메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 24, Issue 20, 2011, Pages 5257-5274

Evaluation of IPCC models' performance in simulating late-Twentieth-Century climatologies and weather patterns over North America

Author keywords

General circulation models; Model evaluation performance

Indexed keywords

ANNUAL CYCLE; ANOMALY PATTERNS; CANADIAN CENTRE FOR CLIMATE MODELLING AND ANALYSIS; CLIMATE VARIABLES; COMMUNITY CLIMATE SYSTEM MODEL; COUPLED GENERAL CIRCULATION MODELS; DOMAIN SIZE; EVALUATION MEASURES; EVALUATION METRICS; GENERAL CIRCULATION MODEL; GLOBAL CLIMATE MODEL; HIGH RESOLUTION; INTERANNUAL VARIABILITY; INTERDISCIPLINARY RESEARCH; INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGES; MAX PLANCK INSTITUTE; METEOROLOGICAL RESEARCH INSTITUTES; MODEL EVALUATION/PERFORMANCE; MODEL OUTPUTS; MODEL PERFORMANCE; MODEL SKILL; NORTH AMERICAN; OCEAN MODEL; REANALYSIS; RELATIVE PERFORMANCE; ROOT-MEAN SQUARE ERRORS; SEA LEVEL PRESSURE; UNIFIED MODEL; VARIANCE RATIO; WEATHER PATTERNS;

EID: 80755182295     PISSN: 08948755     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00011.1     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (63)

References (46)
  • 1
    • 0345476309 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Hierarchical clustering of self-organizing maps for cloud classification
    • Ambroise, C., G. Seze, F. Badran, and S. Thiria, 2000: Hierarchical clustering of self-organizing maps for cloud classification. Neurocomputing, 30, 47-52.
    • (2000) Neurocomputing , vol.30 , pp. 47-52
    • Ambroise, C.1    Seze, G.2    Badran, F.3    Thiria, S.4
  • 2
    • 67449139086 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Changes of glaciers and climate in northwestern North America during the late twentieth century
    • Arendt, A., J. Walsh, and W. Harrison, 2009: Changes of glaciers and climate in northwestern North America during the late twentieth century. J. Climate, 22, 4117-4134.
    • (2009) J. Climate , vol.22 , pp. 4117-4134
    • Arendt, A.1    Walsh, J.2    Harrison, W.3
  • 3
    • 39749104112 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Human-induced changes in the hydrology of thewesternUnited States
    • Barnett, T. P., and Coauthors, 2008: Human-induced changes in the hydrology of thewesternUnited States. Science, 319, 1080-1083.
    • (2008) Science , vol.319 , pp. 1080-1083
    • Barnett, T.P.1
  • 4
    • 0033226282 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Interannual to decadal variability in climate and the glacier mass balance in Washington, western Canada, and Alaska
    • Bitz, C. C., and D. S. Battisti, 1999: Interannual to decadal variability in climate and the glacier mass balance in Washington, western Canada, and Alaska. J. Climate, 12, 3181-3196.
    • (1999) J. Climate , vol.12 , pp. 3181-3196
    • Bitz, C.C.1    Battisti, D.S.2
  • 5
    • 48749119593 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Significance of model credibility in estimating climate projection distributions for regional hydroclimatological risk assessments
    • Brekke, L. D., M. D. Dettinger, E. P. Maurer, and M. Anderson, 2008: Significance of model credibility in estimating climate projection distributions for regional hydroclimatological risk assessments. Climatic Change, 89, 371-394.
    • (2008) Climatic Change , vol.89 , pp. 371-394
    • Brekke, L.D.1    Dettinger, M.D.2    Maurer, E.P.3    Anderson, M.4
  • 6
    • 0033939783 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Using self-organizing maps to investigate extreme climate events: An application to wintertime precipitation in the Balkans
    • Cavazos, T., 2000: Using self-organizing maps to investigate extreme climate events: An application to wintertime precipitation in the Balkans. J. Climate, 13, 1718-1732.
    • (2000) J. Climate , vol.13 , pp. 1718-1732
    • Cavazos, T.1
  • 7
    • 7744241297 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Present and future surface climate in the western U.S. as simulated by 15 global climate models
    • Coquard, J., P. B. Duffy, and K. E. Taylor, 2004: Present and future surface climate in the western U.S. as simulated by 15 global climate models. Climate Dyn., 23, 455-472.
    • (2004) Climate Dyn , vol.23 , pp. 455-472
    • Coquard, J.1    Duffy, P.B.2    Taylor, K.E.3
  • 8
    • 34547201244 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • From climate change spaghetti to climatechange distributions for 21st century California
    • Dettinger, M. D., 2005: From climate change spaghetti to climatechange distributions for 21st century California. San Francisco Estuary Watershed Sci., 3, 1-14.
    • (2005) San Francisco Estuary Watershed Sci , vol.3 , pp. 1-14
    • Dettinger, M.D.1
  • 9
    • 23744463827 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Anovel scheme to derive optimized circulation pattern classifications for downscaling and forecast purposes
    • Enke,W., F. Schneider, and T.Deuschländer, 2005:Anovel scheme to derive optimized circulation pattern classifications for downscaling and forecast purposes. Theor. Appl. Climatol., 82, 51-63.
    • (2005) Theor. Appl. Climatol , vol.82 , pp. 51-63
    • Enke, W.1    Schneider, F.2    Deuschländer, T.3
  • 10
    • 69849088694 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Synoptically forced hydroclimatology of major Arctic watersheds in general circulation models. Part 1: The Mackenzie River Basin
    • Finnis, J., J. Cassano,M. Holland, M. Serreze, and P. Uotilla, 2008: Synoptically forced hydroclimatology of major Arctic watersheds in general circulation models. Part 1: The Mackenzie River Basin. Int. J. Climatol., 29 (9), 1226-1243.
    • (2008) Int. J. Climatol , vol.29 , Issue.9 , pp. 1226-1243
    • Finnis, J.1    Cassano, J.2    Holland, M.3    Serreze, M.4    Uotilla, P.5
  • 11
    • 49249113376 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Performance metrics for climate models
    • doi:10.1029/2007JD008972
    • Gleckler, P. J., K. E. Taylor, and C. Doutriaux, 2008: Performance metrics for climate models. J. Geophys. Res., 113, L06711, doi:10.1029/2007JD008972.
    • (2008) J. Geophys. Res , vol.113
    • Gleckler, P.J.1    Taylor, K.E.2    Doutriaux, C.3
  • 13
    • 0037044030 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Self-organizing maps: Applications to synoptic climatology
    • Hewitson, B. C., and R. G. Crane, 2002: Self-organizing maps: Applications to synoptic climatology. Climate Res., 22, 13-26.
    • (2002) Climate Res , vol.22 , pp. 13-26
    • Hewitson, B.C.1    Crane, R.G.2
  • 15
    • 13244261088 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Precipitation estimation from remotely sensed imagery using an artificial neural network cloud classification system
    • Hong, Y., K. Hsu, S. Sorooshian, and X. Gao, 2004: Precipitation estimation from remotely sensed imagery using an artificial neural network cloud classification system. J. Appl. Meteor., 43, 1834-1853.
    • (2004) J. Appl. Meteor , vol.43 , pp. 1834-1853
    • Hong, Y.1    Hsu, K.2    Sorooshian, S.3    Gao, X.4
  • 16
    • 17844365878 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Self-organizing non-linear output (SONO): A neural network suitable for cloud patch-based rainfall estimation at small scales
    • doi:10.1029/2004WR003142
    • Hong, Y., K. Hsu, S. Sorooshian, and X. Gao, 2005: Self-organizing non-linear output (SONO): A neural network suitable for cloud patch-based rainfall estimation at small scales. Water Resour. Res., 41, W03008, doi:10.1029/2004WR003142.
    • (2005) Water Resour. Res , vol.41
    • Hong, Y.1    Hsu, K.2    Sorooshian, S.3    Gao, X.4
  • 17
    • 0036998831 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Self-organizing linear output map (SOLO): An artificial neural network suitable for hydrologic modeling and analysis
    • doi:10.1029/2001WR000795
    • Hsu, K., H. V. Gupta, X. Gao, S. Sorooshian, and B. Imam, 2002: Self-organizing linear output map (SOLO): An artificial neural network suitable for hydrologic modeling and analysis. Water Resour. Res., 38, 1302, doi:10.1029/2001WR000795.
    • (2002) Water Resour. Res , vol.38 , pp. 1302
    • Hsu, K.1    Gupta, H.V.2    Gao, X.3    Sorooshian, S.4    Imam, B.5
  • 18
    • 84855256922 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • High resolution precipitation and temperature down-scaling for glacier models
    • doi:10.1007/s00382-010-0949-1
    • Jarosch, A. H., F. S. Anslow, and G. K. C. Clarke, 2010: High resolution precipitation and temperature down-scaling for glacier models. Climate Dyn., doi:10.1007/s00382-010-0949-1.
    • (2010) Climate Dyn
    • Jarosch, A.H.1    Anslow, F.S.2    Clarke, G.K.C.3
  • 19
    • 7444265318 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bibliography of selforganizing map (SOM) papers: 1981-1997
    • Kaski, S., J. Kangas, and T. Kohonen, 1998: Bibliography of selforganizing map (SOM) papers: 1981-1997. Neural Comput. Surv., 1, 102-350.
    • (1998) Neural Comput. Surv , vol.1 , pp. 102-350
    • Kaski, S.1    Kangas, J.2    Kohonen, T.3
  • 21
    • 33745839757 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Performance evaluation of the Self-Organizing Map for feature extraction
    • doi:10.1029/2005jc003117
    • Liu, Y., R. H. Weisberg, and C. N. K. Mooers, 2006: Performance evaluation of the Self-Organizing Map for feature extraction. J. Geophys. Res., 111, C05018, doi:10.1029/2005jc003117.
    • (2006) J. Geophys. Res , vol.111
    • Liu, Y.1    Weisberg, R.H.2    Mooers, C.N.K.3
  • 22
    • 0033117454 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate zonation in Puerto Rico based on principal components analysis and an artificial neural network
    • Malmgren, B. A., and A. Winter, 1999: Climate zonation in Puerto Rico based on principal components analysis and an artificial neural network. J. Climate, 12, 977-985.
    • (1999) J. Climate , vol.12 , pp. 977-985
    • Malmgren, B.A.1    Winter, A.2
  • 23
    • 70349221007 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Downscaled GCM projections of winter and summer mass balance for Peyto Glacier, Alberta, Canada (2000-2100) from ensemble simulations with ECHAM5-MPIOM
    • Matulla, C., E. Watson, S. Wagner, and W. Schöner, 2008:Downscaled GCM projections of winter and summer mass balance for Peyto Glacier, Alberta, Canada (2000-2100) from ensemble simulations with ECHAM5-MPIOM. Int. J. Climatol., 29, 1550-1559.
    • (2008) Int. J. Climatol , vol.29 , pp. 1550-1559
    • Matulla, C.1    Watson, E.2    Wagner, S.3    Schöner, W.4
  • 24
    • 0029506680 scopus 로고
    • Relations between atmospheric circulation and mass balance of South Cascade Glacier, Washington, U.S.A
    • McCabe, G. J., and A. G. Fountain, 1995: Relations between atmospheric circulation and mass balance of South Cascade Glacier, Washington, U.S.A. Arct. Alp. Res., 27, 226-233.
    • (1995) Arct. Alp. Res , vol.27 , pp. 226-233
    • McCabe, G.J.1    Fountain, A.G.2
  • 25
    • 33645538119 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • North American Regional Reanalysis
    • Mesinger, F., and Coauthors, 2006: North American Regional Reanalysis. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 87, 343-360.
    • (2006) Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc , vol.87 , pp. 343-360
    • Mesinger, F.1
  • 26
    • 27844519343 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • global pattern of trends in streamflow and water availability in a changing climate
    • Milly, P. C. D., K. A. Dunne, and A. V. Vecchia, 2005: global pattern of trends in streamflow and water availability in a changing climate. Nature, 438, 347-350.
    • (2005) Nature , vol.438 , pp. 347-350
    • Milly, P.C.D.1    Dunne, K.A.2    Vecchia, A.V.3
  • 27
    • 7444265318 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bibliography of Self- Organizing Map (SOM) papers: 1998-2001 addendum
    • Oja, M., S. Kaski, and T. Kohonen, 2002: Bibliography of Self- Organizing Map (SOM) papers: 1998-2001 addendum. Neural Comput. Surv., 3, 1-156.
    • (2002) Neural Comput. Surv , vol.3 , pp. 1-156
    • Oja, M.1    Kaski, S.2    Kohonen, T.3
  • 28
    • 66649100757 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Selecting global climate models for regional climate change studies
    • doi:10.1073/pnas.0900094106
    • Pierce, D. W., T. P. Barnett, B. D. Santer, and P. J. Gleckler, 2009:Selecting global climate models for regional climate change studies. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA, 106, 8441-8446, doi:10.1073/pnas.0900094106.
    • (2009) Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA , vol.106 , pp. 8441-8446
    • Pierce, D.W.1    Barnett, T.P.2    Santer, B.D.3    Gleckler, P.J.4
  • 29
    • 71949105949 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evaluating the present-day simulation of clouds, precipitation, and radiation in climate model
    • doi:10.1029/2007JD009334
    • Pincus, R., C. P. Batstone, R. J. P. Hofmann, K. E. Taylor, and P. J. Gleckler, 2008: Evaluating the present-day simulation of clouds, precipitation, and radiation in climate model. J. Geophys. Res., 113, D14209, doi:10.1029/2007JD009334.
    • (2008) J. Geophys. Res , vol.113
    • Pincus, R.1    Batstone, C.P.2    Hofmann, R.J.P.3    Taylor, K.E.4    Gleckler, P.J.5
  • 30
    • 38849119288 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate models and their evaluation. Climate Change 2007
    • S. Solomon et al, Eds., Cambridge University Press
    • Randall, D. A., and Coauthors, 2007: Climate models and their evaluation. Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis, S. Solomon et al, Eds., Cambridge University Press, 589-662.
    • (2007) The Physical Science Basis , pp. 589-662
    • Randall, D.A.1
  • 31
    • 0035739778 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Estimating South Cascade Glacier mass balance from a distant radiosonde and comparison with Blue Glacier
    • Rasmussen, L. A., and H. Conway, 2001: Estimating South Cascade Glacier mass balance from a distant radiosonde and comparison with Blue Glacier. J. Glaciol., 47, 579-588.
    • (2001) J. Glaciol , vol.47 , pp. 579-588
    • Rasmussen, L.A.1    Conway, H.2
  • 32
    • 1842810947 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Using upper-air conditions to estimate South Cascade Glacier (Washington, U.S.A.) summer balance
    • Rasmussen, L. A., and H. Conway, 2003: Using upper-air conditions to estimate South Cascade Glacier (Washington, U.S.A.) summer balance. J. Glaciol., 49, 456-462.
    • (2003) J. Glaciol , vol.49 , pp. 456-462
    • Rasmussen, L.A.1    Conway, H.2
  • 33
    • 43449087894 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • How well do coupled models simulate today's climate?
    • Reichler, T., and J. Kim, 2008: How well do coupled models simulate today's climate? Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 89, 303-311.
    • (2008) Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc , vol.89 , pp. 303-311
    • Reichler, T.1    Kim, J.2
  • 34
    • 33645281951 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Relative performance of self-organizing maps and principal component analysis in pattern extraction from synthetic climatological data
    • Reusch, D. B., R. B. Alley, and B. C. Hewitson, 2005: Relative performance of self-organizing maps and principal component analysis in pattern extraction from synthetic climatological data. Polar Geogr., 29, 227-251.
    • (2005) Polar Geogr , vol.29 , pp. 227-251
    • Reusch, D.B.1    Alley, R.B.2    Hewitson, B.C.3
  • 35
    • 72049095541 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Changes in synoptic weather patterns and Greenland precipitation in the 20th and 21st centuries: 1. Evaluation of late 20th century simulations from IPCC models
    • doi:10.1029/2009JD011705
    • Schuenemann, K. C., and J. J. Cassano, 2009: Changes in synoptic weather patterns and Greenland precipitation in the 20th and 21st centuries: 1. Evaluation of late 20th century simulations from IPCC models. J. Geophys. Res., 114, D20113, doi:10.1029/2009JD011705.
    • (2009) J. Geophys. Res , vol.114
    • Schuenemann, K.C.1    Cassano, J.J.2
  • 36
    • 33847027746 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Atmospheric flow indices, regional climate, and glacier mass balance in the Canadian Rocky Mountains
    • doi:10.1002/joc.1398
    • Shea, J. M., and S. J. Marshall, 2007: Atmospheric flow indices, regional climate, and glacier mass balance in the Canadian Rocky Mountains. Int. J. Climatol., 27, 233-247, doi:10.1002/joc.1398.
    • (2007) Int. J. Climatol , vol.27 , pp. 233-247
    • Shea, J.M.1    Marshall, S.J.2
  • 37
    • 0002817493 scopus 로고
    • Two models for estimating climate glacier relationships in the North-Cascades, Washington, U.S.A
    • Tangborn, W. V., 1980: Two models for estimating climate glacier relationships in the North-Cascades, Washington, U.S.A. J. Glaciol., 25, 3-21.
    • (1980) J. Glaciol , vol.25 , pp. 3-21
    • Tangborn, W.V.1
  • 38
    • 80755137256 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The Second Phase of the Atmospheric Model Intecomparison Project
    • Series, Rep. UCRLPROC-209115
    • Taylor, K. E., and P. J. Gleckler, 2002: The Second Phase of the Atmospheric Model Intecomparison Project. Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory Rep. Series, Rep. UCRLPROC-209115, 253 pp.
    • (2002) Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory Rep , vol.253
    • Taylor, K.E.1    Gleckler, P.J.2
  • 40
    • 14544287376 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Quantifying uncertainty in projections of regional climate change: A Bayesian approach to the analysis of multimodel ensembles
    • Tebaldi, C., R. L. Smith, D. Nychka, and L. O. Mearns, 2005: Quantifying uncertainty in projections of regional climate change: A Bayesian approach to the analysis of multimodel ensembles. J. Climate, 18, 1524-1540.
    • (2005) J. Climate , vol.18 , pp. 1524-1540
    • Tebaldi, C.1    Smith, R.L.2    Nychka, D.3    Mearns, L.O.4
  • 41
    • 0028580006 scopus 로고
    • Decadal atmosphereocean variations in the Pacific
    • Trenberth, K. E., and J. W. Hurrell, 1994: Decadal atmosphereocean variations in the Pacific. Climate Dyn., 9, 303-319.
    • (1994) Climate Dyn , vol.9 , pp. 303-319
    • Trenberth, K.E.1    Hurrell, J.W.2
  • 42
    • 0006519201 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • SOM toolbox for Matlab 5. Helsinki University of Technology
    • Vesanto, J., J. Himberg, E. Alhoniemi, and J. Parhankangas, 2000: SOM toolbox for Matlab 5. Helsinki University of Technology, Rep. A57, 59 pp.
    • (2000) Rep , vol.57 A , pp. 59
    • Vesanto, J.1    Himberg, J.2    Alhoniemi, E.3    Parhankangas, J.4
  • 44
    • 67449126557 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A sea ice free summer Arctic within 30 years?
    • doi:10.1029/2009GL037820
    • Wang, M., and J. E. Overland, 2009: A sea ice free summer Arctic within 30 years? Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L07502, doi:10.1029/2009GL037820.
    • (2009) Geophys. Res. Lett , vol.36
    • Wang, M.1    Overland, J.E.2
  • 45
    • 0021543426 scopus 로고
    • Relationships between synoptic-scale atmospheric circulation and glacier mass balance in southwestern Canada during the International Hydrological Decade, 1963-74
    • Yarnal, B., 1984: Relationships between synoptic-scale atmospheric circulation and glacier mass balance in southwestern Canada during the International Hydrological Decade, 1963-74. J. Glaciol., 30, 188-198.
    • (1984) J. Glaciol , vol.30 , pp. 188-198
    • Yarnal, B.1
  • 46
    • 0033172665 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The analog method as a simple statistical downscaling technique: Comparison with more complicated methods
    • Zorita, E., and H. von Storch, 1999: The analog method as a simple statistical downscaling technique: Comparison with more complicated methods. J. Climate, 12, 2474-2489.
    • (1999) J. Climate , vol.12 , pp. 2474-2489
    • Zorita, E.1    von Storch, H.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.