Earthquake prediction and forecasting

Geophysical Monograph Series

Volumn 150, Issue , 2004, Pages 335-348

  Jackson, David D ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

EID: 79958774197     PISSN: 00658448     EISSN: 23288779     Source Type: Book Series    
DOI: 10.1029/150GM26     Document Type: Chapter

References (28)

1. Allen, C. R. (1976), Responsibilities in earthquake prediction, Bull. Seis. Soc.Amer., 66. 2069-2074.
2. Bakun, W. H., and A. G. Lindh (1985), The Parkfield, California earthquake prediction experiment, Science, 229, 619-624.
3. Bakun, W. H., and T. H. McEvilly (1984), Recurrence models and Parkfield, California earthquakes, J. Geophys. Res., 89, 3051-3058.
4. Bolt, B. A. (1988), Earthquakes, W. H. Freeman, New York, New York.
5. Bomford, G. (1971), Geodesy, 3rd. ed., 731 pp., Oxford U. Press, Oxford, England.
6. Brumbaugh, D. S. (1999), Earthquakes: Science and Society, 252 pp., Prentiss Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ 07458.
7. Crampin, S., T. Volti, and R. Stefansson (1999), A successfully stress-forecast earthquake, Geophys. J. Int., 138, F1-F5.
8. Crampin, S., Y. Gao, S. Chastin, S. Peacock, and P. Jackson (2003), Speculations on earthquake forecasting. Seis. Res. Lett., 74, 271-273.
9. Evison, F. F. (2001), Long-range synoptic earthquake forecasting: an aim for the millennium. Tectonophysics, 338, 207-215.
10. Geller, R. J. (1997), Earthquake prediction, a critical review, Geophys. J. Int., 131, 425-450.
11. Haicheng Earthquake Study Delegation (1977), Prediction of the Haicheng Earthquake, EOS, Trans. Amer. Geophys. Un., 58, 236-272.
12. Harris, R. A. (1998), Introduction to special section: Stress triggers, shadows, and implications for seismic hazard, J. Geophys. Res., 103, 24347-24358.
13. Harris, R. A. (2000), Earthquake stress triggers, stress shadows, and seismic hazard, Current Science, 79, 1215-1225.
14. Jackson, D. D., and Kagan, Y. Y. (1999). Testable earthquake forecasts for 1999, Seism. Res. Lett., 70(4), 393-403.
15. Kagan, Y. Y. (1996), Comment on “The Gutenberg-Richter or characteristic earthquake distribution, which is it? By S. G. Wesnousky, Bull Seis. Soc. Amer., 86, 274-285.
16. Kagan, Y. Y. (1997), Statistical aspects of Parkfield earthquake sequence and Parkfield prediction experiment, Tectonophysics, 270, 207-219.
17. Kagan, Y. Y., and D. D. Jackson (1998), Spatial aftershock distribution: effect of normal stress, J. Geophys. Res., 103,24453-24467.
18. Ma, Z., F. Zhengxiang, Z. Yingzhen, W. Chengmin, Z. Guomin, and L. Defu, (1989), Earthquake prediction: nine major earthquake in China (1966- 1976), 332 pp., Seismological Press, Beijing.
19. National Earthquake Prediction Evaluation Council Working Group (1994), Earthquake prediction research at Parkfield, 1993 and beyond, U. S. Geol. Surv. Circular 1116, 14 pp., U. S. Government Printing Office, Washington, D.C.
20. Nishenko, S. P. (1989), Circum-Pacific seismic potential 1989-1999, Open File Rep. 89-85, 125 pp., U.S. Geol. Surv.
21. Nishenko, S. P. (1991), Circum-Pacific seismic potential: 1989-1999, PureAppl. Geophys. (PAGEOPH) 135, 169-259.
22. Parsons, T. (2002), Global Omori law decay of triggered earthquakes: large aftershocks outside the classical aftershock zone, J. Geophys. Res., 107 (B9) 2199, doi:10.1029/2001JB000646.
23. Rhoades, D. A., and F. F. Evison (1989), Time variable factors in earthquake hazard, Tectonophysics, 167, 201-210.
24. Rhoades, D. A., and F. F. Evison (2004), Long-range earthquake forecasting with every earthquake a precursor on its own scale, Pure Appl. Geophys. 161, 47-72.
25. Scholz, C. H. (1990), The mechanics of earthquakes and faulting, 439 pp., Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, England.
26. Stein, R. S. (1999), The role of stress transfer in earthquake occurrence, Nature, 402, 605-609.
27. Wesnousky, S. G. (1994), The Gutenberg-Richter of characteristic earthquake distribution, which is it?, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Amer., 84, 1940-1959.
28. Wyss, M. (2001), Why is earthquake prediction research not progressing faster? Tectonophysics, 338, 217-223.