Climate change and American Bullfrog invasion: What could we expect in South America?

PLoS ONE

Volumn 6, Issue 10, 2011, Pages

  Nori, Javier ^a   Urbina Cardona, J Nicolás ^b   Loyola, Rafael D ^c   Lescano, Julián N ^a,d   Leynaud, Gerardo C ^a  

^a CENTRO DE ZOOLOGÍA APLICADA   (Argentina)

^b PONTIFICIA UNIVERSIDAD JAVERIANA   (Colombia)

^c FEDERAL UNIVERSITY OF GOIÁS   (Brazil)

^d Facultad de Ciencias Naturales e Instituto M Lillo   (Argentina)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ARTICLE; BIODIVERSITY; BULLFROG; CLIMATE CHANGE; CONTROLLED STUDY; ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT; ENVIRONMENTAL PARAMETERS; ENVIRONMENTAL PLANNING; ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION; FOREST; GEOGRAPHIC DISTRIBUTION; GREENHOUSE GAS; NONHUMAN; SOUTH AMERICA; SPECIES DISTRIBUTION; SPECIES INVASION; ANIMAL; FROG; GEOGRAPHY; INTRODUCED SPECIES; PHYSIOLOGY;

AMPHIBIA; LITHOBATES; RANA CATESBEIANA;

ANIMALS; CLIMATE CHANGE; CONSERVATION OF NATURAL RESOURCES; GEOGRAPHY; INTRODUCED SPECIES; RANA CATESBEIANA; SOUTH AMERICA;

EID: 80053460811     PISSN: None     EISSN: 19326203     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0025718     Document Type: Article

References (55)

1. Thuiller W, Richardson DM, Midgley GF, (2007) Will climate change promote alien plant invasions?. In: Nentwig W, editors. Ecological studies, Berlin: Springer pp. 197-211.
2. Kearney M, Phillips BL, Tracy CR, Keith AC, Betts G, et al. (2008) Modelling species distributions without using species distributions: the cane toad in Australia under current and future climates. Ecography 31: 423-434.
3. Beaumont LJ, Gallagher RV, Thuiller W, Downey PO, Leishman MR, et al. (2009) Different climatic envelopes among invasive populations may lead to underestimations of current and future biological invasions. Divers Distrib 15: 409-420.
4. Elith J, Kearney M, Phillips S, (2010) The art of modelling range-shifting species. Methods Ecol Evol 1 (4): 330-342.
5. Sala OE, Chaplin FS, Armesto JJ, Berlow E, Bloomfield J, et al. (2000) Global biodiversity scenarios for the year 2100. Science 287: 1770-1774.
6. Mack MC, D'Antonio CM, (1998) Impacts of biological invasions on disturbance regimes. Trends Ecol Evol 13: 195-198.
7. Usher MB, Kruger FJ, Macdonald IAW, Loope LL, Brockie RE, (1988) The ecology of biological invasions into nature reserves: An introduction. Biol Conserv 44: 1-8.
8. Wilcove DS, Rothstein D, Dubow J, Phillips A, Losos E, (2000) Leading threats to biodiversity: what's imperiling U.S. species. In: Stein BA, Kutner LS, Adams JS, editors. Precious heritage: the status of biodiversity in the United States Oxford Oxford University Press pp. 239-254.
9. Coutts-Smith AJ, Downey PO, (2006) The impact of weeds on threatened biodiversity in New South Wales. Technical Series No. 11, CRC for Australian Weed Management, Adelaide, South Australia, Australia. 09 Available: http://www.canberra.edu.au/centres/iae/pdfs/2006_Coutts-Smith-and-Downey_Weeds-CRC-Tech-no-11.pdf. Accessed: 2011 May.
10. Sharma JP, Singh JS, Raghubanshi AS, (2005) Plant invasions: Emerging trends and future implications. Curr Sci 88 (5): 726-734.
11. Parrish JD, Braun DP, Unnasch RS, (2003) Are we conserving what we say we are? Measuring ecological integrity within protected areas. Bioscience 53: 851-860.
12. Jamsranjav J, Spalding M, (2008) Threats to protected areas: Alien species. In: Chape S, Spalding M, Jenkins M, editors. The World's protected areas: Status, values and prospectus in the 21st century Berkeley University of California Press pp. 88-90.
13. Lutz CG, Avery JL, (1999) Bullfrog culture. Southern Regional Aquaculture Center SRAC publication No, 436. 7 Avaliable: https://srac.tamu.edu/index.cfm/event/getFactSheet/whichfactsheet/96/. Accessed 2011 March.
14. Lever C, (2003) Naturalized amphibians and reptiles of the world. New York Oxford University Press.
15. Schloegel LM, Picco AM, Kilpatrick AM, Davies AJ, Hyatt AD, et al. (2009) Magnitude of the US trade in amphibians and presence of Batrachochytrium dendrobatidis and ranavirus infection in imported North American bullfrogs (Rana catesbeiana). Biol Conserv 142: 1420-1426.
16. Becker CG, Zamudio KR, (2011) Tropical amphibian populations experience higher disease risk in natural hábitats. PNAS 108 (24): 9893-9898.
17. Ziller SR, Reaser JK, Neville LE, Brandt K, (2005) Especies alienígenas em Sudamérica: informes nacionales & directorio de recursos. Programa Global de Géneros Invasivos, Cidade do Cabo, Africa so Sul. 114p.
18. ISSG (Invasive Species Specialist Group) (2009) Global Invasive Species Database. Avaliable: http://www.issg.org/database/welcome/. Accessed 2011 May 19.
19. IABIN, (2011) Inter-American Biodiversity Information Network. Available: http://i3n.iabin.net/. Accessed 2011 May 20.
20. Franklin J, (2010) Moving beyond static species distribution models in support of conservation biogeography. Divers Distrib 6 (3): 321-330.
21. Soberón J, (2007) Grinnellian and Eltonian niches and geographic distributions of species. Ecol Lett 10: 1115-1123.
22. Ficetola GF, Thuiller W, Miaud C, (2007) Prediction and validation of the potential global distribution of a problematic alien invasive species --the American bullfrog. Divers Distrib 13: 476-485.
23. Giovanelli JGR, Haddad CFB, Alexandrino J, (2008) Predicting the potential distribution of the alien invasive American bullfrog (Lithobates catesbeianus) in Brazil. Biol Invasions 10: 585-590.
24. Nori J, Akmentins M, Ghirardi R, Frutos N, Leynaud GC, (2011) American Bullfrog invasion in Argentina: where should we take urgent measures?. Biodivers Conserv 20: 1125-1132.
25. Urbina-Cardona JN, Castro F, (2010) Distribución Actual y Futura de Anfibios y Reptiles con Potencial Invasor en Colombia: Una Aproximación Usando Modelos de Nicho Ecológico. In: Varela A, editors. Biodiversidad y Cambio Climático Bogota, Colombia Pontificia Universidad Javeriana pp. 65-72.
26. Urbina-Cardona JN, Nori J, Castro F, (2011) Potencial Invasor de la Rana Toro en Colombia: Posibles respuestas al cambio climático. Biota Colombiana In press.
27. Loyola RD, Nabout JC, Trindade-Filho J, Lemes P, Urbina-Cardona JN, et al. (2011) Climate change might drive species into reserves: a case study of the American Bullfrog in the Atlantic Forest Biodiversity Hotspot. Alytes In press.
28. Akmentins MS, Cardozo DE, (2010) American bullfrog Lithobates catesbeianus (Shaw, 1802) invasion in Argentina. Biol Invasions 12: 735-737.
29. Sanabria E, Ripoll Y, Jordan M, Quiroga L, Ariza M, et al. (2011) A new record for American Bullfrog (Lithobates catesbeianus) in San Juan, Argentina. Rev Mex Biodiver 82: 311-313.
30. IUCN (2010) IUCN Red List of Threatened Species. Version 2010.4. Available: http://www.iucnredlist.org. Accessed 2011 May 26.
31. Warren DL, Seifert SN, (2011) Environmental niche modeling in Maxent: the importance of model complexity and the performance of model selection criteria. Ecol Appl 21: 335-342.
32. Diniz-Filho JA, Bini LM, Rangel TFLB, Loyola RD, Hof C, et al. (2009) Partitioning and mapping uncertainties in ensembles of forecasts of species turnover under climate changes. Ecography 32: 897-906.
33. Diniz-Filho JAF, Nabout JC, Bini LM, Loyola RD, Rangel TFLB, et al. (2010) Ensemble forecasting and geographic range of Tropidacris cristata (Orthoptera: Acridoidea: Romaleidae) under climate change. Insect Conserv Diver 3: 213-221.
34. IPCC 2007: Climate Change 2007: The Scientific Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press. 996p.
35. Hijmans RJ, Cameron SE, Parra JL, Jones PG, Jarvis A, (2005) Very high resolution interpolated climate surfaces for global land areas. Int J Climatol 25: 1965-1978.
36. Phillips SJ, Dudík M, Elith J, Graham CH, Lehmann A, et al. (2009) Sample selection bias and presence-only distribution models: implications for back-ground and pseudo-absence data. Ecol Appl 19: 181-197.
37. Elith J, Graham CH, Anderson RP, Dudík M, Ferrier S, et al. (2006) Novel methods improve prediction of species' distributions from occurrence data. Ecography 29: 129-151.
38. Pyron RA, Burbrink FT, Guiher TJ, (2008) Claims of potential expansion throughout the U.S. by invasive python species are contradicted by ecological niche models. PLoS ONE 3: e2931 10.1371/journal.pone.0002931.
39. Rodda GH, Jarnevich CS, Reed RN, (2011) Challenges in Identifying Sites Climatically Matched to the Native Ranges of Animal Invaders. PLoS ONE 6 (2): e14670.
40. Phillips SJ, Anderson RP, Schapire RE, (2006) Maximum entropy modeling of species geographic distributions. Ecol Model 190: 231-259.
41. Elith J, Phillips SJ, Hastie T, Dudík M, Chee YE, et al. (2011) A statistical explanation of MaxEnt for ecologists. Divers Distrib 17: 43-57.
42. Environmental Systems Research Institute (ESRI) (2005) ArcMap GIS, ver. 9.3.1. Redlands, California.
43. Matthews S, (2005) Sudamérica Invadida. GISP: Programa Mundial sobre especies invasoras. 81p.
44. Austin MP, (2002) Spatial prediction of species distribution: an interface between ecological theory and statistical modelling. Ecol Model 157: 101-118.
45. Pearson RG, Dawson TE, (2003) Predicting the impacts of climate change on the distribution of species: are bioclimate envelope models useful?. Global Ecol Biogeogr 12: 361-371.
46. Hierro JL, Maron JL, Callaway RM, (2005) A biogeographical approach to plant invasions: the importance of studying exotics in their introduced and native range. J Ecol 93: 1-15.
47. Broennimann O, Guisan A, (2008) Predicting current and future biological invasions: both native and invaded ranges matter. Biol Lett 4: 585-589.
48. Gallagher RV, Beaumont LJ, Hughes L, Leishman MR, (2010) Evidence for climatic niche and biome shifts between native and novel ranges in plant species introduced to Australia. J Ecol 98: 790-799.
49. Peterson, AT, (2003) Predicting the geography of species' invasions via ecological niche modeling. Q Rev Biol 78: 419-433.
50. Martinez-Meyer E, Peterson AT, (2006) Conservatism of ecological niche characteristics in North American plant species over the Pleistocene-to-Recent transition. J of Biogeogr 33: 1779-1789.
51. Tingley R, Phillips BL, Shine R, (2011) Establishment Success of Introduced amphibians Increases in the Presence of Congeneric Species. Am Nat 177 (3): 382-388.
52. Hellmann JJ, Byers JE, Bierwagen BG, Dukes JS, (2008) Five potential consequences of climate change for invasive species. Conserv Biol 22 (3): 534-543.
53. Pyke CR, Thomas R, Porter RD, Hellmann JJ, Dukes JS, et al. (2008) Current practices and future opportunities for policy on climate change and invasive species Conserv Biol 22 (3): 585-92.
54. Simberloff D, Schmitz DC, Brown TC, (1997) Strangers in paradise: impact and management of nonindigenous species in Florida. Washington, D.C. Island Press.
55. McNeely JA, Mooney HA, Neville LE, Schei PJ, Waage JK, (2005) A global strategy on invasive alien species: synthesis and ten strategic elements. In: Mooney HA, Mack RN, McNeely JA, Neville LE, Schei PJ, Waage JK, editors. Invasive alien species: a new synthesis Washington DC Island Press pp. 332-345.