메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 37, Issue 1, 2012, Pages 41-57

Scenarios of the organic food market in europe

Author keywords

Network analysis; Organic food market; Scenario analysis; Uncertainty

Indexed keywords

DECISION MAKING; FOOD MARKET; FOOD POLICY; NETWORK ANALYSIS; POLICY ANALYSIS; POLICY MAKING; UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS;

EID: 81155144522     PISSN: 03069192     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.foodpol.2011.10.003     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (37)

References (69)
  • 2
    • 0010770811 scopus 로고
    • The effect of group interaction processes on performance in time-series extrapolation
    • Ang S., O'Connor M. The effect of group interaction processes on performance in time-series extrapolation. International Journal of Forecasting 1991, 7:141-149.
    • (1991) International Journal of Forecasting , vol.7 , pp. 141-149
    • Ang, S.1    O'Connor, M.2
  • 3
    • 34247780311 scopus 로고
    • The dynamics of volunteer participation in futures research
    • Athey T.R. The dynamics of volunteer participation in futures research. Futures 1987, 19(2):168-183.
    • (1987) Futures , vol.19 , Issue.2 , pp. 168-183
    • Athey, T.R.1
  • 6
    • 84990365387 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Cognitive barriers in the scenario development process
    • Bradfield R.M. Cognitive barriers in the scenario development process. Advances in Developing Human Resources 2008, 10:197-215.
    • (2008) Advances in Developing Human Resources , vol.10 , pp. 197-215
    • Bradfield, R.M.1
  • 7
    • 84855265025 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Green Technological Foresight on Environmentally Friendly Agriculture 2024 EFMN Forsight Brief No. 13.
    • Broch, K., 2004. Green Technological Foresight on Environmentally Friendly Agriculture 2024 EFMN Forsight Brief No. 13. http://www.efmn.info.
    • (2004)
    • Broch, K.1
  • 9
    • 33947574998 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Combining top-down and bottom-up modelling approaches of land use/cover change to support public policies: application to sustainable management of natural resources in northern Vietna
    • Castella, J.-C., Kam, S.P., Quang, D.D., Verburg, P.H., Hoanh, C.T., 2007. Combining top-down and bottom-up modelling approaches of land use/cover change to support public policies: application to sustainable management of natural resources in northern Vietna 24, 531-545.
    • (2007) , vol.24 , pp. 531-545
    • Castella, J.-C.1    Kam, S.P.2    Quang, D.D.3    Verburg, P.H.4    Hoanh, C.T.5
  • 10
    • 84855265026 scopus 로고
    • How to choose the right forecasting technique. Harvard Business Review July-August
    • Chambers, J.D., Satindev, K.M., Donald, D.S., 1971. How to choose the right forecasting technique. Harvard Business Review July-August, 45-74.
    • (1971) , pp. 45-74
    • Chambers, J.D.1    Satindev, K.M.2    Donald, D.S.3
  • 11
    • 34548018515 scopus 로고
    • A typology for scenarios
    • Ducot C., Lubben H.J. A typology for scenarios. Futures 1980, 12(1):15-57.
    • (1980) Futures , vol.12 , Issue.1 , pp. 15-57
    • Ducot, C.1    Lubben, H.J.2
  • 12
    • 33947532083 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Economic and ecological consequences of four European land use scenarios
    • Eickhout B., van Meijl H., Tabeau A., van Rheenen T. Economic and ecological consequences of four European land use scenarios. Land Use Policy 2007, 24:562-575.
    • (2007) Land Use Policy , vol.24 , pp. 562-575
    • Eickhout, B.1    van Meijl, H.2    Tabeau, A.3    van Rheenen, T.4
  • 13
    • 84855273882 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • European Commission (EC), 2007a. FFRAF Report: Foresighting Food, Rural and Agri-Futures.
    • European Commission (EC), 2007a. FFRAF Report: Foresighting Food, Rural and Agri-Futures. http://ec.europa.eu/research/agriculture/scar/pdf/foresighting_food_rural_and_agri_futures.pdf.
  • 14
    • 84855296528 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • European Commission (EC), 2007b. Scenar 2020 - Scenario Study on Agriculture and the Rural World.
    • European Commission (EC), 2007b. Scenar 2020 - Scenario Study on Agriculture and the Rural World. http://ec.europa.eu/agriculture/publi/reports/scenar2020/index_en.htm.
  • 15
    • 84855284338 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • European Environment Agency (EEA), Cloudy Crystal Balls: An assessment of Recent European and Global Scenario Studies and Model. Environmental Issues Series 17.
    • European Environment Agency (EEA), 2000. Cloudy Crystal Balls: An assessment of Recent European and Global Scenario Studies and Model. Environmental Issues Series 17. http://www.eea.europa.eu/publications/Environmental_issues_series_17/envissue17.pdf.
    • (2000)
  • 16
    • 84855296529 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • European Environment Agency (EEA), PRELUDE. Prospective Environmental Analysis of Land Use Developments in Europe.
    • European Environment Agency (EEA), 2006. PRELUDE. Prospective Environmental Analysis of Land Use Developments in Europe. http://www.eea.europa.eu/prelude.
    • (2006)
  • 17
    • 84855284339 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • European Environment Agency (EEA), Land-Use Scenarios for Europe: Qualitative and Quantitative Analysis on a European Scale. EEA Technical Report No. 9/2007.
    • European Environment Agency (EEA), 2007. Land-Use Scenarios for Europe: Qualitative and Quantitative Analysis on a European Scale. EEA Technical Report No. 9/2007. http://www.eea.europa.eu/publications/technical_report_2007_9.
    • (2007)
  • 19
    • 79551610675 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Exploiting qualitative information for decision support
    • Gambelli D., Vairo D., Zanoli R. Exploiting qualitative information for decision support. Journal of Decision Systems 2010, 19(4):407-422.
    • (2010) Journal of Decision Systems , vol.19 , Issue.4 , pp. 407-422
    • Gambelli, D.1    Vairo, D.2    Zanoli, R.3
  • 21
    • 84855273883 scopus 로고
    • Manager's Guide to Forecasting. Harvard Business Review January-February
    • Georgoff, D.M., Murdick, R.G., 1986. Manager's Guide to Forecasting. Harvard Business Review January-February, 110-120.
    • (1986) , pp. 110-120
    • Georgoff, D.M.1    Murdick, R.G.2
  • 23
    • 0019621449 scopus 로고
    • Reassessment of cross-impact analysis
    • Helmer O. Reassessment of cross-impact analysis. Futures 1981, 13(5):389-400.
    • (1981) Futures , vol.13 , Issue.5 , pp. 389-400
    • Helmer, O.1
  • 25
    • 84855265024 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • IPCC, Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES).
    • IPCC, 2002. Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES). http://www.grida.no/climate/ipcc/emission/index.htm.
    • (2002)
  • 26
    • 84855296522 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • CREWS: towards systematic usage of scenarios, use cases and scenes. CREWS Report 99-02. In: Proc. 4 Internationale Tagung Wirtschaftsinformatik (WI'99). Saarbrücken
    • Jarke, M., 1999. CREWS: towards systematic usage of scenarios, use cases and scenes. CREWS Report 99-02. In: Proc. 4 Internationale Tagung Wirtschaftsinformatik (WI'99). Saarbrücken, pp. 469-486.
    • (1999) , pp. 469-486
    • Jarke, M.1
  • 27
    • 84984499960 scopus 로고
    • Inferential processes in the construction of scenarios
    • Jungermann H. Inferential processes in the construction of scenarios. Journal of Forecasting 1985, 4:321-327.
    • (1985) Journal of Forecasting , vol.4 , pp. 321-327
    • Jungermann, H.1
  • 29
    • 84855284329 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The Organic Food Market. Working Paper. The Strategic Marketing Institute. Michigan State University, East Lansing.
    • Knudson, W.A., 2007. The Organic Food Market. Working Paper. The Strategic Marketing Institute. Michigan State University, East Lansing.
    • (2007)
    • Knudson, W.A.1
  • 32
  • 33
    • 70349971614 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Introduction to decision making and planning under low levels of predictability
    • Makridakis S., Taleb N. Introduction to decision making and planning under low levels of predictability. International Journal of Forecasting 2009, 25:716-733.
    • (2009) International Journal of Forecasting , vol.25 , pp. 716-733
    • Makridakis, S.1    Taleb, N.2
  • 35
    • 84855296524 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Agriculture in the UK - its Role and Challenge. Paper Prepared for the Food Chain and Crops for Industry Panel, Foresight 1999-2002, United Kingdom.
    • Marsh, J.,2001. Agriculture in the UK - its Role and Challenge. Paper Prepared for the Food Chain and Crops for Industry Panel, Foresight 1999-2002, United Kingdom.
    • (2001)
    • Marsh, J.1
  • 37
    • 84855284332 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Millennium Ecosystem Assessment (MEA), Ecosystems and Human Well-Being: Scenarios - Findings of the Scenarios Working Group. Island Press, Washington DC.
    • Millennium Ecosystem Assessment (MEA), 2006. Ecosystems and Human Well-Being: Scenarios - Findings of the Scenarios Working Group. Island Press, Washington DC.
    • (2006)
  • 38
    • 0002181563 scopus 로고
    • How scenarios trigger strategic thinking
    • Millet S.M. How scenarios trigger strategic thinking. Long Range Planning 1988, 21(5):61-68.
    • (1988) Long Range Planning , vol.21 , Issue.5 , pp. 61-68
    • Millet, S.M.1
  • 39
    • 70349949639 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • System economics: overcoming the pitfalls of forecasting models via a multidisciplinary approach
    • Orrel D., McSharry P. System economics: overcoming the pitfalls of forecasting models via a multidisciplinary approach. International Journal of Forecasting 2009, 25:734-743.
    • (2009) International Journal of Forecasting , vol.25 , pp. 734-743
    • Orrel, D.1    McSharry, P.2
  • 40
    • 79953055280 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Environmental evaluation of three alternative futures for organic dairy in Denmark
    • Oudshoorn F.W., Sørensen C.G., de Boer I.J.M. Environmental evaluation of three alternative futures for organic dairy in Denmark. Agronomy Research 2009, 7:691-705.
    • (2009) Agronomy Research , vol.7 , pp. 691-705
    • Oudshoorn, F.W.1    Sørensen, C.G.2    de Boer, I.J.M.3
  • 41
    • 33947491465 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Comparison of a deductive and an inductive approach to specify land suitability in a spatially explicit land use model
    • Overmars K.P., Verburg P.H., Veldkamp A. Comparison of a deductive and an inductive approach to specify land suitability in a spatially explicit land use model. Land Use Policy 2007, 24:584-599.
    • (2007) Land Use Policy , vol.24 , pp. 584-599
    • Overmars, K.P.1    Verburg, P.H.2    Veldkamp, A.3
  • 42
    • 33947503309 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Participatory scenario construction in land use analysis. An insight into the experiences created by stakeholder involvement in the Northern Mediterranean
    • Patel M., Kok K., Rothman D.S. Participatory scenario construction in land use analysis. An insight into the experiences created by stakeholder involvement in the Northern Mediterranean. Land Use Policy 2007, 27:546-561.
    • (2007) Land Use Policy , vol.27 , pp. 546-561
    • Patel, M.1    Kok, K.2    Rothman, D.S.3
  • 46
    • 84855265019 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Scenario Management International (ScMI), 2006. Wie wir essen werden. Szenarien und Perspektiven der rnährung in Deutschland. ScMI, Paderborn.
    • Scenario Management International (ScMI), 2006. Wie wir essen werden. Szenarien und Perspektiven der rnährung in Deutschland. ScMI, Paderborn.
    • (2006)
  • 47
    • 0001237471 scopus 로고
    • How to develop and use scenarios
    • Schnaars S.P. How to develop and use scenarios. Long Range Planning 1987, 20(1):105-114.
    • (1987) Long Range Planning , vol.20 , Issue.1 , pp. 105-114
    • Schnaars, S.P.1
  • 49
    • 0000903399 scopus 로고
    • An examination of group process in judgmental forecasting
    • Sniezek A. An examination of group process in judgmental forecasting. International Journal of Forecasting 1989, 5:171-178.
    • (1989) International Journal of Forecasting , vol.5 , pp. 171-178
    • Sniezek, A.1
  • 50
    • 0002336283 scopus 로고
    • A comparison of techniques for judgmental forecasting by groups with common information
    • Sniezek A. A comparison of techniques for judgmental forecasting by groups with common information. Group & Organization Studies 1990, 15:5-19.
    • (1990) Group & Organization Studies , vol.15 , pp. 5-19
    • Sniezek, A.1
  • 52
    • 0039739873 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Level of market development and intensity of organic food consumption: cross-cultural study of Danish and New Zealand consumers
    • Squires L., Juric B., Cornwell T.B. Level of market development and intensity of organic food consumption: cross-cultural study of Danish and New Zealand consumers. Journal of Consumer Marketing 2001, 18(5):392-409.
    • (2001) Journal of Consumer Marketing , vol.18 , Issue.5 , pp. 392-409
    • Squires, L.1    Juric, B.2    Cornwell, T.B.3
  • 53
    • 84855265021 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Sustainable Pig Production in the Future - Development and Evaluation of Different Scenarios. Report FOOD 21 No. 5.
    • Stern, S., Sonesson, U., Gunnarson, S., Kumm, K. öborn, I., Nybrant, T., 2005. Sustainable Pig Production in the Future - Development and Evaluation of Different Scenarios. Report FOOD 21 No. 5. http://www-mat21.slu.se/eng/.
    • (2005)
    • Stern, S.1    Sonesson, U.2    Gunnarson, S.3    Kumm, K.4    öborn, I.5    Nybrant, T.6
  • 55
    • 84855265020 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP), Global Environment Outlook 3: Past, Present and Future Perspectives.
    • United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP), 2009. Global Environment Outlook 3: Past, Present and Future Perspectives. http://www.unep.org/geo/geo3.
    • (2009)
  • 56
    • 84855284328 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • United Nations Industrial Development Organization (UNIDO), Technology Foresight Manual, UNIDO, Vienna.
    • United Nations Industrial Development Organization (UNIDO), 2005. Technology Foresight Manual, vol. 2. UNIDO, Vienna.
    • (2005) , vol.2
  • 57
    • 72949102867 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Policies supporting organic food and farming in the EU: assessment and development by stakeholders in 11 European countries
    • Vairo D., Häring A.M., Dabbert S., Zanoli R. Policies supporting organic food and farming in the EU: assessment and development by stakeholders in 11 European countries. Journal of International Food and Agribusiness Marketing 2009, 21:214-217.
    • (2009) Journal of International Food and Agribusiness Marketing , vol.21 , pp. 214-217
    • Vairo, D.1    Häring, A.M.2    Dabbert, S.3    Zanoli, R.4
  • 61
    • 33947517027 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modelling the impact of land cover changes in the Czech Republic on sediment delivery
    • van Rompaey A., Krasa J., Dostal T. Modelling the impact of land cover changes in the Czech Republic on sediment delivery. Land Use Policy 2007, 24:576-583.
    • (2007) Land Use Policy , vol.24 , pp. 576-583
    • van Rompaey, A.1    Krasa, J.2    Dostal, T.3
  • 63
    • 84855273879 scopus 로고
    • Social Network Analysis: Methods and Applications. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
    • Wassermann, S., Faust, K., 1994. Social Network Analysis: Methods and Applications. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge. pp. 833.
    • (1994) , pp. 833
    • Wassermann, S.1    Faust, K.2
  • 64
    • 84855279962 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • (Eds.), The World of Organic Agriculture. Statistics and Emerging Trends. FiBL-IFOAM Report. IFOAM, Bonn and FiBL, Frick.
    • Willer, H., Kilcher, L., (Eds.), 2011. The World of Organic Agriculture. Statistics and Emerging Trends. FiBL-IFOAM Report. IFOAM, Bonn and FiBL, Frick. pp. 286.
    • (2011) , pp. 286
    • Willer, H.1    Kilcher, L.2
  • 65
    • 84855284330 scopus 로고
    • World Resources Report, Ground for Choices: Four Perspectives for the Rural Areas in the European Community. Sdu Uitgevers, The Hague.
    • World Resources Report, 1992. Ground for Choices: Four Perspectives for the Rural Areas in the European Community. Sdu Uitgevers, The Hague.
    • (1992)
  • 66
    • 70349947934 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Decision making and planning under low levels of predictability: enhancing the scenario method
    • Wright G., Goodwin P. Decision making and planning under low levels of predictability: enhancing the scenario method. International Journal of Forecasting 2009, 25:813-825.
    • (2009) International Journal of Forecasting , vol.25 , pp. 813-825
    • Wright, G.1    Goodwin, P.2
  • 67
    • 34948858128 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The European consumer and organic food. Organic Marketing Initiatives and Rural Development series, University of Wales, Aberystwyth.
    • Zanoli, R., 2004. The European consumer and organic food. Organic Marketing Initiatives and Rural Development series, vol. 4. University of Wales, Aberystwyth. pp. 175.
    • (2004) , vol.4 , pp. 175
    • Zanoli, R.1
  • 68
    • 84855292454 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Organic farming in Europe by 2010: scenarios for the future. Organic Farming in Europe: Economics and Policy, University of Hohenheim, Hohenheim.
    • Zanoli, R., Gambelli, D., Vairo, D., 2000a. Organic farming in Europe by 2010: scenarios for the future. Organic Farming in Europe: Economics and Policy, vol. 8. University of Hohenheim, Hohenheim. pp. 87.
    • (2000) , vol.8 , pp. 87
    • Zanoli, R.1    Gambelli, D.2    Vairo, D.3
  • 69
    • 77956019900 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Sistemi fuzzy rule-based e analisi di scenario. Un'applicazione al caso dell'agricoltura biologica
    • Zanoli R., Gambelli D., Vairo D. Sistemi fuzzy rule-based e analisi di scenario. Un'applicazione al caso dell'agricoltura biologica. Rivista di Economia Agraria 2000, 1:31-72.
    • (2000) Rivista di Economia Agraria , vol.1 , pp. 31-72
    • Zanoli, R.1    Gambelli, D.2    Vairo, D.3


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.