Inability of providers to predict unplanned readmissions

Journal of General Internal Medicine

Volumn 26, Issue 7, 2011, Pages 771-776

  Allaudeen, Nazima ^a,b   Schnipper, Jeffrey L ^c   John Orav, E ^d   Wachter, Robert M ^b   Vidyarthi, Arpana R ^b  

^a VA PALO ALTO HEALTH CARE SYSTEM   (United States)

^b UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA   (United States)

^c BRIGHAM AND WOMEN S HOSPITAL   (United States)

^d HARVARD SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH   (United States)

Author keywords

Prediction; Readmission; Unplanned

Indexed keywords

ACCURACY; AGED; CASE MANAGER; COMPARATIVE STUDY; ELECTRONIC MEDICAL RECORD; FEMALE; HOSPITAL READMISSION; HUMAN; MAJOR CLINICAL STUDY; MALE; NURSE; PHYSICIAN; PREDICTION; PREDICTIVE VALUE; REVIEW; SENSITIVITY AND SPECIFICITY;

AGED; AGED, 80 AND OVER; ELECTRONIC HEALTH RECORDS; FEMALE; FORECASTING; HUMANS; MALE; PATIENT DISCHARGE; PATIENT READMISSION; PREDICTIVE VALUE OF TESTS; PROBABILITY;

EID: 80051558663     PISSN: 08848734     EISSN: 15251497     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s11606-011-1663-3     Document Type: Review

References (29)

1. A New Era of Responsibility: Renewing America's Promise. http://www.whitehouse.gov/omb/assets/fy2010-new-era/A-New-Era-of- Responsibility2.pdf. Accessed February 2, 2011.
2. U.S. Department of Health & Human Services. http://www. hospitalcompare.hhs.gov. Accessed February 2, 2011.
3. University HealthSystem Consortium. https://www.uhc.edu/. Accessed February 2, 2011.
4. A path to bundled payment around a rehospitalization.: Medicare payment Advisory Commission; June 2005.
5. Copeland-Fields L, Griffin T, Jenkins T, Buckley M, Wise LC. Comparison of outcome predictions made by physicians, by nurses, and by using the Mortality Prediction Model. Am J Crit Care. 2001;10 (5):313-319. (Pubitemid 33605320)
6. Ebell MH, Bergus GR, Warbasse L, Bloomer R. The inability of physicians to predict the outcome of in-hospital resuscitation. J Gen Intern Med. 1996;11(1):16-22. (Pubitemid 26049756)
7. Eriksen BO, Kristiansen IS, Pape JF. Prediction of five-year survival for patients admitted to a department of internal medicine. J Intern Med. 2001;250(5):435-440. (Pubitemid 32989599)
8. Gusmao Vicente F, Polito Lomar F, Melot C, Vincent JL. Can the experienced ICU physician predict ICU length of stay and outcome better than less experienced colleagues? Intensive Care Med. 2004;30(4):655-659.
9. Pierpont GL, Parenti CM. Physician risk assessment and APACHE scores in cardiac care units. Clin Cardiol. 1999;22(5):366-368. (Pubitemid 29217711)
10. Poses RM, Smith WR, McClish DK, et al. Physicians' survival predictions for patients with acute congestive heart failure. Arch Intern Med. 199;157(9):1001-1007.
11. Boult C, Dowd B, McCaffrey D, Boult L, Hernandez R, Krulewitch H. Screening elders for risk of hospital admission. J Am Geriatr Soc. 1993;41(8):811-817. (Pubitemid 23229874)
12. Novotny NL, Anderson MA. Prediction of early readmission in medical inpatients using the Probability of Repeated Admission instrument. Nurs Res. 2008;57(6):406-415.
13. Centor RM, Schwartz JS. An evaluation of methods for estimating the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. Med Decis Making Summer. 1985;5(2):149-156. (Pubitemid 16130639)
14. Hosmer DW, Lemeshow S. Applied Logistic Regression. 2nd ed. NY: John Wiley & Sons Inc.; 2000.
15. Jencks SF, Williams MV, Coleman EA. Rehospitalizations among patients in the Medicare fee-for-service program. N Engl J Med. 2009;360(14):1418-1428.
16. Yamokoski LM, Hasselblad V, Moser DK, et al. Prediction of rehospitalization and death in severe heart failure by physicians and nurses of the ESCAPE trial. J Card Fail. 2007;13(1):8-13. (Pubitemid 46330838)
17. Dobrzanska L, Newell R. Readmissions: a primary care examination of reasons for readmission of older people and possible readmission risk factors. J Clin Nurs. 2006;15(5):599-606. (Pubitemid 43499130)
18. Laniece I, Couturier P, Drame M, et al. Incidence and main factors associated with early unplanned hospital readmission among French medical inpatients aged 75 and over admitted through emergency units. Age Ageing. 2008;37(4):416-422. (Pubitemid 351972201)
19. Grant RW, Charlebois ED, Wachter RM. Risk factors for early hospital readmission in patients with AIDS and pneumonia. J Gen Intern Med. 1999;14(9):531-536. (Pubitemid 29441631)
20. Murphy BM, Elliott PC, Le Grande MR, et al. Living alone predicts 30-day hospital readmission after coronary artery bypass graft surgery. Eur J Cardiovasc Prev Rehabil. 2008;15(2):210-215. (Pubitemid 351507655)
21. Forster AJ, Murff HJ, Peterson JF, Gandhi TK, Bates DW. The incidence and severity of adverse events affecting patients after discharge from the hospital. Ann Intern Med. 2003;138(3):161-167. (Pubitemid 36231621)
22. Forster AJ, Murff HJ, Peterson JF, Gandhi TK, Bates DW. Adverse drug events occurring following hospital discharge. J Gen Intern Med. 2005;20(4):317-323. (Pubitemid 40617599)
23. Pippins JR, Gandhi TK, Hamann C, et al. Classifying and predicting errors of inpatient medication reconciliation. J Gen Intern Med. 2008;23 (9):1414-1422.
24. Polanczyk CA, Newton C, Dec GW, Di Salvo TG. Quality of care and hospital readmission in congestive heart failure: an explicit review process. J Card Fail. 2001;7(4):289-298. (Pubitemid 34008158)
25. Coleman EA, Parry C, Chalmers S, Min SJ. The care transitions intervention: results of a randomized controlled trial. Arch Intern Med. 2006;166(17):1822-1828. (Pubitemid 44455163)
26. Koehler BE, Richter KM, Youngblood L, et al. Reduction of 30-day postdischarge hospital readmission or emergency department (ED) visit rates in high-risk elderly medical patients through delivery of a targeted care bundle. J Hosp Med. 2009;4(4):211-218.
27. Woodend AK, Sherrard H, Fraser M, Stuewe L, Cheung T, Struthers C. Telehome monitoring in patients with cardiac disease who are at high risk of readmission. Heart Lung. 2008;37(1):36-45.
28. Tibaldi V, Isaia G, Scarafiotti C, et al. Hospital at home for elderly patients with acute decompensation of chronic heart failure: a prospective randomized controlled trial. Arch Intern Med. 2009;169(17):1569-1575.
29. Hasan O, Meltzer DO, Shaykevich SA, et al. Hospital readmission in general medicine patients: a prediction model. J Gen Intern Med. Mar; 25(3):211-219