 2008, Synoptic weather types that have caused heavy precipitation in Estonia in the period 1961-2005, Estonian J. Eng., 14 (3), 195-208.
24. Nakicenovic N., Alcamo J., Davis G., de Vries B., Fenhann J., Gaffin S., Gregory K., Grübler A., Jung T.Y., Kram T., La Rovere E.L., Michaelis L., Mori S., Morita T., Pepper W., Pitcher H., Price L., Riahi K., Roehrl A., Rogner H.H., Sankovski A., Schlesinger M., Shukla P., Smith S., Swart R., van Rooijen S., Victor N., Dadi Z., 2000, IPCC Special Report on Emissions Scenarios, Cambridge Univ. Press, Cambridge, 599 pp.
25. Niedźwiedź T., 2003, Extreme precipitation in central Europe and its synoptic background, IGBP Global Change, Warszawa, 10, 15-29.
26. Oke T.R., 1987, Boundary layer climates, Methuen & Co. Ltd, London, 435 pp.
27. Pěciuriene J., 1988, Heavy snowfalls and snowstorms, [in:] Synoptic processes and hazardous weather events in Lithuania and Kaliningrad region, Leningrad, 108-113, (in Russian).
28. Räisänen J., Hansson U., Ullerstig A., Döscher R., Graham L.P., Jones C., Meier M., Samuelsson P., Willén U., 2003, GCM Driven Simulations of Recent and Future Climate with the Rossby Centre Coupled Atmosphere - Baltic Sea Regional Climate Model RCAO, SMHI Rep. RMK 101, Swedish Meteorol. Hydrol. Inst., Norrköping, 60 pp.
29. Räisänen J., Hansson U., Ullerstig A., Döscher R., Graham L.P., Jones C., Meier M., Samuelsson P., Willén U., 2004, European climate in the late 21st century: regional simulations with two driving global models and two forcing scenarios, Clim. Dynam., 22 (1), 13-31.
30. Rimkus E., Kažys J., Junevičiute J., Stonevičius E., 2007, Climate change predictions for the 21st century in Lithuania, Geography, 43 (2), 37-47, (in Lithuanian).
31. Roesch A., Jaeger E.B., Lüthi D., Seneviratne S. I., 2008, Analysis of CCLM model biases in relation to intra-ensemble model variability, Meteorol. Z., 17 (4), 369-382.
32. Steppeler J., Domms G., Schättler U., Bitzer H.W., Gassmann A., Damrath U., Gregoric G., 2003, Mesogamma scale forecasts using the nonhydrostatic model LM, Meteorol. Atmos. Phys., 82 (1-4), 75-96, doi: 10.1007/s007803-001-0592-9.
33. Tammets T., 2007, Distribution of extreme wet and dry days in Estonia in last 50 years, Proc. Estonian Acad. Sci. Eng., 13 (3), 252-259.
34. Tammets T., 2010, Estimation of extreme wet and dry days through moving totals in precipitation time series and some possibilities for their consideration in agrometeorological studies, Agron. Res., 8 (Spec. Iss. II), 433-438.
35. Top Karten Kartenarchiv, 2010, Wetterzentrale, Germany, [http://www.wetterzentrale.de/topkarten].
36. Tyliene J., 1988, Heavy rains and conditions of their formation, [in:] Synoptic processes and hazardous weather events in Lithuania and Kaliningrad region, Leningrad, 102-107, (in Russian).
37. Wang J., Zhang X., 2008, Downscaling and projection of winter extreme daily precipitation over North America, J. Climate, 21 (5), 923-937.