메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 39, Issue 9, 2011, Pages 5572-5577

Worldwide cheap and heavy oil productions: A long-term energy model

Author keywords

Diffusion process; Oil depletion; Sequential multi Bass model

Indexed keywords

CONVENTIONAL OIL; DEEPWATER OIL; DIFFUSION OF INNOVATION THEORY; DIFFUSION PROCESS; ENERGY MODEL; EXTRACTION COSTS; NATURAL GAS LIQUIDS; NON-RENEWABLE ENERGY RESOURCES; OIL DEPLETION; OIL EXTRACTION; OIL PEAK; REFINING CAPACITY; SEQUENTIAL MULTI-BASS MODEL; TIME ESTIMATION; WORLD OIL PRODUCTION;

EID: 79960706226     PISSN: 03014215     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2011.04.060     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (26)

References (29)
  • 3
    • 21844481302 scopus 로고
    • Why the Bass model fits without decision variables
    • Bass F., Krishnan T., Jain D. Why the Bass model fits without decision variables. Marketing Science 1994, 13:203-223.
    • (1994) Marketing Science , vol.13 , pp. 203-223
    • Bass, F.1    Krishnan, T.2    Jain, D.3
  • 4
    • 38649084678 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Higher-order Hubbert models for the world oil production
    • Berg P., Korte S. Higher-order Hubbert models for the world oil production. Petroleum Science and Technology 2008, 26:217-230.
    • (2008) Petroleum Science and Technology , vol.26 , pp. 217-230
    • Berg, P.1    Korte, S.2
  • 6
    • 0002512213 scopus 로고
    • Forecasting ultimate oil recovery and its rate of production: incorporating economic forces into the models of M.K. Hubbert
    • Cleveland C., Kaufmann R. Forecasting ultimate oil recovery and its rate of production: incorporating economic forces into the models of M.K. Hubbert. Energy Journal 1991, 12:17-46.
    • (1991) Energy Journal , vol.12 , pp. 17-46
    • Cleveland, C.1    Kaufmann, R.2
  • 7
    • 79960706578 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Schlumberger, Presentation at Société Général Premium Review, Paris, December
    • Gould, A., 2009. Schlumberger, Presentation at Société Général Premium Review, Paris, December http://phx.corporate-ir.net/External.FileitemUGFyZW50SUQ9MjIwNDF8Q2hpbGRJRD0tMXxUeXBPTMt1.
    • (2009)
    • Gould, A.1
  • 8
    • 30744431866 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Have we run out of oil yet? Oil peaking analysis from an optimist's perspective
    • Greene D., Hopson J., Li J. Have we run out of oil yet? Oil peaking analysis from an optimist's perspective. Energy Policy 2006, 34:515-531.
    • (2006) Energy Policy , vol.34 , pp. 515-531
    • Greene, D.1    Hopson, J.2    Li, J.3
  • 9
    • 28944432921 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Oil and gas depletion: diffusion models and forecasting under strategic intervention
    • Guseo R., Dalla Valle A. Oil and gas depletion: diffusion models and forecasting under strategic intervention. Statistical Methods and Applications 2005, 14:375-387.
    • (2005) Statistical Methods and Applications , vol.14 , pp. 375-387
    • Guseo, R.1    Dalla Valle, A.2
  • 10
    • 34147126948 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • World oil depletion models: price effects compared with strategic or technological interventions
    • Guseo R., Dalla Valle A., Guidolin M. World oil depletion models: price effects compared with strategic or technological interventions. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 2007, 74:452-469.
    • (2007) Technological Forecasting and Social Change , vol.74 , pp. 452-469
    • Guseo, R.1    Dalla Valle, A.2    Guidolin, M.3
  • 11
    • 79960744294 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • ICF, The Emerging Oil Refinery Capacity Crunch.
    • ICF, 2005. The Emerging Oil Refinery Capacity Crunch. http://www.icfi.com/markets/energy/marketing/refinery-capacity.pdf.
    • (2005)
  • 12
    • 4344591879 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Multicyclic Hubbert model shows global conventional gas output peaking in 2019
    • Imam A., Startzman R., Barrufet M. Multicyclic Hubbert model shows global conventional gas output peaking in 2019. Oil & Gas Journal 2004, 102:20-28.
    • (2004) Oil & Gas Journal , vol.102 , pp. 20-28
    • Imam, A.1    Startzman, R.2    Barrufet, M.3
  • 13
    • 79960721079 scopus 로고
    • Higher Oil Prices: Can OPEC Raise Prices by Cutting Production? Ph.D. Thesis. University of Pennsylvania, Ann Arbor, MI.
    • Kaufmann, R., 1988. Higher Oil Prices: Can OPEC Raise Prices by Cutting Production? Ph.D. Thesis. University of Pennsylvania, Ann Arbor, MI.
    • (1988)
    • Kaufmann, R.1
  • 14
    • 0026350410 scopus 로고
    • Oil production in the lower 48 states: reconciling curve fitting and econometric models
    • Kaufmann R. Oil production in the lower 48 states: reconciling curve fitting and econometric models. Resources and Energy 1991, 13:111-127.
    • (1991) Resources and Energy , vol.13 , pp. 111-127
    • Kaufmann, R.1
  • 15
    • 70449421588 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A variant of the Hubbert curve for world oil production forecasts
    • Maggio G., Cacciola G. A variant of the Hubbert curve for world oil production forecasts. Energy Policy 2009, 37:4761-4770.
    • (2009) Energy Policy , vol.37 , pp. 4761-4770
    • Maggio, G.1    Cacciola, G.2
  • 16
    • 0019656375 scopus 로고
    • Society as a learning system: discovery, invention and innovation cycles revisited
    • Marchetti C. Society as a learning system: discovery, invention and innovation cycles revisited. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 1980, 18:257-282.
    • (1980) Technological Forecasting and Social Change , vol.18 , pp. 257-282
    • Marchetti, C.1
  • 17
    • 79960700997 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Più petrolio dalla terra. Le Scienze Gennaio, 48-56 (Scientific American, October 2009, Trans.).
    • Maugeri, L., 2010. Più petrolio dalla terra. Le Scienze Gennaio, 48-56 (Scientific American, October 2009, pp. 36-41, Trans.).
    • (2010) , pp. 36-41
    • Maugeri, L.1
  • 19
    • 0001638281 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A primer on logistic growth and substitution: the mathematics of Loglet Lab Software
    • Meyer P., Yung J., Ausubel J. A primer on logistic growth and substitution: the mathematics of Loglet Lab Software. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 1999, 61:247-271.
    • (1999) Technological Forecasting and Social Change , vol.61 , pp. 247-271
    • Meyer, P.1    Yung, J.2    Ausubel, J.3
  • 20
    • 79960730549 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Projection of World Fossil Fuel Production With Supply And Demand Interactions. Ph.D. Thesis. The University of Newcastle, Australia.
    • Mohr, S., 2010. Projection of World Fossil Fuel Production With Supply And Demand Interactions. Ph.D. Thesis. The University of Newcastle, Australia.
    • (2010)
    • Mohr, S.1
  • 21
    • 34249068238 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Mathematical model forecasts year conventional oil will peak
    • Mohr S., Evans G. Mathematical model forecasts year conventional oil will peak. Oil & Gas Journal 2007, 105:45-50.
    • (2007) Oil & Gas Journal , vol.105 , pp. 45-50
    • Mohr, S.1    Evans, G.2
  • 22
    • 60349083307 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An empirical method to make oil production models tolerant to anomalies
    • Mohr S., Evans G. An empirical method to make oil production models tolerant to anomalies. Natural Resources Research 2009, 18:1-5.
    • (2009) Natural Resources Research , vol.18 , pp. 1-5
    • Mohr, S.1    Evans, G.2
  • 23
    • 77950178805 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Forecasting world crude oil production using multicyclic Hubbert model
    • Nashawi I., Malallah A., Al-Bisharah M. Forecasting world crude oil production using multicyclic Hubbert model. Energy Fuels 2010, 24:1788-1800.
    • (2010) Energy Fuels , vol.24 , pp. 1788-1800
    • Nashawi, I.1    Malallah, A.2    Al-Bisharah, M.3
  • 25
    • 79960744791 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The Peak Oil Market. Deutsche Bank Report.
    • Sankey, S., Michelotto, S., Clark, D., 2009. The Peak Oil Market. Deutsche Bank Report.
    • (2009)
    • Sankey, S.1    Michelotto, S.2    Clark, D.3
  • 26
    • 79960740513 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • UKERC, Global Oil Depletion: An Assessment of the Evidence For a Near-Term Peak in Oil Production. ISBN number 1-903144-0-35.
    • UKERC, 2009. Global Oil Depletion: An Assessment of the Evidence For a Near-Term Peak in Oil Production. ISBN number 1-903144-0-35. http://www.ukerc.ac.uk/support/tiki-index.php?page=Global+Oil+Depletion.
    • (2009)
  • 27
    • 0001119103 scopus 로고
    • Notice sur la loi que la population pursuit dans son accroissement
    • Verhulst P.F. Notice sur la loi que la population pursuit dans son accroissement. Correspondance mathématique et physique 1838, 10:113-121.
    • (1838) Correspondance mathématique et physique , vol.10 , pp. 113-121
    • Verhulst, P.F.1
  • 28
    • 79960738491 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The Gas Dilemma. Time, April 11
    • Walsh, B., 2011. The Gas Dilemma. Time, April 11, pp. 30-37.
    • (2011) , pp. 30-37
    • Walsh, B.1


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.