A simulation study for assessing yield optimization and potential for water reduction for summer-sown maize under different climate change scenarios

Journal of Agricultural Science

Volumn 149, Issue 2, 2011, Pages 129-143

  Iqbal, M A ^a   Eitzinger, J ^b   Formayer, H ^b   Hassan, A ^a   Heng, L K ^c  

^a UNIVERSITY OF AGRICULTURE   (Pakistan)

^b UNIVERSITY OF NATURAL RESOURCES AND LIFE SCIENCES   (Austria)

^c INTERNATIONAL ATOMIC ENERGY AGENCY   (Austria)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ASSESSMENT METHOD; BIOACCUMULATION; BIOMASS; CALIBRATION; CARBON DIOXIDE; CLIMATE CHANGE; CONCENTRATION (COMPOSITION); CROP PRODUCTION; CROP YIELD; CULTIVAR; DRAINAGE; EVAPOTRANSPIRATION; GENERAL CIRCULATION MODEL; IRRIGATION; MAIZE; NITROGEN; NUMERICAL MODEL; OPTIMIZATION; PHOTOSYNTHESIS; SUMMER; TEMPERATURE EFFECT; WATER USE;

FAISALABAD; PAKISTAN; PUNJAB [PAKISTAN];

ZEA MAYS;

EID: 80255138869     PISSN: 00218596     EISSN: 14695146     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1017/S0021859610001243     Document Type: Article

References (53)

1. ADAMS, R. M., ROSENZWEIG, C., PEART, R. M., RITCHIE, J. T., MCCARL, B. A., GLYER, J. D., CURRY, R. B., JONES, J.W., BOOTE, K. J. & ALLEN, L.H. (1990). Global climate change and United States agriculture. Nature 345, 219-224.
2. ADIKU, S.G. K., JONES, J.W., KUMAGA, F.K. & TONYIGAH, A. (2009). Effects of crop rotation and fallow residue management on maize growth, yield and soil carbon in a savannah-forest transition zone of Ghana. Journal of Agricultural Science, Cambridge 147, 313-322.
3. ALLEN, R. G., PEREIRA, L. S., RAES, D. & SMITH, M. (1998). Crop Evapotranspiration: Guidelines for Computing Crop Water Requirements. FAO Irrigation and Drainage Paper 56. Rome, Italy: FAO.
4. 2 concentration. Field Crop Research 73, 1-34. (Pubitemid 32961600)
5. BETTS, R.A. & FALLOON, P. (2007). Biophysical forcing of climate by anthropogenic vegetation change. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 142, 216-233.
6. 2 concentrations and plant available soil water content on canopy evapotranspiration and conductance of spring wheat. European Journal of Agronomy 21, 401-417. (Pubitemid 39568844)
7. CASSEL, D.K. & NIELSEN, D. R. (1986). Field capacity and available water capacity. In Methods of Soil Analysis. Part I. Physical and Mineralogical Methods, 2nd edn (Ed. A. Klute), pp. 901-923. Madison, WI: ASA and SSSA.
8. CHAUDHURI, U. N., KIRKHAM, M.B. & KANEMASU, E.T. (1990). Root growth of winter wheat under elevated carbon dioxide and drought. Crop Science 30, 853-857.
9. CURE, J.D. & ACOCK, B. (1986). Crop responses to carbon dioxide doubling: A literature survey. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 38, 127-145.
10. DE COSTA, W.A.J.M. & SANGAKKARA, U.R. (2006). Agronomic regeneration of soil fertility in tropical Asian smallholder uplands for sustainable food production. Journal of Agricultural Science, Cambridge 144, 111-133.
11. EITZINGER, J., TRNKA, M., HÖSCH, J., ŽALUD, Z. & DUBROVSKY̌, M. (2003). Comparison of CERES, WOFOST and SWAP models in simulating soil water content during growing season under different soil conditions. Ecological Modelling 171, 223-246. (Pubitemid 38170881)
12. EITZINGER, J., FORMAYER, H., THALER, S., TRNKA, M., ZDENEK, Z. & ALEXANDROV, V. (2008). Results and uncertainties of climate change impact research in agricultural crop production in Central Europe. Bodenkultur 59, 131-148.
13. 2 and drought on wheat: Testing crop simulation models for different experimental and climatic conditions. Agriculture Ecosystem and Environment 93, 249-266. (Pubitemid 35307322)
14. FAO. (2003). World Agriculture: Towards 2015/2030. Rome, Italy: FAO.
15. GATES, W. L., MITCHELL, J. F. B., BOER, G. J., CUBASCH, U. & MELESHKO, V. P. (1992). Climate modelling, climate prediction and model validation. In Climate Change 1992. The Supplementary Report to the IPCC Scientific Assessment (Eds J. T. Houghton, B. A. Callander & S.K. Varney), pp. 99-134. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
16. 2 -enriched wheat under water-limited conditions. Australian Journal of Plant Physiology 6, 367-378.
17. GOVERNMENT OF PAKISTAN (2010). Pakistan Economic Survey 2009-10. Islamabad, Pakistan: Ministry of Food and Agriculture, Federal Bureau of Statistics, Agriculture. Available online at http://www.finance.gov.pk/survey- 0910. html (verified 2 December 2010).
18. GREENWOOD, D. J., ZHANG, K., HILTON, H.W. & THOMPSON, A. J. (2010). Opportunities for improving irrigation efficiency with quantitative models, soil water sensors and wireless technology. Journal of Agricultural Science, Cambridge 148, 1-16.
19. HOOGENBOOM, G., JONES, J.W., WILKENS, P.W., BATCHELOR, W. D., BOWEN, W. T., HUNT, L. A., PICKERING, N. B., SINGH, U., GODWIN, D. C., BEAR, B., BOOTE, K. J., RITCHIE, J.T. & WHITE, J.W. (1994). Crop Models, DSSAT Version 3.0. International Benchmark Sites Network for Agrotechnology Transfer. Honolulu, HI: University of Hawaii.
20. HOUGHTON, J. T., MEIRO FILHO, L. G., CALLANDER, B. A., HARRIS, N., KATTENBERG, A. & MASKELL, K. (1996). Climate Change 1995: The Science of Climate Change, Contribution of Working Group I to the Second Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
21. HOUGHTON, J. T., DING, Y., GRIGGS, D. J., NOGUER, M., VAN DER LINDEN, P. J., DAI, X., MASKELL, K. & JOHNSON, C. A. (2001). Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis: Contribution of Working Group 1 to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
22. HUNT, L. A., PARARAJASINGHAM, S., JONES, J.W., HOOGENBOOM, G., IMAMURA, D.T. & OGOSHI, R.M. (1993). Gencalc-Software to facilitate the use of crop models for analyzing field experiments. Agronomy Journal 85, 1090-1094. (Pubitemid 2008257)
23. 2 enrichment in the face of environmental constraints-a review of the past 10 years' research. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 69, 153-203. (Pubitemid 2112004)
24. IQBAL, M. A., BODNER, G., HENG, L. K., EITZINGER, J. & HASSAN, A. (2010). Assessing yield optimization and water reduction potential for summer sown and spring sown maize in Pakistan. Agricultural Water Management 97, 731-737.
25. JONES, C.A. & KINIRY, J. R. (1986). CERES-Maize: A simulation Model of Maize Growth and Development. College Station, TX: A&M University Press.
26. JING, Q., VAN KEULEN, H., HENGSDIJK, H., CAO, W., BINDRABAN, P. S., DAI, T. & JIANG, D. (2009). Quantifying N response and N use efficiency in rice- wheat (RW) cropping systems under different water management. Journal of Agricultural Science, Cambridge 147, 303-312.
27. 2 enrichment on crop plants are modified by soil water. Plant and Soil 238, 69-77.
28. KÄTTERER, T., HANSSON, A-C. & ANDRÉN, O. (1993). Wheat root biomass and nitrogen dynamics - effects of daily irrigation and fertilization. Plant and Soil 151, 21-30.
29. KIMBALL, B.A. (1983). Carbon dioxide and agricultural yield: An assemblage and analysis of 430 prior observations. Agronomy Journal 75, 779-788.
30. 2 levels? Climate Change 41, 193-212.
31. LORGEOU, L. (1990). Evolution du poids d'un grain et de sa teneur en eau. In Physiologie et Production du Maïs (Ed. D. Picard), pp. 259-274. Paris, France: AGPM, INRA.
32. 2 enrichment. Agronomy for Sustainable Development 27, 79-87. (Pubitemid 47195707)
33. MCCARTHY, J. J., CANZIANI, O. F., LEARY, N. A., DOKKEN, D.J. & WHITE, K. S. (2001). Climate Change 2001: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group 2 to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
34. MONTEITH, J.L. & UNSWORTH, M.H. (1990). Principles of Environmental Physics, 2nd edn. London: Edward Arnold.
35. PARRY, M. L., ROSENZWEIG, C., IGLESIAS, A., LIVERMORE, M. & FISCHER, G. (2004). Effects of climate change on global food production under SRES emissions and socioeconomic scenarios. Global Environment Change 14, 53-63.
36. 2 concentration. Biologia Plantarum 42, 1-24. (Pubitemid 29341986)
37. RITCHIE, J. T., SINGH, U., GODWIN, D.C. & HUNT, L.A. (1989). A User's Guide to CERES-Maize V2.10. Muscle Shoals, AL: International Fertilizer Development Centre.
38. ROECKNER, E., BROKOPF, R., ESCH, M., GIORGETTA, M., HAGEMANN, S., KORNBLUEH, L., MANZINI, E., SCHLESE, U. & SCHULZWEIDA, U. (2006). Sensitivity of simulated climate to horizontal and vertical resolution in the ECHAM5 atmosphere model. Journal of Climate 19, 3771-3791. (Pubitemid 44405143)
39. 2-induced climate change. Climate Change 4, 239-254. (Pubitemid 13261034)
40. ROSENZWEIG, C. & HILLEL, D. (1998). Climate Change and the Global Harvest: Potential Impacts of the Greenhouse Effect on Agriculture. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
41. ROSENZWEIG, C. & PARRY, M. L. (1994). Potential impact of climate change on world food supply. Nature 367, 133-138.
42. ROSENZWEIG, C., PARRY,M. L., FISCHER, G. & FROHBERG, K. (1993). Climate Change and World Food Supply. Research Report No. 3. Oxford: Environmental Change Unit, University of Oxford.
43. RYAN, J., SINGH, M., PALA, M., MAKHBOUL, R., MASRI, S., HARRIS, H.C. & SOMMER, R. (2010). Crop sequences, nitrogen fertilizer and grazing intensity in relation to wheat yields in rainfed systems. Journal of Agricultural Science, Cambridge 148, 205-216.
44. 2: Effects of soil water status and genotype in wheat. Australian Journal of Plant Physiology 22, 33-44.
45. SEMENOV, M. & BARROW, E. (1997). Use of a stochastic weather generator in the development of climate change scenarios. Climatic Change 35, 397-414.
46. SMITH, P. & OLESEN, J. E. (2010). Synergies between the mitigation of, and adaptation to, climate change in agriculture. The Journal of Agricultural Science, Cambridge 148, 543-552.
47. SOLOMON, S., QIN, D., MANNING, M., CHEN, Z., MARQUIS, M., AVERYT, K. B., TIGNOR, M. & MILLER, H. L. (2007). Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
48. 2 on cropping systems: Model predictions at two Italian locations. European Journal of Agronomy 13, 179-189. (Pubitemid 30647543)
49. VERGÉ, X. P. C., DE KIMPE, C. & DESJARDINS, R. L. (2007). Agricultural production, greenhouse gas emissions and mitigation potential. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 142, 255-269. (Pubitemid 46151726)
50. 2 enrichment and limitations in water and nitrogen supply. Plant, Cell and Environment 23, 917-929.
51. WILLMOTT, C. J., ACKLESON, S. G., DAVIS, R. E., FEDDEMA, J. J., KLINK, K. M., LEGATES, D. R., O'CONNELL, J. & ROWE, C.M. (1985). Statistics for the evaluation and comparison of models. Journal of Geophysical Research 90, 8995-9005.
52. WORLD BANK. (2006). Better Management of Indus Basin Waters - Strategic Issues and Challenges. Washington, DC: World Bank.
53. YAN, W. & HUNT, L.A. (1999). An equation for modelling the temperature response of plants using only the cardinal temperatures. Annals of Botany 84, 607-614. (Pubitemid 29532268)