메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 48, Issue 6, 2011, Pages 1518-1526

Securing the future of the natural environment: Using scenarios to anticipate challenges to biodiversity, landscapes and public engagement with nature

Author keywords

Climate change; Conservation planning; Decision making; Ecosystems; Ethnographic futures framework; Futures; Global environmental change; Land use change; Society

Indexed keywords

BIODIVERSITY; CLIMATE CHANGE; CONSERVATION PLANNING; DECISION MAKING; ECOSYSTEM RESILIENCE; ETHNOBOTANY; FUTURE PROSPECT; LAND USE CHANGE; PUBLIC SECTOR;

EID: 80055088570     PISSN: 00218901     EISSN: 13652664     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1111/j.1365-2664.2011.02055.x     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (17)

References (45)
  • 1
    • 48049123917 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The SAS approach: combining qualitative and quantitative knowledge in environmental scenarios
    • ed. J. Alcamo). Elsevier, Amsterdam.
    • Alcamo, J. (2008) The SAS approach: combining qualitative and quantitative knowledge in environmental scenarios. Environmental Futures: The Practice of Environmental Scenario Analysis (ed. J. Alcamo), pp. 123-150. Elsevier, Amsterdam.
    • (2008) Environmental Futures: The Practice of Environmental Scenario Analysis , pp. 123-150
    • Alcamo, J.1
  • 3
    • 79958061882 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Participatory scenario development for integrated sustainability assessment
    • Bohunovsky, L., Jäger, J. & Omann, I. (2010) Participatory scenario development for integrated sustainability assessment. Regional Environmental Change, 11, 271-284.
    • (2010) Regional Environmental Change , vol.11 , pp. 271-284
    • Bohunovsky, L.1    Jäger, J.2    Omann, I.3
  • 5
    • 20444437996 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The origins and evolution of scenario techniques in long range business planning
    • Bradfield, R., Wright, G., Burt, G., Cairns, G. & Van Der Heijden, K. (2005) The origins and evolution of scenario techniques in long range business planning. Futures, 37, 795-812.
    • (2005) Futures , vol.37 , pp. 795-812
    • Bradfield, R.1    Wright, G.2    Burt, G.3    Cairns, G.4    Van Der Heijden, K.5
  • 8
    • 2342504236 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Scenario planning: understanding and managing biological invasions in South Africa
    • (ed. J.A. McNeely). IUCN, Gland, Switzerland and Cambridge, UK.
    • Chapman, R.A., Le Maitre, D.C. & Richardson, D.M. (2001) Scenario planning: understanding and managing biological invasions in South Africa. The Great Reshuffling: Human Dimensions of Invasive Alien Species (ed. J.A. McNeely), pp. 195-208. IUCN, Gland, Switzerland and Cambridge, UK.
    • (2001) The Great Reshuffling: Human Dimensions of Invasive Alien Species , pp. 195-208
    • Chapman, R.A.1    Le Maitre, D.C.2    Richardson, D.M.3
  • 10
    • 33745899996 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ecology in global scenarios
    • 2 (eds S.R. Carpenter, P.L. Pingali, E.M. Bennett & M.B. Zurek). Island Press, Washington, DC.
    • Cumming, G. & Peterson, G. (2005) Ecology in global scenarios. Ecosystems and Human Well-being: Scenarios, Vol. 2 (eds S.R. Carpenter, P.L. Pingali, E.M. Bennett & M.B. Zurek), pp. 45-70. Island Press, Washington, DC.
    • (2005) Ecosystems and Human Well-being: Scenarios , pp. 45-70
    • Cumming, G.1    Peterson, G.2
  • 11
    • 55049140869 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Seeing in multiple horizons: connecting futures to strategy
    • Curry, A. & Hodgson, A. (2008) Seeing in multiple horizons: connecting futures to strategy. Journal of Futures Studies, 13, 1-20.
    • (2008) Journal of Futures Studies , vol.13 , pp. 1-20
    • Curry, A.1    Hodgson, A.2
  • 14
    • 78650961966 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Practitioner's perspectives: introducing a different voice in applied ecology
    • Hulme, P.E. (2011) Practitioner's perspectives: introducing a different voice in applied ecology. Journal of Applied Ecology, 48, 1-2.
    • (2011) Journal of Applied Ecology , vol.48 , pp. 1-2
    • Hulme, P.E.1
  • 18
    • 71849091133 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Converting qualitative assessments to quantitative assumptions: Bayes' rule and the pundit's wager
    • Kemp-Benedict, E. (2010) Converting qualitative assessments to quantitative assumptions: Bayes' rule and the pundit's wager. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 77, 167-171.
    • (2010) Technological Forecasting and Social Change , vol.77 , pp. 167-171
    • Kemp-Benedict, E.1
  • 19
    • 60549116387 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Combining two approaches of integrated scenario development to combat desertification in the Guadalentin watershed, Spain
    • Kok, K. & van Delden, H. (2009) Combining two approaches of integrated scenario development to combat desertification in the Guadalentin watershed, Spain. Environment and Planning B: Planning & Design, 36, 49-66.
    • (2009) Environment and Planning B: Planning & Design , vol.36 , pp. 49-66
    • Kok, K.1    van Delden, H.2
  • 20
    • 0008671650 scopus 로고
    • In search of an evolutionary paradigm for futures research
    • Mannermaa, M. (1991) In search of an evolutionary paradigm for futures research. Futures, 23, 349-372.
    • (1991) Futures , vol.23 , pp. 349-372
    • Mannermaa, M.1
  • 22
    • 80055098956 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Natural England. Natural England, Sheffield.
    • Natural England. (2008) Strategic Direction 2008-2013. Natural England, Sheffield.
    • (2008) Strategic Direction 2008-2013
  • 25
    • 0042761751 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Scenario planning: a tool for conservation in an uncertain world
    • Peterson, G.D., Cumming, G.S. & Carpenter, S.R. (2003) Scenario planning: a tool for conservation in an uncertain world. Conservation Biology, 17, 358-366.
    • (2003) Conservation Biology , vol.17 , pp. 358-366
    • Peterson, G.D.1    Cumming, G.S.2    Carpenter, S.R.3
  • 27
    • 33845490829 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Guidelines for systematic review in conservation and environmental management
    • Pullin, A.S. & Stewart, G.B. (2006) Guidelines for systematic review in conservation and environmental management. Conservation Biology, 20, 1647-1656.
    • (2006) Conservation Biology , vol.20 , pp. 1647-1656
    • Pullin, A.S.1    Stewart, G.B.2
  • 29
  • 31
    • 80055081947 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Verge: the little black dress of foresight methods. Available at:, accessed on 1 February 2010.
    • Schultz, W. (2007) Verge: the little black dress of foresight methods. Available at:, accessed on 1 February 2010.
    • (2007)
    • Schultz, W.1
  • 32
    • 80053591153 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Natural England Commissioned Report. Natural England, Sheffield.
    • Schultz, W. (2009) Scenarios Compendium. Natural England Commissioned Report. Natural England, Sheffield.
    • (2009) Scenarios Compendium
    • Schultz, W.1
  • 36
    • 80055076239 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Participatory scenarios for sustainable management of an ASB benchmark site in Thailand: the case of Mae Kong Kha subwatershed of Mae Chaem Watershed. International Symposium Towards Sustainable Livelihoods and Ecosystems in Mountainous Regions, Chiang Mai, Thailand.
    • Thongbai, P., Pipattwattanakul, D., Preechapanya, P., Manassrisuksi, K. & Huaysai, D. (2006) Participatory scenarios for sustainable management of an ASB benchmark site in Thailand: the case of Mae Kong Kha subwatershed of Mae Chaem Watershed. International Symposium Towards Sustainable Livelihoods and Ecosystems in Mountainous Regions, Chiang Mai, Thailand.
    • (2006)
    • Thongbai, P.1    Pipattwattanakul, D.2    Preechapanya, P.3    Manassrisuksi, K.4    Huaysai, D.5
  • 37
    • 80055099324 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • UK National Ecosystem Assessment. Key questions of the NEA. Available at:, accessed on 1 February 2010.
    • UK National Ecosystem Assessment. (2009) Key questions of the NEA. Available at:, accessed on 1 February 2010.
    • (2009)
  • 43
    • 34547115435 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Is adaptive management helping to solve fisheries problems?
    • Walters, C.J. (2007) Is adaptive management helping to solve fisheries problems? Ambio, 36, 304-307.
    • (2007) Ambio , vol.36 , pp. 304-307
    • Walters, C.J.1
  • 44
    • 0025603986 scopus 로고
    • Large-scale management experiments and learning by doing
    • Walters, C.J. & Holling, C.S. (1990) Large-scale management experiments and learning by doing. Ecology, 71, 2060-2068.
    • (1990) Ecology , vol.71 , pp. 2060-2068
    • Walters, C.J.1    Holling, C.S.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.