‘What if’: The counterfactual in program evaluation

Evaluation Journal of Australasia

Volumn 6, Issue 2, 2006, Pages 6-15

  Cummings, Rick ^a  

^a MURDOCH UNIVERSITY   (Australia)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

EID: 80355123221     PISSN: 1035719X     EISSN: 25159372     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1177/1035719X0600600203     Document Type: Article

References (18)

1. Cornish D.B., & Clarke R.V., (eds) 1986, The reasoning criminal: rational choices perspectives on offending, Springer-Verlag, New York
2. Cummings R., 2005, Operation Burglary Countdown: evaluation study final report, Estill & Associates, Perth
3. English B., Straton R., & Cummings R., 2002, ‘Choosing evaluation models for community crime prevention programs’, in N Tilley (ed.), Crime Prevention Studies, vol. 14, pp. 171–225
4. Henderson M., 2002, Preventing repeat residential burglary, Commonwealth Attorney-General's Department, Canberra
5. Johnson S.D., Bowers K.J., Jordan P., Mallender J., Davidson N., & Hirschfield A.F.G., 2004, ‘Evaluating crime prevention scheme success: estimating ‘outcomes’ or how many crimes were prevented’, Evaluation, vol. 10, no. 3, pp. 327–348
6. Kvart I., 1986, A theory of counterfactuals, Hackett Publishing Company, Indianapolis
7. Lebow R.N., 2000, ‘What's so different about a counterfactual?’, World Politics, vol. 52, July, pp. 550–585
8. Lewis D.K., 1973, Counterfactuals, Harvard University Press, Cambridge, Massachusetts
9. Mayhew P., 2003, ‘Counting the costs of crime in Australia’, Trends and issues in crime and criminal justice, no. 247, Australian Institute of Criminology, Canberra
10. Mandel D.R., Hilton D.J., & Catellani C., (eds) 2005, The psychology of counterfactual thinking, Routledge, London
11. Mohr L.B., 1995, Impact analysis for program evaluation, Sage Publications, Thousand Oaks, California
12. Owen J., 2006, Program evaluation: forms and approaches, 3rd edn, Allen & Unwin, Sydney
13. Purdon S., Lessof C., Woodfield K., & Bryson C., 2001, Research methods for policy evaluation, Department for Work and Pensions, Research Working Paper no. 2
14. Rosenbaum D.P., 2002, ‘Evaluating multi-agency anti-crime partnerships: theory, design and measurement issues’, in N Tilley (ed.), Crime Prevention Studies, vol. 14, pp. 171–225
15. Stufflebeam D.L., 2001, Evaluation models, New directions in program evaluation, no. 89, Jossey-Bass, San Francisco
16. UK Prime Minister's Office 2004, Strategy survival guide: gathering evidence, viewed 24 July 2006,
17. Welsh C.A., & Farrington D.P., 2000, ‘Monetary costs and benefits of crime prevention programmes’, in Tonry M, (ed.) Crime and Justice: A review of research, vol. 27, pp. 305–361
18. Worthen B.R., Sanders J.R., & Fitzpatrick J.L., 1997, Program evaluation: alternative approaches and practical guidelines, 2nd edn, Longman, White Plains, New York