Effects of recent warm and cold spells on European plant phenology

International Journal of Biometeorology

Volumn 55, Issue 6, 2011, Pages 921-932

  Menzel, Annette ^a   Seifert, Holm ^a   Estrella, Nicole ^a  

^a TECHNICAL UNIVERSITY OF MUNICH   (Germany)

Author keywords

Climate change; Extreme events; Heat waves; Temperature response

Indexed keywords

ARTICLE; CEREAL; CLIMATE CHANGE; ECOSYSTEM; ENVIRONMENTAL MONITORING; EUROPE; FLOWER; GROWTH, DEVELOPMENT AND AGING; MALUS; METHODOLOGY; PHYSIOLOGY; SEASON; TEMPERATURE; TIME;

CEREALS; CLIMATE CHANGE; ECOSYSTEM; ENVIRONMENTAL MONITORING; EUROPE; FLOWERS; MALUS; SEASONS; TEMPERATURE; TIME FACTORS;

MALUS X DOMESTICA;

EID: 80955158804     PISSN: 00207128     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s00484-011-0466-x     Document Type: Article

References (47)

1. Beniston M (2005) Warm winter spells in the Swiss Alps: Strong heat waves in a cold season? A study focusing on climate observations at the Saentis high mountain site. Geophys Res Lett 32: L01812.
2. Beniston M (2009) Decadal-scale changes in the tails of probability distribution functions of climate variables in Switzerland. Int J Climatol 29(10): 1362-1368.
3. Chau PH, Chan KC, Woo J (2009) Hot weather warning might help to reduce elderly mortality in Hong Kong. Int J Biometeorol 53(5): 461-468.
4. Chmielewski FM, Rötzer T (2001) Response of phenology to climate change across Europe. Agric For Meteorol 108: 101-112.
5. Chuine I, Yiou P, Viovy N et al (2004) Historical phenology: Grape ripening as a past climate indicator. Nature 432(7015): 289-290.
6. Cleland EE, Chuine I, Menzel A et al (2007) Shifting plant phenology in response to global change. Trends Ecol Evol 22: 357-365.
7. Easterling DR, Meehl GA, Parmesan C et al (2000) Climate extremes: observations, modeling, and impact. Science 289: 2068-2074.
8. Estrella N, Sparks TH, Menzel A (2007) Trends and temperature response in the phenology of crops in Germany. Glob Change Biol 13(8): 1737-1747.
9. Garcia-Herrera R, Diaz J, Ttrigo RM et al (2010) A review of the European Summer Heat Wave of 2003. Critical Rev Environ Sci Technol 40(4): 267-306.
10. Horton EB, Folland CK, Parker DE (2001) The changing incidence of extremes in worldwide and central England temperatures to the end of the twentieth century. Clim Change 50: 267-295.
11. Huynen MMTE, Martens P, Schram D et al (2001) The impact of heat waves and cold spells on mortality rates in the Dutch population. Environ Health Perspect 109(5): 463-470.
12. Jentsch A, Kreyling J, Beierkuhnlein C (2007) A new generation of climate change experiments: events not trends. Frontiers Ecol Environ 5(7): 365-374.
13. Jentsch A, Kreyling J, Böttcher-Treschkow J et al (2009) Beyond gradual warming - extreme weather events alter flower phenology of European grassland and heath species. Glob Change Biol 5(4): 837-849.
14. Jones PD, Horton EB, Folland CK et al (1999) The use of indices to identify changes in climatic extremes. Clim Change 42: 131-149.
15. Katz RW (2010) Statistics of extremes in climate change. Clim Change 100: 71-76.
16. Keenan DJ (2007) Grape harvest dates are poor indicators of summer warmth. Theor Appl Climatol 87(1-4): 255-256.
17. Kioutsioukis I, Melas D, Zerefos C (2010) Statistical assessment of changes in climate extremes over Greece (1955-2002). Int J Climatol 30(11): 1723-1737.
18. Klein Tank AMG, Zwiers FW, Zhang X (2009) Climate Data and Monitoring: Guidelines on Analysis of extremes in a changing climate in support of informed decisions for adaptation. WCDMP-No. 72, WMO-TD No. 1500.
19. Luterbacher J, Liniger MA, Menzel A et al (2007) Exceptional European warmth of autumn 2006 and winter 2007: Historical context, the underlying dynamics, and its phenological impacts. Geophys Res Lett 34(12): L12704.
20. Matsumoto K, Ohta T, Irasawa M et al (2003) Climate change and extension of the Ginkgo biloba L. growing season in Japan. Glob Change Biol 9(11): 1634-1642.
21. McCalla RJ, Day EED, Millward HA (1978) The relative concept of warm and cold spells of temperature: methodology and application. Arch Met Geoph Biokl, Ser B 25: 323-336.
22. Menzel A (2003) Plant phenological anomalies in Germany and their relation to air temperature and NAO. Clim Change 57(3): 243-263.
23. Menzel A (2005) A 500 year pheno-climatological view on the 2003 heatwave in Europe assessed by grape harvest dates. Meteorol Z 14(1): 75-77.
24. Menzel A, Fabian P (1999) Growing season extended in Europe. Nature 397: 659.
25. Menzel A, Sparks TH, Estrella N et al (2005) 'SSW to NNE' - NAO affects the progress of seasons across Europe. Glob Change Biol 11(6): 909-918.
26. Menzel A, Sparks TH, Estrella N et al (2006a) European phenological response to climate change matches the warming pattern. Change Biol 12: 1969-1976.
27. Menzel A, Von Vopelius J, Estrella N et al (2006b) Farmers' annual activities are not tracking the speed of climate change. Clim Res 32: 201-207.
28. Nielsen CCN, Rasmussen HN (2009) Frost hardening and dehardening in Abies procera and other conifers under differing temperature regimes and warm-spell treatments. Forestry 82(1): 43-59.
29. Parmesan C, Root TL, Willig MR (2000) Impacts of extreme weather and climate on terrestrial biota. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 81(3): 443-450.
30. Parmesan C, Yohe G (2003) A globally coherent fingerprint of climate change impacts across natural systems. Nature 421: 37-42.
31. Parmesan C (2006) Ecological and evolutionary responses to recent climate change. Annu Rev Ecol Evol Syst 37: 637-669.
32. Parry ML, Canziani OF, Palutikof JP (Eds) et al. (2007) IPCC 2007: Summary for Policymakers. In: Climate Change 2007: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, pp -22.
33. Root TL, Price JT, Hall KR et al (2003) Fingerprints of global warming on wild animals and plants. Nature 421: 57-60.
34. Rosenzweig C, Casassa G, Karoly D et al (2007) Assessment of observed changes in responses in natural and managed systems. In: Parry ML, Canziani OF, Palutikof Jp et al (eds) Climate Change 2007: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp 79-131.
35. Rosenzweig C, Karoly D, Vicarelli M et al (2008) Attributing physical and biological impacts to anthropogenic climate change. Nature 453: 353-357.
36. Rötzer T, Chmielewski FM (2001) Phenological maps of Europe. Clim Res 18: 249-257.
37. Rutishauser T, Luterbacher J, Defila C et al (2008) Swiss spring plant phenology 2007: extremes, a multi-century perspective, and changes in temperature sensitivity. Geophys Res Lett 35: L05703.
38. Satyamurty P, Teixeira MD, Padilha CK (2007) Warm and dry spells (WDS) in austral winter over central South America. Ann Geophys 25(5): 1049-1069.
39. Schnelle F (1965) Beiträge zur Phänologie Europas I. 5 Mittelwertskarten, Erstfrühling bis Herbst. Berichte des Deutschen Wetterdienstes Nr. 101 (Band 14), Offenbach am Main, Selbstverlag des Deutschen Wetterdienstes.
40. Schwartz MD (Ed) (2003) Phenology - an Integrative Environmental Science. Kluwer, Dordrecht.
41. Shabbar A, Bonsal B (2003) An assessment of changes in winter cold and warm spells over Canada. Nat Hazards 29(2): 173-188.
42. Sparks TH, Jeffree EP, Jeffree CE (2000) An examination on the relationship between flowering times and temperature at the national scale using long-term phenological records from the UK. Int J Biometeorol 44: 82-87.
43. Sparks TH, Menzel A (2002) Observed changes in seasons: an overview. Int J Climatol 22: 1715-1725.
44. Trenberth KE, Jones PD, Ambenje P et al. (2007) Observations: Surface and Atmospheric Climate Change. In: Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Solomon, S., D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K. B. Averyt, M. Tignor and H. L. Miller (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
45. Walther GR (2004) Plants in a warmer world. Perspect Plant Ecol Evol Syst 6(3): 169-185.
46. Walther GR, Post E, Convey P et al (2002) Ecological responses to recent climate change. Nature 416: 389-395.
47. Zimmermann NE, Yoccoz NG, Edwards TC et al. (2009) Climatic extremes improve predictions of spatial patterns of tree species. PNAS 17(106, suppl 2): 19723-19728.