A geographically scaled analysis of adaptation to climate change with spatial models using agricultural systems in Africa

Journal of Agricultural Science

Volumn 149, Issue 4, 2011, Pages 437-449

  Seo, S N ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF SYDNEY   (Australia)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ADAPTIVE MANAGEMENT; AGRICULTURAL MANAGEMENT; AGRICULTURAL PRACTICE; BOOTSTRAPPING; CLIMATE CHANGE; CLIMATE VARIATION; COASTAL ZONE; DESERT; HOUSEHOLD SURVEY; HUMID ENVIRONMENT; INTEGRATED APPROACH; LIVESTOCK; LOWLAND ENVIRONMENT; NUMERICAL MODEL; SEMIARID REGION; SOIL TYPE; SPATIAL ANALYSIS; SURVEY; UPLAND REGION;

AFRICA; GEORGIA; SAVANNAH; UNITED STATES;

EID: 79960163785     PISSN: 00218596     EISSN: 14695146     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1017/S0021859611000293     Document Type: Article

References (54)

1. ADAMS, R., MCCARL, B., SEGERSON, K., ROSENZWEIG, C., BRYANT, K., DIXON, B., CONNOR, R., EVENSON, R. & OJIMA, D. (1999). The economic effects of climate change on US agriculture. In The Impact of Climate Change on the United States Economy (Eds R. Mendelsohn & J. Neumann), pp. 18-54. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
2. ANDERSON, K. & MASTERS, W. A. (2009). Distortions to Agricultural Incentives in Africa. Washington, DC: World Bank.
3. ANSELIN, L. (1988). Spatial Econometrics: Methods and Models. Dordrecht, The Netherlands: Kluwer Academic Publishers.
4. ANTLE, J. M., CAPALBO, S. M., ELLIOTT, E.T. & PAUSTIAN, K.H. (2004). Adaptation, spatial heterogeneity and the vulnerability of agricultural systems to climate change and CO2 fertilization: an integrated assessment approach. Climatic Change 64, 289-315. (Pubitemid 38983061)
5. BASIST, A., GRODY, N. C., PETERSON, T.C. & WILLIAMS, C.N. (1998). Using the Special Sensor Microwave Imager to monitor land surface temperature, wetness, and snow cover. Journal of Applied Meteorology 37, 888-911.
6. BERON, K.J. & VIJVERBERG, W. P.M. (2004). Probit in a spatial context: a Monte Carlo approach. In Advances in Spatial Econometrics: Methodology, Tools and Applications (Eds L. Anselin, R. J. G. M. Florax & S. J. Rey), pp. 169-192. Heidelberg, Germany: Springer-Verlag.
7. BOER, G. J., FLATO, G. & RAMSDEN, D. (2000). A transient climate change simulation with greenhouse gas and aerosol forcing: projected climate for the 21st Century. Climate Dynamics 16, 427-450. (Pubitemid 30454353)
8. BOKO, M., NIANG, I., NYONG, A., VOGEL, C., GITHEKO, A., MEDANY, M., OSMAN-ELASHA, B., TABO, R. & YANDA, R. (2007). Africa. In Contribution of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (Eds M. L. Parry, O. F. Canziani, J. P. Palutikof, P. J. van der Linden & C. E. Hanson), pp. 433-467. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
9. BUTT, T. A., MCCARL, B. A., ANGERER, J., DYKE, P.T. & STUTH, J.W. (2005). The economic and food security implications of climate change in Mali. Climatic Change 68, 355-378. (Pubitemid 40473716)
10. BYERLEE, D. & EICHER, C.K. (1997). Africa's Emerging Maize Revolution. Boulder, CO: Lynne Rienner Publishers Inc.
11. CASE, A. (1992). Neighborhood influence and technological change. Regional Science and Urban Economics 22, 491-508.
12. CLINE, W. R. (1996). The impact of global warming on agriculture: comment. American Economic Review 86, 1309-1311.
13. CRESSIE, N. A. C. (1993). Statistics for Spatial Data. New York: John Wiley & Sons.
14. DERESSA, T. T., HASSAN, R.M. & RINGLER, C. (2010). Perception of and adaptation to climate change by farmers in the Nile basin of Ethiopia. The Journal of Agricultural Science, Cambridge 149, 23-31.
15. DINAR, A., HASSAN, R., MENDELSOHN, R.O. & BENHIN, J. (2008). Climate Change and Agriculture in Africa: Impact Assessment and Adaptation Strategies. London: EarthScan.
16. EFRON, B. (1979). Bootstrap methods: another look at the jackknife. The Annals of Statistics 7, 1-26.
17. EFRON, B. & TIBSHIRANI, R. J. (1994). An Introduction to the Bootstrap. Boca Raton, FL: Chapman & Hall/CRC.
18. EITZINGER, J., ORLANDINI, S., STEFANSKI, R. & NAYLOR, R. E. L. (2010). Climate change and agriculture: introductory editorial. The Journal of Agricultural Science, Cambridge 148, 499-500.
19. EVENSON, R.E. & GOLLIN, D. (2003). Assessing the impact of the Green Revolution 1960-2000. Science 300, 758-762. (Pubitemid 36532102)
20. FOOD AND AGRICULTURE ORGANIZATION (FAO). (2003). The Digital Soil Map of the World (DSMW) CD-ROM. Rome. Available online at: http://www.fao.org/ geonetwork/srv/en/metadata.show?id=14116 (verified 19 Jan 2011).
21. FOOD AND AGRICULTURE ORGANIZATION (FAO). (2005). Global Agro-ecological Assessment for Agriculture in the Twenty-first Century (CD-ROM). FAO Land and Water Digital Media Series. Rome: FAO.
22. FORD, J. & KATONDO, K.M. (1977). Maps of tsetse fly (Glossina) distribution in Africa, 1973, according to subgeneric groups on a scale of 1:5000000. Bulletin of Animal Health and Production in Africa 15, 187-193.
23. GITAY, H., BROWN, S., EASTERLING, W. & JALLOW, B. (2001). Ecosystems and their goods and services. In Climate Change 2001: Impacts, Adaptations, and Vulnerabilities (Eds J. J. McCarthy, O. F. Canziani, N. A. Leary, D. J. Dokken & K. S. White), pp. 237-342. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
24. HAHN, G. L. (1999). Dynamic responses of cattle to thermal heat loads. Journal of Animal Science 77, 10-20.
25. HULME, M., DOHERTY, R. M., NGARA, T., NEW, M.G. & LISTER, D. (2001). African climate change: 1900-2100. Climate Research 17, 145-168. (Pubitemid 32956617)
26. INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE (IPCC). (2000). Special Report on Emissions Scenarios. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
27. JOHNSON, H.D. (1965). Response of animals to heat. Meteorological Monographs 6, 109-122.
28. KELLY, D. L., KOLSTAD, C.D. & MITCHELL, G. T. (2005). Adjustment costs from environmental change. Journal of Environmental Economics and Management 50, 468-495. (Pubitemid 41539638)
29. LOBELL, D.B. & FIELD, C. B. (2008). Estimation of the carbon dioxide (CO2) fertilization effect using growth rate anomalies of CO2 and crop yields since 1961. Global Change Biology 14, 39-45. (Pubitemid 350226909)
30. MADER, T. L. (2003). Environmental stress in confined beef cattle. Journal of Animal Science 81 (E Suppl. 2), E110-E119.
31. McFADDEN, D. (1974). Conditional logit analysis of qualitative choice behavior. In Frontiers in Econometrics (Ed. P. Zarembka), pp. 105-142. New York: Academic Press.
32. MENDELSOHN, R. O., DINAR, A. & WILLIAMS, L. (2006). The distributional impact of climate change on rich and poor countries. Environment and Development Economics 11, 159-178.
33. NORDHAUS, W. (2008). A Question of Balance: Weighing the Options on Global Warming Policies. New Haven, CT: Yale University Press.
34. PARRY, M. L., CANZIANI, O. F., PALUTIKOF, J. P., VAN DER LINDEN, P.J. & HANSON, C. E. (2007). Climate Change 2007: Impacts, Adaptations, and Vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of the IPCC. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
35. PARRY, M. L., ROSENZWEIG, C. P., IGLESIAS, A., LIVERMORE, M. & FISCHER, G. (2004). Effects of climate change on global food production under SRES emissions and socioeconomic scenarios. Global Environmental Change 14, 53-67. (Pubitemid 38215127)
36. POLLEY, H.W., MORGAN, J.A. & FAY, P. A. (2011). Application of a conceptual framework to interpret variability in rangeland responses to atmospheric CO2 enrichment. The Journal of Agricultural Science, Cambridge 149, 1-14.
37. REILLY, J., BAETHGEN, W., CHEGE, F. E., VAN DE GEIJN S. C., ERDA, L., IGLESIAS, A., KENNY, G., PATTERSON, D., ROGASIK, J., ROTTER, R., ROSENZWEIG, C., SOMBROEK W., WESTBROOK, J., BACHELET, D., BRKLACICH, M., DAMMGEN, U., HOWDEN, M., JOYCE, R.J.V., LINGREN, P. D., SCHIMMELPFENNIG, D., SINGH, U., SIROTENKO, O. & WHEATON, E. (1996). Agriculture in a changing climate: impacts and adaptations. In Climate Change 1995: Impacts, Adaptations, and Mitigation of Climate Change: Scientific-Technical Analyses (Eds R. T. Watson, M. C. Zinyowera, R. H. Moss & D. J. Dokken), pp. 427-468. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
38. SANKARAN, M., HANAN, N. P., SCHOLES, R. J., RATNAM J., AUGUSTINE, D. J., CADE, B. S., GIGNOUX, J., HIGGINS, S. I., LE ROUX, X., LUDWIG, F., ARDO, J., BANYIKWA, F., BRONN, A., BUCINI, G., CAYLOR, K. K., COUGHENOUR, M. B., DIOUF, A., EKAYA, W., FERAL, C. J., FEBRUARY, E. C., FROST, P.G. H., HIERNAUX, P., HRABAR, H., METZGER, K. L., PRINS, H. H. T., RINGROSE, S., SEA, W., TEWS, J., WORDEN, J. & ZAMBATIS, N. (2005). Determinants of woody cover in African savannas. Nature 438, 846-849. (Pubitemid 41753065)
39. SCHLENKER, W. & ROBERTS, M. J. (2009). Nonlinear temperature effects indicate severe damages to U. S. crop yields under climate change. Proceedings of National Science of Academy of the United States 106, 15594-15598.
40. SCHULTZ, T. P. (2004). Evidence of returns to schooling in Africa from household surveys: monitoring and restructuring the market for education. Journal of African Economies 13(Suppl. 2), ii95-ii148. (Pubitemid 40191372)
41. SEO, S.N. (2010). Is an integrated farm more resilient against climate change? A micro-econometric analysis of portfolio diversification in African agriculture. Food Policy 35, 32-40.
42. SEO, S.N. & MENDELSOHN, R. (2008). Measuring impacts and adaptations to climate change: a structural Ricardian model of African livestock management. Agricultural Economics 38, 151-165. (Pubitemid 351490057)
43. SEO, S. N., MENDELSOHN, R., DINAR, A., HASSAN, R. & KURUKULASURIYA, P. (2009). A Ricardian analysis of the distribution of climate change impacts on agriculture across Agro-Ecological Zones in Africa. Environmental and Resource Economics 43, 313-332.
44. SMIT, B. & PILIFOSOVA, O. (2001). Adaptation to climate change in the context of sustainable development and equity. In Climate Change 2001: Impacts, Adaptation, and vulnerability-Contribution of Working Group II to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (Eds J. J. McCarthy, O. F. Canziani, N. A. Leary, D. J. Dokken & K. S. White), pp. 877-912. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
45. SMITH, P. & OLESEN, J. E. (2010). Synergies between the mitigation of, and adaptation to, climate change in agriculture. The Journal of Agricultural Science, Cambridge 148, 543-552.
46. SOLOMON, S., QIN, D., MANNING, M., MARQUIS, M., AVERYT, K. B., TIGNOR, M., MILLER, H.L. & CHEN, Z. (2007). Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the IPCC. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
47. STRZEPEK, K. & MCCLUSKEY, A. (2006). District Level Hydroclimatic Time Series and Scenario Analyses to Assess the Impacts of Climate Change on Regional Water Resources and Agriculture in Africa. CEEPA Discussion Paper No. 13. Pretoria, Republic of South Africa: Centre for Environmental Economics and Policy in Africa, University of Pretoria.
48. TOBIN, J. (1958). Liquidity preference as behavior towards risk. Review of Economic Studies 25, 65-86.
49. UNIVERSITY OF GEORGIA, COLLEGE OF VETERINARYMEDICINE. (2007). Foreign Animal Diseases: The Gray Book. St, Joseph, MO: USAHA.
50. USGS (UNITED STATES GEOLOGICAL SURVEY). (2004). Global 30 Arc Second Elevation Data. Reston, VA: USGS National Mapping Division, EROS Data Centre. Available online at: http://eros.usgs.gov/#/Find-Data/Products-and-Data- Available/gtopo30-info (verified 19 Jan 2011).
51. WASHINGTON, W. M., WEATHERLY, J.W., MEEHL, G. A., SEMTNER, A. J. Jr., BETTGE, T.W., CRAIG, A.P., STRAND, W.G. Jr., ARBLASTER, J., WAYLAND, V. B., JAMES, R. & ZHANG, Y. (2000). Parallel climate model (PCM): control and transient scenarios. Climate Dynamics 16, 755-774.
52. WORLD BANK (2003). Africa Rainfall and Temperature Evaluation System (ARTES). Washington, DC: World Bank.
53. WORLD BANK (2008). World Development Report 2008: Agriculture for Development. Washington, DC: World Bank.
54. WORLD BANK (2009). Africa Infrastructure and Country Diagnostics (AICD). Washington, DC: World Bank. Available online at: siteresources.worldbank.org/ INTAFRICA/Resources/AICD-exec-summ-9-30-08a.pdf (verified 19 Jan 2011).