Fluctuating renewables in a long-term climate change mitigation strategy

Energy

Volumn 36, Issue 11, 2011, Pages 6674-6685

  Ludig, Sylvie ^a   Haller, Markus ^a   Schmid, Eva ^a   Bauer, Nico ^a  

^a POTSDAM INSTITUTE FOR CLIMATE IMPACT RESEARCH   (Germany)

Author keywords

Power system modeling; Renewables; Variability

Indexed keywords

CARBON DIOXIDE; CLIMATE MODELS; ELECTRIC GENERATORS; ELECTRICITY; INVESTMENTS; PETROLEUM REFINING; POWER TRANSMISSION; WIND POWER;

CLIMATE CHANGE MITIGATION; CLIMATE POLICY; ELECTRICITY DEMANDS; ELECTRICITY GENERATION; ELECTRICITY SECTOR; HIGH TEMPORAL RESOLUTION; INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT MODELS; MITIGATION COSTS; NATURAL GAS TECHNOLOGY; OPTIMAL TECHNOLOGY; POWER SYSTEM MODEL; POWER SYSTEM MODELING; RENEWABLE ENERGY SOURCE; RENEWABLES; TEMPORAL RESOLUTION; TIME-SCALES; VARIABILITY;

CLIMATE CHANGE;

CARBON DIOXIDE; CLIMATE CHANGE; COST-BENEFIT ANALYSIS; ELECTRICAL POWER; ENERGY RESOURCE; ENVIRONMENTAL ECONOMICS; ENVIRONMENTAL POLICY; INVESTMENT; MITIGATION; NATURAL GAS; NUMERICAL MODEL; RENEWABLE RESOURCE; STRATEGIC APPROACH;

EID: 80655124531     PISSN: 03605442     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2011.08.021     Document Type: Article

References (53)

1. van Vuuren D.P., Hoogwijk M., Barker T., Riahi K., Boeters S., Chateau J., et al. Comparison of top-down and bottom-up estimates of sectoral and regional greenhouse gas emission reduction potentials. Energy Policy 2009, 37(12):5125-5139.
2. Edenhofer O., Carraro C., Hourcade J.C., Neuhoff K., Luderer G., Flachsland C., et al. The economics of decarbonization. Report of the RECIPE project 2009, Potsdam-Institute for Climate Impact Research, Potsdam, URL:. http://www.pik-potsdam.de/recipe.
3. Renewable energy sources in figures - national and international development 2010, German Federal Ministry for the Environment N.C, Safety N, Brochure, URL. http://www.erneuerbare-energien.de/files/english/pdf/application/pdf/broschuere_ee_zahlen_en_bf.pdf.
4. Connolly D., Lund H., Mathiesen B., Leahy M. A review of computer tools for analysing the integration of renewable energy into various energy systems. Applied Energy 2010, 87(4):1059-1082.
5. Leimbach M., Bauer N., Baumstark L., Edenhofer O. Mitigation costs in a Globalized world: climate policy analysis with REMIND-R. Environmental Modeling and Assessment 2009, 15(3):155-173.
6. Enzensberger N. Entwicklung und Anwendung eines Strom- und Zertifikatmarktmodells für den europäischen Energiesektor. Technik und Wirtschaft 2003, vol. 159. Reihe 16, VDI Verlag GmbH.
7. Messner S., Schrattenholzer L. MESSAGE-MACRO: Linking an energy supply model with a macroeconomic module and solving it iteratively. Energy 2000, 25(3):267-282.
8. van der Zwaan B., Gerlagh R., Klaassen G., Schrattenholzer L. Endogenous technological change in climate change modelling. Energy Economics 2002, 24(1):1-19.
9. Bosetti V., Carraro C., Galeotti M., Massetti E., Tavoni M. WITCH - A world induced technical change Hybrid model 2006, Working Paper No. 46/WP/2006, University of Venice, URL:. http://www.youngeconomists.it/massetti/10_WITCH.pdf.
10. Pietzcker R, Manger S, Bauer N, Luderer G, Bruckner T. The Role of Concentrating Solar Power and Photovoltaics for Climate Protection, in: 10th IAEE European Conference, Vienna, Austria; 2009, URL http://edoc.gfz-potsdam.de/pik/get/4034/0/5c9c0f5effe6f8949963a2647b8bfb9b/4034.pdf.
11. Lund H. Large-scale integration of wind power into different energy systems. Energy 2005, 30(13):2402-2412.
12. Benitez L.E., Benitez P.C., van Kooten G.C. The economics of wind power with energy storage. Energy Economics 2008, 30(4):1973-1989.
13. Maddaloni J.D., Rowe A.M., van Kooten G.C. Network constrained wind integration on Vancouver Island. Energy Policy 2008, 36(2):591-602.
14. DeCarolis J.F., Keith D.W. The economics of large-scale wind power in a carbon constrained world. Energy Policy 2006, 34(4):395-410.
15. Generation and Transmission maximization (GTMax) model 1995, Argonne National Laboratory, URL:. http://www.dis.anl.gov/projects/Gtmax.html.
16. Harthan R, Böttger D, Bruckner T. Integrated consideration of power plant investment and power plant operation. effects of lifetime extension of nuclear power plants against the background of an increased penetration of renewable energy, in: ENERDAY 201. Dresden; 2011, URL: http://www.tu-dresden.de/wwbwleeg/events/enerday/2011/Harthan_Boettger_Paper.pdf.
17. Goldstein G., Tosato G. Global energy systems and common analyses 2008, Final Report of Annex X, International Energy Agency, URL:. http://www.etsap.org/FinReport/ETSAP_AnnexX_FinalReport-080915.pdf.
18. Ravn H. BALMOREL: a model for analyses of the electricity and CHP markets in the Baltic Sea region 2001, Main Report; Balmorel Project, URL:. http://www.balmorel.com.
19. Rosen J., Tietze-Stockinger I., Rentz O. Model-based analysis of effects from large-scale wind power production. Energy 2007, 32(4):575-583.
20. Sensfuss F, Ragwitz M, Wietsche M. Fluktuationen der Windenergie und deren Vorhersagbarkeit bei einem verstärkten Ausbau des Offshore Anteils in Deutschland bis 2020, in: 3. Internationale Energiewirtschaftstagung an der TU Wien. Vienna, Austria; 2003, URL: http://www.isi.fraunhofer.de/isi-de/e/download/publikationen/Sensfuss_IEWT_2003.pdf.
21. Short W., Blair N., Sullivan P., Mai T. ReEDS model Documentation: base case data and model Description. National renewable energy Laboratory Documentation 2009, URL:. http://www.nrel.gov/analysis/reeds/pdfs/reeds_full_report.pdf.
22. Neuhoff K., Ehrenmann A., Butler L., Cust J., Hoexter H., Keats K., et al. Space and time: wind in an investment planning model. Energy Economics 2008, 30(4):1990-2008.
23. Facts and figures 2009 May 2010, 50Hz Transmission GmbH, URL:, updated version. http://www.50hertz-transmission.net/de/file/50hz_faltblatt_Daten_Fakten_1011_en_web_einzels.pdf.
24. Wind power infeed 2010, 50Hz Transmission GmbH, URL:. http://www.50hertz-transmission.net/cps/rde/xchg/trm_de/hs.xsl/1983.htm.
25. Renewable assets master data 2010, 50Hz Transmission GmbH, URL:. http://www.50hertz-transmission.net/cps/rde/xchg/trm_de/hs.xsl/165.htm.
26. Vertical grid load 2010, 50Hz Transmission GmbH, URL:. http://www.50hertz-transmission.net/cps/rde/xchg/trm_de/hs.xsl/149.htm.
27. Giebel G., Brownsword R., Kariniotakis G., Denhard M., Draxl C. The state-of-the-art in short-term prediction of wind power 2011, Deliverable D-1.2; ANEMOS.plus, URL:. http://orbit.dtu.dk/getResource%253ArecordId=274635%2526objectId=1%2526versionId=1.
28. A.G.Vattenfall Europe The year 2009 in Facts and Figures 2010, URL:. http://www.vattenfall.de/de/file/The_year_2009_in_Facts_and_Figures_13592890.pdf.
29. Erlich I., Bachmann U. Grid code requirements concerning connection and operation of wind turbines in Germany. Power Engineering Society general meeting, 2005 2005, IEEE, URL:. http://www.uni-due.de/ean/downloads/papers/pesgm2005-000784.pdf.
30. Saint-Drenan YM, von Oehsen A, Gerhardt N, Sterner M, Bofinger S, Rohrig K. Dynamische Simulation der Stromversorgung in Deutschland nach dem Ausbauszenario der Erneuerbaren-Energien-Branche. Final Report; Fraunhofer Institut für Windenergie und Energiesystemtechnik (IWES) Kassel; 2009. http://www.bee-ev.de/_downloads/publikationen/studien/2010/100119_BEE_IWES-Simulation_Stromversorgung2020_Endbericht.pdf.
31. Weigt H. Germany's wind energy: the potential for fossil capacity replacement and cost saving. Applied Energy 2009, 86(10):1857-1863.
32. Andor M., Flinkerbusch K., Janssen M., Liebau B., Wobben M. Negative electricity prices and the priority of renewable energy sources. Zeitschrift für Energiewirtschaft 2010, 34(2):91-99.
33. Haller M, Ludig S, Bauer N. Fluctuating renewable energy sources and long-term decarbonization of the power sector: Insights from a conceptual model, in: International Energy Workshop. Stockholm, Sweden; 2010, URL: http://www.kth.se/polopoly_fs/1.64178!Paper_D2_Haller.pdf.
34. Hake JF, Hansen P, Heckler R, Linβen J, Markewitz P, Martinsen D, et al. Projektionsrechnungen bis 2050 für das Energiesystem von Deutschland im Rahmen des VDI-Projektes "Future Climate Engineering Solutions". STE-Research Reports 03/2009; Forschungszentrum Jülich; 2009.
35. Schlesinger M., Lindenberger D., Lutz C. Energieszenarien für ein Energiekonzept der Bundesregierung 2010, Study commissioned by the German Federal Ministry of Business and Technology, Prognos AG and EWI and GWS, URL:. http://www.bmwi.de/BMWi/Navigation/Service/publikationen,did=356294.html.
36. The future of coal. An Interdisciplinary MIT Study 2007, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, MIT, URL:. http://web.mit.edu/coal/The_Future_of_Coal.pdf.
37. Kurzanalyse der Kraftwerksplanung in Deutschland bis 2020 2010, Deutsche Energie-Agentur, Aktualisierung; dena, URL:. http://www.dena.de/fileadmin/user_upload/Download/Dokumente/Studien_Umfragen/KurzanalyseKraftwerksplanungDE_2020.pdf.
38. Schmid E., Knopf B., Bauer N. Remind-D Documentation 2010, http://www.pik-potsdam.de/research/research-domains/sustainable-solutions/models/remind/Remind_D_Dokumentation_20101222.pdf.
39. Krey V. Vergleich kurz- und langfristig ausgerichteter optimierungsansätze mit einem multi-regionalen energiesystemmodell unter berücksichtigung stochastischer parameter. Ph.D. thesis; Fakultät für Maschinenbau, Ruhr-Universität Bochum; 2006. URL: http://deposit.ddb.de/cgi-bin/dokserv%253Aidn=981380018%2526dok_var=d1%2526dok_ext=pdf%2526filename=981380018.pdf.
40. Bauer N, Edenhofer O, Haller M, Klein D, Lorenz A, Luderer G, et al. Technologies, Policies and Economics of Global Reductions of Energy Related CO2 Emissions. An Analysis with ReMIND, in: International Energy Workshop, Stockholm, Sweden. 2010, URL http://www.kth.se/polopoly_fs/1.64178!Paper_A1_Bauer.pdf.
41. Kaltschmitt M., Streicher W. Erneuerbare Energien. Systemtechnik, Wirtschaftlichkeit, Umweltaspekte 2006, Springer Berlin Heidelberg, URL:. http://www.springerlink.com/content/v11542, 4 ed.
42. Troen I., Petersen E. European wind Atlas 1989, RisØ National Laboratory. http://www.windatlas.dk/europe/Index.htm.
43. Hoogwijk M. On the global and regional potential of renewable energy sources. Ph.D. thesis; Universiteit Utrecht, Fakulteit Scheikunde; Utrecht, Netherlands; 2004.
44. Súri M., Huld T.A., Dunlop E.D., Ossenbrink H.A. Potential of solar electricity generation in the European Union member states and candidate countries. Solar Energy 2007, 81(10):1295-1305.
45. Kaldellis J., Zafirakis D. Optimum energy storage techniques for the improvement of renewable energy sources-based electricity generation economic efficiency. Energy 2007, 32(12):2295-2305.
46. Chen H., Cong T.N., Yang W., Tan C., Li Y., Ding Y. Progress in electrical energy storage system: a critical review. Progress in Natural Science 2009, 19(3):291-312.
47. Gonzalez A., Bó Gallachóir, McKeogh E., Lynch K. Study of electricity storage technologies and their potential to address wind energy intermittency in ireland 2004, Final report, Sustainable Energy Research Group, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University College Cork, URL:. http://www.sei.ie/uploadedfiles/FundedProgrammes/REHC03001FinalReport.pdf.
48. Ekman C.K., Jensen S.H. Prospects for large scale electricity storage in denmark. Energy Conversion and Management 2010, 51(6):1140-1147. URL:. http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/B6V2P-4Y5H5X3-2/2/70cf91e99d5e6e3609540c164dd71e42.
49. A portfolio of power-trains for Europe: a fact-based analysis 2010, McKinsey & Company, Joint Report; ECF, URL:. http://www.zeroemissionvehicles.eu/uploads/Power_trains_for_Europe.pdf.
50. Nitsch J. Further development of the 'Strategy to increase the use of renewable energies' within the context of the current climate protection goals of Germany and Europe. Lead Study 2008 2008, German Federal Ministry for the Environment, Nature Conservation and Nuclear Safety (BMU), URL:. http://www.bmu.de/files/pdfs/allgemein/application/pdf/leitstudie2008_en.pdf.
51. Energiereport IV - Die Entwicklung der Energiemärkte bis zum Jahr 2030: Energiewirtschaftliche Referenzprognose. München: Oldenbourg-Industrieverlag 2005, EWI, Prognos, Im Auftr. des Bundesministeriums für Wirtschaft und Arbeit, Berlin.
52. Braunkohle in Deutschland 2009. Profil eines Industriezweiges. Brochure 2009, DEBRIV, URL:. http://braunkohle.de/tools/download.php%253Afiledata=1240416079.pdf%2526filename=Debriv_IZB_20090421.pdf%2526mimetype=application/pdf.
53. Knopf S., May F., Müller C., Gerling J.P. Neuberechnung möglicher Kapazitäten zur CO2-Speicherung in tiefen Aquifer-Strukturen. Energiewirtschaftliche Tagesfragen 2010, 60(4):76-80.