Revealing the organization of complex adaptive systems through multivariate time series modeling

Ecology and Society

Volumn 16, Issue 3, 2011, Pages 05-

  Angeler, David G ^a   Drakare, Stina ^a   Johnson, Richard K ^a  

^a SWEDISH UNIVERSITY OF AGRICULTURAL SCIENCES   (Sweden)

Author keywords

Complex adaptive systems dynamics; Complex adaptive systems organization; Cross scale structure; Discontinuities; Environmental variables; Invertebratesm; Lakes; Panarchy; Phytoplankton; Resilience; Time series modeling

Indexed keywords

ADAPTIVE MANAGEMENT; COMMUNITY DYNAMICS; ECOSYSTEM RESILIENCE; FUNCTIONAL GROUP; INVERTEBRATE; LAKE ECOSYSTEM; MULTIVARIATE ANALYSIS; PHYTOPLANKTON; TIME SERIES ANALYSIS;

INVERTEBRATA;

EID: 80053499052     PISSN: None     EISSN: 17083087     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.5751/ES-04175-160305     Document Type: Article

References (32)

1. Allen, C.R., A.S. Garmestani, T.D. Havlicek, P.A. Marquet, G.D. Peterson, C. Restrepo, C.A. Stow, and B.E. Weeks. 2006. Patterns in body mass distributions: sifting among alternative hypotheses. Ecology Letters 9:630-643. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1461-0248.2006.00902.x
2. Allen, C.R., L. Gunderson, and A.R. Johnson. 2005. The use of discontinuities and functional groups to assess relative resilience in complex systems. Ecosystems 8:958-966. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s1 0021-005-0147-x
3. Allen, C.R., and C.S. Holling. 2008. Discontinuities in ecosystems and other complex systems. Columbia University Press, New York, USA.
4. Allen, T. F. H., and T. B. Starr. 1982. Hierarchy: perspectives for ecological complexity. Chicago University Press, Chicago, Illinois, USA.
5. Angeler, D. G., C. Trigal, S. Drakare, R.K. Johnson, and W. Goedkoop. 2010. Identifying resilience mechanisms to recurrent ecosystem perturbations. Oecologia 164:231-241. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00442-010-1640-2
6. Angeler, D.G., O. Viedma, and J. M. Moreno. 2009. Statistical performance and information content of time lag analysis and redundancy analysis in time series modeling. Ecology 90:3245-3257. http://dx.d oi.org/10.1890/07-0391.1
7. Burnham, K. P., and D. R. Anderson. 2002. Model selection and multimodel inference: a practical information-theoretic approach, second edition. Springer, New York, USA.
8. Garmestani, A. S., C. R. Allen, and K. M. Bessey. 2008. Discontinuities in urban systems: comparison of regional city size structure in the United States. Pages 136-154 in C. R. Allen and C. S. Holling, editors. Discontinuities in ecosystems and other complex systems. Columbia University Press, New York, USA.
9. Garmestani, A. S., C. R. Allen, C. M. Gallagher, and J. D. Mittelstaedt. 2007. Departures from Gibrat's Law, discontinuities and city size distributions. Urban Studies 44:1997-2007. http://d x.doi.org/10.1080/00420980701471935
10. Garmestani, A. S., C. R. Allen, andL. Gunderson. 2009. Panarchy: discontinuities reveal similarity in the dynamic system structure of ecological andsocial systems. Ecology andSociety 14(1):15. [online] URL: http://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol14/iss1/art15
11. Gunderson, L. H. 2008. Biophysical discontinuities in the Everglades ecosystem. Pages 83-100 in C. R. Allen andC. S. Holling, editors. Discontinuities in ecosystems andother complex systems. Columbia University Press, New York, USA.
12. Gunderson, L., C. R. Allen, andD. Wardwell. 2006. Temporal scaling in complex systems: resonant frequencies andbiotic variability. Pages 78-89 in J. A. Bissonette andI. Storch, editors. Temporal dimensions of landscape ecology. Springer, New York, USA.
13. Gunderson, L. H., andC. S. Holling. 2002. Panarchy: understanding transformations in human andnatural systems. IslandPress, Washington D.C., USA.
14. Havlicek, T., andS. R. Carpenter. 2001. Pelagic species size distributions in lakes: are they discontinuous? Limnology andOceanography 46:1021-1033.
15. Holling, C. S. 1992. Cross-scale morphology, geometry anddynamics of ecosystems. Ecological Monographs 62:447-502.
16. Holling, C. S., andC. R. Allen. 2002. Adaptive inference for distinguishing credible from incredible patterns in nature. Ecosystems 5:319-328.
17. Hurrell, J. 2010. Climate indices, introduction to NAO indices, winter (Dec-Mar) station basedNAO index. National Council for Atmospheric Research, Earth System Laboratory, Climate andGlobal Dynamics, Boulder, Colorado, USA. [online] URL: http://www.cgd.ucar.edu/cas/jhurrell/nao.stat.winter. html.
18. Jansson, M., P. Blomqvist, A. Jonsson, andA. K. Bergström. 1996. Nutrient limitation of bacterioplankton, autotrophic andmixotrophic phytoplankton, andheterotrophic nanoflagellates in Lake Örträsket. Limnology andOceanography 41:1552-1559.
19. Keskitalo, J., andP. Eloranta. 1999. Limnology of humic waters. Backhuys Publishers, Leiden, The Netherlands.
20. Leuteritz, T. E. J., andH. R. Ekiba. 2008. Not all roads leadto resilience: a complex systems approach to the comparative analysis of tortoises in aridecosystems. Ecology andSociety 13(1). [online] URL: http://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol13/iss1/art1/
21. Olrik, K. P., P. Blomqvist, P. Brettum, G. Cronberg, andP. Eloranta. 1989. Methods for quantitative assessment of phytoplankton in freshwaters, part I. Swedish Environmental Protection Agency, Stockholm, Sweden.
22. Ottersen, G., B. Planque, A. Belgrano, E. Post, P.C. Reid, andN. C. Stenseth. 2001. Ecological effects of the North Atlantic Oscillation. Oecologia 128:1-14.
23. Peterson, G. D., C. R. Allen, andC. S. Holling. 1998. Ecological resilience, biodiversity, andscale. Ecosystems 1:6-18.
24. R Development Core Team. 2008. R: a language andenvironment for statistical computing. R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria.
25. Roughgarden, J. 1998. Primer of ecological theory. Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, New Jersey, USA.
26. Scheffer, M., andE. van Nes. 2006. Self-organizedsimilarity, the evolutionary emergence of groups of similar species. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 103:6230-6235.
27. Simon, H. A. 1973. The organization of complex systems. Pages 1-27 in H. H. Pattee, editor. Hierarchy theory: the challenge of complex systems. George Braziller, New York, USA.
28. Stoddard, J. L., D. S. Jeffries, A. Lukewille, T. A. Clair, P. J. Dillon, C. T. Driscoll, M. Forsius, M. Johannessen, J. S. Kahl, J. H. Kellogg, A. Kemp, J. Mannio, D. T. Monteith, P. S. Murdoch, S. Patrick, A. Rebsdorf, B. L. Skjelkvåle, M. P. Stainton, T. Traaen, H. van Dam, K. E. Webster, J. Wieting, andA. Wilander. 1999. Regional trends in aquatic recovery from acidification in North America andEurope. Nature 401:575-578.
29. Stow, C., C. R. Allen, andA. H. Garmestani. 2007. Evaluating discontinuities in complex systems: towardquantitative measures of resilience. Ecology andSociety 12(1):26. [online] URL: http://www.ec ologyandsociety.org/vol12/iss1/art26/
30. Wardwell, D., andC. R. Allen. 2009. Variability in population abundance is associatedwith thresholds between scaling regimes. Ecology andSociety 14 (2):42. [online] URL: http://www.ecologyandsociety. org/vol14/iss2/art42/
31. Wardwell, D. A., C. R. Allen, G. D. Peterson, andA. J. Tyre. 2008. A test of the cross-scale resilience model: functional richness in Mediterranean-climate ecosystems. Ecological Complexity 5:165-182.
32. Wilander, A., R. K. Johnson, andW. Goedkoop. 2003. Riksinventering 2000. En synoptisk studie av vattenkemi och bottenfauna i svenska sjöar och vattendrag. Institutionen for Miljoanalys, Sveriges Lantbruksuniversitet, Uppsala, Sweden.