Short term effect of rainfall on suspected malaria episodes at Magaria, Niger: A time series study

Transactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene

Volumn 105, Issue 11, 2011, Pages 637-643

  Jusot, Jean François ^a   Alto, Oumarou ^a  

^a Centre de Recherche Medicale et Sanitaire   (Niger)

Author keywords

Climate; Health impact assessment; Malaria; Risk; Time series models

Indexed keywords

RAIN;

ADOLESCENT; AGE DISTRIBUTION; ARTICLE; CHILD; HUMAN; INCIDENCE; INFANT; INFECTION RATE; INFECTION RISK; MAJOR CLINICAL STUDY; MALARIA; MATHEMATICAL MODEL; MORBIDITY; NIGER; PRESCHOOL CHILD; RETROSPECTIVE STUDY; RISK ASSESSMENT; SCHOOL CHILD; SEASONAL VARIATION; TIME SERIES ANALYSIS;

ADOLESCENT; ADULT; ANIMALS; ANOPHELES; CHILD; CHILD, PRESCHOOL; FEMALE; HUMANS; INCIDENCE; INFANT; INFANT, NEWBORN; MALARIA; MALE; NIGER; RAIN; RETROSPECTIVE STUDIES; TIME FACTORS; YOUNG ADULT;

EID: 80054084434     PISSN: 00359203     EISSN: 18783503     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.trstmh.2011.07.011     Document Type: Article

References (21)

1. WHO. Statistiques sanitaires mondiales. Rapport 2008. Geneva: World Health Organization; 2008. [accessed 30 March 2010]. http://www.who.int/whosis/whostat/FR_PDF_WHS08_Full.pdf.
2. WHO. World Malaria Report 2009. Geneva: World Health Organization; 2009. [accessed 30 March 2010]. http://whqlibdoc.who.int/publications/2009/9789241563901_eng.pdf.
3. Teklehaimanot H.D., Lipsitch M., Teklehaimanot A., Schwartz J. Weather-based prediction of Plasmodium falciparum malaria in epidemic-prone regions of Ethiopia I. Patterns of lagged weather effects reflect biological mechanisms. Malar J 2004, 3:41.
4. Tuteja R. Malaria - an overview. FEBS J 2007, 274:4670-4679.
5. Peterson I., Borrell L.N., El-Sadr W., Teklehaimanot A. A temporal-spatial analysis of malaria transmission in Adama, Ethiopia. Am J Trop Med Hyg 2009, 81:944-949.
6. Raso G., Silué K.D., Vounatsou P., Singer B.H., Yapi A., Tanner M., et al. Spatial risk profiling of Plasmodium falciparum parasitaemia in a high endemicity area in Côte d'Ivoire. Malar J 2009, 8:252.
7. Sogoba N., Vounatsou P., Bagayoko M.M., Doumbia S., Dolo G., Gosoniu L., et al. The spatial distribution of Anopheles gambiae sensu stricto and An. arabiensis (Diptera: Culicidae) in Mali. Geospat Health 2007, 1:213-222.
8. Zhou G., Minakawa N., Githeko A.K., Yan G. Association between climate variability and malaria epidemics in the East African highlands. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 2004, 101:2375-2380.
9. Gomez-Elipe A., Otero A., van Herp M., Aguirre-Jaime A. Forecasting malaria incidence based on monthly case reports and environmental factors in Karuzi, Burundi, 1997-2003. Malar J 2007, 6:129.
10. Kelly-Hope L.A., McKenzie F.E. The multiplicity of malaria transmission: a review of entomological inoculation rate measurements and methods across sub-Saharan Africa. Malar J 2009, 8:19.
11. Martens W.J., Niessen L.W., Rotmans J., Jetten T.H., McMichael A.J. Potential impact of global climate change on malaria risk. Environ Health Perspect 1995, 103:458-464.
12. Bomblies A., Eltahir E.A. Assessment of the impact of climate shifts on malaria transmission in the Sahel. Ecohealth 2009, 6:426-437.
13. WHO. Malaria case management. Operations manual 2009. Geneva: World Health Organization; 2009. [accessed 30 March 2010]. http://www.who.int/malaria/publications/atoz/malaria_case_management_operations_manual.pdf.
14. Wood S.N. Stable and efficient multiple smoothing parameter estimation for generalized additive models. J Amer Statist Ass 2004, 99:673-686.
15. Wood S.N. Fast stable direct fitting and smoothness selection for generalized additive models. J R Statist Soc B 2008, 70:495-518.
16. Craven P., Wahba G. Smoothing noisy data with spline functions. Numerical Mathematics 1979, 31:377-403.
17. Silué K.D., Raso G., Yapi A., Vounatsou P., Tanner M., N'goran E.K., et al. Spatially-explicit risk profiling of Plasmodium falciparum infections at a small scale: a geostatistical modelling approach. Malar J 2008, 7:111.
18. Ndiaye O., Hesran J.Y., Etard J.F., Diallo A., Simondon F., Ward M.N., et al. Variations climatiques et mortalité attribuée au paludisme dans la zone de Niakhar, Sénégal, de 1984 à 1996. Sante 2001, 11:25-33.
19. Chatfield C. The analysis of time series 1996, Chapman & Hall, London.
20. Harrison N.E., Odunukwe N.N., Ijoma C.K., Mafe A.G. Current clinical presentation of malaria in Enugu, Nigeria. Niger Postgrad Med J 2004, 11:240-245.
21. Martuzzi M., Krzyzanowski M., Bertollini R. Health impact assessment of air pollution: providing further evidence for public health action. Eur Respir J 2003, 40:86s-91s.