Near-real-time forecasting of lava flow hazards during the 12-13 January 2011 Etna eruption

Geophysical Research Letters

Volumn 38, Issue 13, 2011, Pages

  Vicari, A ^a   Ganci, G ^a   Behncke, B ^a   Cappello, A ^a,b   Neri, M ^a   Del Negro, C ^a  

^a ISTITUTO NAZIONALE DI GEOFISICA E VULCANOLOGIA   (Italy)

^b UNIVERSITY OF CATANIA   (Italy)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

HAZARDS;

DISCHARGE RATES; ERUPTION RATES; FUNCTION OF TIME; HAZARD MAP; INFRARED SATELLITES; LAVA FLOW PATHS; LAVA FLOWS; LAVA FOUNTAINS; LAVA VOLUMES; MOUNT ETNA; NEAR-REAL TIME; PEAK VALUES; RAPID RESPONSE; TIME VARYING; VOLCANO MONITORING SYSTEM;

REAL TIME SYSTEMS;

AVHRR; EPISODIC EVENT; LAVA FLOW; MODIS; NATURAL HAZARD; REAL TIME; RISK FACTOR; SATELLITE DATA; SEVIRI; SPATIOTEMPORAL ANALYSIS; VOLCANIC ERUPTION;

CATANIA [SICILY]; ETNA; ITALY; SICILY;

EID: 79960214849     PISSN: 00948276     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1029/2011GL047545     Document Type: Article

References (27)

1. Andronico, D., A. Cristaldi, and S. Scollo (2008), The 4-5 September 2007 lava fountain at South-East Crater of Mt Etna, Italy, J. Volcanol. Geotherm. Res., 173, 325-328, doi:10.1016/j.jvolgeores.2008.02.004.
2. Behncke, B., M. Neri, and A. Nagay (2005), Lava flow hazard at Mount Etna (Italy): New data from a GIS-based study, in Kinematics and Dynamics of Lava Flows, edited by M. Manga and G. Ventura, Spec. Pap. Geol. Soc. Am., 396, 189-209, doi:10.1130/0-8137-2396-5.189.
3. Behncke, B., M. Neri, E. Pecora, and V. Zanon (2006), The exceptional activity and growth of the Southeast Crater, Mount Etna (Italy), between 1996 and 2001, Bull. Volcanol, 69, 149-173, doi:10.1007/s00445-006-0061-x.
4. Behncke, B., S. Branca, E. De Beni, C. Proietti, L. Spampinato, and M. Coltelli (2011), Cronologia dell'evento eruttivo del Cratere di Sud-Est avvenuto il 12/13 gennaio 2011 e mappatura del campo lavico, Rep. UFVG2011/06,Ist. Naz. di Geofis. e Vulcanol., Catania, Italy.
5. Bonaccorso, A., A. Bonforte, S. Calvari, C. Del Negro, G. Di Grazia, G. Ganci, M. Neri, A. Vicari, and E. Boschi (2011), The initial phases of the 2008-2009 Mount Etna eruption: A multidisciplinary approach for hazard assessment, J. Geophys. Res., 116, B03203, doi:10.1029/2010JB007906.
6. Calvari, S., M. Coltelli, W. Müller, M. Pompilio, and V. Scribano (1994), Eruptive history of South-Eastern Crater of Mount Etna, from 1971 to 1994, Acta Vulcanol, 5, 11-14.
7. Calvari, S., M. Neri, and H. Pinkerton (2003), Effusion rate estimations during the 1999 summit eruption on Mount Etna, and growth of two distinct lava flow fields, J. Volcanol. Geotherm. Res., 119, 107-123, doi:10.1016/S0377- 0273(02)00308-6. (Pubitemid 35343944)
8. Cappello, A., A. Vicari, and C. Del Negro (2010), Assessment and modeling of lava flow hazard on Mt Etna volcano, Boll. Geofis. Teor. Appl., in press.
9. Cappello, A., C. Del Negro, G. Ganci, and A. Vicari (2011), Simulazioni numeriche dei fenomeni eruttivi dell'Etna: Aggiornamento del 14 gennaio 2011, Rep. UFGM2011/03,Ist. Naz. di Geofis. e Vulcanol., Catania, Italy.
10. Crisci, G. M., M. V. Avolio, B. Behncke, D. D'Ambrosio, S. Di Gregorio, V. Lupiano, M. Neri, R. Rongo, and W. Spataro (2010), Predicting the impact of lava flows at Mount Etna, J. Geophys. Res., 115, B04203, doi:10.1029/ 2009JB006431.
11. Del Negro, C, L. Fortuna, A. Herault, and A. Vicari (2008), Simulations of the 2004 lava flow at Etna volcano by the MAGFLOW cellular automata model, Bull. Volcanol, 70, 805-812, doi:10.1007/s00445-007-0168-8.
12. Ganci, G., C. Del Negro, L. Fortuna, and A. Vicari (2009), A tool for multi-platform remote sensing processing, Commun. SIMAICongr., 3,281-293, doi:10.1685/CSC09281.
13. Ganci, G., A. Vicari, L. Fortuna, and C. Del Negro (2011), Hotsat volcano monitoring system based on a combined use of SEVIRI and MODIS multispectral data, Ann. Geophys., in press.
14. Harris, A. J. L., and M. Neri (2002), Volumetric observations during paroxysmal eruptions at Mount Etna: Pressurized drainage of a shallow chamber or pulsed supply?, J. Volcanol. Geotherm. Res., 116, 79-95, doi:10.1016/S0377- 0273(02)00212-3. (Pubitemid 34834652)
15. Harris, A. J. L., and S. K. Rowland (2009), Effusion rate controls on lava flow length and the role of heat loss: A review, in Studies in Volcanol-ogy: The Legacy of George Walker, Spec. Publ. Int. Assoc. Volcanol. Chem. Earth's Inter., vol. 2, edited by T. Thordarson et al., pp. 33-51, Geol. Soc, London.
16. Harris, A. J. L., L. P. Flynn, L. Keszthelyi, P. J. Mouginis-Mark, S. K. Rowland, and J. A. Resing (1998), Calculation of lava effusion rates from Landsat TM data, Bull. Volcanol., 60, 52-71, doi:10.1007/s004450050216. (Pubitemid 29007086)
17. Harris, A. J. L., J. B. Murray, S. E. Aries, M. A. Davies, L. P. Flynn, M. J. Wooster, R. Wright, and D. A. Rothery (2000), Effusion rate trends at Etna and Krafla and their implications for eruptive mechanisms, J. Volcanol. Geotherm. Res., 102, 237-269, doi:10.1016/S0377-0273(00) 00190-6.
18. Harris, A. J. L., J. Dehn, and S. Calvari (2007), Lava effusion rate definition and measurement: A review, Bull. Volcanol, 70, 1-22, doi:10.1007/s00445-007-0120-y. (Pubitemid 47337876)
19. Herault, A., A. Vicari, A. Ciraudo, and C. Del Negro (2009), Forecasting lava flow hazard during the 2006 Etna eruption: Using the MAGFLOW Cellular Automata Model, Comput. Geosci., 35, 1050-1060, doi:10.1016/j.cageo.2007.10.008.
20. Langer, H., S. Falsaperla, A. Messina, S. Spampinato, and B. Behncke (2011), Detecting imminent eruptive activity at Mt Etna, Italy, in 2007-2008 through pattern classification of volcanic tremor data, J. Volcanol. Geotherm. Res., 200, 1-17, doi:10.1016/j.jvolgeores.2010.11.019.
21. Neri, M., B. Behncke, M. Burton, G. Galli, S. Giammanco, E. Pecora, E. Privitera, and D. Reitano (2006), Continuous soil radon monitoring during the July 2006 Etna eruption, Geophys. Res. Lett, 33, L24316, doi:10.1029/ 2006GL028394. (Pubitemid 47277780)
22. Scifoni, S., M. Coltelli, M. Marsella, C. Proietti, Q. Napoleoni, A. Vicari, and C. Del Negro (2010), Mitigation of lava flow invasion hazard through optimized barrier configuration aided by numerical simulation: The case of the 2001 Etna eruption, J. Volcanol. Geotherm. Res., 192, 16-26, doi:10.1016/j.jvolgeores.2010.02.002.
23. Sutton, A. J., T. Elias, and J. Kauahikaua (2003), Lava-effusion rates for the Pu'u 'O'o-Kupaianaha eruption derived from SO2 emissions and very low frequency (VLF) measurements, U.S. Geol. Surv. Prof. Pap., 1676, 137-148. (Pubitemid 40008621)
24. Vicari, A., A. Herault, C. Del Negro, M. Coltelli, M. Marsella, and C. Proietti (2007), Modeling of the 2001 lava flow at Etna volcano by a cellular automata approach, Environ. Model. Software, 22, 1465-1471, doi:10.1016/j. envsoft.2006.10.005. (Pubitemid 46561425)
25. Vicari, A., A. Ciraudo, C. Del Negro, A. Herault, and L. Fortuna (2009), Lava flow simulations using effusion rates from thermal infrared satellite imagery during the 2006 Etna eruption, Nat. Hazards, 50, 539-550, doi:10.1007/s11069-008-9306-7.
26. Wright, R., S. Blake, A. Harris, and D. Rothery (2001), A simple explanation for the space-based calculation of lava eruption rates, Earth Planet. Sci. Lett., 192, 223-233, doi:10.1016/S0012-821X(01)00443-5. (Pubitemid 33028322)
27. Wright, R., H. Garbeil, and A. J. L. Harris (2008), Using infrared satellite data to drive a thermo-rheological/stochastic lava flow emplacement model: A method for near-real-time volcanic hazard assessment, Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L19307, doi:10.1029/2008GL035228.