메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 26, Issue 3, 2011, Pages 257-279

Intraseasonal forecasting of the 2009 summer and winter Australian heat waves using POAMA

Author keywords

Australia; Coupled models; Forecasting; Heating; Intraseasonal variability; Summer warm season; Winter cool season

Indexed keywords

AUSTRALIA; COUPLED MODELS; INTRASEASONAL VARIABILITY; SUMMER/WARM SEASON; WINTER/COOL SEASON;

EID: 79959759452     PISSN: 08828156     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1175/WAF-D-10-05041.1     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (33)

References (32)
  • 4
    • 77649289174 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • BMRC Atmospheric Model (BAM) version 3.0: Comparison with mean climatology
    • Coauthors108, Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
    • Colman, R., and Coauthors, 2005: BMRC Atmospheric Model (BAM) version 3.0: Comparison with mean climatology. BMRC Research Rep. 108, Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, VIC, Australia, 58 pp.
    • (2005) BMRC Research Rep , pp. 58
    • Colman, R.1
  • 5
    • 79955482055 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bridging the gap between weather and seasonal forecasting: Intraseasonal forecasting for Australia
    • Hudson, D., O. Alves, H. H. Hendon, and A. G. Marshall, 2011a: Bridging the gap between weather and seasonal forecasting: Intraseasonal forecasting for Australia. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 137, 673-689.
    • (2011) Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc. , vol.137 , pp. 673-689
    • Hudson, D.1    Alves, O.2    Hendon, H.H.3    Marshall, A.G.4
  • 6
    • 79952248925 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The impact of atmospheric initialisation on seasonal prediction of tropical Pacific SST
    • doi:10.1007/s00382-010-0763-9
    • Hudson, D, O. Alves, H. H. Hendon, and G. Wang, 2011b: The impact of atmospheric initialisation on seasonal prediction of tropical Pacific SST. Climate Dyn., 36, 1155-1171, doi:10.1007/s00382-010-0763-9.
    • (2011) Climate Dyn. , vol.36 , pp. 1155-1171
    • Hudson, D.1    Alves, O.2    Hendon, H.H.3    Wang, G.4
  • 7
    • 0029768948 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The NCEP/NCAR 40-Year Re-analysis Project
    • Kalnay, E., and Coauthors, 1996: The NCEP/NCAR 40-Year Re-analysis Project. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 77, 437-471.
    • (1996) Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. , vol.77 , pp. 437-471
    • Kalnay, E.1
  • 8
    • 72049086510 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Dynamical forecast of inter-El Niño variations of tropical SST and Australian spring rainfall
    • Lim, E.-P., H. H. Hendon, D. Hudson, G. Wang, and O. Alves, 2009: Dynamical forecast of inter-El Niño variations of tropical SST and Australian spring rainfall. Mon. Wea. Rev., 137, 3796-3810.
    • (2009) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.137 , pp. 3796-3810
    • Lim, E.-P.1    Hendon, H.H.2    Hudson, D.3    Wang, G.4    Alves, O.5
  • 9
    • 0001020855 scopus 로고
    • The seasonal variation of the hydrological cycle as simulated by a global model of the atmosphere
    • Manabe, S., and J. Holloway, 1975: The seasonal variation of the hydrological cycle as simulated by a global model of the atmosphere. J. Geophys. Res., 80, 1617-1649.
    • (1975) J. Geophys. Res. , vol.80 , pp. 1617-1649
    • Manabe, S.1    Holloway, J.2
  • 10
    • 81455128299 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Assessing the simulation and prediction of rainfall associated with the MJO in the POAMA seasonal forecast system
    • doi:10.1007/s00382-010-0948-2, in press
    • Marshall, A. G., D. Hudson, M. C. Wheeler, H. H. Hendon, and O. Alves, 2011: Assessing the simulation and prediction of rainfall associated with the MJO in the POAMA seasonal forecast system. Climate Dyn., doi:10.1007/s00382-010-0948-2, in press.
    • (2001) Climate Dyn.
    • Marshall, A.G.1    Hudson, D.2    Wheeler, M.C.3    Hendon, H.H.4    Alves, O.5
  • 11
    • 0003797243 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A national objective daily rainfall analysis system
    • 1, Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
    • Mills, G. A., G. Weymouth, D. A. Jones, E. E. Ebert, and M. J. Manton, 1997: A national objective daily rainfall analysis system. BMRC Techniques Development Rep. 1, Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, VIC, Australia, 30 pp.
    • (1997) BMRC Techniques Development Rep , pp. 30
    • Mills, G.A.1    Weymouth, G.2    Jones, D.A.3    Ebert, E.E.4    Manton, M.J.5
  • 12
    • 79959742851 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bureau of Meteorology Special Climate Statement 18, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
    • National Climate Centre, 2009a: Exceptional winter heat over large parts of Australia. Bureau of Meteorology Special Climate Statement 18, Melbourne, VIC, Australia, 13 pp.
    • (2009) Exceptional winter heat over large parts of Australia , pp. 13
  • 14
    • 0004068626 scopus 로고
    • Extended versions of the convective parameterization schemeatECMWF and their impactupon the mean climate and transient activity of the model in the tropics
    • 206, ECMWF, Reading, United Kingdom
    • Nordeng, T., 1994: Extended versions of the convective parameterization schemeatECMWF and their impact upon the mean climate and transient activity of the model in the tropics. Research Dep. Tech. Memo. 206, ECMWF, Reading, United Kingdom, 42 pp.
    • (1994) Research Dep. Tech. Memo. , pp. 42
    • Nordeng, T.1
  • 15
    • 33847251958 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ensemble data assimilation for an eddy-resolving ocean model of the Australian region
    • Oke, P. R., A. Schiller, D. A. Griffin, and G. B. Brassington, 2005: Ensemble data assimilation for an eddy-resolving ocean model of the Australian region. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 131, 3301-3311.
    • (2005) Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc. , vol.131 , pp. 3301-3311
    • Oke, P.R.1    Schiller, A.2    Griffin, D.A.3    Brassington, G.B.4
  • 16
    • 79551604637 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Prediction of the Madden-Julian oscillation in the POAMA dynamical prediction system
    • doi:10.1007/s00382-010-0754-x
    • Rashid, H. A., H. H. Hendon, M. C. Wheeler, and O. Alves, 2011: Prediction of the Madden-Julian oscillation in the POAMA dynamical prediction system. Climate Dyn., 36, 649-661, doi:10.1007/s00382-010-0754-x.
    • (2001) Climate Dyn. , vol.36 , pp. 649-661
    • Rashid, H.A.1    Hendon, H.H.2    Wheeler, M.C.3    Alves, O.4
  • 17
    • 0036648346 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An improved in situ and satellite SST analysis for climate
    • Reynolds, R. W., N. A. Rayner, T. M. Smith, D. C. Stokes, and W. Wang, 2002: An improved in situ and satellite SST analysis for climate. J. Climate, 15, 1609-1625.
    • (2002) J. Climate , vol.15 , pp. 1609-1625
    • Reynolds, R.W.1    Rayner, N.A.2    Smith, T.M.3    Stokes, D.C.4    Wang, W.5
  • 20
    • 0000540701 scopus 로고
    • A univariate statistical interpolation scheme for subsurface thermal analyses in the tropical oceans
    • Smith, N. R., J. E. Blomley, and G. Meyers, 1991: A univariate statistical interpolation scheme for subsurface thermal analyses in the tropical oceans. Prog. Oceanogr., 28, 219-256.
    • (1991) Prog. Oceanogr. , vol.28 , pp. 219-256
    • Smith, N.R.1    Blomley, J.E.2    Meyers, G.3
  • 22
    • 0001112454 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Coupled ocean-atmosphere forecasts in the presence of climate drift
    • Stockdale, T. N., 1997: Coupled ocean-atmosphere forecasts in the presence of climate drift. Mon. Wea. Rev., 125, 809-818.
    • (1997) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.125 , pp. 809-818
    • Stockdale, T.N.1
  • 23
    • 0024907516 scopus 로고
    • A comprehensive mass flux scheme for cumulus parameterization in large-scale models
    • Tiedtke, M., 1989: A comprehensive mass flux scheme for cumulus parameterization in large-scale models. Mon. Wea. Rev., 117, 1779-1800.
    • (1989) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.117 , pp. 1779-1800
    • Tiedtke, M.1
  • 24
    • 27144554835 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The ERA-40 Re-Analysis
    • Coauthors
    • Uppala, S. M., and Coauthors, 2005: The ERA-40 Re-Analysis. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 131, 2961-3012.
    • (2005) Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc. , vol.131 , pp. 2961-3012
    • Uppala, S.M.1
  • 25
    • 59449084576 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • OASIS 2.4 Ocean Atmospheric Sea Ice Soil users guide, version 2.4
    • CERFACS TR/CMGC/00-10
    • Valcke, S., L. Terray, and A. Piacentini, 2000: OASIS 2.4 Ocean Atmospheric Sea Ice Soil users guide, version 2.4. CERFACS Tech. Rep. CERFACS TR/CMGC/00-10, 85 pp.
    • (2000) CERFACS Tech. Rep. , pp. 85
    • Valcke, S.1    Terray, L.2    Piacentini, A.3
  • 27
    • 33645173992 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • BAM3.0 tropical surface flux simulation and its impact on SST drift in a coupled model
    • 107, Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
    • Wang, G., O. Alves, and N. Smith, 2005: BAM3.0 tropical surface flux simulation and its impact on SST drift in a coupled model. BMRC Research Rep. 107, Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, VIC, Australia, 30 pp.
    • (2005) BMRC Research Rep , pp. 30
    • Wang, G.1    Alves, O.2    Smith, N.3
  • 30
    • 67649421237 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Representation and prediction of the Indian Ocean dipole in the POAMA seasonal forecast model
    • Zhao, M., and H. H. Hendon, 2009: Representation and prediction of the Indian Ocean dipole in the POAMA seasonal forecast model. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 135, 337-352.
    • (2009) Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc. , vol.135 , pp. 337-352
    • Zhao, M.1    Hendon, H.H.2
  • 31
    • 79953655345 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Impact of including surface currents on simulation of Indian Ocean variability with the POAMA coupled model
    • doi:10.1007/s00382-010-0823-1
    • Zhao, M, G. Wang, H. H. Hendon, and O. Alves, 2010: Impact of including surface currents on simulation of Indian Ocean variability with the POAMA coupled model. Climate Dyn., 36, 1291-1302, doi:10.1007/s00382-010-0823-1.
    • (2010) Climate Dyn. , vol.36 , pp. 1291-1302
    • Zhao, M.1    Wang, G.2    Hendon, H.H.3    Alves, O.4
  • 32
    • 46649090606 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Onaspects of the mean climatology and tropical interannual variability in the BMRC Atmospheric Model (BAM 3.0)
    • 121, Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
    • Zhong, A.,O.Alves,H.H.Hendon, andL.Rikus, 2006:Onaspects of the mean climatology and tropical interannual variability in the BMRC Atmospheric Model (BAM 3.0). BMRC Research Rep. 121, Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, VIC, Australia, 34 pp.
    • (2006) BMRC Research Rep , pp. 34
    • Zhong, A.1    Alves, O.2    Hendon, H.H.3    Rikus, L.4


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.