메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 55, Issue 4, 2011, Pages 645-654

Elevational species shifts in a warmer climate are overestimated when based on weather station data

Author keywords

Alpine; Soil temperature; Spatial scale; Suitable climate space; Surface temperature; Thermometry

Indexed keywords

ALTITUDE; ANIMAL; ARTICLE; BIODIVERSITY; ECOSYSTEM; GREENHOUSE EFFECT; GROWTH, DEVELOPMENT AND AGING; METEOROLOGICAL PHENOMENA; MICROCLIMATE; PLANT; SOIL; SPECIES DIFFERENCE; TEMPERATURE;

EID: 79960094054     PISSN: 00207128     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s00484-010-0364-7     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (76)

References (67)
  • 1
    • 63849105364 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predicting the future of species diversity: macroecological theory, climate change, and direct tests of alternative forecasting methods
    • Algar AC, Kharouba HM, Young ER, Kerr JT (2009) Predicting the future of species diversity: macroecological theory, climate change, and direct tests of alternative forecasting methods. Ecography 32: 22-33.
    • (2009) Ecography , vol.32 , pp. 22-33
    • Algar, A.C.1    Kharouba, H.M.2    Young, E.R.3    Kerr, J.T.4
  • 2
    • 33748529602 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Five (or so) challenges for species distribution modelling
    • Araújo MB, Guisan A (2006) Five (or so) challenges for species distribution modelling. J Biogeogr 33: 1677-1688.
    • (2006) J Biogeogr , vol.33 , pp. 1677-1688
    • Araújo, M.B.1    Guisan, A.2
  • 3
    • 33845633261 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ensemble forecasting of species distributions
    • Araújo MB, New M (2007) Ensemble forecasting of species distributions. Trends Ecol Evol 22: 42-47.
    • (2007) Trends Ecol Evol , vol.22 , pp. 42-47
    • Araújo, M.B.1    New, M.2
  • 4
    • 24344464067 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Validation of species-climate impact models under climate change
    • Araújo MB, Pearson RG, Thuiller W, Erhard M (2005a) Validation of species-climate impact models under climate change. Glob Chang Biol 11: 1504-1513.
    • (2005) Glob Chang Biol , vol.11 , pp. 1504-1513
    • Araújo, M.B.1    Pearson, R.G.2    Thuiller, W.3    Erhard, M.4
  • 5
    • 24344458281 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Reducing uncertainty in projections of extinction risk from climate change
    • Araújo MB, Whittaker RJ, Ladle RJ, Erhard M (2005b) Reducing uncertainty in projections of extinction risk from climate change. Glob Ecol Biogeogr 14: 529-538.
    • (2005) Glob Ecol Biogeogr , vol.14 , pp. 529-538
    • Araújo, M.B.1    Whittaker, R.J.2    Ladle, R.J.3    Erhard, M.4
  • 6
    • 8744252366 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Recent increases in summit flora caused by warming in the Alps
    • Nagy L, Grabherr G, Körner C, Thompson DBA (eds) Springer, New York
    • Bahn M and Körner C (2003) Recent increases in summit flora caused by warming in the Alps. In: Nagy L, Grabherr G, Körner C, Thompson DBA (eds) Alpine diversity in Europe. Springer, New York, pp 437-441.
    • (2003) In: Alpine diversity in Europe , pp. 437-441
    • Bahn, M.1    Körner, C.2
  • 7
    • 0036250118 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Assessing effects of forecasted climate change on the diversity and distribution of European higher plants for 2050
    • Bakkenes M, Alkemade JRM, Ihle F, Leemans R, Latour JB (2002) Assessing effects of forecasted climate change on the diversity and distribution of European higher plants for 2050. Glob Chang Biol 8: 390-407.
    • (2002) Glob Chang Biol , vol.8 , pp. 390-407
    • Bakkenes, M.1    Alkemade, J.R.M.2    Ihle, F.3    Leemans, R.4    Latour, J.B.5
  • 8
    • 33645882555 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Mountain weather and climate: A general overview and a focus on climatic change in the Alps
    • Beniston M (2006) Mountain weather and climate: A general overview and a focus on climatic change in the Alps. Hydrobiologia 562: 3-16.
    • (2006) Hydrobiologia , vol.562 , pp. 3-16
    • Beniston, M.1
  • 10
    • 8544234983 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climatic change at high elevation sites: an overview
    • Beniston M, Diaz HF, Bradley RS (1997) Climatic change at high elevation sites: an overview. Clim Change 36: 233-251.
    • (1997) Clim Change , vol.36 , pp. 233-251
    • Beniston, M.1    Diaz, H.F.2    Bradley, R.S.3
  • 12
    • 0002166297 scopus 로고
    • Structure of forest stand, bioclimatology and energy economy of dwarf shrub communities in the Alps
    • Cernusca A (1976) Structure of forest stand, bioclimatology and energy economy of dwarf shrub communities in the Alps. Oecol Plant 11: 71-101.
    • (1976) Oecol Plant , vol.11 , pp. 71-101
    • Cernusca, A.1
  • 13
    • 0027071946 scopus 로고
    • Soil-moisture variability within remote-sensing pixels
    • Charpentier MA, Groffman PM (1992) Soil-moisture variability within remote-sensing pixels. J Geophys Res Atmos 97: 18987-18995.
    • (1992) J Geophys Res Atmos , vol.97 , pp. 18987-18995
    • Charpentier, M.A.1    Groffman, P.M.2
  • 14
    • 53749094032 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Global warming, elevational range shifts, and lowland biotic attrition in the wet tropics
    • Colwell RK, Brehm G, Cardelus CL, Gilman AC, Longino JT (2008) Global warming, elevational range shifts, and lowland biotic attrition in the wet tropics. Science 322: 258-261.
    • (2008) Science , vol.322 , pp. 258-261
    • Colwell, R.K.1    Brehm, G.2    Cardelus, C.L.3    Gilman, A.C.4    Longino, J.T.5
  • 16
    • 0036148532 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The role of small-scale orographic features in the spatial distribution of precipitation
    • Cosma S, Richard E, Miniscloux F (2002) The role of small-scale orographic features in the spatial distribution of precipitation. Q J R Meteorol Soc 128: 75-92.
    • (2002) Q J R Meteorol Soc , vol.128 , pp. 75-92
    • Cosma, S.1    Richard, E.2    Miniscloux, F.3
  • 17
    • 0026001780 scopus 로고
    • Energy and large-scale patterns of animal-species and plant-species richness
    • Currie DJ (1991) Energy and large-scale patterns of animal-species and plant-species richness. Am Nat 137: 27-49.
    • (1991) Am Nat , vol.137 , pp. 27-49
    • Currie, D.J.1
  • 18
    • 0042174023 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate variability and change in high elevation regions: past, present and future
    • Diaz HF, Grosjean M, Graumlich L (2003) Climate variability and change in high elevation regions: past, present and future. Clim Change 59: 1-4.
    • (2003) Clim Change , vol.59 , pp. 1-4
    • Diaz, H.F.1    Grosjean, M.2    Graumlich, L.3
  • 21
    • 0001900862 scopus 로고
    • Latitudinal variations in organic diversity
    • Fischer AG (1960) Latitudinal variations in organic diversity. Evolution 14: 64-81.
    • (1960) Evolution , vol.14 , pp. 64-81
    • Fischer, A.G.1
  • 22
    • 0028237912 scopus 로고
    • Climate effects on mountain plants
    • Grabherr G, Gottfried M, Pauli H (1994) Climate effects on mountain plants. Nature 369: 448.
    • (1994) Nature , vol.369 , pp. 448
    • Grabherr, G.1    Gottfried, M.2    Pauli, H.3
  • 23
    • 24344493920 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predicting species distribution: offering more than simple habitat models
    • Guisan A, Thuiller W (2005) Predicting species distribution: offering more than simple habitat models. Ecol Lett 8: 993-1009.
    • (2005) Ecol Lett , vol.8 , pp. 993-1009
    • Guisan, A.1    Thuiller, W.2
  • 24
    • 0034610199 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predictive habitat distribution models in ecology
    • Guisan A, Zimmermann NE (2000) Predictive habitat distribution models in ecology. Ecol Modell 135: 147-186.
    • (2000) Ecol Modell , vol.135 , pp. 147-186
    • Guisan, A.1    Zimmermann, N.E.2
  • 27
    • 0014508253 scopus 로고
    • Illustrations of soil moisture variability in selected areas and plots of different sizes
    • Hills RC, Reynolds SG (1969) Illustrations of soil moisture variability in selected areas and plots of different sizes. J Hydrol 8: 27-47.
    • (1969) J Hydrol , vol.8 , pp. 27-47
    • Hills, R.C.1    Reynolds, S.G.2
  • 28
    • 0000267002 scopus 로고
    • Population studies - animal ecology and demography - concluding remarks
    • Hutchinson GE (1957) Population studies - animal ecology and demography - concluding remarks. Cold Spring Harb Symp Quant Biol 22: 415-427.
    • (1957) Cold Spring Harb Symp Quant Biol , vol.22 , pp. 415-427
    • Hutchinson, G.E.1
  • 29
    • 0000215952 scopus 로고
    • The scale of nutrient heterogeneity around individual plants and its quantification with geostatistics
    • Jackson RB, Caldwell MM (1993) The scale of nutrient heterogeneity around individual plants and its quantification with geostatistics. Ecology 74: 612-614.
    • (1993) Ecology , vol.74 , pp. 612-614
    • Jackson, R.B.1    Caldwell, M.M.2
  • 30
    • 0027084254 scopus 로고
    • Soil-temperature and root-growth
    • Kaspar TC, Bland WL (1992) Soil-temperature and root-growth. Soil Sci 154: 290-299.
    • (1992) Soil Sci , vol.154 , pp. 290-299
    • Kaspar, T.C.1    Bland, W.L.2
  • 31
    • 9244239246 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Mapping the fundamental niche: physiology, climate, and the distribution of a nocturnal lizard
    • Kearney M, Porter WP (2004) Mapping the fundamental niche: physiology, climate, and the distribution of a nocturnal lizard. Ecology 85: 3119-3131.
    • (2004) Ecology , vol.85 , pp. 3119-3131
    • Kearney, M.1    Porter, W.P.2
  • 32
    • 2642619383 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A re-assessment of high elevation treeline positions and their explanation
    • Körner C (1998) A re-assessment of high elevation treeline positions and their explanation. Oecologia 115: 445-459.
    • (1998) Oecologia , vol.115 , pp. 445-459
    • Körner, C.1
  • 34
    • 0021064360 scopus 로고
    • Influence of plant physiognomy on leaf temperature on clear midsummer days in the Snowy Mountains, Southeastern Australia
    • Körner C, Cochrane P (1983) Influence of plant physiognomy on leaf temperature on clear midsummer days in the Snowy Mountains, Southeastern Australia. Acta Oecol, Oecol Plant 4: 117-124.
    • (1983) Acta Oecol, Oecol Plant , vol.4 , pp. 117-124
    • Körner, C.1    Cochrane, P.2
  • 35
    • 0000760401 scopus 로고
    • Water potential and diffusion resistance in alpine cushion plants on clear summerdays
    • Körner C, Demoraes J (1979) Water potential and diffusion resistance in alpine cushion plants on clear summerdays. Oecol Plant 14: 109-120.
    • (1979) Oecol Plant , vol.14 , pp. 109-120
    • Körner, C.1    Demoraes, J.2
  • 36
    • 0024151106 scopus 로고
    • Plant life in cold climates
    • S. F. Long and F. I. Woodward (Eds.), Cambridge: The Company of Biology
    • Körner C, Larcher W (1988) Plant life in cold climates. In: Long SF, Woodward FI (eds) Plants and temperature. The Company of Biology, Cambridge, pp 25-57.
    • (1988) Plants and Temperature , pp. 25-57
    • Körner, C.1    Larcher, W.2
  • 37
    • 2142840993 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A world-wide study of high altitude treeline temperatures
    • Körner C, Paulsen J (2004) A world-wide study of high altitude treeline temperatures. J Biogeogr 31: 713-732.
    • (2004) J Biogeogr , vol.31 , pp. 713-732
    • Körner, C.1    Paulsen, J.2
  • 38
    • 0020871724 scopus 로고
    • Altitudinal variation of leaf diffusive conductance and leaf anatomy in heliophytes of montane New-Guinea and their interrelation with microclimate
    • Körner C, Allison A, Hilscher H (1983) Altitudinal variation of leaf diffusive conductance and leaf anatomy in heliophytes of montane New-Guinea and their interrelation with microclimate. Flora 174: 91-135.
    • (1983) Flora , vol.174 , pp. 91-135
    • Körner, C.1    Allison, A.2    Hilscher, H.3
  • 39
    • 0000755002 scopus 로고
    • 2 uptake and temperature resistance of leaves of alpine plants during growing season
    • 2 uptake and temperature resistance of leaves of alpine plants during growing season. Oecol Plant 11: 361-374.
    • (1976) Oecol Plant , vol.11 , pp. 361-374
    • Larcher, W.1    Wagner, J.2
  • 40
    • 71549128043 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Survival types of high mountain plants under extreme temperatures
    • Larcher W, Kainmuller C, Wagner J (2010) Survival types of high mountain plants under extreme temperatures. Flora 205: 3-18.
    • (2010) Flora , vol.205 , pp. 3-18
    • Larcher, W.1    Kainmuller, C.2    Wagner, J.3
  • 41
    • 46449109356 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A significant upward shift in plant species optimum elevation during the 20th century
    • Lenoir J, Gegout JC, Marquet PA, de Ruffray P, Brisse H (2008) A significant upward shift in plant species optimum elevation during the 20th century. Science 320: 1768-1771.
    • (2008) Science , vol.320 , pp. 1768-1771
    • Lenoir, J.1    Gegout, J.C.2    Marquet, P.A.3    de Ruffray, P.4    Brisse, H.5
  • 44
    • 33846208297 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Signals of range expansions and contractions of vascular plants in the high Alps: observations (1994-2004) at the GLORIA master site Schrankogel, Tyrol, Austria
    • Pauli H, Gottfried M, Reier K, Klettner C, Grabherr G (2007) Signals of range expansions and contractions of vascular plants in the high Alps: observations (1994-2004) at the GLORIA master site Schrankogel, Tyrol, Austria. Glob Chang Biol 13: 147-156.
    • (2007) Glob Chang Biol , vol.13 , pp. 147-156
    • Pauli, H.1    Gottfried, M.2    Reier, K.3    Klettner, C.4    Grabherr, G.5
  • 46
    • 33845604583 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predicting species distributions from small numbers of occurrence records: a test case using cryptic geckos in Madagascar
    • Pearson RG, Raxworthy CJ, Nakamura M, Peterson AT (2007) Predicting species distributions from small numbers of occurrence records: a test case using cryptic geckos in Madagascar. J Biogeogr 34: 102-117.
    • (2007) J Biogeogr , vol.34 , pp. 102-117
    • Pearson, R.G.1    Raxworthy, C.J.2    Nakamura, M.3    Peterson, A.T.4
  • 49
    • 0016069605 scopus 로고
    • A note on the relationship between size of area and soil moisture variability
    • Reynolds SG (1974) A note on the relationship between size of area and soil moisture variability. J Hydrol 22: 71-76.
    • (1974) J Hydrol , vol.22 , pp. 71-76
    • Reynolds, S.G.1
  • 50
    • 0031284533 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Soil heterogeneity and plant competition in an annual grassland
    • Reynolds HL, Hungate BA, Iii FSC, D'Antonio CM (1997) Soil heterogeneity and plant competition in an annual grassland. Ecology 78: 2076-2090.
    • (1997) Ecology , vol.78 , pp. 2076-2090
    • Reynolds, H.L.1    Hungate, B.A.2    Iii, F.S.C.3    D'Antonio, C.M.4
  • 51
    • 0006260919 scopus 로고
    • Leaf temperatures of alpine plants in the field
    • Salisbury FB, Spomer GG (1964) Leaf temperatures of alpine plants in the field. Planta 60: 497-505.
    • (1964) Planta , vol.60 , pp. 497-505
    • Salisbury, F.B.1    Spomer, G.G.2
  • 52
    • 77955251336 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Infra-red thermometry of alpine landscapes challenges climatic warming projections
    • Scherrer D, Körner C (2010a) Infra-red thermometry of alpine landscapes challenges climatic warming projections. Glob Chang Biol 16: 2602-2613.
    • (2010) Glob Chang Biol , vol.16 , pp. 2602-2613
    • Scherrer, D.1    Körner, C.2
  • 53
    • 77955251336 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Topographically controlled thermal-habitat differentiation buffers alpine plant diversity against climate warming
    • Scherrer D, Körner C (2010b) Topographically controlled thermal-habitat differentiation buffers alpine plant diversity against climate warming. J Biogeogr. doi: 10. 1111/j. 1365-2699. 2010. 02407. x.
    • (2010) J Biogeogr , vol.16 , pp. 2602-2613
    • Scherrer, D.1    Körner, C.2
  • 55
    • 0001225684 scopus 로고
    • Plant transpiration at high elevations - theory, field-measurements, and comparisons with desert plants
    • Smith WK, Geller GN (1979) Plant transpiration at high elevations - theory, field-measurements, and comparisons with desert plants. Oecologia 41: 109-122.
    • (1979) Oecologia , vol.41 , pp. 109-122
    • Smith, W.K.1    Geller, G.N.2
  • 56
    • 77956474502 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Projected impacts of climate change on regional capacities for global plant species richness
    • Sommer JH, Kreft H, Kier G, Jetz W, Mutke J, Barthlott W (2010) Projected impacts of climate change on regional capacities for global plant species richness. Proc R Soc Lond B 277: 2271-2280.
    • (2010) Proc R Soc Lond B , vol.277 , pp. 2271-2280
    • Sommer, J.H.1    Kreft, H.2    Kier, G.3    Jetz, W.4    Mutke, J.5    Barthlott, W.6
  • 57
    • 0029669034 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Long-term persistence in a changing climate: DNA analysis suggests very old ages of clones of alpine Carex curvula
    • Steinger T, Körner C, Schmid B (1996) Long-term persistence in a changing climate: DNA analysis suggests very old ages of clones of alpine Carex curvula. Oecologia 105: 94-99.
    • (1996) Oecologia , vol.105 , pp. 94-99
    • Steinger, T.1    Körner, C.2    Schmid, B.3
  • 58
    • 77955254882 scopus 로고
    • Leaf temperature under natural environments (Microclimatic study V)
    • Takasu K (1953) Leaf temperature under natural environments (Microclimatic study V). Meml Coll Sci B 20: 179-188.
    • (1953) Meml Coll Sci B , vol.20 , pp. 179-188
    • Takasu, K.1
  • 59
    • 0034923809 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Potential impact of climate change on vegetation in the European Alps: a review
    • Theurillat JP, Guisan A (2001) Potential impact of climate change on vegetation in the European Alps: a review. Clim Change 50: 77-109.
    • (2001) Clim Change , vol.50 , pp. 77-109
    • Theurillat, J.P.1    Guisan, A.2
  • 63
    • 42949101271 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Spatial scale affects bioclimate model projections of climate change impacts on mountain plants
    • Trivedi MR, Berry PM, Morecroft MD, Dawson TP (2008) Spatial scale affects bioclimate model projections of climate change impacts on mountain plants. Glob Chang Biol 14: 1089-1103.
    • (2008) Glob Chang Biol , vol.14 , pp. 1089-1103
    • Trivedi, M.R.1    Berry, P.M.2    Morecroft, M.D.3    Dawson, T.P.4
  • 66
    • 27744583613 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Trends in the upward shift of alpine plants
    • Walther GR, Beissner S, Burga CA (2005) Trends in the upward shift of alpine plants. J Veg Sci 16: 541-548.
    • (2005) J Veg Sci , vol.16 , pp. 541-548
    • Walther, G.R.1    Beissner, S.2    Burga, C.A.3
  • 67
    • 0033179955 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predictive mapping of alpine grasslands in Switzerland: Species versus community approach
    • Zimmermann NE, Kienast F (1999) Predictive mapping of alpine grasslands in Switzerland: Species versus community approach. J Veg Sci 10: 469-482.
    • (1999) J Veg Sci , vol.10 , pp. 469-482
    • Zimmermann, N.E.1    Kienast, F.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.