Breast and cervical cancer in 187 countries between 1980 and 2010: A systematic analysis

The Lancet

Volumn 378, Issue 9801, 2011, Pages 1461-1484

  Forouzanfar, Mohammad H ^a   Foreman, Kyle J ^a   Delossantos, Allyne M ^a   Lozano, Rafael ^a   Lopez, Alan D ^b   Murray, Christopher J L ^a   Naghavi, Mohsen ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON   (United States)

^b UNIVERSITY OF QUEENSLAND   (Australia)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ARTICLE; AUTOPSY; BREAST CANCER; CANCER EPIDEMIOLOGY; CANCER MORTALITY; CANCER RESEARCH; CANCER RISK; CANCER SURVIVAL; CAUSE OF DEATH; DEVELOPED COUNTRY; DEVELOPING COUNTRY; DRUG SCREENING; HUMAN; MIDDLE EAST; POPULATION BASED CASE CONTROL STUDY; PREDICTIVE VALUE; PRIORITY JOURNAL; UTERINE CERVIX CANCER;

EID: 80054914456     PISSN: 01406736     EISSN: 1474547X     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/S0140-6736(11)61351-2     Document Type: Article

References (89)

1. CJL Murray, AD Lopez Health dimensions of sex and reproduction: the global burden of sexually transmitted diseases, HIV, maternal conditions, perinatal disorders, and congenital anomalies 1998 Harvard School of Public Health Cambridge, MA
2. WHO 2008-2013 action plan for the global strategy for the prevention and control of noncommunicable diseases http://www.who.int/nmh/publications/ 9789241597418/en/index.html (accessed July 11, 2011).
3. WHO, Russian Federation First global ministerial conference on healthy lifestyles and non-communicable disease control: Moscow declaration preamble http://www.who.int/nmh/events/moscow-ncds-2011/conference-documents/ moscow-declaration-en.pdf (accessed July 10, 2011).
4. The NCD Alliance Proposed outcomes document for the United Nations high-level summit on non-communicable diseases http://www.ncdalliance.org/od (accessed July 10, 2011).
5. J Ferlay, H Shin, F Bray, D Forman, C Mathers, DM Parkin Estimates of worldwide burden of cancer in 2008: GLOBOCAN 2008 Int J Cancer 127 2010 2893 2917
6. MD Althuis, WF Anderson, SS Devesa, LA Brinton Global trends in breast cancer incidence and mortality 1973-1997 Int J Epidemiol 34 2005 405
7. J-H Lee, S-H Yim, Y-J Won et al. Population-based breast cancer statistics in Korea during 1993-2002: incidence, mortality, and survival J Korean Med Sci 22 2007 11 16
8. JL Botha, F Bray, R Sankila, DM Parkin Breast cancer incidence and mortality trends in 16 European countries Eur J Cancer 39 2003 1718 1729
9. HR Wabinga, DM Parkin, F Wabwire-Mangen, S Nambooze Trends in cancer incidence in Kyadondo County, Uganda, 1960-1997 Br J Cancer 82 2000 1585 1592
10. A Mills, F Rasheed, S Tollman Strengthening health systems DT Jamison JG Breman AR Measham Disease control priorities in developing countries 2nd edn. 2006 World Bank Publications Washington, DC
11. J Frenk The global health system: strengthening national health systems as the next step for global progress PLoS Med 7 2010 e1000089
12. WHO The world health report 2000: health systems - improving performance http://www.who.int/whr/2000/en (accessed July 11, 2011).
13. P Brown UK death rates from breast cancer fall by a third BMJ 321 2000 849
14. DA Berry, KA Cronin, S Plevritis et al. Effect of screening and adjuvant therapy on mortality from breast cancer Obstet Gynecol Surv 61 2006 179 180
15. L Tabár, A Gad, LH Holmberg, U Ljungquist Reduction in mortality from breast cancer after mass screening with mammography: randomised trial from the breast cancer screening working group of the Swedish national board of health and welfare Lancet 325 1985 829 832
16. O Olsen, PC Gøtzsche Cochrane review on screening for breast cancer with mammography Lancet 358 2001 1340 1342
17. R Sankaranarayanan, PO Esmy, R Rajkumar et al. Effect of visual screening on cervical cancer incidence and mortality in Tamil Nadu, India: a cluster-randomised trial Lancet 370 2007 398 406
18. E Lr, NE Day, M Hakama Trends in mortality from cervical cancer in the Nordic countries: association with organised screening programmes Lancet 329 1987 1247 1249
19. J Peto, C Gilham, O Fletcher, FE Matthews The cervical cancer epidemic that screening has prevented in the UK Lancet 364 2004 249 256
20. Green J, Berrington de Gonzalez A, Sweetland S, et al. Risk factors for adenocarcinoma and squamous cell carcinoma of the cervix in women aged 20-44 years: the UK National Case-Control Study of Cervical Cancer. Br J Cancer; 89: 2078-86.
21. EL Franco, E Duarte-Franco, A Ferenczy Cervical cancer: epidemiology, prevention and the role of human papillomavirus infection Can J Anaesth 164 2001 1017 1025
22. JMM Walboomers, MV Jacobs, MM Manos et al. Human papillomavirus is a necessary cause of invasive cervical cancer worldwide J Pathol 189 1999 12 19
23. RS Holmes, SE Hawes, P Touré et al. HIV infection as a risk factor for cervical cancer and cervical intraepithelial neoplasia in Senegal Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev 18 2009 2442 2446
24. N Munoz, FX Bosch, S de Sanjose et al. The causal link between human papillomavirus and invasive cervical cancer: a population-based case-control study in Colombia and Spain Int J Cancer 52 1992 743 749
25. RV Barnabas, P Laukkanen, P Koskela, O Kontula, M Lehtinen, GP Garnett Epidemiology of HPV 16 and cervical cancer in Finland and the potential impact of vaccination: mathematical modelling analyses PLoS Med 3 2006 e138
26. I Jatoi Breast cancer screening Am J Surg 177 1999 518 524
27. M Baum Survival and reduction in mortality from breast cancer BMJ 321 2000 1470
28. T Reynolds Declining breast cancer mortality: what's behind it? J Natl Cancer Inst 91 1999 750 753
29. AB Miller, T To, CJ Baines, C Wall For the Canadian National Breast Screening Study-2 Canadian national breast screening study-2: 13-year results of a randomized trial in women aged 50-59 years J Natl Cancer Inst 92 2000 1490 1499
30. RG Blanks, SM Moss, CE McGahan, MJ Quinn, PJ Babb Effect of NHS breast screening programme on mortality from breast cancer in England and Wales, 1990-8: comparison of observed with predicted mortality BMJ 321 2000 665 669
31. P Vineis, M Alavanja, P Buffler et al. Tobacco and Cancer: Recent epidemiological evidence J Natl Cancer Inst 96 2004 99 106
32. M Arbyn, J Antoine, M Mägi et al. Trends in cervical cancer incidence and mortality in the Baltic countries, Bulgaria and Romania J Natl Cancer Inst 128 2011 1899 1907
33. KC Chu, RE Tarone, LG Kessler et al. Recent trends in US breast cancer incidence, survival, and mortality Rates J Natl Cancer Inst 88 1996 1571 1579
34. M Arbyn, AO Raifu, E Weiderpass, F Bray, A Anttila Trends of cervical cancer mortality in the member states of the European Union Eur J Cancer 45 2009 2640 2648
35. R Lozano, H Gómez, S Lewis, L Torres, L López Tendencias del cáncer de mama en América Latina y el Caribe Salud Pública de México 51 suppl 2 2009 S147 S156
36. H-R Shin, M Boniol, C Joubert et al. Secular trends in breast cancer mortality in five East Asian populations: Hong Kong, Japan, Korea, Singapore and Taiwan Cancer Sci 101 2010 1241 1246
37. HE Karim-Kos, E de Vries, I Soerjomataram, V Lemmens, S Siesling, JW Coebergh Recent trends of cancer in Europe: a combined approach of incidence, survival and mortality for 17 cancer sites since the 1990s Eur J Cancer 44 2008 1345 1389
38. International Agency for Research on Cancer GLOBOCAN 2008: Cancer incidence and mortality worldwide http://globocan.iarc.fr/globocan2008.htm (accessed June 21, 2011).
39. Y Porapakkham, C Rao, J Pattaraarchachai et al. Estimated causes of death in Thailand, 2005: implications for health policy Popul Health Metrics 8 2010 14
40. G Yang, C Rao, J Ma et al. Validation of verbal autopsy procedures for adult deaths in China Int J Epidemiol 35 2006 741 748
41. A Ngo, C Rao, N Hoa, T Adair, N Chuc Mortality patterns in Vietnam, 2006: findings from a national verbal autopsy survey BMC Research Notes 3 2010 78
42. G Engholm, J Ferlay, N Christensen et al. NORDCAN: cancer incidence, mortality, prevalence and prediction in the Nordic countries, Version 3.5. Association of the Nordic Cancer Registries. Danish Cancer Society http://www-dep.iarc.fr/NORDCAN/english/im-sel.htm (accessed Sept 14, 2010).
43. MC Hogan, KJ Foreman, M Naghavi et al. Maternal mortality for 181 countries, 1980-2008: a systematic analysis of progress towards Millennium Development Goal 5 Lancet 375 2010 1609 1623
44. M Naghavi, S Makela, K Foreman, J O'Brien, F Pourmalek, R Lozano Algorithms for enhancing public health utility of national causes-of-death data Popul Health Metrics 8 2010 9
45. JK Rajaratnam, JR Marcus, AD Flaxman et al. Neonatal, postneonatal, childhood, and under-5 mortality for 187 countries, 1970-2010: a systematic analysis of progress towards Millennium Development Goal 4 Lancet 375 2010 1988 2008
46. JK Rajaratnam, JR Marcus, A Levin-Rector et al. Worldwide mortality in men and women aged 15-59 years from 1970 to 2010: a systematic analysis Lancet 375 2010 1704 1720
47. R Doll, P Payne, J Waterhouse Cancer incidence in five continents Vol I 1966 Union Internationale Contre le Cancer Geneva
48. R Doll, C Muir, J Waterhouse Cancer incidence in five continents Vol II 1970 Union Internationale Contre le Cancer Geneva
49. J Waterhouse, C Muir, P Correa, J Powell Cancer incidence in five continents Vol III 1976 IARC Scientific Publications No 15 Lyon
50. J Waterhouse, C Muir, K Shanmugaratnam, J Powell Cancer incidence in five continents Vol IV 1982 IARC Scientific Publications No. 42, IARC Lyon.
51. C Muir, J Waterhouse, T Mack, J Powell, S Whelan Cancer incidence in five continents Vol V 1987 IARC Scientific Publications No 88 Lyon
52. D Parkin, C Muir, S Whelan, Y Gao, J Ferlay, J Powell Cancer incidence in five continents Vol VI 1992 IARC Scientific Publications No 120 Lyon
53. D Parkin, S Whelan, J Ferlay, L Raymond, J Young Cancer incidence in five continents Vol VII 1997 IARC Scientific Publications No 143 Lyon
54. D Parkin, S Whelan, J Ferlay, L Teppo, D Thomas Cancer incidence in five continents Vol VIII 2002 IARC Scientific Publications No 155 Lyon
55. M Curado, B Edwards, H Shin et al. Cancer incidence in five continents Vol IX 2007 IARC Scientific Publications No 160 Lyon
56. SF Altekruse, CL Kosary, M Krapcho et al. SEER Cancer Statistics Review 1975-2007 http://seer.cancer.gov/csr/1975-2007/ (accessed July 29, 2010).
57. IACR International Association of Cancer Registries http://www.iacr.com. fr/reportsfromregistries3.htm (accessed April 22, 2011).
58. AH Loos, F Bray, P McCarron, E Weiderpass, M Hakama, DM Parkin Sheep and goats: separating cervix and corpus uteri from imprecisely coded uterine cancer deaths, for studies of geographical and temporal variations in mortality Eur J Cancer 40 2004 2794 2803
59. R Lozano, AD Lopez, C Atkinson, M Naghavi, AD Flaxman, CJ Murray Performance of physician-certified verbal autopsies: multisite validation study using clinical diagnostic gold standards Popul Health Metr 9 2011 32
60. R Sankaranarayanan, R Swaminathan Cancer Survival in Africa, Asia, the Caribbean and Central America 2011 IARC Scientific Publication No 162 Lyon
61. MP Coleman, M Quaresma, F Berrino et al. Cancer survival in five continents: a worldwide population-based study (CONCORD) Lancet Oncol 9 2008 730 756
62. P Baili, A Micheli, R De Angelis et al. Life tables for world-wide comparison of relative survival for cancer (CONCORD study) Tumori 94 2008 658 668
63. EUROCARE Survival of cancer patients in Europe http://www.eurocare.it/ Home/tabid/36/Default.aspx (accessed June 20, 2011).
64. National Cancer Institute SEER Survival Statistics http://seer.cancer. gov/canques/survival.html (accessed June 22, 2011).
65. E de Vries, HE Karim-Kos, MLG Janssen-Heijnen, I Soerjomataram, LA Kiemeney, JWW Coebergh Explanations for worsening cancer survival Nat Rev Clin Oncol 7 2010 60 63
66. R Peto Mortality from breast cancer in UK has decreased suddenly BMJ 317 1998 476 477
67. R Peto, J Boreham, M Clarke, C Davies, V Beral UK and USA breast cancer deaths down 25 in year 2000 at ages 20-69 years Lancet 355 2000 1822
68. F Levi, F Lucchini, E Negri, C La Vecchia Continuing declines in cancer mortality in the European Union Ann Oncol 18 2007 593 595
69. JL Kelsey, MD Gammon, EM John Reproductive factors and breast cancer Epidemiol Rev 15 1993 36 47
70. UNFPA Report of the International Conference on Population and Development http://www.unfpa.org/webdav/site/global/shared/documents/ publications/2004/icpd-eng.pdf 1995 (accessed July 10, 2011).
71. WHO Strengthening cervical cancer prevention and control: report of the GAVI-UNFPA-WHO meeting http://www.who.int/reproductivehealth/publications/ cancers/rhr-10-13/en/index.html (accessed July 13, 2011).
72. WHO Universal access to reproductive health: accelerated actions to enhance progress on Millennium Development Goal 5 through advancing Target 5B http://whqlibdoc.who.int/hq/2011/WHO-RHR-HRP-11.02-eng.pdf 2011 (accessed July 10, 2011).
73. Lozano R, Wang H, Foreman KJ, et al. Progress towards Millennium Development Goals 4 and 5 on maternal and child mortality: an updated systematic analysis. Lancet (in press).
74. C Hermon, V Beral Breast cancer mortality rates are levelling off or beginning to decline in many western countries: analysis of time trends, age-cohort and age-period models of breast cancer mortality in 20 countries Br J Cancer 73 1996 955 960
75. JE Tyczynski, I Plesko, T Aareleid et al. Breast cancer mortality patterns and time trends in 10 new EU member states: mortality declining in young women, but still increasing in the elderly Int J Cancer 112 2004 1056 1064
76. A Gondos, V Arndt, B Holleczek, C Stegmaier, H Ziegler, H Brenner Cancer survival in Germany and the United States at the beginning of the 21st century: an up-to-date comparison by period analysis Int J Cancer 121 2007 395 400
77. A Gondos, F Bray, T Hakulinen, H Brenner the EUNICE Survival Working Group Trends in cancer survival in 11 European populations from 1990 to 2009: a model-based analysis Annals of Oncology 20 2009 564 573
78. B Holleczek, V Arndt, C Stegmaier, H Brenner Trends in breast cancer survival in Germany from 1976 to 2008 - a period analysis by age and stage Cancer 2011 10.1016/j.canep.2011.01.008 published online Jan 31.
79. MG Valsecchi, E Steliarova-Foucher Cancer registration in developing countries: luxury or necessity? Lancet Oncol 9 2008 159 167
80. MP Curado, L Voti, AM Sortino-Rachou Cancer registration data and quality indicators in low and middle income countries: their interpretation and potential use for the improvement of cancer care Cancer Causes Control 20 2008 751 756
81. AD Flaxman, A Vahdatpour, S Green, SL James, CJ Murray Random forests for verbal autopsy analysis: multisite validation study using clinical diagnostic gold standards Popul Health Metr 9 2011 29
82. CJ Murray, AD Lopez, R Black et al. Population Health Metrics Research Consortium gold standard verbal autopsy validation study: design, implementation, and development of analysis datasets Popul Health Metr 9 2011 27
83. CJ Murray, SL James, JK Birnbaum, MK Freeman, R Lozano, AD Lopez Simplified Symptom Pattern Method for verbal autopsy analysis: multisite validation study using clinical diagnostic gold standards Popul Health Metr 9 2011 30
84. UN Commission on Information and Accountability for Women's and Children's Health http://www.itu.int/en/osg/activities/Pages/2011-01-health- commission.aspx (accessed July 10, 2011).
85. US Global Health Initiative http://www.ghi.gov/about/goals/index.htm (accessed July 10, 2011).
86. World Vision Child health now http://www.worldvision.org/resources.nsf/ main/press-child-health-now/$file/childhealthnowreport.pdf (accessed Sept 8, 2011).
87. A global action plan for maternal, newborn and child survival Available from: http://resourcecentre.savethechildren.se/node/4310 (accessed July 10, 2011).
88. Enhancing Global Fund support to maternal, newborn and child health Twenty-second board meeting, Sofia, Bulgaria http://maternalhealthtaskforce.org/ components/com-wpmu/wp-content/uploads/blogs.dir/1/files/2010/12/ Global-Fund-MNCH-Decision-Point-14-Dec.pdf (accessed July 10, 2011).
89. MF Gates Women deliver conference Address http://www.gatesfoundation.org/ speeches-commentary/Pages/melinda-gates-2010-women-deliver.aspx (accessed July 10, 2011).