메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 37, Issue 1, 2011, Pages 121-131

Teleconnections between Ethiopian summer rainfall and sea surface temperature: Part II. Seasonal forecasting

Author keywords

Ethiopia; Rainfall; Sea surface temperature; Seasonal forecasting; Statistical model; Teleconnection

Indexed keywords

GEOSTATISTICS; NUMERICAL MODEL; RAINFALL; SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE; SEASONAL VARIATION; SEASONALITY; TELECONNECTION; WEATHER FORECASTING;

EID: 79959810578     PISSN: 09307575     EISSN: 14320894     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-010-0896-x     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (56)

References (25)
  • 2
    • 33847396976 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ethiopian use of ENSO information in its seasonal forecasts
    • Bekele F (1997) Ethiopian use of ENSO information in its seasonal forecasts. Internet J Afr Stud 2.
    • (1997) Internet J Afr Stud , vol.2
    • Bekele, F.1
  • 3
    • 34447646329 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Interannual variability and ensemble forecast of Upper Blue Nile Basin Kiremt season precipitation
    • Block P, Rajagopalan B (2007) Interannual variability and ensemble forecast of Upper Blue Nile Basin Kiremt season precipitation. J Hydrometeorol 8: 327-343.
    • (2007) J Hydrometeorol , vol.8 , pp. 327-343
    • Block, P.1    Rajagopalan, B.2
  • 4
    • 0036571974 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The East African March-May rainy season: associated atmospheric dynamics and predictability over the 1968-1997 period
    • Camberlin P, Philippon N (2002) The East African March-May rainy season: associated atmospheric dynamics and predictability over the 1968-1997 period. J Clim 15: 1002-1019.
    • (2002) J Clim , vol.15 , pp. 1002-1019
    • Camberlin, P.1    Philippon, N.2
  • 5
    • 79959809686 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • PhD thesis, Department of Meteorology, Reading University, Reading
    • Diro G (2008) Seasonal forecasting of ethiopian rainfall. PhD thesis, Department of Meteorology, Reading University, Reading.
    • (2008) Seasonal forecasting of ethiopian rainfall
    • Diro, G.1
  • 6
    • 42549117953 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Seasonal forecasting of Ethiopian spring rains
    • Diro G, Black E, Grimes D (2008) Seasonal forecasting of Ethiopian spring rains. Meteorol Applications 15: 73-83.
    • (2008) Meteorol Applications , vol.15 , pp. 73-83
    • Diro, G.1    Black, E.2    Grimes, D.3
  • 7
    • 79959810637 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Teleconnection between Ethiopian summer rainfall and sea surface temperature: part I. Observation and modelling
    • doi: 10. 1007/s00382-010-0837-8
    • Diro G, Grimes D, Black (2010) Teleconnection between Ethiopian summer rainfall and sea surface temperature: part I. Observation and modelling. Clim Dyn. doi: 10. 1007/s00382-010-0837-8.
    • (2010) Clim Dyn
    • Diro, G.1    Grimes, D.B.2
  • 8
    • 0022839918 scopus 로고
    • Sahel rainfall and worldwide sea temperatures, 1901-1985
    • Folland C, Palmer T, Parker D (1986) Sahel rainfall and worldwide sea temperatures 1901-1985. Nature 320: 602-607.
    • (1986) Nature , vol.320 , pp. 602-607
    • Folland, C.1    Palmer, T.2    Parker, D.3
  • 9
    • 4544324694 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Seasonal forecasting of the Ethiopian summer rains
    • Gissila T, Black E, Grimes D, Slingo J (2004) Seasonal forecasting of the Ethiopian summer rains. Int J Clim 24: 1345-1358.
    • (2004) Int J Clim , vol.24 , pp. 1345-1358
    • Gissila, T.1    Black, E.2    Grimes, D.3    Slingo, J.4
  • 10
    • 4544286148 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Exploring the predictability of the 'short rains' at the coast of East Africa
    • Hastenrath S, Polzin D, Camberlin P (2004) Exploring the predictability of the 'short rains' at the coast of East Africa. Int J Climatol 24: 1333-1343.
    • (2004) Int J Climatol , vol.24 , pp. 1333-1343
    • Hastenrath, S.1    Polzin, D.2    Camberlin, P.3
  • 11
    • 26844445586 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Did the ECMWF seasonal forecast fodel outperform statistical ENSO forecast models over the last 15 years?
    • Jan van Oldenborgh G, Balmaseda M, Ferranti L, Stockdale T, Anderson D (2005) Did the ECMWF seasonal forecast model outperform statistical ENSO forecast models over the last 15 years?. J Clim 18: 3240-3249.
    • (2005) J Clim , vol.18 , pp. 3240-3249
    • van Jan oldenborgh, G.1    Balmaseda, M.2    Ferranti, L.3    Stockdale, T.4    Anderson, D.5
  • 13
    • 1642520974 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • On the ROC score of probability forecasts
    • Kharin V, Zwiers F (2003) On the ROC score of probability forecasts. J Clim 16: 4145-4150.
    • (2003) J Clim , vol.16 , pp. 4145-4150
    • Kharin, V.1    Zwiers, F.2
  • 14
    • 33847388090 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predictability of june-september rainfall in Ethiopia
    • Korecha D, Barnston A (2007) Predictability of June-September rainfall in Ethiopia. Mon Weather Rev 135: 628-650.
    • (2007) Mon Weather Rev , vol.135 , pp. 628-650
    • Korecha, D.1    Barnston, A.2
  • 15
    • 0033208324 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Conditional probability, relative operating characteristics and relative operating levels
    • Masson S, Graham N (1999) Conditional probability, relative operating characteristics and relative operating levels. Weather Forecast 14: 713-725.
    • (1999) Weather Forecast , vol.14 , pp. 713-725
    • Masson, S.1    Graham, N.2
  • 16
    • 0032423954 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Towards the prediction of the East Africa short rains based on sea surface temperature-atmosphere coupling
    • Mutai C, Ward M, Colman A (1998) Towards the prediction of the East Africa short rains based on sea surface temperature-atmosphere coupling. Int J Climatol 18: 975-997.
    • (1998) Int J Climatol , vol.18 , pp. 975-997
    • Mutai, C.1    Ward, M.2    Colman, A.3
  • 17
    • 16444376958 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Wavelet analysis of variability, teleconnectivity, and predictability of September-November East Africa rainfall
    • Mwale D, Gan T (2005) Wavelet analysis of variability, teleconnectivity, and predictability of September-November East Africa rainfall. J Appl Meteorol 44: 256-269.
    • (2005) J Appl Meteorol , vol.44 , pp. 256-269
    • Mwale, D.1    Gan, T.2
  • 18
    • 0042847355 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Prediction of East African seasonal rainfall using simplex canonical correlation analysis
    • Ntale H, Gan T, Mwale D (2003) Prediction of East African seasonal rainfall using simplex canonical correlation analysis. J Clim 16: 2105-2112.
    • (2003) J Clim , vol.16 , pp. 2105-2112
    • Ntale, H.1    Gan, T.2    Mwale, D.3
  • 19
    • 0036773987 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Empirical predictability study of October-December east African rainfall
    • Philippon N, Camberlin P, Fauchereau N (2002) Empirical predictability study of October-December east African rainfall. Q J Royal Meteorol Soc 128: 2239-2256.
    • (2002) Q J Royal Meteorol Soc , vol.128 , pp. 2239-2256
    • Philippon, N.1    Camberlin, P.2    Fauchereau, N.3
  • 20
    • 0742305193 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Global analysis of Sea surface temperature, sea ice and night marine air temperature since the late nineteenth century
    • Rayner N, Parker D, Horton E, Folland C, Alexander L, Rowell D, Kent E, Kaplan A (2003) Global analysis of Sea surface temperature, sea ice and night marine air temperature since the late nineteenth century. J Geophys Res 108(D14).
    • (2003) J Geophys Res , vol.108 , Issue.D14
    • Rayner, N.1    Parker, D.2    Horton, E.3    Folland, C.4    Alexander, L.5    Rowell, D.6    Kent, E.7    Kaplan, A.8
  • 21
    • 21844455805 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Characterization and variability of Kiremt rainy season over Ethiopia
    • Segele ZT, Lamb P (2005) Characterization and variability of Kiremt rainy season over Ethiopia. Meteorol Atmos Phys 89: 153-180.
    • (2005) Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics , vol.89 , pp. 153-180
    • Segele, Z.T.1    Lamb, P.2
  • 22
    • 67649967657 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Large-scale atmospheric circulation and global sea surface temperature associations with Horn of Africa June-September rainfall
    • Segele ZT, Lamb P, Leslie L (2009) Large-scale atmospheric circulation and global sea surface temperature associations with Horn of Africa June-September rainfall. Int J Climatol 29: 1075-1100.
    • (2009) Int J Climatol , vol.29 , pp. 1075-1100
    • Segele, Z.T.1    Lamb, P.2    Leslie, L.3
  • 23
    • 0026266748 scopus 로고
    • Prediction of seasonal rainfall in the north nordeste of Brazil using eigen vectors of sea surface temperature
    • Ward M, Folland C (1991) Prediction of seasonal rainfall in the north nordeste of Brazil using eigen vectors of sea surface temperature. Int J Climatol 11: 711-743.
    • (1991) Int J Climatol , vol.11 , pp. 711-743
    • Ward, M.1    Folland, C.2
  • 24
    • 34247188175 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • North African climate variability. Part 3: resource prediction
    • Yeshanew A, Jury M (2007) North African climate variability. Part 3: resource prediction. Theoret Appl Climatol 89: 51-62.
    • (2007) Theoret Appl Climatol , vol.89 , pp. 51-62
    • Yeshanew, A.1    Jury, M.2
  • 25
    • 1442354948 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Association between climate variability and malaria epidemics in the East African highlands
    • Zhou G, Minakawa N, Githeko A, Yan G (2004) Association between climate variability and malaria epidemics in the East African highlands. Proc Nat Acad Sci USA 101(8): 2375-2380.
    • (2004) Proc Nat Acad Sci USA , vol.101 , Issue.8 , pp. 2375-2380
    • Zhou, G.1    Minakawa, N.2    Githeko, A.3    Yan, G.4


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.