-
1
-
-
83955165692
-
-
A progress report on the training of probability assessors. Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases
-
Alpert, M., & Raiffa, H. (1982a). A progress report on the training of probability assessors. Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases (pp. 294-305).
-
(1982)
, pp. 294-305
-
-
Alpert, M.1
Raiffa, H.2
-
2
-
-
0002560333
-
A progress report on the training of probability assessors
-
Cambridge University Press, D. Kahneman, P. Slovic, A. Tversky (Eds.)
-
Alpert M., Raiffa H. A progress report on the training of probability assessors. Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases 1982, 294-305. Cambridge University Press. D. Kahneman, P. Slovic, A. Tversky (Eds.).
-
(1982)
Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases
, pp. 294-305
-
-
Alpert, M.1
Raiffa, H.2
-
3
-
-
0012798622
-
Aggressiveness and survival of overconfident traders
-
Benos A. Aggressiveness and survival of overconfident traders. Journal of Financial Markets 1998, 1:353-383.
-
(1998)
Journal of Financial Markets
, vol.1
, pp. 353-383
-
-
Benos, A.1
-
4
-
-
16344367290
-
Judgemental overconfidence, self-monitoring, and trading performance in an experimental financial market
-
Biais B., Hilton D., Mazurier K. Judgemental overconfidence, self-monitoring, and trading performance in an experimental financial market. The Review of Economic Studies 2005, 72(2):287-312.
-
(2005)
The Review of Economic Studies
, vol.72
, Issue.2
, pp. 287-312
-
-
Biais, B.1
Hilton, D.2
Mazurier, K.3
-
5
-
-
21344470332
-
The natural selection of prediction heuristics: Anchoring and adjustment versus representativeness
-
Czaczkes B., Ganzach Y. The natural selection of prediction heuristics: Anchoring and adjustment versus representativeness. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making 1996, 9(2):125-139.
-
(1996)
Journal of Behavioral Decision Making
, vol.9
, Issue.2
, pp. 125-139
-
-
Czaczkes, B.1
Ganzach, Y.2
-
6
-
-
8744258405
-
Investor psychology and security market under- and overreactions
-
Daniel K., Hirshleifer D., Subrahmanyam A. Investor psychology and security market under- and overreactions. Journal of Finance 1998, 53:1839-1886.
-
(1998)
Journal of Finance
, vol.53
, pp. 1839-1886
-
-
Daniel, K.1
Hirshleifer, D.2
Subrahmanyam, A.3
-
7
-
-
68349090699
-
An experimental test of the impact of overconfidence and gender on trading activity
-
Deaves R., Luders E., Luo G. An experimental test of the impact of overconfidence and gender on trading activity. Review of Finance 2009, 13(3):555-575.
-
(2009)
Review of Finance
, vol.13
, Issue.3
, pp. 555-575
-
-
Deaves, R.1
Luders, E.2
Luo, G.3
-
8
-
-
34248161108
-
Zurich toolbox for ready-made economic experiments
-
Fischbacher U. Zurich toolbox for ready-made economic experiments. Experimental Economics 2007, 10(2):171-178.
-
(2007)
Experimental Economics
, vol.10
, Issue.2
, pp. 171-178
-
-
Fischbacher, U.1
-
12
-
-
70350139751
-
Coherence and correspondence in the psychological analysis of numerical predictions: How error-prone heuristics are replaced by ecologically valid heuristics
-
Ganzach Y. Coherence and correspondence in the psychological analysis of numerical predictions: How error-prone heuristics are replaced by ecologically valid heuristics. Judgment and Decision Making 2009, 4(2):175-185.
-
(2009)
Judgment and Decision Making
, vol.4
, Issue.2
, pp. 175-185
-
-
Ganzach, Y.1
-
13
-
-
0026234897
-
Probabilistic mental models: A Brunswikian theory of confidence
-
Gigerenzer G., Hoffrage U., Kleinbölting H. Probabilistic mental models: A Brunswikian theory of confidence. Psychological Review 1991, 98(4):506-528.
-
(1991)
Psychological Review
, vol.98
, Issue.4
, pp. 506-528
-
-
Gigerenzer, G.1
Hoffrage, U.2
Kleinbölting, H.3
-
15
-
-
83955161508
-
-
Overconfidence of professionals and lay men: Individual differences within and between tasks? University of Mannheim, working paper series SFB 504
-
Glaser, M., Weber, M., & Langer, T. (2005). Overconfidence of professionals and lay men: Individual differences within and between tasks? University of Mannheim, working paper series SFB 504 05-25.
-
(2005)
, pp. 05-25
-
-
Glaser, M.1
Weber, M.2
Langer, T.3
-
16
-
-
34247632380
-
An online recruitment system for economic experiments
-
Gesellschaft für Wissenschaftliche Datenverarbeitung, Göttingen, K. Kremer, V. Macho (Eds.)
-
Greiner B. An online recruitment system for economic experiments. Forschung und wissenschaftliches Rechnen, GWDG Bericht 63 2004, 79-83. Gesellschaft für Wissenschaftliche Datenverarbeitung, Göttingen. K. Kremer, V. Macho (Eds.).
-
(2004)
Forschung und wissenschaftliches Rechnen, GWDG Bericht 63
, pp. 79-83
-
-
Greiner, B.1
-
17
-
-
33847064283
-
Use of heuristics: Insights from forecasting research
-
Harvey N. Use of heuristics: Insights from forecasting research. Thinking & Reasoning 2007, 13(1):5-24.
-
(2007)
Thinking & Reasoning
, vol.13
, Issue.1
, pp. 5-24
-
-
Harvey, N.1
-
18
-
-
79952998922
-
Do positive illusions predict overconfidence in judgment? A test using interval production and probability evaluation measures of miscalibration
-
Hilton D., Régner I., Cabantous L., Charalambides L., Vautier S. Do positive illusions predict overconfidence in judgment? A test using interval production and probability evaluation measures of miscalibration. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making 2011, 24(2):117-139.
-
(2011)
Journal of Behavioral Decision Making
, vol.24
, Issue.2
, pp. 117-139
-
-
Hilton, D.1
Régner, I.2
Cabantous, L.3
Charalambides, L.4
Vautier, S.5
-
19
-
-
43949155437
-
The overconfidence phenomenon as a consequence of information experimenter-guided selection of almanac questions
-
Juslin P. The overconfidence phenomenon as a consequence of information experimenter-guided selection of almanac questions. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes 1994, 57:226-246.
-
(1994)
Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes
, vol.57
, pp. 226-246
-
-
Juslin, P.1
-
20
-
-
0020109879
-
Variants of uncertainty
-
Kahneman D., Tversky A. Variants of uncertainty. Cognition 1982, 11(2):143-157.
-
(1982)
Cognition
, vol.11
, Issue.2
, pp. 143-157
-
-
Kahneman, D.1
Tversky, A.2
-
21
-
-
0001037403
-
Calibration and probability judgements: Conceptual and methodological issues
-
Keren G. Calibration and probability judgements: Conceptual and methodological issues. Acta Psychologica 1991, 77(3):217-273.
-
(1991)
Acta Psychologica
, vol.77
, Issue.3
, pp. 217-273
-
-
Keren, G.1
-
22
-
-
0000932689
-
Overconfidence: It depends on how, what, and whom you ask
-
Klayman J., Soll J., González-Vallejo C., Barlas S. Overconfidence: It depends on how, what, and whom you ask. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes 1999, 79(3):216-247.
-
(1999)
Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes
, vol.79
, Issue.3
, pp. 216-247
-
-
Klayman, J.1
Soll, J.2
González-Vallejo, C.3
Barlas, S.4
-
23
-
-
0039647005
-
Speculation duopoly with agreement to disagree: Can overconfidence survive the market test?
-
Kyle A., Wang F. Speculation duopoly with agreement to disagree: Can overconfidence survive the market test?. Journal of Finance 1997, 52:2073-2090.
-
(1997)
Journal of Finance
, vol.52
, pp. 2073-2090
-
-
Kyle, A.1
Wang, F.2
-
24
-
-
33745954507
-
Judgmental forecasting: A review of progress over the last 25 years
-
Lawrence M., Goodwin P., O'Connor M., önkal D. Judgmental forecasting: A review of progress over the last 25 years. International Journal of Forecasting 2006, 22(3):493-518.
-
(2006)
International Journal of Forecasting
, vol.22
, Issue.3
, pp. 493-518
-
-
Lawrence, M.1
Goodwin, P.2
O'Connor, M.3
önkal, D.4
-
26
-
-
0000145697
-
Scale, variability, and the calibration of judgmental prediction intervals
-
Lawrence M., O'Connor M. Scale, variability, and the calibration of judgmental prediction intervals. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes (Print) 1993, 56(3):441-458.
-
(1993)
Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes (Print)
, vol.56
, Issue.3
, pp. 441-458
-
-
Lawrence, M.1
O'Connor, M.2
-
27
-
-
83955161507
-
-
Calibration and probabilities: The state of the art to 1980. Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases
-
Lichtenstein, S., Fischhoff, B., & Phillips, L. (1982). Calibration and probabilities: The state of the art to 1980. Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases (pp. 306-334).
-
(1982)
, pp. 306-334
-
-
Lichtenstein, S.1
Fischhoff, B.2
Phillips, L.3
-
28
-
-
43449094045
-
The trouble with overconfidence
-
Moore D., Healy P. The trouble with overconfidence. Psychological Review 2008, 115(2):502-517.
-
(2008)
Psychological Review
, vol.115
, Issue.2
, pp. 502-517
-
-
Moore, D.1
Healy, P.2
-
29
-
-
0346907827
-
Volume, volatility, price and profit: When all traders are above average
-
Odean T. Volume, volatility, price and profit: When all traders are above average. Journal of Finance 1998, 53:1887-1934.
-
(1998)
Journal of Finance
, vol.53
, pp. 1887-1934
-
-
Odean, T.1
-
31
-
-
83955161509
-
-
Is the quadratic scoring rule really incentive compatible? Working paper University of Amsterdam.
-
Sonnemans, J. & Offerman, T. (2001). Is the quadratic scoring rule really incentive compatible? Working paper University of Amsterdam.
-
(2001)
-
-
Sonnemans, J.1
Offerman, T.2
-
32
-
-
83955162667
-
-
Biasing auctions. Unpublished manuscript.
-
Weyl, E. (2006). Biasing auctions. Unpublished manuscript.
-
(2006)
-
-
Weyl, E.1
|