Novel methods to evaluate fracture risk models

Journal of Bone and Mineral Research

Volumn 26, Issue 8, 2011, Pages 1767-1773

  Donaldson, Meghan G ^a   Cawthon, Peggy M ^a   Schousboe, John T ^b,c   Ensrud, Kristine E ^c   Lui, Li Yung ^a   Cauley, Jane A ^d   Hillier, Teresa A ^e   Taylor, Brent C ^c   Hochberg, Marc C ^f   Bauer, Douglas C ^g   Cummings, Steven R ^a  

^a San Francisco Coordinating Center   (United States)

^b PARK NICOLLET INSTITUTE   (United States)

^c UNIVERSITY OF MINNESOTA MEDICAL SCHOOL   (United States)

^d UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH GRADUATE SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH   (United States)

^e CENTER FOR HEALTH RESEARCH   (United States)

^f UNIVERSITY OF MARYLAND SCHOOL OF MEDICINE   (United States)

^g UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA   (United States)

Author keywords

BMD; FRAX; hip fracture; major osteoporotic fracture; prediction

Indexed keywords

ACCURACY; AGE; AGED; ALGORITHM; AREA UNDER THE CURVE; ARTICLE; BONE DENSITY; COMPARATIVE STUDY; COOK METHOD; FEMALE; FEMUR NECK; FRAGILITY FRACTURE; HIGH RISK PATIENT; HIP FRACTURE; HUMAN; MAJOR CLINICAL STUDY; MEDICAL DECISION MAKING; MODEL; OUTCOME ASSESSMENT; PATIENT CODING; PEPE METHOD; PREDICTION; RECLASSIFICATION METHOD; RISK ASSESSMENT; TREATMENT RESPONSE;

AGED; AREA UNDER CURVE; EPIDEMIOLOGIC METHODS; EVALUATION STUDIES AS TOPIC; FEMALE; HIP FRACTURES; HUMANS; MODELS, BIOLOGICAL; OSTEOPOROTIC FRACTURES; RISK FACTORS;

EID: 79960632722     PISSN: 08840431     EISSN: 15234681     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1002/jbmr.371     Document Type: Article

References (18)

1. Pepe MS, Feng Z, Gu JW,. Comments on "Evaluating the added predictive ability of a new marker: from area under the ROC curve to reclassification and beyond" by MJ Pencina et al. Stat Med. 2008; 27: 173-181. (Pubitemid 351193640)
2. Janes H, Pepe MS, Gu W,. Assessing the value of risk predictions by using risk stratification tables. Ann Intern Med. 2008; 149: 751-760.
3. Pepe MS, Feng Z, Huang Y, et al. Integrating the predictiveness of a marker with its performance as a classifier. Am J Epidemiol. 2008; 167: 362-368. (Pubitemid 351197592)
4. Cook NR,. Use and misuse of the receiver operating characteristic curve in risk prediction. Circulation. 2007; 115: 928-935. (Pubitemid 46294733)
5. Cook NR,. Comments on "Evaluating the added predictive ability of a new marker: from area under the ROC curve to reclassification and beyond" by MJ Pencina et al. Stat Med. 2008; 27: 191-195. (Pubitemid 351193644)
6. Ensrud KE, Lui LY, Taylor BC, et al. A comparison of prediction models for fractures in older women: is more better? Arch Intern Med. 2009; 169: 2087-2094.
7. World Health Organisation. FRAX WHO Fracture Risk Assessment Tool. 2008.
8. Cummings S, Nevitt M, Browner W, et al. Risk factors for hip fracture in white women: The Study of Osteoporotic Fractures reserach group. N Engl J Med. 1995; 332: 767-773.
9. Kanis JA, Johnell O, Oden A, Johansson H, McCloskey E,. FRAX and the assessment of fracture probability in men and women from the UK. Osteoporos Int. 2008; 19: 385-397.
10. Kanis JA, Oden A, Johnell O, et al. The use of clinical risk factors enhances the performance of BMD in the prediction of hip and osteoporotic fractures in men and women. Osteoporos Int. 2007; 18: 1033-1046. (Pubitemid 47020000)
11. Ettinger B, Black DM, Dawson-Hughes B, Pressman AR, Melton LJ 3rd., Updated fracture incidence rates for the US version of FRAX. Osteoporos Int. 2010; 21: 25-33.
12. Pencina MJ, D'Agostino RB Sr, D'Agostino RB Jr, Vasan RS,. Evaluating the added predictive ability of a new marker: from area under the ROC curve to reclassification and beyond. Stat Med. 2008; 27: 157-172; discussion 207-12. (Pubitemid 351193639)
13. Steyerberg EW, Vickers AJ, Cook NR, et al. Assessing the performance of prediction models: a framework for traditional and novel measures. Epidemiology. 21: 128-138.
14. Stone KL, Seeley DG, Lui LY, et al. BMD at multiple sites and risk of fracture of multiple types: long-term results from the Study of Osteoporotic Fractures. J Bone Miner Res. 2003; 18: 1947-1954. (Pubitemid 37377443)
15. Tosteson AN, Melton LJ 3rd, Dawson-Hughes B, et al. Cost-effective osteoporosis treatment thresholds: the United States perspective. Osteoporos Int. 2008; 19: 437-447.
16. Ridker PM, Buring JE, Rifai N, Cook NR,. Development and validation of improved algorithms for the assessment of global cardiovascular risk in women: the Reynolds Risk Score. JAMA. 2007; 297: 611-619.
17. Tice JA, Cummings SR, Smith-Bindman R, Ichikawa L, Barlow WE, Kerlikowske K,. Using clinical factors and mammographic breast density to estimate breast cancer risk: development and validation of a new predictive model. Ann Intern Med. 2008; 148: 337-347. (Pubitemid 351665464)
18. Dawson-Hughes B, Looker AC, Tosteson AN, Johansson H, Kanis JA, Melton LJ 3rd., The potential impact of new National Osteoporosis Foundation guidance on treatment patterns. Osteoporos Int. 2010; 21: 41-52.